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Sporting Braga v Casa Pia : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 29th Dec, 18:00 BST, Estádio Municipal de Braga, Braga

Sporting Braga are in Liga NOS action on Sunday evening, as Carlos Augusto Soares da Costa Faria Carvalhal attempts to outsmart Natanael João Pereira Costa and his Casa Pia side at the Estádio Municipal de Braga. Our goal is for you to win betting on this match, so every statistics you could realistically need to make a well-informed wager is published below. Switch between 17 markets or take our top tip. We've got predictions, head to head (H2H) analysis and odds for every one.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The statistics suggest we don't have an obvious winner in this fixture, but there's plenty of reasons to believe that Braga and Casa Pia will find the net twice at least between them. That has been the case when they've gone head-to-head in years gone by, and neither Carlos Augusto Soares da Costa Faria Carvalhal or Natanael João Pereira Costa has served up too many 0-0s lately either. The bookmakers predict over 1.5 goals too, with best odds of 1.25 equating to roughly a 81% probability.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Braga are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 56% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.42.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Braga
56%
21/502/5
3%
Draw
22%
7/218/5
Casa Pia
22%
13/213/2
7%
Draw 1-1
11%
15/27/1
Braga 2-1
10%
15/213/2
Braga 1-0
10%
11/25/1
Braga 2-0
9%
11/25/1
8%
Braga 3-1
6%
11/19/1
Casa Pia 2-1
6%
20/116/1
Braga 3-0
6%
8/17/1
6%
Casa Pia 1-0
6%
16/114/1
15%
Draw 2-2
5%
20/116/1
Draw 0-0
5%
10/19/1
9%
Braga 3-2
3%
28/120/1
Casa Pia 2-0
3%
40/128/1
12%
Braga 4-1
3%
20/116/1
Braga 4-0
3%
16/112/1
Casa Pia 3-1
2%
50/140/1
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
4/53/4
Under 2.5 Goals
43%
1/119/20
3%
Home 1st Goal
54%
2/7-
Away 1st Goal
43%
3/1-
No 1st Goal
3%
10/1-
BTTS - Yes
56%
21/2021/20
3%
BTTS - No
44%
7/107/10
2%
BTTS - Home Win
27%
12/59/4
2%
BTTS - Draw
17%
5/15/1
BTTS - Away Win
12%
14/111/1
9%
Home/draw
78%
1/101/12
2%
Away/draw
44%
7/415/8
5%
Home/away
78%
2/112/11
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
1/41/4
Under 1.5 Goals
20%
11/413/5
3%
Over 3.5 Goals
35%
2/119/10
1%
Under 3.5 Goals
65%
4/114/11
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
18%
5/117/4
Under 4.5 Goals
82%
1/82/15
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
12/19/1
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1/251/25
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/25
1%
1/25
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
12/1
18%
9/1
9%
Home DNB
71%
1/71/9
2%
Away DNB
37%
9/29/2
5%
Braga win to nil
28%
6/5-
Casa Pia win to nil
10%
12/1-
Braga / Braga
39%
11/1021/20
2%
Braga / Casa Pia
2%
40/140/1
21%
Braga / Draw
5%
16/114/1
Draw / Braga
20%
3/129/10
3%
Draw / Casa Pia
6%
14/112/1
8%
Draw / Draw
13%
11/25/1
Casa Pia / Braga
4%
20/118/1
12%
Casa Pia / Casa Pia
7%
12/110/1
10%
Casa Pia / Draw
4%
18/116/1
13%
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Braga have played 15 matches so far this season and lay in 4th place in the Liga NOS league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 13 games against teams below in the table, having won 8, drawn 4 and lost 1 match. They have kept 7 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. Braga have outscored their opponents by 27 goals to 16 goals.

Home League Performance

Braga have played 8 games at home winning 3, drawing 3 and losing 2 games. They have scored 17 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and conceded 13 goals at home.

Casa Pia are in 7th position in the Liga NOS on 20 points having played 15 matches so far this season. Casa Pia are winless in the 5 games they have played against teams above them in the table and have conceded in every game.

Away League Performance

3 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 10 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 6 goals in total and failed to score in 3 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

5 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 4 games, drawn 1 and won zero. Casa Pia have conceded 10 goals, scored 1, failed to score in 4 fixtures and have kept no clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Braga
Casa Pia
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Benfica1512212938 
May 17
Jan 4
Jan 25
l
 
3-0A
2
S. Lisbon1512123337 
l
 
2-4F
Apr 6
Mar 9
l
 
2-0A
3
Porto1512122737 
Mar 9
l
 
2-1A
Apr 13
l
 
2-0A
4
Braga Home158431128 
-
-
May 11
Dec 29
5
Santa Clara15906127 
May 4
w
 
0-2F
l
 
0-2A
Feb 2
6
V. Guimaraes15654423 
l
 
0-2A
Feb 16
d
 
1-1F
Mar 2
7
Casa Pia Away15555-220 
Dec 29
May 11
-
-
8
Moreirense15627-320 
w
 
3-1F
Feb 2
w
 
3-1A
Feb 16
9
Famalicao15474119 
d
 
3-3A
Apr 27
Jan 5
May 17
10
Gil Vicente15456-717 
Feb 9
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 23
d
 
1-1A
11
Rio Ave15447-1116 
w
 
4-0F
Mar 2
Mar 30
d
 
2-2F
12
Estrela Amadora15438-1115 
d
 
1-1F
Jan 19
Feb 9
w
 
0-1F
13
Estoril15357-1214 
d
 
2-2F
Apr 19
Apr 27
w
 
0-2F
14
AVS15276-1113 
Apr 13
w
 
0-1F
d
 
1-1F
Apr 19
15
Nacional15348-1113 
Feb 23
w
 
0-3F
w
 
1-0F
Mar 16
16
Boavista15267-912 
Jan 26
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-1A
Jan 20
17
Sporting Farense15339-1212 
w
 
2-0F
Mar 16
d
 
1-1A
Apr 6
18
Arouca153210-1711 
Mar 30
w
 
1-2F
w
 
3-1F
May 4
Win / draw / win form
Braga 4TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Braga3 - 3Famalicao
Braga2 - 2Estoril
Braga2 - 4S. Lisbon
Braga2 - 0Sporting Farense
Braga4 - 0Rio Ave
Braga0 - 2V. Guimaraes
Braga3 - 1Moreirense
Braga1 - 1Estrela Amadora
Braga0 - 1Porto
Braga4 - 3Casa Pia
Braga2 - 1Vizela
Braga0 - 3Arouca
Braga2 - 1Gil Vicente
Braga3 - 0Estrela Amadora
Braga2 - 1Sporting Farense
Braga1 - 0Moreirense
Braga1 - 1Chaves
Braga1 - 1V. Guimaraes
Braga0 - 1Benfica
Braga3 - 1Estoril
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
11
D
4
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABraga2 - 0Santa Clara
HBraga3 - 3Famalicao
HBraga2 - 2Estoril
ABraga1 - 0AVS
HBraga2 - 4S. Lisbon
ABraga2 - 1Arouca
HBraga2 - 0Sporting Farense
ABraga1 - 2Porto
HBraga4 - 0Rio Ave
ABraga3 - 0Nacional
HBraga0 - 2V. Guimaraes
ABraga0 - 0Gil Vicente
HBraga3 - 1Moreirense
ABraga1 - 0Boavista
HBraga1 - 1Estrela Amadora
HBraga0 - 1Porto
ABraga3 - 2V. Guimaraes
HBraga4 - 3Casa Pia
ABraga1 - 3Benfica
HBraga2 - 1Vizela
Casa Pia 7TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
39
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Estoril0 - 2Casa Pia
Porto2 - 0Casa Pia
Rio Ave2 - 2Casa Pia
S. Lisbon2 - 0Casa Pia
Gil Vicente1 - 1Casa Pia
Estrela Amadora0 - 1Casa Pia
Benfica3 - 0Casa Pia
Famalicao1 - 2Casa Pia
Braga4 - 3Casa Pia
Portimonense2 - 2Casa Pia
Vizela0 - 4Casa Pia
Estrela Amadora3 - 1Casa Pia
V. Guimaraes0 - 2Casa Pia
Rio Ave1 - 0Casa Pia
S. Lisbon8 - 0Casa Pia
Moreirense1 - 4Casa Pia
Chaves1 - 3Casa Pia
Porto3 - 1Casa Pia
Estoril4 - 0Casa Pia
Benfica1 - 1Casa Pia
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HCasa Pia3 - 1Arouca
ACasa Pia2 - 0Estoril
HCasa Pia1 - 1AVS
ACasa Pia0 - 2Porto
HCasa Pia1 - 1Sporting Farense
ACasa Pia2 - 2Rio Ave
HCasa Pia1 - 0Nacional
ACasa Pia0 - 2S. Lisbon
HCasa Pia1 - 1V. Guimaraes
ACasa Pia1 - 1Gil Vicente
HCasa Pia3 - 1Moreirense
ACasa Pia1 - 0Estrela Amadora
HCasa Pia0 - 2Santa Clara
ACasa Pia0 - 3Benfica
HCasa Pia0 - 1Boavista
ACasa Pia2 - 1Famalicao
HCasa Pia0 - 1Moreirense
ACasa Pia3 - 4Braga
HCasa Pia3 - 1Chaves
HCasa Pia1 - 2Porto
bet365
bet365
Goal Statistics

Sporting Braga have been consistent in front of goal of late, finding the net in 10 consecutive Liga NOS games. Their PG of 1.9 against Casa Pia on Sunday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Braga 4th Casa Pia 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.9
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
15%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
12%
There is a 85% probability that Braga will score 1 or more goals
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 71% probability that Casa Pia will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-6
Braga’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+41
Casa Pia have scored 41% more goals when away than predicted
1.8
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
2.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/285197/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Braga
PG (predicted goals)
Casa Pia
1.9
1.1
Attack rating
33%
better
BRG
view stats
Games scored13
10
Failed to score2
5
Scored first11
7
Goals scored27
16
Avg. goals scored1.8
1.1
Avg. shots per game11
8
Avg. shots per goal6
8
Conversion rate for16
13
Avg. XG for1.8
1.1
KickOff rating
+33%
Defence rating
21%
better
BRG
view stats
Games conceded8
12
Clean sheets7
3
Conceded first3
8
Goals conceded16
18
Avg. goals conceded1.1
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded8
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
9
Conversion rate against14%
12%
Avg. XG against1.1
1.2
KickOff rating
+21%

Braga v Casa Pia Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Braga Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
15743
V CarvalhoBruma Bruma V Carvalho
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
V Carvalho MID15
3
-
R Horta FWD1542
-
R Fernandes FWD1511
1
-
Matheus GLK14
-
R Fernández FWD142
1
-
A Ouazzani FWD1441
1
-
G Martínez FWD1332
2
-
Bruma  FWD1374
1
-
S Niakaté DEF1211
3
-
V Gómez DEF11
1
-
A Horta MID113
-
R Zalazar  MID924
3
-
A Marín DEF82
-
I Gharbi MID82
-
P Oliveira DEF71
2
-
Y Ribeiro DEF7
2
-
B Arrey-Mbi DEF7
1
1
J Moutinho MID6
2
-
J. Wooding Mendes DEF4
-
R Bambu DEF3
1
-
Gorby MID3
-
J Marques FWD3
1
-
L Hornicek GLK1
-
T. Helguera Merello Volante MID1
-
S Banza FWD1
-
R Guitane FWD1
-
Casa Pia Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
15244
L LeloN MoreiraN MoreiraG Larrazabal
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Lelo DEF1512
-
J Goulart DEF151
2
-
P Sequeira GLK14
2
-
G Larrazabal DEF14
3
1
N Moreira FWD1424
-
A Geraldes DEF13
1
-
T Segovia MID131
4
-
M Svensson FWD131
1
-
A Kraev MID11
3
-
R Brito MID111
3
-
R Kluivert DEF101
3
-
M Sousa MID10
-
J Fonte DEF9
2
-
S Obeng FWD91
-
H. Martins Pereira FWD91
-
D Tchamba  DEF81
2
-
Beni MID8
2
-
N Zolotic DEF7
4
-
Pablo MID7
-
R Blanco MID51
1
-
T Dias DEF2
-
F. Benaissa-Yahia DEF2
-
R Batista GLK1
1