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Benfica v Arouca : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estádio da Luz, Lisbon

Roger Schmidt welcomes Daniel Sousa to the Estádio da Luz on Sunday evening, as their Benfica and Arouca troops meet in the Liga NOS. Analysing both teams' last 20 Liga NOS matches, as well as trends within the competition and the market, to generate our match predictions. All the statistics, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside odds.

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The last Portuguese Liga NOS meeting between Benfica and Arouca was on Sunday 12th May 2024
Portuguese Liga NOS
May 12th 2024
Benfica 5
0 Arouca
 
Á. Di María Hernández 25'
O. Kökçü 32'
R. Fernandes Ferreira da Silva 42'
R. Fernandes Ferreira da Silva 46'
C. Tengstedt 58'
 
BEF
ARO
Shots On
9
1
Shots Off
6
3
Corners
3
3
Possession
50%
50%
Fouls
9
13
Yellow/red cards
2/0
2/0
 
BenficaArouca
 
A. Trubin
A. Tavares Silva (F. Rodrigues 65')
?. Fernández
N. Otamendi
F. Morris Luís (T. Antunes Gouveia 65')
J. Gonçalves Neves
O. Kökçüfootball icon (B. Rollheiser 76')
J. Naval da Costa Eduardo
F. Aursnes
R. Fernandes Ferreira da Silvafootball iconfootball icon (J. Seno Luis Rêgo 85')
Á. Di María Hernándezfootball icon (C. Tengstedt 76')
I. De Arruabarrena Fernández
R. Alves de Barros
F. Montero Rubio
T. Sousa Esgaio
W. Moreira da Costa
M. Sylla
(O. Busquets Mas 76') D. Martins Simão
(A. Trezza Hernández 50') P. Carvalho Santos
(Y. Lawal 85') D. Remeseiro Salgueiro
(J. Eboue 50') V. Morozov
(M. Puche García 76') C. González Pérez
Best Tip: Benfica to win

It looks like we could well have a dominant side in this fixture, and it's Benfica. Their recent form statistics show they're capable at home, and historical head-to-head (H2H) data proves they've got a track record against Arouca too. The odds point towards Roger Schmidt's side winning in the win / draw / win market, and that's definitely our prediction for Sunday evening too.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Benfica are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 64% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.25.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Benfica
64%
2/7
3%
1/4
Draw
18%
11/211/2
Arouca
17%
7/1
16%
17/2
5%
Benfica 2-1
10%
17/27/1
Benfica 2-0
8%
17/2
19%
15/2
21%
Draw 1-1
8%
14/1
15%
10/1
Benfica 3-1
8%
9/18/1
Benfica 1-0
7%
12/1
18%
9/1
18%
Benfica 3-0
7%
9/1
11%
15/2
6%
Draw 2-2
6%
18/1
10%
14/1
12%
Arouca 2-1
5%
22/120/1
Benfica 4-1
5%
12/1
13%
10/1
8%
Benfica 3-2
4%
18/1
10%
14/1
12%
Benfica 4-0
4%
12/1
8%
10/1
Arouca 1-0
3%
28/1
12%
22/1
10%
Draw 0-0
3%
28/1
26%
20/1
11%
Benfica 4-2
3%
22/1
21%
18/1
10%
Benfica 5-1
2%
20/1
9%
16/1
11%
Over 2.5 Goals
69%
2/7
5%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
31%
13/5
16%
-
Home 1st Goal
56%
1/4
2%
-
Away 1st Goal
43%
11/4
6%
-
No 1st Goal
1%
28/1
26%
-
BTTS - Yes
62%
8/13
7%
8/13
10%
BTTS - No
38%
6/5
10%
6/5
13%
BTTS - Home Win
36%
5/4
10%
6/5
10%
BTTS - Draw
16%
13/26/1
BTTS - Away Win
11%
10/1
15%
10/1
15%
Home/draw
83%
1/12
1%
1/16
Away/draw
36%
5/2
7%
11/4
1%
Home/away
82%
1/91/9
Over 1.5 Goals
87%
1/12
3%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
13%
7/1
23%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
47%
8/11
9%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
53%
1/1
11%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
28%
13/8
19%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
72%
4/9
8%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
15%
7/2
18%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
85%
2/11
4%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
1/150-
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
28/1
26%
-
Home DNB
77%
1/9
1%
1/14
Away DNB
30%
11/2
7%
6/1
7%
Benfica win to nil
28%
13/8
16%
-
Arouca win to nil
6%
18/1
12%
-
Benfica / Benfica
45%
4/5
4%
8/11
Benfica / Arouca
2%
40/133/1
17%
Benfica / Draw
5%
18/116/1
Draw / Benfica
19%
10/3
8%
16/5
Draw / Arouca
5%
20/116/1
Draw / Draw
8%
10/1
10%
17/2
6%
Arouca / Benfica
5%
14/114/1
Arouca / Arouca
6%
14/1
12%
11/1
8%
Arouca / Draw
5%
20/116/1
bet365
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Benfica have played 32 matches so far this season and lay in 2nd place in the Liga NOS league table. Benfica are unbeaten at home after 16 games and have kept 9 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 30 games against teams below in the table, having won 23, drawn 4 and lost 3 matches. They have kept 15 clean sheets and have failed to score in 3 fixtures. Benfica have outscored their opponents by 71 goals to 53 goals.

Home League Performance

Benfica have played 16 games at home winning 14, drawing 2 and losing 0 games. They have scored 43 goals, kept 9 clean sheets and conceded 7 goals at home.

Arouca are in 7th position in the Liga NOS on 46 points having played 32 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

6 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 19 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 28 goals in total and failed to score in 4 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

10 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 7 games, drawn 1 and won 2. Arouca have conceded 16 goals, scored 9, failed to score in 5 fixtures and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Benfica
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Arouca
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
w
 
2-1A
l
 
2-1A
 S. Lisbon3429326790 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
2-1A
-
-
 Benfica Home3425544980 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
5-0A
w
 
1-0F
l
 
5-0A
 Porto3422663672 
w
 
3-2F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
3-1A
w
 
0-1F
 Braga3421582168 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-3F
w
 
4-0F
d
 
2-2A
 V. Guimaraes3419691463 
l
 
1-3F
l
 
2-1F
w
 
3-0F
d
 
0-00-0
 Moreirense3416711155 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
5-0F
w
 
0-3F
 Arouca Away3413714446 
-
-
w
 
3-0F
l
 
2-0A
 Famalicao34101212-442 
w
 
3-2A
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-1F
 Casa Pia3410816-1238 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-3F
 Sporting Farense3410717-537 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-0A
w
 
4-1A
d
 
1-1F
 Rio Ave346199-537 
d
 
2-2A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
3-0F
w
 
2-3F
 Gil Vicente349916-1036 
w
 
3-0F
d
 
2-2F
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-1F
 Estoril349619-933 
w
 
4-3A
w
 
1-2A
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-4A
 Estrela Amadora3471215-2033 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-4A
w
 
2-0F
l
 
3-2F
 Boavista3471116-2332 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-4F
w
 
4-0F
w
 
1-3F
 Portimonense348818-3332 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-2F
w
 
6-1F
w
 
1-2F
 Vizela3451118-3026 
w
 
5-0F
d
 
2-2A
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-2F
 Chaves345821-4123 
l
 
0-2A
w
 
1-5A
Win / draw / win form
Benfica 2ND
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
49
Conceded
9
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
8 / 20
Clean sheets
12 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
17
D
2
L
1
see results
HOME FORM
Benfica3 - 1Braga
Benfica3 - 0Moreirense
Benfica1 - 0Chaves
Benfica3 - 1Estoril
Benfica4 - 0Portimonense
Benfica6 - 1Vizela
Benfica3 - 0Gil Vicente
Benfica2 - 0Boavista
Benfica4 - 1Rio Ave
Benfica3 - 0Famalicao
Benfica1 - 1Sporting Farense
Benfica2 - 1S. Lisbon
Benfica1 - 1Casa Pia
Benfica1 - 0Porto
Benfica4 - 0V. Guimaraes
Benfica2 - 0Estrela Amadora
Benfica3 - 0Santa Clara
Benfica1 - 0Braga
Benfica1 - 0Estoril
Benfica1 - 2Porto
Goals: Scored
48
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
15
D
2
L
3
see results
OVERALL FORM
ABenfica0 - 2Famalicao
HBenfica3 - 1Braga
ABenfica3 - 1Sporting Farense
HBenfica3 - 0Moreirense
ABenfica1 - 2S. Lisbon
HBenfica1 - 0Chaves
ABenfica1 - 0Casa Pia
HBenfica3 - 1Estoril
ABenfica0 - 5Porto
HBenfica4 - 0Portimonense
HBenfica6 - 1Vizela
ABenfica2 - 2V. Guimaraes
HBenfica3 - 0Gil Vicente
ABenfica4 - 1Estrela Amadora
HBenfica2 - 0Boavista
HBenfica4 - 1Rio Ave
ABenfica3 - 0Arouca
HBenfica3 - 0Famalicao
ABenfica1 - 0Braga
HBenfica1 - 1Sporting Farense
Arouca 7TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
see results
AWAY FORM
Gil Vicente2 - 2Arouca
Rio Ave1 - 1Arouca
Braga0 - 3Arouca
Moreirense1 - 0Arouca
Chaves1 - 5Arouca
Casa Pia1 - 0Arouca
Portimonense1 - 2Arouca
Estoril1 - 2Arouca
V. Guimaraes2 - 1Arouca
Estrela Amadora1 - 4Arouca
Boavista0 - 4Arouca
Sporting Farense2 - 0Arouca
S. Lisbon2 - 1Arouca
Famalicao1 - 0Arouca
Porto1 - 1Arouca
Vizela2 - 2Arouca
Portimonense0 - 2Arouca
Estoril2 - 0Arouca
Rio Ave1 - 0Arouca
S. Lisbon1 - 1Arouca
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
11
D
4
Lost
5
see results
OVERALL FORM
HArouca0 - 0Estrela Amadora
AArouca2 - 2Gil Vicente
AArouca1 - 1Rio Ave
HArouca2 - 1Boavista
AArouca3 - 0Braga
HArouca2 - 1Sporting Farense
AArouca0 - 1Moreirense
HArouca0 - 3S. Lisbon
AArouca5 - 1Chaves
HArouca3 - 2Famalicao
AArouca0 - 1Casa Pia
HArouca3 - 2Porto
AArouca2 - 1Portimonense
HArouca5 - 0Vizela
AArouca2 - 1Estoril
AArouca1 - 2V. Guimaraes
HArouca0 - 3Benfica
AArouca4 - 1Estrela Amadora
HArouca3 - 0Gil Vicente
HArouca2 - 2Rio Ave
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
8
Benfica have beaten Arouca in 8 consecutive league meetings
8
Benfica have not lost to Arouca in 8 consecutive league meetings
6
Benfica have kept a clean sheet in 6 consecutive league meetings with Arouca
League games at Benfica since 2016
Benfica
Arouca
Goals: Scored
12
1
Games: Scored
4 / 4
1 / 4
Clean sheets
3 / 4
0 / 4
BEF
4
see results
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Benfica
Benfica4 - 0
Benfica2 - 0
Benfica3 - 0
Benfica3 - 1
All league games since 2015
Benfica
Arouca
Goals: Scored
22
3
Games: Scored
8 / 9
3 / 9
Clean sheets
6 / 9
1 / 9
BEF
8
ARO
1
see results
FIXTURE HISTORY
0 - 3Benfica
0 - 3Benfica
Benfica4 - 0
0 - 2Benfica
Benfica2 - 0
Benfica3 - 0
1 - 2Benfica
Benfica3 - 1
Arouca1 - 0
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.4 is fairly strong for Benfica in their meeting with Arouca, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 20 consecutive Liga NOS matches.

Benfica 2nd Arouca 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.4
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
9%
1
22%
2
26%
3
21%
4+
22%
There is a 69% probability that Benfica will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that Arouca will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+9
Benfica’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+30
Arouca have scored 30% more goals when away than predicted
2.5
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
0.5
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Statistics Liga NOS - 2023/2024 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/264928/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Benfica
PG (predicted goals)
Arouca
2.4
1.2
Attack rating
30%
better
BEF
ARO
view stats
Games scored31
22
Failed to score3
12
Scored first24
12
Goals scored77
54
Avg. goals scored2.3
1.6
Avg. shots per game13
10
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate17%
16%
KickOff rating
+30%
Defence rating
42%
better
BEF
ARO
view stats
Games conceded18
29
Clean sheets16
5
Conceded first9
21
Goals conceded28
50
Avg. goals conceded0.8
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded8
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded10
6
Conversion rate10%
16%
KickOff rating
+42%

Benfica v Arouca Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Benfica Liga NOS squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
31141210
F AursnesR SilvaR SilvaN Otamendi
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Trubin GLK28
1
-
F Aursnes DEF3327
2
-
A Silva DEF302
6
-
N Otamendi DEF3121
10
-
Álvaro Fernandez DEF1111
1
-
J Neves MID3331
3
-
Florentino MID30
8
-
Ángel Di María MID28910
4
-
O Kökcü MID2778
6
-
J Mário MID3131
4
-
R Silva FWD291412
3
-
Subs
S Soares GLK5
-
D. Spencer Marques DEF1
-
Morato DEF211
2
-
J Bernat DEF2
-
J. Seno Luis Rêgo MID1
-
G Prestianni FWD2
-
B Rollheiser FWD91
1
-
T Gouveia FWD1323
1
-
C Tengstedt FWD1742
2
-
Arouca Liga NOS squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3315910
C GonzálezC GonzálezC GonzálezB Pinto
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
I Arruabarrena GLK31
4
-
T Esgaio DEF2823
5
-
R Bambu DEF10
1
-
F Montero DEF2911
8
-
Weverson DEF2611
4
-
P Santos MID281
7
-
B Pinto MID327
9
1
Jason MID3465
4
-
C González MID34159
4
-
M Sylla MID3235
8
-
V Morozov FWD3
-
Subs
J Valido GLK1
-
M Rocha DEF111
1
1
B Milovanov DEF22
3
-
K Eboue MID25
5
1
U Busquets MID18
2
-
Vitinho MID7
-
Y Lawal FWD171
1
-
A Trezza FWD24
5
-
M Puche FWD23
-
Portuguese Liga NOS match betting previews, predictions and odds