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Casa Pia v Arouca : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 20th Dec, 20:15 BST, Estádio Pina Manique, Lisboa

Daniel Sousa is aiming for a crucial away win in the Liga NOS on Friday night, as he takes his Arouca side to the Estádio Pina Manique to visit Casa Pia and Natanael João Pereira Costa. Liga NOS stats are the foundation of the predictions you'll find below, with head to head (H2H) history included too. You can view it all, with infographics and odds from leading bookmakers available for the biggest betting markets using the tabs.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Casa Pia
48%
--
Draw
27%
--
Arouca
25%
--
Casa Pia 1-0
14%
--
Draw 1-1
13%
--
Draw 0-0
10%
--
Casa Pia 2-0
9%
--
Arouca 1-0
9%
--
Casa Pia 2-1
9%
--
Arouca 2-1
6%
--
Casa Pia 3-0
4%
--
Arouca 2-0
4%
--
Draw 2-2
4%
--
Casa Pia 3-1
4%
--
Casa Pia 3-2
2%
--
Arouca 3-1
2%
--
Casa Pia 4-0
2%
--
Casa Pia 4-1
1%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
41%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
59%
--
Home 1st Goal
52%
--
Away 1st Goal
42%
--
No 1st Goal
6%
--
BTTS - Yes
46%
--
BTTS - No
54%
--
BTTS - Home Win
18%
--
BTTS - Draw
17%
--
BTTS - Away Win
10%
--
Home/draw
75%
--
Away/draw
52%
--
Home/away
73%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
67%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
33%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
21%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
79%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
9%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
91%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
90%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
10%
--
Home DNB
67%
--
Away DNB
44%
--
Casa Pia win to nil
30%
--
Arouca win to nil
15%
--
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Casa Pia have played 13 matches so far this season and lay in 10th place in the Liga NOS league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 6 games against teams below in the table, having won 2, drawn 3 and lost 1 match. They have kept 2 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Casa Pia have outscored their opponents by 11 goals to 7 goals.

Home League Performance

Casa Pia have played 7 games at home winning 2, drawing 3 and losing 2 games. They have scored 7 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and conceded 7 goals at home.

Arouca are in 18th position in the Liga NOS on 8 points having played 13 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

5 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 14 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 4 goals in total and failed to score in 3 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

13 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 9 games, drawn 2 and won 2. Arouca have conceded 23 goals, scored 7, failed to score in 6 fixtures and have kept 3 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Casa Pia
Arouca
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
S. Lisbon1311023233 
Mar 9
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-3A
Feb 16
2
Benfica1210112431 
Jan 25
l
 
3-0A
l
 
0-2A
Apr 13
3
Porto1310122231 
Apr 13
l
 
2-0A
Mar 2
l
 
4-0A
4
Santa Clara13904427 
l
 
0-2A
Feb 2
Dec 15
Apr 27
5
Braga13733924 
May 11
Dec 29
l
 
1-2A
Mar 30
6
V. Guimaraes13634421 
d
 
1-1F
Mar 2
l
 
0-1A
Jan 18
7
Moreirense13625120 
w
 
3-1A
Feb 16
Jan 24
l
 
3-1F
8
Famalicao13463218 
Jan 5
May 17
Apr 6
d
 
0-00-0
9
Rio Ave13436-1015 
Mar 30
d
 
2-2F
Feb 9
l
 
1-0A
10
Casa Pia Home13355-614 
-
-
May 4
Dec 20
11
Estoril13355-714 
Apr 27
Dec 15
Mar 16
l
 
4-1F
12
Gil Vicente13346-813 
Feb 23
d
 
1-1A
Dec 27
May 11
13
Estrela Amadora13337-1012 
Feb 9
w
 
0-1F
Apr 19
l
 
2-1F
14
Boavista13256-811 
l
 
0-1A
Jan 20
May 17
Jan 4
15
AVS13256-1111 
d
 
1-1F
Apr 19
d
 
1-1F
Mar 9
16
Nacional12237-109 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 16
w
 
1-0F
Feb 2
17
Sporting Farense13238-129 
d
 
1-1A
Apr 6
Feb 23
w
 
0-1F
18
Arouca Away13229-168 
Dec 20
May 4
-
-
Win / draw / win form
5
Casa Pia have not lost in 5 consecutive home league games
Casa Pia 10TH
20 league games
Home
5
Overall
Goals: Scored
15
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Casa Pia1 - 1AVS
Casa Pia1 - 1Sporting Farense
Casa Pia1 - 0Nacional
Casa Pia1 - 1V. Guimaraes
Casa Pia3 - 1Moreirense
Casa Pia0 - 2Santa Clara
Casa Pia0 - 1Boavista
Casa Pia0 - 1Moreirense
Casa Pia3 - 1Chaves
Casa Pia1 - 2Porto
Casa Pia0 - 0Estoril
Casa Pia0 - 1Benfica
Casa Pia0 - 0Gil Vicente
Casa Pia1 - 0Arouca
Casa Pia0 - 0Boavista
Casa Pia1 - 3Sporting Farense
Casa Pia0 - 2Famalicao
Casa Pia1 - 3Braga
Casa Pia1 - 0Portimonense
Casa Pia0 - 1Vizela
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
Draw
7
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HCasa Pia1 - 1AVS
ACasa Pia0 - 2Porto
HCasa Pia1 - 1Sporting Farense
ACasa Pia2 - 2Rio Ave
HCasa Pia1 - 0Nacional
ACasa Pia0 - 2S. Lisbon
HCasa Pia1 - 1V. Guimaraes
ACasa Pia1 - 1Gil Vicente
HCasa Pia3 - 1Moreirense
ACasa Pia1 - 0Estrela Amadora
HCasa Pia0 - 2Santa Clara
ACasa Pia0 - 3Benfica
HCasa Pia0 - 1Boavista
ACasa Pia2 - 1Famalicao
HCasa Pia0 - 1Moreirense
ACasa Pia3 - 4Braga
HCasa Pia3 - 1Chaves
HCasa Pia1 - 2Porto
ACasa Pia2 - 2Portimonense
HCasa Pia0 - 0Estoril
Arouca 18TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
D
3
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Estrela Amadora2 - 1Arouca
Famalicao0 - 0Arouca
Estoril4 - 1Arouca
Porto4 - 0Arouca
Sporting Farense0 - 1Arouca
Rio Ave1 - 0Arouca
Moreirense3 - 1Arouca
Benfica5 - 0Arouca
Gil Vicente2 - 2Arouca
Rio Ave1 - 1Arouca
Braga0 - 3Arouca
Moreirense1 - 0Arouca
Chaves1 - 5Arouca
Casa Pia1 - 0Arouca
Portimonense1 - 2Arouca
Estoril1 - 2Arouca
V. Guimaraes2 - 1Arouca
Estrela Amadora1 - 4Arouca
Boavista0 - 4Arouca
Sporting Farense2 - 0Arouca
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
4
Draw
5
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AArouca1 - 2Estrela Amadora
HArouca0 - 2Benfica
AArouca0 - 0Famalicao
HArouca1 - 2Braga
AArouca1 - 4Estoril
HArouca1 - 1AVS
AArouca0 - 4Porto
AArouca1 - 0Sporting Farense
HArouca0 - 3S. Lisbon
AArouca0 - 1Rio Ave
HArouca1 - 0Nacional
AArouca1 - 3Moreirense
HArouca0 - 1V. Guimaraes
HArouca1 - 3V. Guimaraes
AArouca0 - 5Benfica
HArouca0 - 0Estrela Amadora
AArouca2 - 2Gil Vicente
AArouca1 - 1Rio Ave
HArouca2 - 1Boavista
AArouca3 - 0Braga
bet365
bet365
Goal Statistics

An absolutely awful PG of just 0.9 should cause concerns for Arouca fans, as should a 16 Liga NOS games run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

Casa Pia 10th Arouca 18th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 60% probability that Casa Pia will score no more than 1 goal
0
39%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 76% probability of Arouca scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-34
Casa Pia have scored 34% fewer goals at home than predicted
+12
Arouca have scored 12% more goals when away than predicted
0.8
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/285187/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Casa Pia
PG (predicted goals)
Arouca
1.4
0.9
Attack rating
15%
better
ARO
view stats
Games scored8
7
Failed to score5
6
Scored first5
6
Goals scored11
7
Avg. goals scored0.8
0.5
Avg. shots per game8
8
Avg. shots per goal10
14
Conversion rate for10
7
Avg. XG for1.1
0.9
KickOff rating
+15%
Defence rating
2%
better
ARO
view stats
Games conceded11
10
Clean sheets2
3
Conceded first8
6
Goals conceded17
23
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.8
Avg. shots/game conceded11
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
6
Conversion rate against12%
17%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.9
KickOff rating
+2%

Casa Pia v Arouca Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Casa Pia Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
13224
L LeloN MoreiraN MoreiraG Larrazabal
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Lelo DEF131
-
J Goulart DEF131
1
-
M Svensson FWD131
1
-
P Sequeira GLK12
2
-
G Larrazabal DEF12
3
1
N Moreira FWD1222
-
A Geraldes DEF11
1
-
T Segovia MID11
3
-
R Brito MID101
3
-
R Kluivert DEF91
3
-
M Sousa MID9
-
A Kraev MID9
3
-
N Zolotic DEF7
4
-
J Fonte DEF7
2
-
Beni MID7
1
-
Pablo MID7
-
H. Martins Pereira FWD71
-
S Obeng FWD7
-
D Tchamba  DEF61
2
-
R Blanco MID51
1
-
T Dias DEF2
-
F. Benaissa-Yahia DEF2
-
R Batista GLK1
1
Arouca Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
13214
N MantlJasonA TrezzaB Pinto
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Mantl GLK13
2
-
T Esgaio DEF13
2
-
B Pinto MID131
4
-
M Sylla FWD131
2
-
A Trezza FWD1311
2
-
Jason FWD122
3
-
T Fukui MID11
1
-
P Santos MID11
1
-
I Rodrigues FWD111
4
-
J Fontán DEF10
3
-
A Dante DEF9
1
-
H Araújo FWD92
1
-
C Lamba DEF7
3
-
V Morozov FWD7
-
Weverson DEF6
1
-
G Yalcin FWD61
1
1
M Puche FWD6
-
P Gozálbez MID5
-
A Pinto DEF3
-
Quaresma DEF3
1
-
M Rocha DEF3
1
1
C González FWD21
-
N Galovic DEF1
-