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Casa Pia v Benfica : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 25th Jan, 18:00 BST, Estádio Pina Manique, Lisboa

Natanael João Pereira Costa welcomes Roger Schmidt to the Estádio Pina Manique on Saturday evening, as their Casa Pia and Benfica troops meet in the Liga NOS. All the odds are provided straight from the UK's leading bookmakers, while predictions are calculated from statistics over a 20-game period. We focus especially on Liga NOS match data, including head-to-head records. Click the tabs below to explore it all.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

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Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Casa Pia
29%
--
Draw
29%
--
Benfica
42%
--
Benfica 1-0
14%
--
Draw 1-1
13%
--
Draw 0-0
11%
--
Casa Pia 1-0
11%
--
Benfica 2-0
8%
--
Benfica 2-1
8%
--
Casa Pia 2-1
6%
--
Casa Pia 2-0
5%
--
Draw 2-2
4%
--
Benfica 3-0
3%
--
Benfica 3-1
3%
--
Casa Pia 3-1
2%
--
Casa Pia 3-0
2%
--
Benfica 3-2
2%
--
Casa Pia 3-2
1%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
38%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
62%
--
Home 1st Goal
43%
--
Away 1st Goal
49%
--
No 1st Goal
8%
--
BTTS - Yes
44%
--
BTTS - No
56%
--
BTTS - Home Win
11%
--
BTTS - Draw
18%
--
BTTS - Away Win
15%
--
Home/draw
58%
--
Away/draw
71%
--
Home/away
71%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
64%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
36%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
18%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
82%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
7%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
93%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
2%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
98%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
89%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
11%
--
Home DNB
50%
--
Away DNB
62%
--
Casa Pia win to nil
18%
--
Benfica win to nil
27%
--
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Casa Pia have played 17 matches so far this season and are in 7th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

6 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 4 games, drawn 1 and won 1. Casa Pia have conceded 11 goals, scored 3, failed to score in 4 matches and kept no clean sheets.

Home league performance

Casa Pia have played 9 games at home, winning 3, drawing 4 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 11 goals, conceded 9 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

Benfica lay in 3rd place on 38 points in the Liga NOS league table having played 17 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 15 games against teams below them in the table, winning 11, drawing 2 and losing 2 games. They have scored 34 goals and kept 8 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Benfica have conceded 9 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Benfica have played 8 away games, winning 4, drawing 2 and losing 2 games. They have scored an average of 1.4 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.8 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Casa Pia
Benfica
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
S. Lisbon1713223441 
Mar 9
l
 
2-0A
May 11
l
 
1-0A
2
Porto1713132940 
Apr 13
l
 
2-0A
w
 
4-1F
Apr 6
3
Benfica Away1712232738 
Jan 25
l
 
3-0A
-
-
4
Braga179441131 
May 11
w
 
1-2F
l
 
1-2A
May 17
5
Santa Clara171016231 
l
 
0-2A
Feb 2
w
 
4-1A
Feb 16
6
V. Guimaraes17674425 
d
 
1-1F
Mar 2
w
 
1-0F
Apr 19
7
Casa Pia Home17665-124 
-
-
w
 
3-0F
Jan 25
8
Moreirense17647-322 
w
 
3-1A
Feb 16
Feb 9
d
 
1-1A
9
Famalicao17485020 
d
 
1-1F
May 17
Jan 17
l
 
2-0A
10
Rio Ave17557-1020 
Mar 30
d
 
2-2F
w
 
5-0F
Mar 16
11
Gil Vicente17476-719 
Feb 23
d
 
1-1A
w
 
5-1A
Mar 2
12
Estoril17467-1018 
Apr 27
w
 
0-2F
w
 
3-0F
May 4
13
Nacional17449-1016 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 16
Mar 9
w
 
0-2F
14
Estrela Amadora17449-1316 
Feb 9
w
 
0-1F
w
 
1-0F
Feb 2
15
AVS17296-1115 
d
 
1-1F
Apr 19
Apr 27
d
 
1-1F
16
Arouca174310-1515 
w
 
3-1F
May 4
Apr 13
w
 
0-2F
17
Sporting Farense17359-1214 
d
 
1-1A
Apr 6
Mar 30
w
 
1-2A
18
Boavista17269-1512 
l
 
0-1A
Jan 20
Feb 23
w
 
0-3F
Win / draw / win form
7
Casa Pia have not lost in 7 consecutive home league games
Casa Pia 7TH
20 league games
Home
7
Overall
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
5
Draw
7
Lost
8
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Casa Pia1 - 1Famalicao
Casa Pia3 - 1Arouca
Casa Pia1 - 1AVS
Casa Pia1 - 1Sporting Farense
Casa Pia1 - 0Nacional
Casa Pia1 - 1V. Guimaraes
Casa Pia3 - 1Moreirense
Casa Pia0 - 2Santa Clara
Casa Pia0 - 1Boavista
Casa Pia0 - 1Moreirense
Casa Pia3 - 1Chaves
Casa Pia1 - 2Porto
Casa Pia0 - 0Estoril
Casa Pia0 - 1Benfica
Casa Pia0 - 0Gil Vicente
Casa Pia1 - 0Arouca
Casa Pia0 - 0Boavista
Casa Pia1 - 3Sporting Farense
Casa Pia0 - 2Famalicao
Casa Pia1 - 3Braga
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HCasa Pia1 - 1Famalicao
ACasa Pia2 - 1Braga
HCasa Pia3 - 1Arouca
ACasa Pia2 - 0Estoril
HCasa Pia1 - 1AVS
ACasa Pia0 - 2Porto
HCasa Pia1 - 1Sporting Farense
ACasa Pia2 - 2Rio Ave
HCasa Pia1 - 0Nacional
ACasa Pia0 - 2S. Lisbon
HCasa Pia1 - 1V. Guimaraes
ACasa Pia1 - 1Gil Vicente
HCasa Pia3 - 1Moreirense
ACasa Pia1 - 0Estrela Amadora
HCasa Pia0 - 2Santa Clara
ACasa Pia0 - 3Benfica
HCasa Pia0 - 1Boavista
ACasa Pia2 - 1Famalicao
HCasa Pia0 - 1Moreirense
ACasa Pia3 - 4Braga
Benfica 3RD
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
S. Lisbon1 - 0Benfica
Nacional0 - 2Benfica
AVS1 - 1Benfica
Arouca0 - 2Benfica
Sporting Farense1 - 2Benfica
Boavista0 - 3Benfica
Moreirense1 - 1Benfica
Famalicao2 - 0Benfica
Rio Ave1 - 1Benfica
Famalicao2 - 0Benfica
Sporting Farense1 - 3Benfica
S. Lisbon2 - 1Benfica
Casa Pia0 - 1Benfica
Porto5 - 0Benfica
V. Guimaraes2 - 2Benfica
Estrela Amadora1 - 4Benfica
Arouca0 - 3Benfica
Braga0 - 1Benfica
Moreirense0 - 0Benfica
Chaves0 - 2Benfica
Goals: Scored
44
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
13
D
3
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HBenfica1 - 2Braga
ABenfica0 - 1S. Lisbon
HBenfica3 - 0Estoril
ABenfica2 - 0Nacional
ABenfica1 - 1AVS
HBenfica1 - 0V. Guimaraes
ABenfica2 - 0Arouca
HBenfica4 - 1Porto
ABenfica2 - 1Sporting Farense
HBenfica5 - 0Rio Ave
HBenfica5 - 1Gil Vicente
ABenfica3 - 0Boavista
HBenfica4 - 1Santa Clara
ABenfica1 - 1Moreirense
HBenfica1 - 0Estrela Amadora
HBenfica3 - 0Casa Pia
ABenfica0 - 2Famalicao
ABenfica1 - 1Rio Ave
HBenfica5 - 0Arouca
ABenfica0 - 2Famalicao
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Benfica have not lost to Casa Pia in 5 consecutive league meetings
League games at Casa Pia since 2022
Casa Pia
Benfica
Goals: Scored
0
2
Games: Scored
0 / 2
2 / 2
Clean sheets
0 / 2
2 / 2
BEF
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Casa Pia
0 - 1Benfica
0 - 1Benfica
League games at Benfica since 2023
Benfica
Casa Pia
Goals: Scored
7
1
Games: Scored
3 / 3
1 / 3
Clean sheets
2 / 3
0 / 3
D
1
BEF
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Benfica
Benfica3 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Benfica3 - 0
Goal Statistics

Casa Pia's defensive record is to be admired, N. Pereira Costa's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive Liga NOS outings. An average PG rating of 1.2 for Benfica makes sense in this context.

Casa Pia 7th Benfica 3rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.0
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 75% probability of Casa Pia scoring 1 goal or less
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Benfica will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-21
Casa Pia have scored 21% fewer goals at home than predicted
-21
Benfica have scored 21% fewer goals when away than predicted
0.9
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/285220/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Casa Pia
PG (predicted goals)
Benfica
1
1.2
Attack rating
BEF
30%
better
view stats
Games scored12
15
Failed to score5
2
Scored first9
10
Goals scored19
38
Avg. goals scored1.1
2.2
Avg. shots per game8
12
Avg. shots per goal7
6
Conversion rate for14
18
Avg. XG for1.1
1.9
KickOff rating
+30%
Defence rating
BEF
30%
better
view stats
Games conceded14
9
Clean sheets3
8
Conceded first8
7
Goals conceded20
11
Avg. goals conceded1.2
0.6
Avg. shots/game conceded11
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
10
Conversion rate against11%
10%
Avg. XG against1.2
0.6
KickOff rating
+30%

Casa Pia v Benfica Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Casa Pia Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
17355
L LeloN MoreiraN MoreiraG Larrazabal
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Lelo DEF1712
-
J Goulart DEF172
2
-
P Sequeira GLK16
2
-
G Larrazabal DEF161
4
1
N Moreira FWD1635
1
1
A Geraldes DEF151
2
-
T Segovia MID152
4
-
M Svensson FWD141
1
-
A Kraev MID13
4
-
R Kluivert DEF121
3
-
J Fonte DEF11
2
-
M Sousa MID11
-
R Brito MID111
3
-
S Obeng FWD111
-
D Tchamba  DEF101
2
-
Beni MID10
3
-
H. Martins Pereira FWD91
-
N Zolotic DEF7
4
-
Pablo MID7
-
R Blanco MID51
1
-
F. Benaissa-Yahia DEF2
-
T Dias DEF2
-
R Batista GLK1
1
Benfica Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
17636
A TrubinÁngel Di MaríaO KökcüO Kökcü
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Trubin GLK17
-
V Pavlidis FWD1742
2
-
Álvaro Fernandez DEF1621
5
-
O Kökcü MID1623
6
-
Ángel Di María FWD1663
4
-
A Bah DEF151
2
-
T Araújo DEF151
1
-
F Aursnes MID1512
-
N Otamendi DEF1412
2
-
Florentino MID142
1
-
L Barreiro MID131
3
-
J Beste DEF121
3
-
A Cabral FWD112
2
-
Z Amdouni FWD1151
1
-
B Rollheiser FWD911
1
-
A Silva DEF711
1
-
A Schjelderup FWD71
-
G Prestianni FWD7
1
-
R Sanches  MID6
1
-
I Kaboré DEF3
-
M Leonardo FWD31
-
J Mário MID2
1
-
T Gouveia FWD211
1
-
J. Seno Luis Rêgo MID1
-