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Casa Pia v Rio Ave : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 29th Mar, 15:30 BST, Estádio Pina Manique, Lisboa

Saturday afternoon sees João Jorge Gândara Mendes Pereira’s Casa Pia and Armando Evangelista’s Rio Ave go up against one another in a Liga NOS clash at the Estádio Pina Manique. We've got bespoke statistics for all of the main betting markets, from from under 0.5 goals to over 5.5, including form and historical head-to-head data. Predictions are calculated from these, and the odds come directly from leading bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals
In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Casa Pia are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 52% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.20.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Casa Pia
52%
6/523/20
2%
Draw
26%
9/412/5
Rio Ave
22%
23/1023/10
Casa Pia 1-0
13%
6/111/2
Draw 1-1
12%
5/15/1
Casa Pia 2-0
10%
9/18/1
Casa Pia 2-1
9%
8/115/2
Draw 0-0
9%
15/27/1
7%
Rio Ave 1-0
8%
17/27/1
Rio Ave 2-1
5%
11/19/1
Casa Pia 3-0
5%
20/114/1
Casa Pia 3-1
5%
18/114/1
Draw 2-2
4%
14/112/1
Rio Ave 2-0
4%
16/112/1
Casa Pia 3-2
2%
28/122/1
Casa Pia 4-0
2%
40/128/1
Casa Pia 4-1
2%
40/128/1
Rio Ave 3-1
2%
28/120/1
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
11/1021/20
5%
Under 2.5 Goals
56%
7/107/10
3%
Home 1st Goal
54%
8/11-
Away 1st Goal
41%
7/5-
No 1st Goal
6%
15/2-
BTTS - Yes
46%
10/1110/11
2%
BTTS - No
54%
10/115/6
2%
BTTS - Home Win
20%
15/47/2
2%
BTTS - Draw
17%
7/27/2
2%
BTTS - Away Win
9%
6/111/2
Home/draw
78%
1/31/3
Away/draw
48%
4/64/6
Home/away
74%
1/33/10
Over 1.5 Goals
70%
1/34/11
3%
Under 1.5 Goals
30%
9/42/1
4%
Over 3.5 Goals
23%
11/427/10
5%
Under 3.5 Goals
77%
1/41/4
2%
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
7/16/1
7%
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
1/121/12
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
18/114/1
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/501/66
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1/141/16
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
15/27/1
7%
Home DNB
70%
8/1511/20
Away DNB
41%
11/813/10
Casa Pia win to nil
32%
5/2-
Rio Ave win to nil
13%
9/2-
Casa Pia / Casa Pia
23%
13/512/5
Casa Pia / Rio Ave
3%
33/125/1
Casa Pia / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / Casa Pia
16%
4/14/1
Draw / Rio Ave
11%
6/16/1
Draw / Draw
17%
15/418/5
Rio Ave / Casa Pia
3%
25/120/1
Rio Ave / Rio Ave
15%
9/217/4
5%
Rio Ave / Draw
6%
14/112/1
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Casa Pia have played 26 matches so far this season and lay in 7th place in the Liga NOS league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 16 games against teams below in the table, having won 8, drawn 5 and lost 3 matches. They have kept 5 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Casa Pia have outscored their opponents by 32 goals to 29 goals.

Home League Performance

Casa Pia have played 13 games at home winning 6, drawing 4 and losing 3 games. They have scored 17 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and conceded 13 goals at home.

Rio Ave are in 12th position in the Liga NOS on 29 points having played 26 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

9 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 23 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 8 goals in total and failed to score in 7 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

17 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 9 games, drawn 5 and won 3. Rio Ave have conceded 37 goals, scored 20, failed to score in 6 fixtures and have kept no clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Casa Pia
Rio Ave
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
S. Lisbon2619524762 
l
 
1-3A
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-3A
l
 
3-1A
2
Benfica2519243959 
w
 
3-1A
l
 
3-0A
l
 
2-3A
l
 
5-0A
3
Porto2616553153 
Apr 13
l
 
2-0A
d
 
2-2F
l
 
2-0A
4
Braga2616552053 
May 11
w
 
1-2F
w
 
2-1F
l
 
4-0A
5
Santa Clara261349243 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-1F
Apr 19
l
 
1-0A
6
V. Guimaraes2610115941 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
d
 
2-2F
Apr 27
7
Casa Pia Home2610610-336 
-
-
d
 
2-2A
Mar 29
8
Estoril26998-736 
Apr 27
w
 
0-2F
d
 
2-2F
l
 
2-1A
9
Famalicao268108034 
d
 
1-1F
May 17
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-0A
10
Moreirense268711-631 
w
 
3-1A
l
 
3-2A
w
 
3-2F
Apr 13
11
Nacional268513-1029 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-1A
w
 
2-1F
May 11
12
Rio Ave Away267811-1429 
Mar 29
d
 
2-2F
-
-
13
Arouca267811-1429 
w
 
3-1F
May 4
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1A
14
Gil Vicente255812-1323 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1A
May 17
d
 
1-1A
15
Estrela Amadora265813-1723 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
May 4
l
 
1-0A
16
AVS2641111-1723 
d
 
1-1F
Apr 19
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-0A
17
Sporting Farense263815-2017 
d
 
1-1A
Apr 7
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2F
18
Boavista263617-2715 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
2-3F
Apr 7
w
 
0-2F
Win / draw / win form
Casa Pia 7TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Casa Pia1 - 3S. Lisbon
Casa Pia1 - 0Gil Vicente
Casa Pia1 - 0Estrela Amadora
Casa Pia3 - 1Benfica
Casa Pia1 - 1Famalicao
Casa Pia3 - 1Arouca
Casa Pia1 - 1AVS
Casa Pia1 - 1Sporting Farense
Casa Pia1 - 0Nacional
Casa Pia1 - 1V. Guimaraes
Casa Pia3 - 1Moreirense
Casa Pia0 - 2Santa Clara
Casa Pia0 - 1Boavista
Casa Pia0 - 1Moreirense
Casa Pia3 - 1Chaves
Casa Pia1 - 2Porto
Casa Pia0 - 0Estoril
Casa Pia0 - 1Benfica
Casa Pia0 - 0Gil Vicente
Casa Pia1 - 0Arouca
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ACasa Pia1 - 3Nacional
HCasa Pia1 - 3S. Lisbon
ACasa Pia0 - 1V. Guimaraes
HCasa Pia1 - 0Gil Vicente
ACasa Pia2 - 3Moreirense
HCasa Pia1 - 0Estrela Amadora
ACasa Pia1 - 2Santa Clara
HCasa Pia3 - 1Benfica
ACasa Pia3 - 2Boavista
HCasa Pia1 - 1Famalicao
ACasa Pia2 - 1Braga
HCasa Pia3 - 1Arouca
ACasa Pia2 - 0Estoril
HCasa Pia1 - 1AVS
ACasa Pia0 - 2Porto
HCasa Pia1 - 1Sporting Farense
ACasa Pia2 - 2Rio Ave
HCasa Pia1 - 0Nacional
ACasa Pia0 - 2S. Lisbon
HCasa Pia1 - 1V. Guimaraes
Rio Ave 12TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
15
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
2
Draw
8
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Famalicao1 - 0Rio Ave
Estoril2 - 1Rio Ave
Arouca1 - 1Rio Ave
Sporting Farense1 - 2Rio Ave
Gil Vicente1 - 1Rio Ave
Estrela Amadora1 - 0Rio Ave
Santa Clara1 - 0Rio Ave
Boavista0 - 2Rio Ave
Benfica5 - 0Rio Ave
Braga4 - 0Rio Ave
AVS1 - 0Rio Ave
Porto2 - 0Rio Ave
S. Lisbon3 - 1Rio Ave
Portimonense2 - 2Rio Ave
Vizela1 - 1Rio Ave
Estrela Amadora2 - 2Rio Ave
Boavista0 - 0Rio Ave
Sporting Farense1 - 1Rio Ave
Moreirense0 - 0Rio Ave
Famalicao2 - 1Rio Ave
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
Draw
7
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HRio Ave2 - 3Benfica
ARio Ave0 - 1Famalicao
HRio Ave2 - 1Braga
ARio Ave1 - 2Estoril
HRio Ave1 - 1AVS
ARio Ave1 - 1Arouca
HRio Ave2 - 2Porto
ARio Ave2 - 1Sporting Farense
HRio Ave0 - 3S. Lisbon
ARio Ave1 - 1Gil Vicente
HRio Ave2 - 1Nacional
ARio Ave0 - 1Estrela Amadora
HRio Ave2 - 2V. Guimaraes
ARio Ave0 - 1Santa Clara
HRio Ave3 - 2Moreirense
ARio Ave2 - 0Boavista
HRio Ave2 - 2Casa Pia
ARio Ave0 - 5Benfica
HRio Ave1 - 1Famalicao
ARio Ave0 - 4Braga
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Casa Pia since 2022
Casa Pia
Rio Ave
Goals: Scored
2
1
Games: Scored
2 / 2
1 / 2
Clean sheets
1 / 2
0 / 2
1
D
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Casa Pia
Draw1 - 1Draw
Casa Pia1 - 0
League games at Rio Ave since 2023
Rio Ave
Casa Pia
Goals: Scored
4
3
Games: Scored
3 / 3
2 / 3
Clean sheets
1 / 3
0 / 3
D
2
RIO
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Rio Ave
Draw2 - 2Draw
Rio Ave1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics

Casa Pia's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday afternoon, not least because Rio Ave have conceded in each of their last 14 Liga NOS matches. A PG of 1.5 for J. Gândara Mendes Pereira's side suggests that run should continue.

Casa Pia 7th Rio Ave 12th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that Casa Pia will score 1 or more goals
0
41%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 78% probability of Rio Ave scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-6
Casa Pia’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-22
Rio Ave have scored 22% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.1
average goals scored
0.8
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/285283/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Casa Pia
PG (predicted goals)
Rio Ave
1.5
0.8
Attack rating
11%
better
RIO
view stats
Games scored20
18
Failed to score6
8
Scored first13
10
Goals scored32
29
Avg. goals scored1.2
1.1
Avg. shots per game8
8
Avg. shots per goal7
7
Conversion rate for15
14
Avg. XG for1
1.1
KickOff rating
+11%
Defence rating
17%
better
RIO
view stats
Games conceded21
23
Clean sheets5
3
Conceded first13
16
Goals conceded35
43
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded10
12
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
7
Conversion rate against13%
13%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.8
KickOff rating
+17%

Casa Pia v Rio Ave Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Casa Pia Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
26837
L LeloCassianoG LarrazabalG Larrazabal
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Lelo DEF2612
2
-
J Goulart DEF262
5
-
P Sequeira GLK25
2
-
G Larrazabal DEF2413
6
1
M Svensson FWD2313
3
-
A Kraev MID201
7
-
R Brito MID201
4
-
J Fonte DEF19
5
-
A Geraldes DEF191
2
-
M Sousa MID19
3
-
J Livolant FWD1932
1
-
R Kluivert DEF181
4
-
Cassiano FWD1881
2
-
D Tchamba  DEF1711
4
-
H. Martins Pereira FWD1711
1
-
Pablo MID15
2
-
Cauê FWD5
-
O Osundina FWD4
-
I Mohamed MID3
-
T Dias DEF2
-
F. Benaissa-Yahia DEF2
-
R Batista GLK1
1
Rio Ave Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2513310
M Vrousai ClaytonM Vrousai Clayton
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Vrousai  DEF2513
4
-
Clayton FWD25132
9
1
T Morais FWD253
1
-
K Bondoso FWD2521
1
-
O Richards DEF231
4
-
O Pohlmann MID2212
-
J Novais MID22
1
-
D Tıknaz MID2112
5
1
B Aguilera MID2131
3
-
C Miszta GLK18
2
-
M Neto MID1811
6
1
J Panzo DEF111
3
1
J Graça MID10
-
A Ndoj DEF9
-
J Tomé DEF8
-
A Luiz FWD8
-
K. Zoabi FWD7
-
N Abby DEF6
-
F. Petrasso DEF5
2
-
V Gomes MID51
-
V. Ferreira de Sousa FWD5
-
T. Bakoulas MID4
1
-
J Pedro DEF21
-
T. Medina FWD2
-