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Benfica v Arouca : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estádio da Luz, Lisbon

Sunday evening at the Estádio da Luz, and it’s a Liga NOS showdown between Benfica and Arouca. Bruno Lage and Vasco Seabra will be doing all they can to ensure the win. You'll find statistics supporting our top of Benfica to win below, but be sure to take a look at the 16 other markets we're covering too. Each has been designed to give you as full a picture as possible, with Liga NOS performances and head-to-heads included, so that you can make a smart bet. Finally, be sure to get the best odds from one of the UK's biggest bookmakers.

This match has now expired. Kickoff has all of the best football predictions for you to choose from, for all Liga NOS Predictions. Kickoff constantly updates all 17 football betting markets to analyse and predict football scores – whether you choose football accumulator tips, both teams to score (BTTS tips), correct score, or if you are looking for free football tips – then make sure to sign up to Kickoff.co.uk today.

Benfica's next match is v V. Guimaraes at 20:30 on Saturday 19th April
Arouca's next match is v Estrela Amadora at 18:00 on Saturday 19th April
The last Portuguese Liga NOS meeting between Benfica and Arouca was on Sunday 13th April 2025
Portuguese Liga NOS
April 13th 2025
Benfica 2
2 Arouca
 
O. Kökçü 60'72' G. Yalçın
V. Pavlidis 79'90' W. Moreira da Costa
 
BEF
ARO
Shots On
8
5
Shots Off
9
2
Corners
11
5
Possession
55%
45%
Fouls
4
11
Yellow/red cards
1/0
3/0
 
BenficaArouca
 
A. Trubin
A. Fernández
A. Tavares Silva
T. Araújo
N. Otamendi
F. Aursnes (A. Mendonça Cabral 90')
O. Kökçüfootball icon
F. Morris Luís (A. Schjelderup 76')
V. Pavlidisfootball icon (L. Barreiro Martins 89')
M. Aktürkoğlu (A. Tué Na Bangna 89')
Á. Di María Hernández (A. Belotti 76')
N. Mantl
J. Fontán Mondragón
C. Reis Pinto
B. Popović
(W. Moreira da Costa 83') A. Dante
P. Carvalho Santos
(M. Ndiaye 89') T. Fukui
M. Sylla
(D. Nandín Berrutti 83') A. Trezza Hernández
(B. Mansilla 83') football iconG. Yalçın
(M. Puche García 89') D. Remeseiro Salgueiro

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Benfica to win

After looking at the bookies' odds and collated statistics regarding both teams ahead of this Liga NOS fixture, a bet on win / draw / win for Benfica to win in front of their own fans is what we would suggest. We predict they will have too much for Arouca, and head-to-head (H2H) records show they have the pedigree to do so. There could be some bumps along the way, but Benfica to win is the bet come Sunday evening.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Benfica
74%
1/8
8%
-
Draw
16%
7/1
33%
-
Arouca
11%
18/1
58%
-
Benfica 2-0
10%
6/1-
Benfica 2-1
9%
10/1
16%
-
Benfica 3-0
9%
6/1
13%
-
Benfica 3-1
8%
10/1-
Benfica 1-0
8%
9/1
5%
-
Draw 1-1
7%
14/1
25%
-
Benfica 4-0
6%
15/2
23%
-
Benfica 4-1
5%
14/1-
Draw 2-2
4%
28/1
38%
-
Benfica 3-2
4%
28/1
12%
-
Arouca 2-1
3%
40/1
41%
-
Draw 0-0
3%
20/1
11%
-
Benfica 5-0
3%
12/1
38%
-
Arouca 1-0
3%
40/1
41%
-
Benfica 5-1
3%
20/1
19%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
68%
4/11
6%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
32%
21/10
15%
-
Home 1st Goal
60%
1/7
3%
-
Away 1st Goal
38%
9/2
16%
-
No 1st Goal
2%
20/1
11%
-
BTTS - Yes
55%
11/10
8%
-
BTTS - No
45%
4/6
7%
-
BTTS - Home Win
36%
13/8
5%
-
BTTS - Draw
13%
9/1
33%
-
BTTS - Away Win
6%
33/1
79%
-
Home/draw
89%
1/50
3%
-
Away/draw
26%
5/1
50%
-
Home/away
84%
1/12
4%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
86%
1/10
2%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
14%
6/1
17%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
46%
5/6
13%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
54%
5/6
10%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
27%
2/1
14%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
73%
4/11
5%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
14%
9/2
15%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
86%
1/7
3%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
1/66
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
20/1
11%
-
Home DNB
84%
1/40
4%
-
Away DNB
22%
16/1
70%
-
Benfica win to nil
38%
4/5
14%
-
Arouca win to nil
4%
28/1
53%
-
Benfica / Benfica
55%
1/2
13%
-
Benfica / Arouca
1%
80/1
98%
-
Benfica / Draw
4%
25/1
24%
-
Draw / Benfica
22%
11/4
6%
-
Draw / Arouca
2%
40/1
95%
-
Draw / Draw
7%
12/1
37%
-
Arouca / Benfica
4%
16/1-
Arouca / Arouca
2%
33/1
62%
-
Arouca / Draw
3%
28/1
26%
-
Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Benfica have played 28 matches so far this season and lay in 2nd place in the Liga NOS league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 27 games against teams below in the table, having won 22, drawn 2 and lost 3 matches. They have kept 13 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Benfica have outscored their opponents by 69 goals to 27 goals.

Home League Performance

Benfica have played 14 games at home winning 13, drawing 0 and losing 1 game. They have scored 43 goals, kept 8 clean sheets and conceded 9 goals at home.

Arouca are in 12th position in the Liga NOS on 29 points having played 28 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

7 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 25 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 16 goals in total and failed to score in 3 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

19 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 11 games, drawn 4 and won 4. Arouca have conceded 34 goals, scored 16, failed to score in 6 fixtures and have kept 4 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Benfica
Arouca
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
S. Lisbon2921625169 
May 10
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-3A
d
 
2-2F
2
Benfica Home2922344669 
-
-
l
 
0-2A
d
 
2-2A
3
Braga2918652460 
l
 
1-2A
May 17
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-1A
4
Porto2918563059 
w
 
4-1F
w
 
1-4F
l
 
0-2A
l
 
4-0A
5
V. Guimaraes29121251248 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 19
l
 
0-1A
d
 
2-2A
6
Santa Clara2914411046 
w
 
4-1A
w
 
0-1F
w
 
1-0F
Apr 26
7
Famalicao2911108743 
w
 
4-0F
l
 
2-0A
l
 
1-2A
d
 
0-00-0
8
Casa Pia2911711-340 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
3-1F
May 4
l
 
3-1A
9
Estoril2910910-839 
w
 
3-0F
May 3
d
 
1-1F
l
 
4-1F
10
Moreirense299812-735 
w
 
3-2F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-1F
11
Nacional299515-1132 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2F
12
Rio Ave298813-1532 
w
 
5-0F
w
 
2-3F
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
13
Arouca Away297913-1630 
d
 
2-2F
w
 
0-2F
-
-
14
Gil Vicente296815-1626 
w
 
5-1A
w
 
0-3F
d
 
1-1A
May 10
15
Estrela Amadora296815-2026 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
2-3F
Apr 19
l
 
2-1F
16
AVS2941114-2623 
Apr 27
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-1F
17
Sporting Farense294916-2021 
w
 
3-2F
w
 
1-2A
d
 
2-2A
w
 
0-1F
18
Boavista294619-2818 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-3F
May 17
w
 
1-3F
Win / draw / win form
Benfica 2ND
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
62
Conceded
11
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
8 / 20
Clean sheets
12 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
19
L
1
Goals: Scored
47
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
16
D
1
L
3
Arouca 13TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
5
Draw
7
Lost
8
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
10
Benfica have beaten Arouca in 10 consecutive league meetings
10
Benfica have not lost to Arouca in 10 consecutive league meetings
8
Benfica have kept a clean sheet in 8 consecutive league meetings with Arouca
League games at Benfica since 2016
Benfica
Arouca
Goals: Scored
17
1
Games: Scored
5 / 5
1 / 5
Clean sheets
4 / 5
0 / 5
BEF
5
League games at Arouca since 2015
Arouca
Benfica
Goals: Scored
2
12
Games: Scored
2 / 6
5 / 6
Clean sheets
1 / 6
4 / 6
BEF
5
ARO
1
Goal Statistics

Benfica's forwards have been in fine form of late, scoring 2 goals or more in 6 consecutive Liga NOS outings. A PG of 2.6 suggests that run should continue on Sunday evening.

A truly dismal PG of just 0.9 should cause concerns for Arouca fans, as should a 5 Liga NOS matches run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

Benfica 2nd Arouca 13th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.6
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
1
19%
2
25%
3
22%
4+
26%
There is a 26% probability that Benfica will score 4 or more goals in this match
0
41%
1
37%
2
16%
3
4+
There is a 78% probability of Arouca scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+26
Benfica have scored 26% more goals at home than predicted
+15
Arouca have scored 15% more goals when away than predicted
3.1
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
0.6
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/285300/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Benfica
PG (predicted goals)
Arouca
2.6
0.9
Attack rating
44%
better
BEF
ARO
view stats
Games scored26
21
Failed to score2
7
Scored first21
14
Goals scored69
27
Avg. goals scored2.5
1
Avg. shots per game13
8
Avg. shots per goal5
9
Conversion rate for19
11
Avg. XG for2.2
1.2
KickOff rating
+44%
Defence rating
37%
better
BEF
ARO
view stats
Games conceded15
22
Clean sheets13
6
Conceded first7
13
Goals conceded23
43
Avg. goals conceded0.8
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded7
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
6
Conversion rate against12%
16%
Avg. XG against0.7
1.5
KickOff rating
+37%

Benfica v Arouca Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Benfica Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
261486
A TrubinV PavlidisK AktürkogluÁlvaro Fernandez
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Trubin GLK26
1
-
T Araújo DEF222
1
-
A Silva DEF1712
2
-
N Otamendi DEF2542
2
-
Álvaro Fernandez DEF2721
6
-
F Aursnes MID2424
1
-
Florentino MID2121
4
-
O Kökcü MID2765
6
-
Ángel Di María FWD2185
4
-
V Pavlidis FWD28145
2
-
K Aktürkoglu FWD2498
1
-
Subs
S Soares GLK2
-
S Dahl DEF71
-
L Barreiro MID2231
5
-
Z Amdouni FWD2262
1
-
A Cabral FWD172
3
-
A Belotti FWD82
-
A Schjelderup FWD1412
-
Bruma  FWD612
-
T Gouveia FWD211
1
-
Arouca Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
26527
N MantlJasonWeversonJ Fontán
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Mantl GLK26
5
-
A Pinto DEF8
1
-
J Fontán DEF241
7
-
B Popovic DEF12
1
A Dante DEF11
1
-
P Santos MID26
3
-
T Fukui MID251
4
-
A Trezza MID2841
4
-
Jason MID2751
4
-
M Sylla MID272
3
-
G Yalcin FWD1831
4
1
Subs
J Valido GLK2
-
J. Vinarčík GLK
-
Weverson DEF202
4
-
P Moreira MID
-
P Gozálbez MID161
1
-
M Loum MID16
5
-
M Puche FWD17
-
D Nandin FWD91
2
-
B Mansilla FWD6
-