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Casa Pia v CD Nacional : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 25th Oct, 18:45 BST, Estádio Pina Manique, Lisboa

CD Nacional pay Liga NOS rivals Casa Pia a visit on Friday evening, as Tiago Miguel Carvalho Margarido leads his side into an away clash with Natanael João Pereira Costa & co. at the Estádio Pina Manique. The predictions shown are based on in-depth statistical analysis of each side, across seventeen of the biggest betting markets. The data and the odds is designed to fit each market, and head-to-head stats are included across the board.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

We are tipping a close-fought game here and, as such, our prediction is under 2.5 goals. That means we a suggesting 2 goals or fewer will be scored in total as Casa Pia and Nacional go head-to-head. Good performances all round will be required to deliver us a winner, but we have faith in both sides to deliver precisely that. The statistics and the odds below also suggest this is a strong tip.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Casa Pia
40%
21/2011/10
Draw
31%
5/2
8%
23/10
2%
Nacional
29%
12/513/5
Casa Pia 1-0
15%
6/1
8%
11/2
8%
Draw 0-0
14%
8/1
13%
13/2
7%
Draw 1-1
13%
11/25/1
Nacional 1-0
12%
8/115/2
6%
Casa Pia 2-0
8%
17/2
6%
15/2
Casa Pia 2-1
7%
8/17/1
6%
Nacional 2-1
6%
11/1
8%
10/1
Nacional 2-0
5%
16/114/1
Draw 2-2
3%
16/112/1
Casa Pia 3-0
3%
18/114/1
Casa Pia 3-1
3%
16/1
11%
14/1
Nacional 3-1
2%
28/1
15%
22/1
Nacional 3-0
2%
40/128/1
Casa Pia 3-2
1%
28/1
15%
22/1
Nacional 3-2
1%
40/128/1
Over 2.5 Goals
31%
11/10
5%
11/10
5%
Under 2.5 Goals
69%
7/10
3%
7/10
5%
Home 1st Goal
48%
4/6-
Away 1st Goal
42%
6/4-
No 1st Goal
10%
8/1
13%
-
BTTS - Yes
38%
19/2010/11
5%
BTTS - No
62%
4/55/6
5%
BTTS - Home Win
12%
15/4
5%
10/3
6%
BTTS - Draw
17%
15/47/2
2%
BTTS - Away Win
9%
13/211/2
7%
Home/draw
71%
3/102/7
Away/draw
60%
8/118/11
Home/away
69%
2/7
3%
3/10
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
58%
4/11
3%
4/11
3%
Under 1.5 Goals
42%
2/1
9%
19/10
5%
Over 3.5 Goals
13%
11/4
6%
27/10
8%
Under 3.5 Goals
87%
1/4
2%
1/4
2%
Over 4.5 Goals
5%
7/1
11%
6/1
13%
Under 4.5 Goals
95%
1/12
1%
1/12
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
1%
18/1
10%
14/1
12%
Under 5.5 Goals
99%
1/50
1%
1/66
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
86%
1/16
2%
1/14
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
14%
9/1
25%
7/1
14%
Home DNB
62%
1/210/21
Away DNB
51%
6/429/20
2%
Casa Pia win to nil
28%
12/5-
Nacional win to nil
20%
9/2-
Casa Pia / Casa Pia
24%
12/5
3%
9/4
2%
Casa Pia / Nacional
3%
33/125/1
10%
Casa Pia / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / Casa Pia
16%
4/119/5
Draw / Nacional
11%
13/26/1
Draw / Draw
17%
4/1
5%
7/2
4%
Nacional / Casa Pia
3%
25/120/1
Nacional / Nacional
14%
5/19/2
4%
Nacional / Draw
6%
14/112/1
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table
Casa Pia
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Nacional
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
Mar 9
l
 
2-0A
 S. Lisbon88002524 
l
 
1-6A
Jan 26
Apr 13
Dec 2
 Porto87011421 
Jan 5
May 17
Jan 26
l
 
3-0A
 Benfica75111216 
Dec 19
Mar 9
l
 
0-2A
Feb 2
 Santa Clara8503215 
Nov 4
Mar 30
May 11
Dec 29
 Braga8422714 
l
 
0-3A
Feb 23
d
 
1-1F
Mar 2
 V. Guimaraes8422114 
May 4
Dec 22
Jan 5
May 17
 Famalicao8341513 
Mar 2
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
3-1A
Feb 16
 Moreirense8323-111 
Dec 15
Apr 27
Feb 23
d
 
1-1A
 Gil Vicente8242-210 
Apr 19
Dec 8
Dec 8
Apr 19
 AVS8233-49 
Jan 19
d
 
1-1F
-
-
 Casa Pia Home8224-58 
Mar 16
Oct 25
Mar 30
Nov 2
 Rio Ave8224-78 
May 11
Dec 29
Dec 22
May 4
 Arouca8215-97 
Feb 2
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-1A
Jan 19
 Boavista8134-56 
Nov 30
Apr 13
Apr 27
Dec 15
 Estoril8134-76 
Feb 16
l
 
1-0A
Feb 9
w
 
0-1F
 Estrela Amadora8125-85 
Apr 6
Nov 10
Oct 25
Mar 16
 Nacional Away7124-85 
-
-
Nov 9
Apr 6
 Sporting Farense8116-104 
w
 
2-0F
Feb 9
Win / draw / win form
3
Nacional have failed to score in 3 consecutive league games
Casa Pia 11TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
13
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
9 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
11 / 20
W
4
Draw
6
Lost
10
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Casa Pia1 - 1V. Guimaraes
Casa Pia3 - 1Moreirense
Casa Pia0 - 2Santa Clara
Casa Pia0 - 1Boavista
Casa Pia0 - 1Moreirense
Casa Pia3 - 1Chaves
Casa Pia1 - 2Porto
Casa Pia0 - 0Estoril
Casa Pia0 - 1Benfica
Casa Pia0 - 0Gil Vicente
Casa Pia1 - 0Arouca
Casa Pia0 - 0Boavista
Casa Pia1 - 3Sporting Farense
Casa Pia0 - 2Famalicao
Casa Pia1 - 3Braga
Casa Pia1 - 0Portimonense
Casa Pia0 - 1Vizela
Casa Pia0 - 1Estrela Amadora
Casa Pia0 - 0V. Guimaraes
Casa Pia1 - 1Rio Ave
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ACasa Pia0 - 2S. Lisbon
HCasa Pia1 - 1V. Guimaraes
ACasa Pia1 - 1Gil Vicente
HCasa Pia3 - 1Moreirense
ACasa Pia1 - 0Estrela Amadora
HCasa Pia0 - 2Santa Clara
ACasa Pia0 - 3Benfica
HCasa Pia0 - 1Boavista
ACasa Pia2 - 1Famalicao
HCasa Pia0 - 1Moreirense
ACasa Pia3 - 4Braga
HCasa Pia3 - 1Chaves
HCasa Pia1 - 2Porto
ACasa Pia2 - 2Portimonense
HCasa Pia0 - 0Estoril
ACasa Pia4 - 0Vizela
HCasa Pia0 - 1Benfica
ACasa Pia1 - 3Estrela Amadora
HCasa Pia0 - 0Gil Vicente
ACasa Pia2 - 0V. Guimaraes
Nacional 17TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
3
Goals: Scored
11
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
W
1
Draw
6
Lost
13
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Famalicao0 - 0Nacional
Estoril1 - 0Nacional
Arouca1 - 0Nacional
AVS1 - 1Nacional
Famalicao3 - 0Nacional
Moreirense2 - 2Nacional
S. Lisbon2 - 0Nacional
Tondela2 - 1Nacional
Santa Clara5 - 1Nacional
Gil Vicente2 - 0Nacional
P. Ferreira2 - 1Nacional
Belenenses2 - 1Nacional
Boavista0 - 1Nacional
Rio Ave0 - 0Nacional
Benfica1 - 1Nacional
V. Guimaraes3 - 1Nacional
Porto2 - 0Nacional
Portimonense1 - 0Nacional
Maratimo0 - 0Nacional
Braga2 - 1Nacional
Goals: Scored
14
Conceded
43
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
2
D
3
Lost
15
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ANacional0 - 0Famalicao
HNacional0 - 3Braga
ANacional0 - 1Estoril
HNacional2 - 0Sporting Farense
ANacional0 - 1Arouca
HNacional1 - 6S. Lisbon
ANacional1 - 1AVS
HNacional1 - 2Rio Ave
ANacional0 - 3Famalicao
HNacional1 - 3Benfica
ANacional2 - 2Moreirense
ANacional0 - 2S. Lisbon
HNacional1 - 0V. Guimaraes
ANacional1 - 2Tondela
HNacional0 - 1Porto
ANacional1 - 5Santa Clara
HNacional1 - 5Portimonense
ANacional0 - 2Gil Vicente
HNacional1 - 2Maratimo
ANacional1 - 2P. Ferreira
bet365
bet365
Goal Statistics

Scoring more than 1 goal looks unlikely for CD Nacional, with T. Carvalho Margarido's men having not found the back of the net in 3 consecutive Liga NOS matches.

Casa Pia 11th Nacional 17th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 71% probability that Casa Pia will score no more than 1 goal
0
42%
1
36%
2
16%
3
4+
There is a 78% probability of Nacional scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-44
Casa Pia have scored 44% fewer goals at home than predicted
-45
Nacional have scored 45% fewer goals when away than predicted
0.7
average goals scored
0.6
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/285142/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Casa Pia
PG (predicted goals)
Nacional
1.1
0.9
Attack rating
16%
better
NAC
view stats
Games scored4
3
Failed to score4
4
Scored first2
2
Goals scored6
4
Avg. goals scored0.8
0.6
Avg. shots per game8
10
Avg. shots per goal11
18
Conversion rate for9
6
Avg. XG for1.1
1.2
KickOff rating
+16%
Defence rating
NAC
9%
better
view stats
Games conceded7
5
Clean sheets1
2
Conceded first6
4
Goals conceded11
12
Avg. goals conceded1.4
1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded11
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
6
Conversion rate against13%
16%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.4
KickOff rating
+9%

Casa Pia v Nacional Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Casa Pia Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
8113
L LeloN MoreiraL LeloN Zolotic
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Lelo DEF81
-
J Goulart DEF8
1
-
A Geraldes DEF8
1
-
M Svensson FWD8
1
-
P Sequeira GLK7
2
-
G Larrazabal DEF7
2
-
M Sousa MID7
-
Pablo MID7
-
N Moreira FWD71
-
J Fonte DEF6
2
-
T Segovia MID6
2
-
S Obeng FWD6
-
R Blanco MID51
1
-
A Kraev MID5
1
-
R Brito MID5
-
R Kluivert DEF4
2
-
D Tchamba  DEF41
2
-
N Zolotic DEF4
3
-
Beni MID4
-
H. Martins Pereira FWD31
-
T Dias DEF2
-
R Batista GLK1
-
F. Benaissa-Yahia DEF1
-
Nacional Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
7113
L FrançaD PenhaM DiasZ Vitor
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L França GLK7
-
G García DEF7
1
-
J. Mendes Gomes DEF7
-
Z Vitor DEF7
3
-
M Dias MID71
2
-
L Esteves MID71
1
-
A Appiah FWD7
1
-
B Costa MID6
-
D Penha MID61
-
A Butzke FWD61
2
-
R Macedo FWD6
-
Ulisses DEF5
2
1
M Baeza MID51
-
I Tomich FWD51
2
-
N Thomas FWD51
1
-
T Reis FWD4
1
-
L Santos DEF3
1
-
A Sousa MID3
1
-
G Santos FWD3
-
A Freitas DEF1
-
D. Soumaré MID1
-
D Sousa FWD1
-