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Sporting Braga v CD Nacional : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 21st Feb, 20:15 BST, Estádio Municipal de Braga, Braga

Tiago Miguel Carvalho Margarido will be hoping for a crucial away win in the Liga NOS on Friday night, as he takes his CD Nacional side to the Estádio Municipal de Braga to visit Sporting Braga and Carlos Augusto Soares da Costa Faria Carvalhal. Below there are predictions for 17 markets, supporting statistics including head-to-heads, and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers. Access it all using the tabs below.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Braga or Nacional are in a rich vein of form that would have us feeling confident enough to tip a match winner, so instead we've gone for over 1.5 goals. The stats show that both have form in this market, both individually and when facing one another head-to-head. We're predicting there's a 80% chance of 2 goals or more.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Braga are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 58% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.50.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Braga 58%	9/20	1/2 4%
Draw 22%	16/5	7/2 2%
Nacional 19%	19/4	5/1 14%
Braga 1-0 11%	13/2	6/1
Draw 1-1 11%	15/2	7/1
Braga 2-0 10%	13/2	6/1
Braga 2-1 10%	15/2	13/2
Braga 3-0 6%	9/1	17/2 6%
Braga 3-1 6%	11/1	9/1
Draw 0-0 6%	12/1	10/1 8%
Nacional 1-0 6%	16/1	12/1 13%
Nacional 2-1 5%	18/1	14/1 12%
Draw 2-2 5%	16/1	14/1
Braga 3-2 3%	22/1	16/1 11%
Braga 4-0 3%	18/1	14/1 15%
Braga 4-1 3%	20/1	16/1 13%
Nacional 2-0 3%	33/1	22/1 12%
Nacional 3-1 2%	40/1	33/1
Over 2.5 Goals 54%	7/10 2%	13/20 2%
Under 2.5 Goals 46%	11/10 2%	11/10 2%
Home 1st Goal 56%	1/3	-
Away 1st Goal 41%	12/5	-
No 1st Goal 3%	12/1	-
BTTS - Yes 52%	4/5	5/6 1%
BTTS - No 48%	19/20	10/11 3%
BTTS - Home Win 26%	11/5	2/1
BTTS - Draw 17%	9/2	9/2 4%
BTTS - Away Win 10%	10/1	17/2 14%
Home/draw 81%	1/8	1/8 2%
Away/draw 42%	6/4	8/5 5%
Home/away 78%	1/5	1/5 2%
Over 1.5 Goals 78%	1/5	2/9 2%
Under 1.5 Goals 23%	10/3	3/1 5%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%	13/8	13/8 5%
Under 3.5 Goals 68%	4/9	4/9 3%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%	4/1	18/5 5%
Under 4.5 Goals 84%	1/6	1/6 1%
Over 5.5 Goals 7%	10/1	15/2 6%
Under 5.5 Goals 93%	1/20	1/16
Over 0.5 Goals 94%	1/25	1/33 1%
Under 0.5 Goals 6%	12/1	10/1 8%
Home DNB 74%	2/11	1/6 4%
Away DNB 35%	7/2	7/2 14%
Braga win to nil 32%	6/4	-
Nacional win to nil 10%	10/1	-
Braga / Braga 36%	5/4	6/5 7%
Braga / Nacional 2%	40/1	33/1
Braga / Draw 5%	14/1	14/1
Draw / Braga 19%	10/3	16/5
Draw / Nacional 7%	12/1	10/1 15%
Draw / Draw 13%	11/2	5/1 8%
Nacional / Braga 4%	20/1	16/1
Nacional / Nacional 8%	10/1	8/1 10%
Nacional / Draw 5%	16/1	14/1

Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Braga have played 22 matches so far this season and lay in 4th place in the Liga NOS league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 19 games against teams below in the table, having won 12, drawn 5 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 11 clean sheets and have failed to score in 3 fixtures. Braga have outscored their opponents by 38 goals to 21 goals.

Home League Performance

Braga have played 11 games at home winning 5, drawing 3 and losing 3 games. They have scored 23 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and conceded 15 goals at home.

Nacional are in 13th position in the Liga NOS on 23 points having played 22 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

7 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 14 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 7 goals in total and failed to score in 6 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

15 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 9 games, drawn 3 and won 3. Nacional have conceded 24 goals, scored 12, failed to score in 7 fixtures and have kept 4 clean sheets.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Braga Nacional
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	S. Lisbon	22	16	4	2	41	52	l 2-4F	Apr 6	l 1-6A	l 2-0A
2	Benfica	22	16	2	4	32	50	May 17	w 1-2F	l 0-2A	Mar 9
3	Porto	22	14	4	4	28	46	Mar 9	l 2-1A	w 2-0F	May 17
4	Braga Home	22	13	5	4	18	44	-	-	l 0-3A	Feb 21
5	Santa Clara	22	12	2	8	2	38	May 4	w 0-2F	w 2-0F	Mar 30
6	Casa Pia	22	9	6	7	1	33	l 1-2A	May 11	Mar 16	l 1-0A
7	V. Guimaraes	22	7	10	5	5	31	l 0-2A	d 0-00-0	May 4	d 2-2F
8	Estoril	22	8	7	7	-6	31	d 2-2F	Apr 19	d 2-2A	l 1-0A
9	Famalicao	22	6	10	6	0	28	d 3-3A	Apr 27	Mar 2	d 0-00-0
10	Moreirense	22	7	5	10	-5	26	w 3-1F	w 1-2A	w 1-0F	Apr 27
11	Rio Ave	22	6	8	8	-12	26	w 4-0F	Mar 2	May 11	l 2-1A
12	Arouca	22	6	6	10	-13	24	Mar 30	w 1-2F	l 1-2A	l 1-0A
13	Nacional Away	22	6	5	11	-9	23	Feb 21	w 0-3F	-	-
14	Gil Vicente	22	5	7	10	-11	22	w 2-0F	d 0-00-0	Apr 19	l 2-1A
15	Estrela Amadora	22	5	5	12	-15	20	d 1-1F	w 0-1F	Apr 6	l 2-0A
16	AVS	22	3	10	9	-15	19	Apr 13	w 0-1F	w 3-1F	d 1-1F
17	Sporting Farense	22	3	6	13	-18	15	w 2-0F	Mar 16	w 2-0F	w 0-2F
18	Boavista	22	2	6	14	-23	12	w 3-0F	w 0-1F	d 0-00-0	Apr 13

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Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Braga	2 - 0	Gil Vicente
Braga	3 - 0	Boavista
Braga	1 - 2	Casa Pia
Braga	3 - 3	Famalicao
Braga	2 - 2	Estoril
Braga	2 - 4	S. Lisbon
Braga	2 - 0	Sporting Farense
Braga	4 - 0	Rio Ave
Braga	0 - 2	V. Guimaraes
Braga	3 - 1	Moreirense
Braga	1 - 1	Estrela Amadora
Braga	0 - 1	Porto
Braga	4 - 3	Casa Pia
Braga	2 - 1	Vizela
Braga	0 - 3	Arouca
Braga	2 - 1	Gil Vicente
Braga	3 - 0	Estrela Amadora
Braga	2 - 1	Sporting Farense
Braga	1 - 0	Moreirense
Braga	1 - 1	Chaves

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

10 / 20

Clean sheets

10 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Braga	0 - 0	V. Guimaraes
H	Braga	2 - 0	Gil Vicente
A	Braga	2 - 1	Moreirense
H	Braga	3 - 0	Boavista
A	Braga	1 - 0	Estrela Amadora
A	Braga	2 - 1	Benfica
H	Braga	1 - 2	Casa Pia
A	Braga	2 - 0	Santa Clara
H	Braga	3 - 3	Famalicao
H	Braga	2 - 2	Estoril
A	Braga	1 - 0	AVS
H	Braga	2 - 4	S. Lisbon
A	Braga	2 - 1	Arouca
H	Braga	2 - 0	Sporting Farense
A	Braga	1 - 2	Porto
H	Braga	4 - 0	Rio Ave
A	Braga	3 - 0	Nacional
H	Braga	0 - 2	V. Guimaraes
A	Braga	0 - 0	Gil Vicente
H	Braga	3 - 1	Moreirense

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Sporting Farense	0 - 2	Nacional
S. Lisbon	2 - 0	Nacional
Rio Ave	2 - 1	Nacional
V. Guimaraes	2 - 2	Nacional
Gil Vicente	2 - 1	Nacional
Estrela Amadora	2 - 0	Nacional
Casa Pia	1 - 0	Nacional
Famalicao	0 - 0	Nacional
Estoril	1 - 0	Nacional
Arouca	1 - 0	Nacional
AVS	1 - 1	Nacional
Famalicao	3 - 0	Nacional
Moreirense	2 - 2	Nacional
S. Lisbon	2 - 0	Nacional
Tondela	2 - 1	Nacional
Santa Clara	5 - 1	Nacional
Gil Vicente	2 - 0	Nacional
P. Ferreira	2 - 1	Nacional
Belenenses	2 - 1	Nacional
Boavista	0 - 1	Nacional

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Nacional	2 - 2	Estoril
A	Nacional	2 - 0	Sporting Farense
H	Nacional	1 - 2	Arouca
A	Nacional	0 - 2	S. Lisbon
H	Nacional	3 - 1	AVS
H	Nacional	2 - 0	Porto
A	Nacional	1 - 2	Rio Ave
A	Nacional	2 - 2	V. Guimaraes
H	Nacional	0 - 2	Benfica
H	Nacional	1 - 0	Moreirense
A	Nacional	1 - 2	Gil Vicente
H	Nacional	0 - 0	Boavista
A	Nacional	0 - 2	Estrela Amadora
H	Nacional	2 - 0	Santa Clara
A	Nacional	0 - 1	Casa Pia
A	Nacional	0 - 0	Famalicao
H	Nacional	0 - 3	Braga
A	Nacional	0 - 1	Estoril
H	Nacional	2 - 0	Sporting Farense
A	Nacional	0 - 1	Arouca

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Braga have beaten Nacional in 6 consecutive league meetings

Braga have not lost to Nacional in 9 consecutive league meetings

Braga

Nacional

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

4 / 4

3 / 4

Clean sheets

1 / 4

0 / 4

BRG

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Braga
Braga		2 - 1
Braga		4 - 2
Braga		4 - 0
Braga		2 - 1

Nacional

Braga

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

2 / 5

4 / 5

Clean sheets

1 / 5

3 / 5

BRG

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Nacional
	0 - 3	Braga
	1 - 2	Braga
	0 - 3	Braga
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	2 - 3	Braga

Goal Statistics

Sporting Braga have been reliable in attack of late, scoring in 16 consecutive Liga NOS games. Their PG of 1.9 against CD Nacional on Friday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Sporting Braga's defensive record is to be admired, C. Soares da Costa Faria Carvalhal's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive Liga NOS games. An average PG rating of 1.0 for CD Nacional makes sense in this context.

	Braga 4th	Nacional 13th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.9 goals	1.0 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 15% 1 29% 2 27% 3 17% 4+ 12% There is a 85% probability that Braga will score 1 or more goals	0 38% 1 37% 2 18% 3 4+ There is a 75% probability of Nacional scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-1 Braga’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-26 Nacional have scored 26% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.9 average goals scored	0.7 average goals scored
	1.3 conceded	1.7 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2024/2025 season

40%

better

BRG

NAC

view stats

Games scored	19		13
Failed to score	3		9
Scored first	15		8
Goals scored	38		21
Avg. goals scored	1.7		1
Avg. shots per game	10		10
Avg. shots per goal	6		11
Conversion rate for	17		9
Avg. XG for	1.6		1.1
KickOff rating		+40%

28%

better

BRG

NAC

view stats

Games conceded	11		15
Clean sheets	11		7
Conceded first	5		12
Goals conceded	20		30
Avg. goals conceded	0.9		1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded	8		10
Avg. shots/goal conceded	9		8
Conversion rate against	12%		13%
Avg. XG against	1		1.5
KickOff rating		+28%

Braga v Nacional Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Braga Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
20	6	4	6
R Horta	R Horta	R Zalazar	J Ferreira

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
R Horta FWD	22	6	3	1 -
R Fernandes FWD	22	3	2	1 -
A Ouazzani FWD	22	6	1	1 -
G Martínez FWD	20	3	2	4 -
V Carvalho MID	19			3 -
S Niakaté DEF	16	1	1	3 -
J Ferreira DEF	15		1	6 -
V Gómez DEF	15		1	1 -
B Arrey-Mbi DEF	14			4 1
I Gharbi FWD	14	2	1	-
Gorby MID	11			3 -
J Moutinho MID	11	1		2 -
A Marín DEF	10		2	-
P Oliveira DEF	10	1		2 -
R Zalazar MID	10	2	4	3 -
R Bambu DEF	6	1		3 -
L Hornicek GLK	5			-
F Navarro FWD	5	3		-
F. Chissumba Rodrigues DEF	4			-
D. Oliveira Rodrigues MID	4			-
U Račić MID	2			-
J. Zamith Oliveira Noro DEF	1			-
T. Helguera Merello Volante MID	1			-
J. Vasconcelos Faria Gonçalves MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	18	4	17
R Horta	R Fernandes	R Zalazar	R Horta

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
R Horta FWD	6	13	3	17
A Ouazzani FWD	6	16	1	9
F Navarro FWD	3	4		1
G Martínez FWD	3	13	2	12
R Fernandes FWD	3	18	2	16
I Gharbi FWD	2	3	1	7
R Zalazar MID	2	4	4	6
S Niakaté DEF	1	2	1	2
J Moutinho MID	1	1		5
P Oliveira DEF	1	3
R Bambu DEF	1	1		1
D. Oliveira Rodrigues MID				1
F. Chissumba Rodrigues DEF				2
A Marín DEF			2	2
Gorby MID		1		1
B Arrey-Mbi DEF		1		1
V Gómez DEF			1	6
J Ferreira DEF		2	1	6
V Carvalho MID		1		8

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1056	37	93
S Niakaté	G Martínez	R Fernandes

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
S Niakaté DEF	1056	8	68
V Carvalho MID	825	35	92
B Arrey-Mbi DEF	811	17	38
J Ferreira DEF	806	29	68
R Horta FWD	638	26	54
P Oliveira DEF	600	9	31
J Moutinho MID	521	16	43
R Fernandes FWD	512	30	93
A Marín DEF	475	20	37
V Gómez DEF	436	19	37
G Martínez FWD	419	37	85
Gorby MID	351	16	33
R Bambu DEF	332	9	16
R Zalazar MID	286	16	65
I Gharbi FWD	233	11	44
F. Chissumba Rodrigues DEF	218	5	19
A Ouazzani FWD	210	10	55
L Hornicek GLK	166		3
D. Oliveira Rodrigues MID	59	3	6
F Navarro FWD	49	3	16
U Račić MID	36	2	3
J. Zamith Oliveira Noro DEF	7
T. Helguera Merello Volante MID	6
J. Vasconcelos Faria Gonçalves MID	5

Nacional Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
22	3	3	6
L França	J. Mendes Gomes	L Esteves	Z Vitor

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
L França GLK	22			3 -
G García DEF	22		2	3 -
J. Mendes Gomes DEF	22	3	1	3 -
Z Vitor DEF	21	1		6 -
L Esteves MID	21		3	4 -
I Tomich FWD	20	3	1	4 -
Ulisses DEF	19	2		5 1
M Dias MID	19		2	4 -
D Penha MID	19	2	1	1 -
B Costa MID	16	2	1	-
A Appiah FWD	16			1 -
R Macedo FWD	16	1		-
Dudu FWD	14	3	2	-
D. Soumaré MID	13	1	1	6 -
L Santos DEF	9			1 -
J Aurélio DEF	9	1		-
A Sousa MID	9			3 -
C. Abidi MID	8			2 -
D Sousa FWD	6			-
M Baeza MID	5	1		-
J Tagueu FWD	3			-
P Bóia FWD	3			1 -
F Yamada FWD	2			1 1
R Encarnação GLK	1			1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
3	9	3	22
J. Mendes Gomes	Z Vitor	L Esteves	L Esteves

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
Dudu FWD	3	6	2	4
J. Mendes Gomes DEF	3	6	1	14
I Tomich FWD	3	9	1	5
Ulisses DEF	2	5		2
D Penha MID	2	7	1	16
B Costa MID	2	3	1	18
Z Vitor DEF	1	9		5
R Macedo FWD	1	6		8
M Baeza MID	1	1
D. Soumaré MID	1	4	1
J Aurélio DEF	1	1
C. Abidi MID		1		3
F Yamada FWD				2
P Bóia FWD				1
J Tagueu FWD				1
L França GLK				1
G García DEF		3	2	14
A Appiah FWD		3		1
M Dias MID		1	2	8
L Esteves MID		9	3	22

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
947	51	112
Z Vitor	G García	Z Vitor

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
Z Vitor DEF	947	33	112
L Esteves MID	835	29	91
Ulisses DEF	811	29	73
G García DEF	723	51	109
L França GLK	590		15
J. Mendes Gomes DEF	545	24	77
M Dias MID	537	44	89
D. Soumaré MID	433	45	104
B Costa MID	273	9	48
D Penha MID	257	15	43
I Tomich FWD	198	12	63
L Santos DEF	164	4	24
Dudu FWD	154	17	53
A Appiah FWD	137	12	34
R Macedo FWD	131	6	44
C. Abidi MID	72	8	16
M Baeza MID	49	2	3
J Aurélio DEF	44	11	20
A Sousa MID	42	2	8
P Bóia FWD	38	3	11
J Tagueu FWD	33	1	12
D Sousa FWD	31		8
F Yamada FWD	16		3
R Encarnação GLK	8

Portuguese Liga NOS match betting previews, predictions and odds

Braga v Nacional

Fri 21st Feb, 20:15

Casa Pia v Gil Vicente

Arouca v Sporting Farense

Sun 23rd Feb, 15:30

Estrela Amadora v Santa Clara

Sun 23rd Feb, 15:30

AVS v S. Lisbon

Sun 23rd Feb, 18:00

Famalicao v Moreirense

Sun 23rd Feb, 20:30

Porto v V. Guimaraes

Mon 24th Feb, 20:15

V. Guimaraes v Casa Pia

Sun 2nd Mar, 00:00

Gil Vicente v Benfica

Sun 2nd Mar, 00:00

S. Lisbon v Estoril

Sun 2nd Mar, 00:00

Moreirense v Estrela Amadora

Sun 2nd Mar, 00:00

Rio Ave v Braga

Sun 2nd Mar, 00:00

Boavista v Santa Clara

Sporting Farense v AVS

Sun 2nd Mar, 00:00

Sporting Braga v CD Nacional : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Braga have played 22 matches so far this season and lay in 4th place in the Liga NOS league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

Home League Performance

Nacional are in 13th position in the Liga NOS on 23 points having played 22 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

Performance against teams above them in the league

Braga v Nacional Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

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