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Benfica v Rio Ave : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 27th Oct, 18:00 BST, Estádio da Luz, Lisbon

The Liga NOS is the focus for both Benfica and Rio Ave on Sunday evening, as managers Roger Schmidt and Luís Carlos Batalha Freire battle it out at the Estádio da Luz. The predictions shown are based on extensive statistical analysis of both teams' performance, across seventeen of the main betting markets. Data shown and the odds change with each market, and head to head (H2H) statistics are included across them all.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

Best Tip: Benfica to win

There looks like a strong favourite for this fixture, and it's Benfica. Their recent form stats show they're capable at home, and historical head-to-head (H2H) data proves they know how to beat Rio Ave too. The odds point towards Roger Schmidt's side winning in the win / draw / win market, and that's definitely our prediction for Sunday evening too.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Benfica
85%
2/112/11
Draw
11%
13/2
15%
13/2
Rio Ave
4%
12/1
18%
12/1
Benfica 2-0
15%
11/2
8%
5/1
Benfica 3-0
14%
6/111/2
Benfica 1-0
10%
15/2
6%
6/1
Benfica 4-0
10%
9/18/1
Benfica 2-1
7%
9/115/2
Benfica 3-1
7%
10/117/2
Benfica 5-0
6%
16/1
11%
12/1
Draw 1-1
5%
14/1
15%
11/1
Benfica 4-1
5%
14/1
12%
12/1
Draw 0-0
4%
16/1
13%
14/1
Benfica 5-1
3%
25/1
10%
18/1
Benfica 6-0
3%
33/120/1
Rio Ave 1-0
2%
28/1
12%
20/1
Draw 2-2
2%
28/120/1
Benfica 3-2
2%
28/1
15%
20/1
Over 2.5 Goals
64%
19/40
3%
10/21
Under 2.5 Goals
36%
8/5
8%
6/4
Home 1st Goal
70%
1/7-
Away 1st Goal
28%
9/2-
No 1st Goal
2%
16/1
13%
-
BTTS - Yes
35%
6/56/5
BTTS - No
65%
8/138/13
BTTS - Home Win
27%
15/8
7%
15/8
BTTS - Draw
7%
17/2
6%
15/2
BTTS - Away Win
2%
20/118/1
Home/draw
96%
1/25
1%
1/40
Away/draw
15%
7/218/5
Home/away
89%
1/10
1%
1/11
Over 1.5 Goals
84%
1/7
3%
1/7
Under 1.5 Goals
16%
9/2
10%
4/1
Over 3.5 Goals
42%
6/5
2%
6/5
Under 3.5 Goals
58%
8/13
3%
8/13
Over 4.5 Goals
24%
11/4
6%
13/5
Under 4.5 Goals
76%
1/4
2%
1/4
Over 5.5 Goals
12%
6/1
13%
11/2
Under 5.5 Goals
88%
1/10
2%
1/10
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/40
1%
1/100
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
18/1
27%
14/1
Home DNB
93%
1/20
1%
1/33
Away DNB
11%
10/1
10%
9/1
Benfica win to nil
59%
4/5-
Rio Ave win to nil
2%
20/1
11%
-
Benfica / Benfica
50%
8/13
3%
8/13
Benfica / Rio Ave
1%
66/1
31%
50/1
Benfica / Draw
4%
22/1
10%
20/1
Draw / Benfica
21%
11/43/1
Draw / Rio Ave
3%
28/1
12%
20/1
Draw / Draw
8%
9/1
5%
17/2
Rio Ave / Benfica
5%
18/116/1
Rio Ave / Rio Ave
4%
25/1
13%
16/1
Rio Ave / Draw
3%
25/120/1
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table
Benfica
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Rio Ave
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
May 11
Dec 29
 S. Lisbon88002524 
Jan 19
l
 
3-1A
Nov 10
Apr 6
 Porto87011421 
Feb 2
l
 
2-0A
-
-
 Benfica Home75111216 
Mar 16
Oct 27
w
 
4-1A
Feb 16
 Santa Clara8503215 
Apr 19
Dec 8
Jan 5
May 17
 Braga8422714 
Mar 2
l
 
4-0A
Dec 8
Apr 19
 V. Guimaraes8422114 
Dec 15
Apr 27
Jan 19
l
 
2-0A
 Famalicao8341513 
d
 
1-1A
Mar 9
Feb 9
d
 
1-1A
 Moreirense8323-111 
Nov 30
Apr 13
w
 
5-1A
Mar 2
 Gil Vicente8242-210 
May 17
Jan 5
Apr 27
Dec 15
 AVS8233-49 
Feb 16
l
 
1-0A
w
 
3-0F
Jan 26
 Casa Pia8224-58 
Nov 2
Mar 30
Oct 27
Mar 16
 Rio Ave Away8224-78 
-
-
Apr 13
Dec 1
 Arouca8215-97 
w
 
1-0F
Feb 9
Feb 23
w
 
0-3F
 Boavista8134-56 
Apr 6
Nov 9
Dec 22
May 4
 Estoril8134-76 
d
 
2-2F
Feb 23
w
 
1-0F
Feb 2
 Estrela Amadora8125-85 
May 4
Dec 22
Mar 9
Dec 19
 Nacional7124-85 
Dec 29
May 11
Mar 30
Nov 2
 Sporting Farense8116-104 
w
 
1-0F
Jan 26
Win / draw / win form
15
Benfica have won 15 consecutive home league games
4
Rio Ave have lost 4 consecutive away league games
24
Benfica have not lost in 24 consecutive home league games
25
Rio Ave have not won in 25 consecutive away league games
3
Rio Ave have failed to score in 3 consecutive away league games
Benfica 3RD
20 league games
Home
15
Overall
Goals: Scored
59
Conceded
9
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
18
D
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Benfica5 - 1Gil Vicente
Benfica4 - 1Santa Clara
Benfica1 - 0Estrela Amadora
Benfica3 - 0Casa Pia
Benfica5 - 0Arouca
Benfica3 - 1Braga
Benfica3 - 0Moreirense
Benfica1 - 0Chaves
Benfica3 - 1Estoril
Benfica4 - 0Portimonense
Benfica6 - 1Vizela
Benfica3 - 0Gil Vicente
Benfica2 - 0Boavista
Benfica4 - 1Rio Ave
Benfica3 - 0Famalicao
Benfica1 - 1Sporting Farense
Benfica2 - 1S. Lisbon
Benfica1 - 1Casa Pia
Benfica1 - 0Porto
Benfica4 - 0V. Guimaraes
Goals: Scored
48
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
14
D
2
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HBenfica5 - 1Gil Vicente
ABenfica3 - 0Boavista
HBenfica4 - 1Santa Clara
ABenfica1 - 1Moreirense
HBenfica1 - 0Estrela Amadora
HBenfica3 - 0Casa Pia
ABenfica0 - 2Famalicao
ABenfica1 - 1Rio Ave
HBenfica5 - 0Arouca
ABenfica0 - 2Famalicao
HBenfica3 - 1Braga
ABenfica3 - 1Sporting Farense
HBenfica3 - 0Moreirense
ABenfica1 - 2S. Lisbon
HBenfica1 - 0Chaves
ABenfica1 - 0Casa Pia
HBenfica3 - 1Estoril
ABenfica0 - 5Porto
HBenfica4 - 0Portimonense
HBenfica6 - 1Vizela
Rio Ave 12TH
20 league games
Away
4
Overall
Goals: Scored
14
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Draw
11
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Braga4 - 0Rio Ave
AVS1 - 0Rio Ave
Porto2 - 0Rio Ave
S. Lisbon3 - 1Rio Ave
Portimonense2 - 2Rio Ave
Vizela1 - 1Rio Ave
Estrela Amadora2 - 2Rio Ave
Boavista0 - 0Rio Ave
Sporting Farense1 - 1Rio Ave
Moreirense0 - 0Rio Ave
Famalicao2 - 1Rio Ave
Porto0 - 0Rio Ave
Chaves0 - 0Rio Ave
Benfica4 - 1Rio Ave
V. Guimaraes1 - 0Rio Ave
Arouca2 - 2Rio Ave
Gil Vicente1 - 1Rio Ave
Braga2 - 1Rio Ave
S. Lisbon2 - 0Rio Ave
Casa Pia1 - 1Rio Ave
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
4
Draw
12
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HRio Ave1 - 1Famalicao
ARio Ave0 - 4Braga
HRio Ave2 - 2Estoril
ARio Ave0 - 1AVS
HRio Ave1 - 0Arouca
ARio Ave0 - 2Porto
HRio Ave1 - 0Sporting Farense
ARio Ave1 - 3S. Lisbon
HRio Ave1 - 1Benfica
ARio Ave2 - 2Portimonense
HRio Ave2 - 1V. Guimaraes
ARio Ave1 - 1Vizela
HRio Ave1 - 1Arouca
ARio Ave2 - 2Estrela Amadora
HRio Ave3 - 0Gil Vicente
ARio Ave0 - 0Boavista
ARio Ave1 - 1Sporting Farense
HRio Ave0 - 0Braga
ARio Ave0 - 0Moreirense
HRio Ave3 - 3S. Lisbon
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
8
Benfica have beaten Rio Ave in 8 consecutive home league meetings
16
Benfica have not lost to Rio Ave in 16 consecutive league meetings
League games at Benfica since 2015
Benfica
Rio Ave
Goals: Scored
26
7
Games: Scored
8 / 8
5 / 8
Clean sheets
3 / 8
0 / 8
BEF
8
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Benfica
Benfica4 - 1
Benfica4 - 2
Benfica2 - 0
Benfica2 - 0
Benfica4 - 2
Benfica5 - 1
Benfica2 - 0
Benfica3 - 1
League games at Rio Ave since 2016
Rio Ave
Benfica
Goals: Scored
5
13
Games: Scored
4 / 8
8 / 8
Clean sheets
0 / 8
4 / 8
BEF
6
D
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Rio Ave
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1Benfica
0 - 3Benfica
1 - 2Benfica
2 - 3Benfica
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1Benfica
0 - 1Benfica
Goal Statistics

Benfica's forwards have been in fine form of late, scoring 2 goals or more in 3 consecutive Liga NOS outings. A PG of 2.8 suggests that run should continue on Sunday evening.

Benfica 3rd Rio Ave 12th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.8
goals
0.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
1
17%
2
24%
3
22%
4
16%
5+
21%
There is a 83% probability that Benfica will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
62%
1
29%
2
3
4+
There is a 62% probability that Rio Ave will fail to score
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+28
Benfica have scored 28% more goals at home than predicted
-30
Rio Ave have scored 30% fewer goals when away than predicted
3.0
average goals scored
0.7
average goals scored
0.5
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/285141/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Benfica
PG (predicted goals)
Rio Ave
2.8
0.5
Attack rating
42%
better
BEF
RIO
view stats
Games scored6
5
Failed to score1
3
Scored first3
3
Goals scored17
6
Avg. goals scored2.4
0.8
Avg. shots per game13
8
Avg. shots per goal5
11
Conversion rate for19
9
Avg. XG for1.9
1.3
KickOff rating
+42%
Defence rating
29%
better
BEF
RIO
view stats
Games conceded4
6
Clean sheets3
2
Conceded first4
5
Goals conceded5
13
Avg. goals conceded0.7
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded6
13
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
8
Conversion rate against13%
13%
Avg. XG against0.4
1.4
KickOff rating
+29%

Benfica v Rio Ave Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Benfica Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
7233
A TrubinFlorentinoO KökcüÁlvaro Fernandez
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Trubin GLK7
-
Álvaro Fernandez DEF7
3
-
Florentino MID72
1
-
O Kökcü MID723
3
-
G Prestianni FWD7
1
-
V Pavlidis FWD721
-
N Otamendi DEF612
1
-
L Barreiro MID6
1
-
Ángel Di María FWD611
-
A Bah DEF51
-
T Araújo DEF5
-
A Silva DEF511
1
-
F Aursnes MID511
-
A Cabral FWD41
-
B Rollheiser FWD411
1
-
J Beste DEF3
-
M Leonardo FWD31
-
Z Amdouni FWD31
-
J Mário MID2
1
-
R Sanches  MID2
1
-
T Gouveia FWD211
1
-
I Kaboré DEF1
-
J. Seno Luis Rêgo MID1
-
A Schjelderup FWD1
-
Rio Ave Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
8313
JhonatanClaytonM Vrousai P William
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Jhonatan GLK8
-
A Santos DEF8
1
-
Amine MID8
1
-
J Novais MID8
-
Clayton FWD83
2
-
T Morais FWD8
-
M Vrousai  FWD81
1
-
R Pantalon DEF7
1
-
K Bondoso FWD71
-
J Panzo DEF6
1
-
F Ronaldo FWD6
-
O Richards DEF51
1
-
B Aguilera MID5
-
O Pohlmann MID5
-
P William DEF41
3
-
J Tomé DEF4
-
V Gomes MID41
-
A Hassan FWD41
1
-
J Graça MID3
-
M Nóbrega DEF1
-