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Benfica v Vitoria Guimaraes : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 7th Dec, 18:00 BST, Estádio da Luz, Lisbon

Roger Schmidt welcomes Rui Manuel Gomes Borges to the Estádio da Luz on Saturday evening, as their Benfica and Vitoria Guimaraes troops clash in the Liga NOS. Below we've got predictions for all the biggest betting markets, supporting stats including head to heads (H2Hs), and odds. Access it all using the tabs below.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Benfica to win

We are predicting Benfica will claim victory after 90 mins on Saturday in the win / draw / win market. The recent form statistics and historical head-to-head (H2H) data below all suggest that they are more than capable of getting the job done and, as favourites with the bookmakers, the odds back that up too. Expect jubilant celebrations among the home fans when that final whistle blows at Estádio da Luz.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Benfica are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 72% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.33.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Benfica
72%
3/101/3
2%
Draw
17%
4/19/2
V. Guimaraes
11%
9/18/1
5%
Benfica 2-0
13%
11/25/1
4%
Benfica 1-0
11%
13/211/2
8%
Benfica 3-0
10%
7/113/2
Benfica 2-1
9%
8/17/1
Draw 1-1
8%
17/28/1
5%
Benfica 3-1
7%
10/19/1
Benfica 4-0
5%
12/110/1
Draw 0-0
5%
12/111/1
Benfica 4-1
4%
18/114/1
V. Guimaraes 1-0
4%
22/116/1
Draw 2-2
4%
20/116/1
11%
V. Guimaraes 2-1
3%
25/120/1
Benfica 3-2
3%
28/120/1
Benfica 5-0
2%
25/118/1
Benfica 5-1
2%
33/122/1
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
4/6
1%
8/13
2%
Under 2.5 Goals
42%
23/20
2%
6/5
5%
Home 1st Goal
61%
2/9-
Away 1st Goal
36%
7/2-
No 1st Goal
3%
12/1-
BTTS - Yes
47%
1/121/20
5%
BTTS - No
53%
3/47/10
3%
BTTS - Home Win
29%
21/102/1
3%
BTTS - Draw
13%
11/211/2
7%
BTTS - Away Win
5%
16/112/1
13%
Home/draw
89%
1/161/16
Away/draw
28%
12/523/10
6%
Home/away
83%
1/62/13
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
1/51/5
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
20%
10/316/5
5%
Over 3.5 Goals
36%
13/86/4
5%
Under 3.5 Goals
64%
4/910/21
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
19%
4/1
11%
17/5
4%
Under 4.5 Goals
81%
1/6
1%
2/11
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
9/17/1
6%
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
1/161/18
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/33
1%
1/40
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
14/1
15%
11/1
Home DNB
84%
1/121/12
1%
Away DNB
23%
7/16/1
Benfica win to nil
42%
11/10-
V. Guimaraes win to nil
5%
16/1-
Benfica / Benfica
42%
10/1110/11
3%
Benfica / V. Guimaraes
2%
50/140/1
Benfica / Draw
5%
18/116/1
Draw / Benfica
21%
11/429/10
3%
Draw / V. Guimaraes
5%
18/114/1
Draw / Draw
11%
13/26/1
V. Guimaraes / Benfica
5%
18/116/1
V. Guimaraes / V. Guimaraes
5%
16/112/1
V. Guimaraes / Draw
4%
20/116/1
11%
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Benfica have played 11 matches so far this season and lay in 3rd place in the Liga NOS league table. Benfica have a great home record this season winning all their home games and keeping 3 clean sheets.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 10 games against teams below in the table, having won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 match. They have kept 5 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Benfica have outscored their opponents by 30 goals to 16 goals.

Home League Performance

Benfica have played 6 games at home winning 6, drawing 0 and losing 0 games. They have scored 22 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and conceded 3 goals at home.

V. Guimaraes are in 6th position in the Liga NOS on 21 points having played 12 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

2 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 5 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 6 goals in total and failed to score in 2 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

3 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 2 games, drawn 0 and won 1. V. Guimaraes have conceded 4 goals, scored 2, failed to score in 2 fixtures and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
Benfica
V. Guimaraes
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
S. Lisbon1211013333 
May 11
Dec 29
Jan 3
May 17
2
Porto1210022230 
w
 
4-1F
Apr 6
l
 
0-3A
Feb 23
3
Benfica 119112328 
-
-
Apr 19
Dec 7
4
Santa Clara12804324 
w
 
4-1A
Feb 16
Apr 6
l
 
1-0A
5
Braga12723923 
Jan 4
May 17
Feb 16
w
 
0-2F
6
V. Guimaraes 12633521 
Dec 7
Apr 19
-
-
7
Famalicao12453217 
Jan 17
l
 
2-0A
w
 
2-1F
Feb 9
8
Moreirense12525017 
Feb 9
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-0F
Mar 30
9
Rio Ave12435-915 
w
 
5-0F
Mar 16
Apr 27
Dec 16
10
Casa Pia12345-613 
w
 
3-0F
Jan 25
Mar 2
d
 
1-1A
11
Estoril12345-713 
Dec 23
May 4
w
 
1-0F
Jan 26
12
Boavista12246-810 
Feb 23
w
 
0-3F
d
 
2-2F
Mar 9
13
Gil Vicente12246-910 
w
 
5-1A
Mar 2
w
 
4-0F
Apr 13
14
AVS12246-1110 
Apr 27
Dec 15
Feb 2
l
 
1-0A
15
Nacional11236-99 
Mar 9
Dec 19
Dec 23
May 4
16
Estrela Amadora12237-119 
w
 
1-0F
Feb 2
Mar 16
d
 
2-2F
17
Sporting Farense12228-128 
Mar 30
w
 
1-2A
May 11
Dec 29
18
Arouca12228-158 
Apr 13
w
 
0-2F
Jan 18
w
 
0-1F
Win / draw / win form
17
Benfica have won 17 consecutive home league games
26
Benfica have not lost in 26 consecutive home league games
Benfica 3RD
20 league games
Home
17
Overall
Goals: Scored
63
Conceded
10
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
18
D
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Benfica4 - 1Porto
Benfica5 - 0Rio Ave
Benfica5 - 1Gil Vicente
Benfica4 - 1Santa Clara
Benfica1 - 0Estrela Amadora
Benfica3 - 0Casa Pia
Benfica5 - 0Arouca
Benfica3 - 1Braga
Benfica3 - 0Moreirense
Benfica1 - 0Chaves
Benfica3 - 1Estoril
Benfica4 - 0Portimonense
Benfica6 - 1Vizela
Benfica3 - 0Gil Vicente
Benfica2 - 0Boavista
Benfica4 - 1Rio Ave
Benfica3 - 0Famalicao
Benfica1 - 1Sporting Farense
Benfica2 - 1S. Lisbon
Benfica1 - 1Casa Pia
Goals: Scored
48
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
15
D
2
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABenfica2 - 0Arouca
HBenfica4 - 1Porto
ABenfica2 - 1Sporting Farense
HBenfica5 - 0Rio Ave
HBenfica5 - 1Gil Vicente
ABenfica3 - 0Boavista
HBenfica4 - 1Santa Clara
ABenfica1 - 1Moreirense
HBenfica1 - 0Estrela Amadora
HBenfica3 - 0Casa Pia
ABenfica0 - 2Famalicao
ABenfica1 - 1Rio Ave
HBenfica5 - 0Arouca
ABenfica0 - 2Famalicao
HBenfica3 - 1Braga
ABenfica3 - 1Sporting Farense
HBenfica3 - 0Moreirense
ABenfica1 - 2S. Lisbon
HBenfica1 - 0Chaves
ABenfica1 - 0Casa Pia
V. Guimaraes 6TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Santa Clara1 - 0V. Guimaraes
Estrela Amadora2 - 2V. Guimaraes
Casa Pia1 - 1V. Guimaraes
Braga0 - 2V. Guimaraes
AVS1 - 0V. Guimaraes
Arouca0 - 1V. Guimaraes
Arouca1 - 3V. Guimaraes
Rio Ave2 - 1V. Guimaraes
S. Lisbon3 - 0V. Guimaraes
Porto1 - 2V. Guimaraes
Chaves1 - 2V. Guimaraes
Estoril1 - 3V. Guimaraes
Portimonense1 - 1V. Guimaraes
Vizela0 - 1V. Guimaraes
Gil Vicente1 - 0V. Guimaraes
Braga1 - 1V. Guimaraes
Boavista1 - 1V. Guimaraes
Sporting Farense1 - 2V. Guimaraes
Moreirense1 - 0V. Guimaraes
Famalicao1 - 3V. Guimaraes
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HV. Guimaraes4 - 0Gil Vicente
AV. Guimaraes0 - 1Santa Clara
HV. Guimaraes1 - 0Moreirense
AV. Guimaraes2 - 2Estrela Amadora
HV. Guimaraes2 - 2Boavista
AV. Guimaraes1 - 1Casa Pia
HV. Guimaraes0 - 3Porto
AV. Guimaraes2 - 0Braga
HV. Guimaraes2 - 1Famalicao
AV. Guimaraes0 - 1AVS
HV. Guimaraes1 - 0Estoril
AV. Guimaraes1 - 0Arouca
AV. Guimaraes3 - 1Arouca
HV. Guimaraes2 - 3Braga
AV. Guimaraes1 - 2Rio Ave
HV. Guimaraes1 - 0Boavista
AV. Guimaraes0 - 3S. Lisbon
HV. Guimaraes1 - 1Sporting Farense
AV. Guimaraes2 - 1Porto
HV. Guimaraes1 - 0Moreirense
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Benfica have beaten V. Guimaraes in 3 consecutive home league meetings
18
Benfica have not lost to V. Guimaraes in 18 consecutive league meetings
League games at Benfica since 2016
Benfica
V. Guimaraes
Goals: Scored
25
3
Games: Scored
8 / 9
2 / 9
Clean sheets
7 / 9
1 / 9
BEF
8
D
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Benfica
Benfica4 - 0
Benfica5 - 1
Benfica3 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Benfica2 - 0
Benfica3 - 2
Benfica2 - 0
Benfica5 - 0
Benfica1 - 0
League games at V. Guimaraes since 2016
V. Guimaraes
Benfica
Goals: Scored
5
16
Games: Scored
4 / 9
8 / 9
Clean sheets
1 / 9
5 / 9
BEF
7
D
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT V. Guimaraes
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 3Benfica
1 - 3Benfica
0 - 1Benfica
0 - 1Benfica
1 - 3Benfica
0 - 2Benfica
0 - 1Benfica
Goal Statistics

Benfica's forwards have been excellent of late, scoring 2 goals or more in 7 consecutive Liga NOS games. A PG of 2.3 suggests that run should continue on Saturday evening.

Benfica 3rd V. Guimaraes 6th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.3
goals
0.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
10%
1
23%
2
27%
3
20%
4+
19%
There is a 67% probability that Benfica will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
47%
1
35%
2
13%
3
4+
There is a 82% probability of V. Guimaraes scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+34
Benfica have scored 34% more goals at home than predicted
+1
V. Guimaraes’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
3.2
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
0.5
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/285174/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Benfica
PG (predicted goals)
V. Guimaraes
2.3
0.7
Attack rating
27%
better
BEF
GUI
view stats
Games scored10
9
Failed to score1
3
Scored first6
8
Goals scored30
16
Avg. goals scored2.7
1.3
Avg. shots per game13
9
Avg. shots per goal5
7
Conversion rate for21
15
Avg. XG for2.1
1.2
KickOff rating
+27%
Defence rating
12%
better
BEF
GUI
view stats
Games conceded6
7
Clean sheets5
5
Conceded first5
4
Goals conceded7
11
Avg. goals conceded0.6
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded6
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded10
8
Conversion rate against10%
13%
Avg. XG against0.6
1.2
KickOff rating
+12%

Benfica v V. Guimaraes Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Benfica Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
12435
A TrubinÁngel Di MaríaO KökcüO Kökcü
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Trubin GLK12
-
Álvaro Fernandez DEF1221
4
-
O Kökcü MID1223
5
-
V Pavlidis FWD1231
-
N Otamendi DEF1112
1
-
Florentino MID112
1
-
Ángel Di María FWD1142
1
-
A Bah DEF101
-
T Araújo DEF101
-
F Aursnes MID1012
-
J Beste DEF7
1
-
L Barreiro MID7
1
-
G Prestianni FWD7
1
-
A Cabral FWD71
-
A Silva DEF511
1
-
R Sanches  MID5
1
-
Z Amdouni FWD52
1
-
B Rollheiser FWD511
1
-
M Leonardo FWD31
-
A Schjelderup FWD31
-
I Kaboré DEF2
-
J Mário MID2
1
-
T Gouveia FWD211
1
-
J. Seno Luis Rêgo MID1
-
V. Guimaraes Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
12334
B VarelaN OliveiraN OliveiraT Silva
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Varela GLK12
3
-
J Mendes DEF12
2
-
T Händel  MID121
2
-
N Santos MID1211
2
-
Samu MID121
-
N Oliveira FWD1233
3
-
Chuchu FWD1221
-
T Borevkovic DEF11
2
-
K César FWD1111
2
-
B Gaspar DEF10
2
-
J Mendes MID101
1
-
T Silva MID1013
3
1
Manu MID91
2
-
G. da Silva Cunha FWD82
3
-
M Villanueva DEF7
4
-
T Arcanjo MID7
1
-
A Baio DEF5
-
R Mangas DEF4
-
T Ribeiro DEF41
-
Z Carlos DEF4
-
J Fernandes DEF3
-
O Rivas DEF2
-
Bica FWD1
-