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Boavista v Casa Pia : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mon 20th Jan, 20:15 BST, Estadio Do Bessa Xxi, Porto

Ricardo Paiva and Natanael João Pereira Costa meet in the Liga NOS on Monday night, as Boavista face Casa Pia at the Estadio Do Bessa Xxi. Our goal is for you to win betting on this match, so every stats you could realistically need to make a well-informed wager is laid out below. Go between 17 betting markets or take our top tip. We have predictions, head to head (H2H) analysis and odds from leading bookmakers for it all.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

Maybe it'd be too strong to say that we expect Ricardo Paiva and Natanael João Pereira Costa to batten down the hatches here, but we're certainly not expecting a deluge of goals as Boavista and Casa Pia go head-to-head. The stats belowimply under 2.5 goals (i.e. 2 goals of fewer in total), and we think it's likely to go that way too. With best odds of 1.65 available on under 2.5 goals and nothing too eyecatching in the full time result market, that's the bet we'd advise you go for.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 45% chance of Casa Pia coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Boavista
26%
9/4
4%
-
Draw
29%
2/1
6%
-
Casa Pia
45%
13/10
7%
-
Casa Pia 1-0
15%
11/2
7%
-
Draw 1-1
13%
5/1-
Draw 0-0
12%
6/1
13%
-
Boavista 1-0
10%
7/1
11%
-
Casa Pia 2-0
9%
9/1-
Casa Pia 2-1
8%
9/1
5%
-
Boavista 2-1
6%
12/1
8%
-
Boavista 2-0
5%
14/1
12%
-
Casa Pia 3-0
4%
20/1-
Draw 2-2
4%
16/1
13%
-
Casa Pia 3-1
3%
20/1
11%
-
Boavista 3-1
2%
28/1-
Casa Pia 3-2
2%
33/1-
Boavista 3-0
1%
33/1
17%
-
Casa Pia 4-0
1%
50/1
24%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
36%
7/5
9%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
64%
8/15
7%
-
Home 1st Goal
42%
7/5
4%
-
Away 1st Goal
50%
4/5
4%
-
No 1st Goal
8%
6/1
13%
-
BTTS - Yes
42%
1/1
3%
-
BTTS - No
58%
3/4
3%
-
BTTS - Home Win
10%
7/1
7%
-
BTTS - Draw
17%
7/2-
BTTS - Away Win
15%
9/2
10%
-
Home/draw
55%
4/7
6%
-
Away/draw
74%
1/3
2%
-
Home/away
71%
4/11-
Over 1.5 Goals
63%
4/9
6%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
37%
13/8
13%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
17%
7/2
13%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
83%
2/11
3%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
7%
10/1
22%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
93%
1/20
2%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
2%
22/1
21%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
98%
1/80
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
88%
1/10
2%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
12%
6/1
13%
-
Home DNB
47%
5/4
5%
-
Away DNB
65%
4/7
3%
-
Boavista win to nil
17%
4/1
9%
-
Casa Pia win to nil
29%
5/2-
Boavista / Boavista
15%
9/2-
Boavista / Casa Pia
3%
28/1
12%
-
Boavista / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Boavista
13%
11/2
7%
-
Draw / Casa Pia
15%
9/2
10%
-
Draw / Draw
19%
10/3
9%
-
Casa Pia / Boavista
2%
33/1-
Casa Pia / Casa Pia
21%
3/1
11%
-
Casa Pia / Draw
6%
14/1-
bet365
Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Boavista have played 17 matches so far this season and are in 18th position in the league. Boavista are having a poor run against away teams, having not won a match so far this season. They have also not scored in 6 of those games.

Performance against teams above them in the league

17 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 9 games, drawn 6 and won 2. Boavista have conceded 26 goals, scored 11, failed to score in 10 matches and kept 4 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Boavista have played 8 games at home, winning 0, drawing 3 and losing 5 fixtures. They have scored 2 goals, conceded 12 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 6 times in home league games.

Casa Pia lay in 7th place on 24 points in the Liga NOS league table having played 17 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 11 games against teams below them in the table, winning 5, drawing 5 and losing 1 game. They have scored 16 goals and kept 3 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Casa Pia have conceded 9 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Casa Pia have played 8 away games, winning 3, drawing 2 and losing 3 games. They have scored an average of 1 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.4 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Boavista
Casa Pia
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
S. Lisbon1713223441 
Apr 27
l
 
3-2A
Mar 9
l
 
2-0A
2
Porto1713132940 
May 11
l
 
4-0A
Apr 13
l
 
2-0A
3
Benfica1712232738 
l
 
0-3A
Feb 23
Jan 25
l
 
3-0A
4
Braga179441131 
l
 
0-1A
Jan 26
May 11
w
 
1-2F
5
Santa Clara171016231 
Mar 2
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-2A
Feb 2
6
V. Guimaraes17674425 
Mar 9
d
 
2-2A
d
 
1-1F
Mar 2
7
Casa Pia Away17665-124 
Jan 20
w
 
0-1F
-
-
8
Moreirense17647-322 
l
 
0-2A
Mar 16
w
 
3-1A
Feb 16
9
Famalicao17485020 
Feb 2
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1F
May 17
10
Rio Ave17557-1020 
l
 
0-2A
Apr 6
Mar 30
d
 
2-2F
11
Gil Vicente17476-719 
Mar 30
w
 
1-2F
Feb 23
d
 
1-1A
12
Estoril17467-1018 
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 9
Apr 27
w
 
0-2F
13
Nacional17449-1016 
Apr 13
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-0F
Mar 16
14
Estrela Amadora17449-1316 
Feb 16
d
 
2-2F
Feb 9
w
 
0-1F
15
AVS17296-1115 
d
 
0-00-0
May 4
d
 
1-1F
Apr 19
16
Arouca174310-1515 
l
 
1-3A
May 17
w
 
3-1F
May 4
17
Sporting Farense17359-1214 
d
 
1-1A
Apr 19
d
 
1-1A
Apr 6
18
Boavista Home17269-1512 
-
-
l
 
0-1A
Jan 20
Win / draw / win form
12
Boavista have not won in 12 consecutive home league games
5
Casa Pia have not lost in 5 consecutive league games
Boavista 18TH
20 league games
Home
12
Overall
Goals: Scored
13
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
2
Draw
9
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
15
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
W
2
Draw
8
Lost
10
Casa Pia 7TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
5
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
39
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
D
3
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Boavista since 2023
Boavista
Casa Pia
Goals: Scored
1
1
Games: Scored
1 / 2
1 / 2
Clean sheets
1 / 2
1 / 2
D
2
League games at Casa Pia since 2022
Casa Pia
Boavista
Goals: Scored
2
1
Games: Scored
1 / 3
1 / 3
Clean sheets
2 / 3
2 / 3
BOA
1
D
1
1
Goal Statistics
Boavista 18th Casa Pia 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
0.9
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
41%
1
37%
2
16%
3
4+
There is a 78% probability of Boavista scoring 1 goal or less
0
28%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Casa Pia will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-47
Boavista have scored 47% fewer goals at home than predicted
+43
Casa Pia have scored 43% more goals when away than predicted
0.7
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
1.7
conceded
2.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/285211/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Boavista
PG (predicted goals)
Casa Pia
0.9
1.3
Attack rating
BOA
41%
better
view stats
Games scored7
12
Failed to score10
5
Scored first3
9
Goals scored11
19
Avg. goals scored0.6
1.1
Avg. shots per game8
8
Avg. shots per goal12
7
Conversion rate for8
14
Avg. XG for1
1.1
KickOff rating
+41%
Defence rating
BOA
9%
better
view stats
Games conceded13
14
Clean sheets4
3
Conceded first11
8
Goals conceded26
20
Avg. goals conceded1.5
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded11
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
9
Conversion rate against14%
11%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.2
KickOff rating
+9%

Boavista v Casa Pia Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Boavista Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
17417
F FerreiraM ReisinhoS AgraP Gomes
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Onyemaechi DEF172
4
-
F Ferreira DEF17
2
-
S Agra FWD1711
4
-
R Bozenik FWD171
2
-
S Pérez MID16
4
1
P Gomes DEF15
7
-
I Vukotic MID152
3
1
Ibrahima MID15
3
-
J Silva MID151
3
-
M Reisinho MID154
5
-
R Abascal DEF14
5
-
G. Cardoso Almeida DEF13
1
-
A Dabo DEF101
-
M. Martins Ribeiro MID9
-
T Machado FWD8
-
J. Ferreira Barros FWD7
-
J Gonçalves GLK4
-
M Namora FWD3
-
T. de Castro Sousa GLK2
1
-
T. Vaz Silva DEF2
-
Casa Pia Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
17355
J GoulartN MoreiraN MoreiraG Larrazabal
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Goulart DEF172
2
-
L Lelo DEF1712
-
P Sequeira GLK16
2
-
G Larrazabal DEF161
4
1
N Moreira FWD1635
1
1
A Geraldes DEF151
2
-
T Segovia MID152
4
-
M Svensson FWD141
1
-
A Kraev MID13
4
-
R Kluivert DEF121
3
-
J Fonte DEF11
2
-
M Sousa MID11
-
R Brito MID111
3
-
S Obeng FWD111
-
D Tchamba  DEF101
2
-
Beni MID10
3
-
H. Martins Pereira FWD91
-
N Zolotic DEF7
4
-
Pablo MID7
-
R Blanco MID51
1
-
T Dias DEF2
-
F. Benaissa-Yahia DEF2
-
R Batista GLK1
1