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AVS v Estrela Amadora : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 28th Dec, 15:30 BST, Estadio Do Cd Das Aves, Vila das Aves

the Estadio Do Cd Das Aves is the setting on Saturday afternoon, as Vítor Fernando de Carvalho Campelos's AVS are visited by Filipe Gonçalo Pinto Martins's Estrela Amadora in the Liga NOS. This preview has the best odds for 17 different markets, alongside supporting data that changes as you go between markets. Our predictions run off 20-game form, so all statistics are shown for each side's last 20 too. Home vs away and overall performance can be viewed, while there's also head-to-head history towards the bottom of the page.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

Under 2.5 goals simply means there there will be a maximum of 2 goals scored in total by AVS and Estrela Amadora during the regulation 90 minutes. It's a bet the stats below and the odds are both leaning towards here, and an outcome that we've seen head to head clashes between these sides has produced in the past. Without a strong favourite to win the game, our best bet prediction for this one is under 2.5.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think AVS are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 46% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.45.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
AVS
46%
29/2029/20
2%
Draw
28%
2/121/10
Estrela Amadora
26%
21/102/1
AVS 1-0
14%
6/111/2
Draw 1-1
13%
5/119/4
Draw 0-0
10%
13/26/1
8%
Estrela Amadora 1-0
10%
7/16/1
AVS 2-0
9%
10/117/2
5%
AVS 2-1
9%
9/18/1
Estrela Amadora 2-1
6%
11/19/1
Estrela Amadora 2-0
4%
14/111/1
AVS 3-0
4%
22/118/1
Draw 2-2
4%
14/112/1
AVS 3-1
4%
20/116/1
Estrela Amadora 3-1
2%
28/120/1
AVS 3-2
2%
33/125/1
AVS 4-0
1%
50/133/1
17%
Estrela Amadora 3-0
1%
33/122/1
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
5/4
4%
5/4
2%
Under 2.5 Goals
60%
8/13
3%
4/7
Home 1st Goal
51%
5/6-
Away 1st Goal
42%
13/10-
No 1st Goal
7%
13/2-
BTTS - Yes
45%
19/201/1
3%
BTTS - No
55%
4/53/4
BTTS - Home Win
17%
9/217/4
BTTS - Draw
18%
10/317/5
2%
BTTS - Away Win
10%
6/15/1
Home/draw
74%
4/114/11
Away/draw
54%
8/158/15
2%
Home/away
72%
4/117/20
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
66%
4/11
3%
4/9
Under 1.5 Goals
34%
2/1
9%
17/10
3%
Over 3.5 Goals
20%
3/1
8%
16/5
Under 3.5 Goals
80%
2/9
2%
1/5
Over 4.5 Goals
8%
8/1
10%
15/2
Under 4.5 Goals
92%
1/14
1%
1/18
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
18/1
10%
16/1
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/50
1%
1/150
Over 0.5 Goals
90%
1/121/12
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
10%
7/1
7%
6/1
8%
Home DNB
66%
4/64/6
2%
Away DNB
45%
11/1021/20
AVS win to nil
29%
11/4-
Estrela Amadora win to nil
16%
4/1-
AVS / AVS
20%
3/129/10
3%
AVS / Estrela Amadora
3%
33/125/1
AVS / Draw
6%
14/112/1
8%
Draw / AVS
15%
9/217/4
5%
Draw / Estrela Amadora
13%
11/25/1
Draw / Draw
18%
7/216/5
5%
Estrela Amadora / AVS
3%
28/122/1
Estrela Amadora / Estrela Amadora
16%
4/119/5
Estrela Amadora / Draw
6%
14/112/1
8%
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

AVS have played 15 matches so far this season and are in 14th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

11 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 6 games, drawn 3 and won 2. AVS have conceded 20 goals, scored 9, failed to score in 4 matches and kept 3 clean sheets.

Home league performance

AVS have played 8 games at home, winning 2, drawing 3 and losing 3 fixtures. They have scored 6 goals, conceded 11 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score 3 times in home league games.

Estrela Amadora lay in 12th place on 15 points in the Liga NOS league table having played 15 matches. Estrela Amadora are having a poor run against away teams, having not won a match so far this season. They have also not scored in 5 of those games.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 4 games against teams below them in the table, winning 2, drawing 1 and losing 1 game. They have scored 6 goals and kept 1 clean sheet against lower placed opposition. Estrela Amadora have conceded 4 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Estrela Amadora have played 7 away games, winning 0, drawing 1 and losing 6 games. They have scored an average of 0.3 goals per away game and conceded an average 2 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
AVS
Estrela Amadora
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Benfica1512212938 
d
 
1-1A
Apr 27
Feb 2
l
 
1-0A
2
S. Lisbon1512123337 
Feb 23
l
 
3-0A
Mar 30
l
 
5-1A
3
Porto1512122737 
l
 
0-5A
Mar 16
Apr 27
l
 
2-0A
4
Braga158431128 
l
 
0-1A
Apr 13
Jan 19
d
 
1-1A
5
Santa Clara15906127 
Feb 9
l
 
2-1A
Feb 23
l
 
1-0A
6
V. Guimaraes15654423 
w
 
1-0F
Feb 2
d
 
2-2A
Mar 16
7
Casa Pia15555-220 
Apr 19
d
 
1-1A
l
 
0-1A
Feb 9
8
Moreirense15627-320 
May 17
Jan 4
w
 
2-1F
Mar 2
9
Famalicao15474119 
l
 
2-3F
Mar 30
l
 
0-3A
Jan 25
10
Gil Vicente15456-717 
Jan 27
l
 
4-2F
Mar 9
l
 
3-0A
11
Rio Ave15447-1116 
w
 
1-0F
Feb 16
w
 
1-0F
May 4
12
Estrela Amadora A15438-1115 
Dec 28
May 11
-
-
13
Estoril15357-1214 
Apr 6
d
 
0-00-0
Jan 5
May 17
14
AVS Home15276-1113 
-
-
May 11
Dec 28
15
Nacional15348-1113 
d
 
1-1A
Jan 19
w
 
2-0F
Apr 6
16
Boavista15267-912 
May 4
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
2-2A
Feb 16
17
Sporting Farense15339-1212 
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 2
Apr 13
l
 
1-0A
18
Arouca153210-1711 
Mar 9
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-1A
Apr 19
Win / draw / win form
3
AVS have drawn 3 consecutive league games
6
Estrela Amadora have lost 6 consecutive away league games
10
AVS have not won in 10 consecutive league games
20
Estrela Amadora have not won in 20 consecutive away league games
AVS 14TH
8 league games
Home
Overall
3
Goals: Scored
6
Conceded
11
Games: Scored
5 / 8
Conceded
5 / 8
Clean sheets
3 / 8
Failed to score
3 / 8
Won
2
Draw
3
Lost
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
AVS1 - 1Benfica
AVS0 - 1Braga
AVS2 - 3Famalicao
AVS0 - 5Porto
AVS0 - 0Sporting Farense
AVS1 - 0Rio Ave
AVS1 - 0V. Guimaraes
AVS1 - 1Nacional
Goals: Scored
11
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
9 / 15
Conceded
10 / 15
Clean sheets
5 / 15
Failed to score
6 / 15
W
2
Draw
7
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AAVS0 - 0Boavista
HAVS1 - 1Benfica
AAVS1 - 1Casa Pia
HAVS0 - 1Braga
AAVS0 - 0Estoril
HAVS2 - 3Famalicao
HAVS0 - 5Porto
AAVS1 - 1Arouca
HAVS0 - 0Sporting Farense
AAVS0 - 3S. Lisbon
HAVS1 - 0Rio Ave
AAVS1 - 2Santa Clara
HAVS1 - 0V. Guimaraes
AAVS2 - 4Gil Vicente
HAVS1 - 1Nacional
Estrela Amadora 12TH
20 league games
Away
6
Overall
Goals: Scored
9
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
7 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
13 / 20
Draw
8
Lost
12
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Porto2 - 0Estrela Amadora
Sporting Farense1 - 0Estrela Amadora
S. Lisbon5 - 1Estrela Amadora
Gil Vicente3 - 0Estrela Amadora
Santa Clara1 - 0Estrela Amadora
Benfica1 - 0Estrela Amadora
Braga1 - 1Estrela Amadora
Vizela4 - 0Estrela Amadora
Arouca0 - 0Estrela Amadora
Boavista1 - 1Estrela Amadora
Moreirense2 - 2Estrela Amadora
Famalicao0 - 0Estrela Amadora
Braga3 - 0Estrela Amadora
Porto2 - 0Estrela Amadora
Estoril1 - 0Estrela Amadora
V. Guimaraes3 - 0Estrela Amadora
Gil Vicente1 - 1Estrela Amadora
Sporting Farense0 - 0Estrela Amadora
Rio Ave1 - 1Estrela Amadora
S. Lisbon3 - 2Estrela Amadora
Goals: Scored
15
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HEstrela Amadora1 - 0Rio Ave
AEstrela Amadora0 - 2Porto
HEstrela Amadora2 - 1Arouca
AEstrela Amadora0 - 1Sporting Farense
HEstrela Amadora2 - 0Nacional
AEstrela Amadora1 - 5S. Lisbon
HEstrela Amadora2 - 2V. Guimaraes
AEstrela Amadora0 - 3Gil Vicente
HEstrela Amadora2 - 1Moreirense
AEstrela Amadora0 - 1Santa Clara
HEstrela Amadora2 - 2Boavista
HEstrela Amadora0 - 1Casa Pia
AEstrela Amadora0 - 1Benfica
HEstrela Amadora0 - 3Famalicao
AEstrela Amadora1 - 1Braga
HEstrela Amadora1 - 0Gil Vicente
AEstrela Amadora0 - 4Vizela
AEstrela Amadora0 - 0Arouca
HEstrela Amadora0 - 3Sporting Farense
AEstrela Amadora1 - 1Boavista
bet365
bet365
Goal Statistics

Goals have been a problem for AVS of late. It has been 5 Liga NOS games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.3 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Saturday afternoon against Estrela Amadora.

AVS 14th Estrela Amadora 12th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 61% probability that AVS will score no more than 1 goal
0
39%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 76% probability of Estrela Amadora scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
8 home / away league games
=0
AVS’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-52
Estrela Amadora have scored 52% fewer goals when away than predicted
0.8
average goals scored
0.5
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/285361/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
AVS
PG (predicted goals)
Estrela Amadora
1.3
0.9
Attack rating
1%
better
view stats
Games scored9
8
Failed to score6
7
Scored first4
3
Goals scored11
13
Avg. goals scored0.7
0.9
Avg. shots per game9
8
Avg. shots per goal12
9
Conversion rate for8
11
Avg. XG for1
0.8
KickOff rating
+1%
Defence rating
23%
better
view stats
Games conceded10
13
Clean sheets5
2
Conceded first8
12
Goals conceded22
24
Avg. goals conceded1.5
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded11
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
6
Conversion rate against13%
17%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.2
KickOff rating
+23%

AVS v Estrela Amadora Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

AVS Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
14225
KikiV LopesKikiJ Grau
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Kiki DEF1512
2
-
C Castro DEF141
4
-
L Piazon MID141
2
-
J Mercado FWD1411
-
B Roux DEF131
2
-
F Fonseca DEF12
4
-
J Grau MID121
5
-
B Akinsola FWD1211
-
V Lopes FWD1121
2
-
S Simão GLK8
-
J Lucca MID8
1
-
I. Kamate MID8
-
G Aburjania MID8
-
Nenê FWD82
1
-
J Teixeira DEF7
1
1
R Rodrigues DEF7
-
I Rodríguez DEF6
1
-
L Silva MID6
2
-
G. Mendonça MID5
1
-
L. Santos do Nascimento DEF4
1
-
Y Mena FWD4
2
-
S Granada FWD41
1
1
E Veiga DEF3
-
Estrela Amadora Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
15425
B BrígidoKikasNiltonD Veiga
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Brígido GLK15
-
Nilton DEF152
1
-
L Cordeiro MID15
2
-
R Pinho FWD153
-
Kikas FWD154
2
-
L Bucca MID142
4
-
A Ruiz MID132
4
-
D Veiga DEF122
4
1
R Lima DEF10
1
-
P. Valente Moreira MID101
2
-
M Keliano MID9
4
-
Nani FWD91
3
-
A Luiz FWD9
1
-
I Dramé DEF8
-
M Lopes DEF7
2
-
Ferro DEF7
3
-
C. dos Santos Santana FWD6
1
-
T Cissokho DEF4
1
-
G Rodrigues FWD41
-
Petterson FWD2
-
F Meixedo GLK1
-
B Mazhar FWD1
-