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AVS v FC Porto : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mon 28th Oct, 20:15 BST, Estadio Do Cd Das Aves, Vila das Aves

We’ve Liga NOS action to enjoy on Monday night, as Vítor Fernando de Carvalho Campelos and his AVS side host Vítor Bruno Ramos Gonçalves’s FC Porto at the Estadio Do Cd Das Aves. The predictions shown are based on in-depth statistical analysis of both teams, across 17 of the main betting markets. The data and the odds are unique to each market, and head-to-head stats are included across them all.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

Best Tip: Porto to win

Absolutely no club, players or staff in Liga NOS wants to suffer defeat in front of their own fans, but the stats below are suggesting that could be AVS's fate as they go head-to-head with Porto at Estadio Do Cd Das Aves on Monday night. The bookmakers agree, with all placing the away win as the most likely outcome at odds of 1.29, and so does our predictive algorithm. Our algorithm suggests the away win in the win / draw / win market has a 73% probability, easily making it the best bet here.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
AVS
10%
15/2-
Draw
18%
9/2
10%
-
Porto
72%
3/10
1%
-
Porto 2-0
14%
5/1-
Porto 1-0
12%
5/1
8%
-
Porto 3-0
10%
7/1
7%
-
Porto 2-1
9%
8/1-
Draw 1-1
8%
10/1
10%
-
Porto 3-1
7%
11/1-
Draw 0-0
6%
11/1-
Porto 4-0
5%
12/1-
AVS 1-0
4%
16/1
11%
-
Porto 4-1
4%
20/1-
Draw 2-2
3%
25/1-
AVS 2-1
3%
22/1
12%
-
Porto 5-0
2%
25/1-
Porto 3-2
2%
33/1-
Porto 5-1
2%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
3/4-
Under 2.5 Goals
45%
21/20-
Home 1st Goal
35%
15/4-
Away 1st Goal
62%
2/9-
No 1st Goal
4%
11/1-
BTTS - Yes
44%
5/4-
BTTS - No
56%
4/7-
BTTS - Home Win
5%
16/1
11%
-
BTTS - Draw
12%
7/1
7%
-
BTTS - Away Win
27%
12/5
3%
-
Home/draw
28%
12/5-
Away/draw
90%
1/12
1%
-
Home/away
82%
1/7-
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
1/4-
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
11/4-
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
2/1-
Under 3.5 Goals
67%
4/11-
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
9/2-
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
1/7-
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
12/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/25-
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/33
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
14/1
25%
-
Home DNB
23%
6/1-
Away DNB
85%
1/10-
AVS win to nil
5%
12/1
13%
-
Porto win to nil
45%
10/11-
AVS / AVS
5%
16/1-
AVS / Porto
4%
20/1-
AVS / Draw
4%
20/1-
Draw / AVS
4%
18/1-
Draw / Porto
22%
11/4-
Draw / Draw
12%
6/1-
Porto / AVS
2%
50/1-
Porto / Porto
43%
10/11-
Porto / Draw
4%
18/1-
bet365
Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

AVS have played 8 matches so far this season and are in 10th position in the league. AVS are unbeaten at home after 4 games and have kept 3 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams above them in the league

4 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 3 games, drawn zero and won 1. AVS have conceded 9 goals, scored 4, failed to score in 1 match and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

AVS have played 4 games at home, winning 2, drawing 2 and losing 0 fixtures. They have scored 3 goals, conceded 1 goal, kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score 1 time in home league games.

Porto lay in 2nd place on 21 points in the Liga NOS league table having played 8 matches. Porto have won all their 7 games against teams below them in the table and kept 5 clean sheets in those games.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 7 games against teams below them in the table, winning 7, drawing 0 and losing 0 games. They have scored 18 goals and kept 5 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Porto have conceded 2 goals and scored in every game.

Away league performance

Porto have played 3 away games, winning 2, drawing 0 and losing 1 game. They have scored an average of 1.7 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.7 goals per away game.

AVS
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Porto
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
Feb 23
l
 
3-0A
 S. Lisbon88002524 
Feb 9
l
 
2-0A
Oct 28
Mar 16
 Porto Away87011421 
-
-
Dec 15
Apr 27
 Benfica75111216 
Apr 6
Nov 10
Feb 9
l
 
2-1A
 Santa Clara8503215 
Jan 26
w
 
0-2F
Dec 1
Apr 13
 Braga8422714 
w
 
2-1F
Mar 9
w
 
1-0F
Feb 2
 V. Guimaraes8422114 
Feb 23
w
 
0-3F
Nov 3
Mar 30
 Famalicao8341513 
Apr 19
Dec 8
May 17
Jan 5
 Moreirense8323-111 
May 4
Dec 22
Jan 26
l
 
4-2F
 Gil Vicente8242-210 
w
 
3-0F
Jan 19
-
-
 AVS Home8233-49 
Mar 16
Oct 28
Apr 19
Dec 8
 Casa Pia8224-58 
Dec 2
Apr 13
w
 
1-0F
Feb 16
 Rio Ave8224-78 
w
 
2-0F
Feb 2
Mar 9
d
 
1-1A
 Arouca8215-97 
w
 
4-0F
Mar 2
May 4
Dec 22
 Boavista8134-56 
Dec 29
May 11
Apr 6
Nov 9
 Estoril8134-76 
Nov 3
Mar 30
Dec 29
May 11
 Estrela Amadora8125-85 
Dec 15
Apr 27
d
 
1-1A
Jan 19
 Nacional7124-85 
May 17
Jan 5
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 2
 Sporting Farense8116-104 
w
 
2-1F
Feb 16
Win / draw / win form
4
Porto have won 4 consecutive league games
3
AVS have kept a clean sheet for 3 consecutive home league games
AVS 10TH
4 league games
Home
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
3
Conceded
1
Games: Scored
3 / 4
Conceded
1 / 4
Clean sheets
3 / 4
Failed to score
1 / 4
Won
2
Draw
2
Goals: Scored
7
Conceded
11
Games: Scored
6 / 8
Conceded
5 / 8
Clean sheets
3 / 8
Failed to score
2 / 8
Won
2
Draw
3
Lost
3
Porto 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
4
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
13
D
2
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
44
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
14
D
3
L
3
bet365
bet365
Goal Statistics

An absolutely awful PG of just 0.7 should cause concerns for AVS fans, as should a 6 Liga NOS matches run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

FC Porto's forwards have been superb of late, finding the net twice or more in 4 consecutive Liga NOS matches. A PG of 2.2 suggests that run should continue on Monday night.

AVS 10th Porto 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
0.7
goals
2.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
51%
1
34%
2
12%
3
4+
There is a 51% probability that AVS will fail to score
0
11%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4+
18%
There is a 65% probability that Porto will score 2 or more goals in this match
 
20 home / away league games
4 home / away league games
=0
AVS’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-3
Porto’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
0.8
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
0.3
conceded
0.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/285354/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
AVS
PG (predicted goals)
Porto
0.7
2.2
Attack rating
PTO
44%
better
view stats
Games scored6
7
Failed to score2
1
Scored first3
7
Goals scored7
18
Avg. goals scored0.9
2.3
Avg. shots per game9
13
Avg. shots per goal11
6
Conversion rate for9
18
Avg. XG for1.1
2.1
KickOff rating
+44%
Defence rating
PTO
47%
better
view stats
Games conceded5
3
Clean sheets3
5
Conceded first4
1
Goals conceded11
4
Avg. goals conceded1.4
0.5
Avg. shots/game conceded12
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
13
Conversion rate against12%
8%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.1
KickOff rating
+47%

AVS v Porto Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

AVS Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
8222
C CastroNenêKikiC Castro
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Castro DEF8
2
-
Kiki DEF812
1
-
J Mercado FWD811
-
B Roux DEF7
1
-
L Piazon MID71
1
-
G Aburjania MID7
-
J Grau MID61
2
-
F Fonseca DEF5
1
-
J Teixeira DEF5
1
-
I. Kamate MID5
-
J Lucca MID5
1
-
B Akinsola FWD5
-
S Simão GLK4
-
R Rodrigues DEF4
-
L. Santos do Nascimento DEF4
1
-
S Granada FWD41
1
-
V Lopes FWD41
1
-
E Veiga DEF3
-
Y Mena FWD3
2
-
Nenê FWD32
1
-
L Silva MID2
1
-
I Rodríguez DEF1
-
G. Mendonça MID1
-
Porto Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
8623
D CostaGalenoN González A Varela
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Costa GLK8
-
A Varela MID81
3
-
N González  MID822
2
-
Galeno FWD86
1
-
J. da Silva Figueiredo Freitas DEF7
1
-
V Sousa MID7
-
D Namaso FWD71
1
-
Pepê FWD72
1
-
J Mário DEF61
1
-
M. Moreira Moutinho Fernandes DEF6
-
S Eustaquio MID6
2
-
G Borges FWD61
-
O Silva DEF5
1
-
I Jaime MID522
-
S. Omorodion Aghehowa FWD54
1
-
N Pérez DEF4
1
-
F Navarro FWD4
-
A Franco MID3
1
-
M Grujić MID2
-
F Vieira MID2
-
D Gül FWD21
-
Wendell DEF1
-