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CD Nacional v AVS : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 19th Jan, 15:30 BST, Estádio da Madeira (Funchal (Ilha da Madeira)),

Tiago Miguel Carvalho Margarido and Vítor Fernando de Carvalho Campelos pit their wits in the Liga NOS on Sunday afternoon, as CD Nacional face AVS at the Estádio da Madeira (Funchal (Ilha da Madeira)). We provide predictions based on in-depth statistical analysis of both teams, across seventeen of the main betting markets. The data and the odds are unique to each market, and head-to-head statistics are included across them all.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

There's every chance of this match serving up goalmouth entertainment, but don't count on an all-time classic. Under 3.5 goals is our prediction, meaning no more than 3 goals will be scored in total during 90 mins. The best odds are below, followed by relevant form stats and head-to-head (H2H) records.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Nacional are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 43% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.10.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Nacional 43%	11/10 13%	11/10 5%
Draw 28%	11/5 3%	11/5 3%
AVS 29%	13/5 20%	27/10 6%
Draw 1-1 13%	5/1	5/1 4%
Nacional 1-0 12%	11/2 7%	5/1
AVS 1-0 10%	8/1 13%	7/1
Draw 0-0 9%	13/2 6%	11/2
Nacional 2-1 9%	8/1 10%	15/2
Nacional 2-0 8%	8/1 18%	15/2 6%
AVS 2-1 7%	12/1 8%	10/1
AVS 2-0 5%	16/1 13%	14/1 15%
Draw 2-2 4%	16/1 13%	14/1 15%
Nacional 3-1 4%	18/1 10%	14/1
Nacional 3-0 4%	18/1 17%	14/1
AVS 3-1 2%	33/1 31%	25/1 13%
Nacional 3-2 2%	33/1	22/1
AVS 3-0 2%	40/1 21%	28/1
AVS 3-2 2%	40/1	28/1
Over 2.5 Goals 42%	5/4	5/4
Under 2.5 Goals 58%	8/13	4/7
Home 1st Goal 50%	4/6 7%	3/4
Away 1st Goal 44%	8/5 13%	6/4
No 1st Goal 6%	13/2 6%	11/2
BTTS - Yes 47%	19/20	1/1
BTTS - No 53%	4/5	8/11 1%
BTTS - Home Win 17%	4/1 9%	18/5 4%
BTTS - Draw 18%	15/4 6%	7/2
BTTS - Away Win 12%	7/1 14%	13/2 7%
Home/draw 71%	2/7 5%	1/4 3%
Away/draw 57%	7/10 11%	7/10 3%
Home/away 72%	4/11	7/20
Over 1.5 Goals 68%	2/5	4/9
Under 1.5 Goals 32%	7/4	17/10
Over 3.5 Goals 21%	3/1	3/1 5%
Under 3.5 Goals 79%	2/9	1/5
Over 4.5 Goals 9%	9/1	15/2
Under 4.5 Goals 91%	1/16	1/16
Over 5.5 Goals 3%	20/1	16/1
Under 5.5 Goals 97%	1/66	1/150
Over 0.5 Goals 91%	1/12	1/11
Under 0.5 Goals 9%	13/2 6%	6/1 8%
Home DNB 62%	4/9 14%	10/21 1%
Away DNB 49%	13/8 25%	6/4 4%
Nacional win to nil 26%	9/4 13%	-
AVS win to nil 17%	5/1 20%	-
Nacional / Nacional 24%	5/2 13%	23/10 6%
Nacional / AVS 3%	33/1	28/1 12%
Nacional / Draw 6%	14/1	12/1
Draw / Nacional 16%	4/1 9%	19/5 4%
Draw / AVS 11%	13/2 15%	13/2 7%
Draw / Draw 18%	7/2	16/5
AVS / Nacional 3%	25/1 10%	20/1 9%
AVS / AVS 14%	5/1 20%	19/4 5%
AVS / Draw 6%	14/1	12/1

Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Nacional have played 17 matches so far this season and lay in 13th place in the Liga NOS league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 5 games against teams below in the table, having won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 2 clean sheets and have failed to score in 3 fixtures. Both Nacional and AVS have scored 13 goals this season.

Home League Performance

Nacional have played 8 games at home winning 4, drawing 1 and losing 3 games. They have scored 8 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and conceded 11 goals at home.

AVS are in 15th position in the Liga NOS on 15 points having played 17 matches so far this season. AVS are having a poor run against away teams, having not won a match so far this season. They have also not scored in 3 of those games.

Away League Performance

3 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 12 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 6 goals in total and failed to score in 3 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

14 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 6 games, drawn 6 and won 2. AVS have conceded 23 goals, scored 12, failed to score in 4 fixtures and have kept 3 clean sheets.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Nacional AVS
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	S. Lisbon	17	13	2	2	34	41	l 1-6A	Jan 25	Feb 23	l 3-0A
2	Porto	17	13	1	3	29	40	w 2-0F	May 17	l 0-5A	Mar 16
3	Benfica	17	12	2	3	27	38	l 0-2A	Mar 9	d 1-1A	Apr 27
4	Braga	17	9	4	4	11	31	l 0-3A	Feb 23	l 0-1A	Apr 13
5	Santa Clara	17	10	1	6	2	31	w 2-0F	Mar 30	Feb 9	l 2-1A
6	V. Guimaraes	17	6	7	4	4	25	May 4	d 2-2F	w 1-0F	Feb 2
7	Casa Pia	17	6	6	5	-1	24	Mar 16	l 1-0A	Apr 19	d 1-1A
8	Moreirense	17	6	4	7	-3	22	w 1-0F	Apr 27	May 17	d 1-1A
9	Famalicao	17	4	8	5	0	20	Mar 2	d 0-00-0	l 2-3F	Mar 30
10	Rio Ave	17	5	5	7	-10	20	May 11	l 2-1A	w 1-0F	Feb 16
11	Gil Vicente	17	4	7	6	-7	19	Apr 19	l 2-1A	Jan 27	l 4-2F
12	Estoril	17	4	6	7	-10	18	Feb 16	l 1-0A	Apr 6	d 0-00-0
13	Nacional Home	17	4	4	9	-10	16	-	-	d 1-1A	Jan 19
14	Estrela Amadora	17	4	4	9	-13	16	Apr 6	l 2-0A	d 1-1A	May 11
15	AVS Away	17	2	9	6	-11	15	Jan 19	d 1-1F	-	-
16	Arouca	17	4	3	10	-15	15	Feb 2	l 1-0A	Mar 9	d 1-1A
17	Sporting Farense	17	3	5	9	-12	14	w 2-0F	Feb 9	d 0-00-0	Mar 2
18	Boavista	17	2	6	9	-15	12	d 0-00-0	Apr 13	May 4	d 0-00-0

	UEFA Champions League
	UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
	UEFA Europa League
	UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
	Relegation Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

AVS have drawn 5 consecutive league games

AVS have not won in 12 consecutive league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Nacional	2 - 0	Porto
Nacional	0 - 2	Benfica
Nacional	1 - 0	Moreirense
Nacional	0 - 0	Boavista
Nacional	2 - 0	Santa Clara
Nacional	0 - 3	Braga
Nacional	2 - 0	Sporting Farense
Nacional	1 - 6	S. Lisbon
Nacional	1 - 2	Rio Ave
Nacional	1 - 3	Benfica
Nacional	1 - 0	V. Guimaraes
Nacional	0 - 1	Porto
Nacional	1 - 5	Portimonense
Nacional	1 - 2	Maratimo
Nacional	1 - 2	Braga
Nacional	2 - 3	Sporting Farense
Nacional	2 - 1	Famalicao
Nacional	0 - 1	Moreirense
Nacional	0 - 2	S. Lisbon
Nacional	2 - 0	Tondela

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Nacional	2 - 0	Porto
A	Nacional	1 - 2	Rio Ave
A	Nacional	2 - 2	V. Guimaraes
H	Nacional	0 - 2	Benfica
H	Nacional	1 - 0	Moreirense
A	Nacional	1 - 2	Gil Vicente
H	Nacional	0 - 0	Boavista
A	Nacional	0 - 2	Estrela Amadora
H	Nacional	2 - 0	Santa Clara
A	Nacional	0 - 1	Casa Pia
A	Nacional	0 - 0	Famalicao
H	Nacional	0 - 3	Braga
A	Nacional	0 - 1	Estoril
H	Nacional	2 - 0	Sporting Farense
A	Nacional	0 - 1	Arouca
H	Nacional	1 - 6	S. Lisbon
A	Nacional	1 - 1	AVS
H	Nacional	1 - 2	Rio Ave
A	Nacional	0 - 3	Famalicao
H	Nacional	1 - 3	Benfica

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

5 / 8

Conceded

6 / 8

Clean sheets

2 / 8

Failed to score

3 / 8

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Moreirense	1 - 1	AVS
Boavista	0 - 0	AVS
Casa Pia	1 - 1	AVS
Estoril	0 - 0	AVS
Arouca	1 - 1	AVS
S. Lisbon	3 - 0	AVS
Santa Clara	2 - 1	AVS
Gil Vicente	4 - 2	AVS

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 17

Conceded

12 / 17

Clean sheets

5 / 17

Failed to score

6 / 17

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	AVS	1 - 1	Moreirense
H	AVS	1 - 1	Estrela Amadora
A	AVS	0 - 0	Boavista
H	AVS	1 - 1	Benfica
A	AVS	1 - 1	Casa Pia
H	AVS	0 - 1	Braga
A	AVS	0 - 0	Estoril
H	AVS	2 - 3	Famalicao
H	AVS	0 - 5	Porto
A	AVS	1 - 1	Arouca
H	AVS	0 - 0	Sporting Farense
A	AVS	0 - 3	S. Lisbon
H	AVS	1 - 0	Rio Ave
A	AVS	1 - 2	Santa Clara
H	AVS	1 - 0	V. Guimaraes
A	AVS	2 - 4	Gil Vicente
H	AVS	1 - 1	Nacional

Goal Statistics

AVS's defensive record is very strong, V. de Carvalho Campelos's men having conceded 1 or less in 7 consecutive Liga NOS outings. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.3 for CD Nacional makes sense in this context.

	Nacional 13th	AVS 15th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.3 goals	1.0 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 27% 1 35% 2 23% 3 10% 4+ There is a 62% probability that Nacional will score no more than 1 goal	0 35% 1 37% 2 19% 3 4+ There is a 72% probability that AVS will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-16 Nacional have scored 16% fewer goals at home than predicted	=0 AVS’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.0 average goals scored	0.8 average goals scored
	1.7 conceded	1.5 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2024/2025 season

NAC

better

view stats

Games scored	9		11
Failed to score	8		6
Scored first	6		4
Goals scored	13		13
Avg. goals scored	0.8		0.8
Avg. shots per game	10		9
Avg. shots per goal	13		11
Conversion rate for	8		9
Avg. XG for	1.1		1.1
KickOff rating		+4%

better

NAC

view stats

Games conceded	11		12
Clean sheets	6		5
Conceded first	9		10
Goals conceded	23		24
Avg. goals conceded	1.4		1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded	10		11
Avg. shots/goal conceded	8		8
Conversion rate against	13%		13%
Avg. XG against	1.5		1.4
KickOff rating		+7%

Nacional v AVS Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Nacional Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
17	3	2	5
L França	I Tomich	G García	Ulisses

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
L França GLK	17			2 -
G García DEF	17		2	2 -
J. Mendes Gomes DEF	17	1		3 -
L Esteves MID	17		1	3 -
Z Vitor DEF	16	1		4 -
Ulisses DEF	15	1		4 1
M Dias MID	15		2	4 -
I Tomich FWD	14	3	1	3 -
A Appiah FWD	14			1 -
D Penha MID	13	1	1	-
B Costa MID	12	1	1	-
R Macedo FWD	11	1		-
A Butzke FWD	10		1	2 -
D. Soumaré MID	9			4 -
N Thomas FWD	9	1		3 -
Dudu FWD	9	1	1	-
J Aurélio DEF	7	1		-
T Reis FWD	7			1 -
L Santos DEF	6			1 -
D Sousa FWD	6			-
A Sousa MID	5			1 -
M Baeza MID	5	1		-
G Santos FWD	3			-
R Encarnação GLK	1			1 -
A Freitas DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
3	8	2	19
I Tomich	I Tomich	G García	L Esteves

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
I Tomich FWD	3	8	1	5
J Aurélio DEF	1	1
Dudu FWD	1	1	1	1
N Thomas FWD	1	3		9
R Macedo FWD	1	6		8
B Costa MID	1	1	1	12
D Penha MID	1	4	1	12
M Baeza MID	1	1
Ulisses DEF	1	4		1
Z Vitor DEF	1	7		3
J. Mendes Gomes DEF	1	3		11
A Butzke FWD		5	1	4
T Reis FWD		3		2
D. Soumaré MID		2
G García DEF		2	2	12
A Appiah FWD		3		1
M Dias MID		1	2	7
L Esteves MID		7	1	19

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
727	41	81
Z Vitor	M Dias	M Dias

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
Z Vitor DEF	727	21	79
L Esteves MID	667	22	74
Ulisses DEF	650	19	52
G García DEF	552	35	80
L França GLK	456		12
M Dias MID	449	41	81
J. Mendes Gomes DEF	426	19	58
D. Soumaré MID	267	25	64
D Penha MID	190	12	32
B Costa MID	160	6	31
I Tomich FWD	144	10	50
L Santos DEF	133	1	12
A Appiah FWD	120	9	31
R Macedo FWD	113	5	38
A Butzke FWD	110	3	32
N Thomas FWD	92	8	15
Dudu FWD	85	12	31
M Baeza MID	49	2	3
J Aurélio DEF	38	9	17
T Reis FWD	36	1	9
D Sousa FWD	30		8
A Sousa MID	25
G Santos FWD	16	2	7
R Encarnação GLK	8
A Freitas DEF	2		1

AVS Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
16	2	2	5
L Piazon	J Grau	Kiki	C Castro

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
Kiki DEF	17	1	2	2 -
L Piazon MID	16		1	2 -
J Mercado FWD	16	1	1	1 -
B Roux DEF	15	1	1	3 -
C Castro DEF	15	1		5 -
F Fonseca DEF	14			4 -
J Grau MID	14	2	1	5 -
V Lopes FWD	13	2	1	2 -
B Akinsola FWD	13	1	1	-
S Simão GLK	10			-
Nenê FWD	10	2		2 -
J Teixeira DEF	8			2 1
R Rodrigues DEF	8			-
I Rodríguez DEF	8			2 -
J Lucca MID	8			1 -
L Silva MID	8			3 -
I. Kamate MID	8			-
G Aburjania MID	8			-
G. Mendonça MID	7			1 -
L. Santos do Nascimento DEF	4			1 -
Y Mena FWD	4			2 -
S Granada FWD	4		1	1 1
E Veiga DEF	3			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
2	8	2	15
J Grau	V Lopes	Kiki	L Piazon

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J Grau MID	2	2	1	9
V Lopes FWD	2	8	1	5
Nenê FWD	2	5		2
Kiki DEF	1	1	2	8
J Mercado FWD	1	3	1	8
B Roux DEF	1	1	1	2
C Castro DEF	1	2		3
B Akinsola FWD	1	3	1	3
I. Kamate MID				2
S Granada FWD		3	1	1
Y Mena FWD				1
G. Mendonça MID				2
G Aburjania MID		1		5
J Teixeira DEF		1
L Silva MID				1
J Lucca MID		1		1
I Rodríguez DEF		1
R Rodrigues DEF				1
L Piazon MID		7	1	15
F Fonseca DEF		2		12
E Veiga DEF		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
730	39	92
B Roux	F Fonseca	L Piazon

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
B Roux DEF	730	29	68
C Castro DEF	682	11	36
F Fonseca DEF	489	39	73
L Piazon MID	476	37	92
Kiki DEF	429	27	57
J Grau MID	373	25	47
I Rodríguez DEF	310	12	34
S Simão GLK	298		7
J Mercado FWD	203	13	64
L Silva MID	171	9	23
V Lopes FWD	170	9	50
J Teixeira DEF	161	4	22
L. Santos do Nascimento DEF	139	6	17
J Lucca MID	132	3	10
G. Mendonça MID	127	6	17
G Aburjania MID	123	9	18
Nenê FWD	120	5	36
I. Kamate MID	104	6	21
B Akinsola FWD	91	8	28
R Rodrigues DEF	90	5	12
S Granada FWD	48	2	17
E Veiga DEF	21		5
Y Mena FWD	4	2	7

Portuguese Liga NOS match betting previews, predictions and odds

Benfica v Famalicao

Fri 17th Jan, 20:15

Santa Clara v Estoril

Sat 18th Jan, 15:30

Rio Ave v S. Lisbon

Sat 18th Jan, 18:00

V. Guimaraes v Arouca

Sat 18th Jan, 20:30

Nacional v AVS

Sun 19th Jan, 15:30

Moreirense v Sporting Farense

Sun 19th Jan, 15:30

Estrela Amadora v Braga

Famalicao v Estrela Amadora

Sat 25th Jan, 15:30

Sporting Farense v Rio Ave

Estoril v V. Guimaraes

CD Nacional v AVS : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Nacional have played 17 matches so far this season and lay in 13th place in the Liga NOS league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

Home League Performance

AVS are in 15th position in the Liga NOS on 15 points having played 17 matches so far this season. AVS are having a poor run against away teams, having not won a match so far this season. They have also not scored in 3 of those games.

Away League Performance

Performance against teams above them in the league

Nacional v AVS Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

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