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Casa Pia v AVS : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 8th Dec, 18:00 BST, Estádio Pina Manique, Lisboa

the Estádio Pina Manique faithful welcome AVS's fans on Sunday evening, as Natanael João Pereira Costa's Casa Pia take on Vítor Fernando de Carvalho Campelos's troops in the Liga NOS. We've analysed both teams' last 20 Liga NOS matches, as well as trends within the competition and the market, to generate our match predictions. All the statistics, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside odds from leading bookmakers.


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Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals simply means that there will be a maximum of 3 goals scored by Casa Pia and AVS combined during the standard 90 minutes. Latest form statistics and historical head-to-head (H2H) records have led us to this conclusion, and we're suggest there's a 78% chance of it being a winning tip. The best price available at present on under 3.5 goals is 1.22.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
There’s absolutely nothing to pick between these sides, and our predictive algorithm gives Casa Pia and AVS an equal chance of claiming victory. The home win and the away win are both at 50% probability.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Casa Pia
50%
1/11/1
2%
Draw
26%
23/1023/10
AVS
23%
11/414/5
3%
Casa Pia 1-0
13%
5/119/4
4%
Draw 1-1
12%
11/25/1
Casa Pia 2-0
10%
15/27/1
Casa Pia 2-1
9%
8/17/1
Draw 0-0
9%
7/16/1
AVS 1-0
8%
8/115/2
6%
AVS 2-1
6%
12/111/1
9%
Casa Pia 3-0
5%
16/112/1
13%
Casa Pia 3-1
5%
18/114/1
Draw 2-2
4%
16/1
11%
14/1
AVS 2-0
4%
18/1
12%
14/1
Casa Pia 3-2
2%
33/122/1
Casa Pia 4-0
2%
40/125/1
10%
AVS 3-1
2%
33/125/1
Casa Pia 4-1
2%
40/128/1
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
5/4
2%
5/4
2%
Under 2.5 Goals
57%
8/13
1%
3/5
1%
Home 1st Goal
53%
8/13
3%
-
Away 1st Goal
41%
13/8-
No 1st Goal
6%
7/1-
BTTS - Yes
47%
1/121/20
3%
BTTS - No
53%
3/47/10
2%
BTTS - Home Win
20%
15/4
5%
7/2
BTTS - Draw
17%
4/119/5
4%
BTTS - Away Win
10%
15/213/2
Home/draw
77%
1/41/4
Away/draw
50%
4/54/5
3%
Home/away
74%
1/31/3
Over 1.5 Goals
69%
2/52/5
Under 1.5 Goals
31%
7/417/10
2%
Over 3.5 Goals
22%
10/33/1
Under 3.5 Goals
78%
1/51/5
2%
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
9/17/1
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
1/161/16
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
20/116/1
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/661/150
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1/121/12
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
7/16/1
Home DNB
69%
4/92/5
3%
Away DNB
42%
13/813/8
1%
Casa Pia win to nil
31%
9/4-
AVS win to nil
14%
5/1-
Casa Pia / Casa Pia
25%
9/4
4%
11/5
2%
Casa Pia / AVS
3%
33/128/1
Casa Pia / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / Casa Pia
17%
15/418/5
Draw / AVS
10%
7/1
7%
13/2
Draw / Draw
18%
15/4
6%
17/5
AVS / Casa Pia
3%
25/120/1
AVS / AVS
13%
11/25/1
4%
AVS / Draw
6%
14/112/1
bet365
Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Casa Pia have played 12 matches so far this season and lay in 10th place in the Liga NOS league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 5 games against teams below in the table, having won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 match. They have kept 2 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Casa Pia have outscored their opponents by 10 goals to 9 goals.

Home League Performance

Casa Pia have played 6 games at home winning 2, drawing 2 and losing 2 games. They have scored 6 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and conceded 6 goals at home.

AVS are in 14th position in the Liga NOS on 10 points having played 12 matches so far this season. AVS are having a poor run against away teams, having not won a match so far this season. They have also not scored in 2 of those games.

Away League Performance

3 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 10 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 4 goals in total and failed to score in 2 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

9 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 6 games, drawn 1 and won 2. AVS have conceded 18 goals, scored 7, failed to score in 4 fixtures and have kept 3 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Casa Pia
AVS
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
S. Lisbon1211013333 
Mar 9
l
 
2-0A
Feb 23
l
 
3-0A
2
Porto1210022230 
Apr 13
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-5A
Mar 16
3
Benfica119112328 
Jan 25
l
 
3-0A
Dec 15
Apr 27
4
Santa Clara12804324 
l
 
0-2A
Feb 2
Feb 9
l
 
2-1A
5
Braga12723923 
May 11
Dec 29
l
 
0-1A
Apr 13
6
V. Guimaraes12633521 
d
 
1-1F
Mar 2
w
 
1-0F
Feb 2
7
Famalicao12453217 
Jan 5
May 17
l
 
2-3F
Mar 30
8
Moreirense12525017 
w
 
3-1A
Feb 16
May 17
Jan 4
9
Rio Ave12435-915 
Mar 30
d
 
2-2F
w
 
1-0F
Feb 16
10
Casa Pia 12345-613 
-
-
Apr 19
Dec 8
11
Estoril12345-713 
Apr 27
Dec 15
Apr 6
d
 
0-00-0
12
Boavista12246-810 
l
 
0-1A
Jan 20
May 4
Dec 21
13
Gil Vicente12246-910 
Feb 23
d
 
1-1A
Jan 27
l
 
4-2F
14
AVS 12246-1110 
Dec 8
Apr 19
-
-
15
Nacional11236-99 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 16
d
 
1-1A
Jan 19
16
Estrela Amadora12237-119 
Feb 9
w
 
0-1F
Dec 28
May 11
17
Sporting Farense12228-128 
d
 
1-1A
Apr 6
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 2
18
Arouca12228-158 
Dec 20
May 4
Mar 9
d
 
1-1A
Win / draw / win form
7
AVS have not won in 7 consecutive league games
Casa Pia 10TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
14
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
AVS 14TH
5 league games
Away
Overall
7
Goals: Scored
4
Conceded
10
Games: Scored
3 / 5
Conceded
4 / 5
Clean sheets
1 / 5
Failed to score
2 / 5
Draw
2
Lost
3
Goals: Scored
9
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
7 / 12
Conceded
8 / 12
Clean sheets
4 / 12
Failed to score
5 / 12
W
2
Draw
4
Lost
6
bet365
bet365
Goal Statistics
Casa Pia 10th AVS 14th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Casa Pia will score 1 or more goals
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 77% probability of AVS scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-38
Casa Pia have scored 38% fewer goals at home than predicted
=0
AVS’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
0.7
average goals scored
0.8
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
2.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/285358/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Casa Pia
PG (predicted goals)
AVS
1.5
0.9
Attack rating
3%
better
view stats
Games scored7
7
Failed to score5
5
Scored first4
4
Goals scored10
9
Avg. goals scored0.8
0.8
Avg. shots per game8
9
Avg. shots per goal10
11
Conversion rate for10
9
Avg. XG for1.1
1
KickOff rating
+3%
Defence rating
6%
better
view stats
Games conceded10
8
Clean sheets2
4
Conceded first8
6
Goals conceded16
20
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded11
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
7
Conversion rate against12%
15%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.4
KickOff rating
+6%

Casa Pia v AVS Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Casa Pia Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
12224
L LeloN MoreiraN MoreiraG Larrazabal
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Lelo DEF121
-
J Goulart DEF12
1
-
M Svensson FWD121
1
-
P Sequeira GLK11
2
-
G Larrazabal DEF11
3
1
A Geraldes DEF11
1
-
N Moreira FWD1122
-
T Segovia MID10
3
-
M Sousa MID9
-
R Brito MID9
3
-
R Kluivert DEF81
3
-
A Kraev MID8
3
-
N Zolotic DEF7
4
-
J Fonte DEF7
2
-
Beni MID7
1
-
Pablo MID7
-
H. Martins Pereira FWD61
-
S Obeng FWD6
-
D Tchamba  DEF51
2
-
R Blanco MID51
1
-
F. Benaissa-Yahia DEF2
-
T Dias DEF2
-
R Batista GLK1
1
AVS Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
11225
KikiV LopesKikiJ Grau
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Kiki DEF1212
1
-
C Castro DEF11
2
-
L Piazon MID111
2
-
J Mercado FWD1111
-
B Roux DEF10
2
-
J Grau MID101
5
-
F Fonseca DEF9
3
-
B Akinsola FWD911
-
I. Kamate MID8
-
G Aburjania MID8
-
V Lopes FWD821
2
-
R Rodrigues DEF7
-
J Teixeira DEF7
1
1
J Lucca MID7
1
-
S Simão GLK5
-
Nenê FWD52
1
-
L. Santos do Nascimento DEF4
1
-
S Granada FWD41
1
1
Y Mena FWD4
2
-
I Rodríguez DEF3
-
E Veiga DEF3
-
L Silva MID3
1
-
G. Mendonça MID2
-