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AVS v Casa Pia : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 19th Apr, 15:30 BST, Estadio Do Cd Das Aves, Vila das Aves

The Liga NOS is the focus for both AVS and Casa Pia on Saturday afternoon, as managers Rui Vítor da Silva Ferreira and João Jorge Gândara Mendes Pereira battle it out at the Estadio Do Cd Das Aves. We've got bespoke stats for every major market, from both teams to score to double chance, including form and historical head-to-head data. Predictions are generated from these, and the odds come directly from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

KickOff's predictive algorithm suggests there is a 75% probability of AVS and Casa Pia serving up at least a couple of goals in this Liga NOS match. Recent form statistics and head-to-head (H2H) records are central to that calculation , and it seems the bookmakers like the look of it as a tip too. This over 1.5 goals tip is available with best odds of 1.40.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
AVS
30%
2/1
4%
-
Draw
26%
11/5-
Casa Pia
44%
7/5
4%
-
Draw 1-1
12%
5/1-
Casa Pia 1-0
10%
6/1-
Casa Pia 2-1
9%
9/1-
AVS 1-0
8%
13/2-
Casa Pia 2-0
8%
10/1-
AVS 2-1
7%
10/1-
Draw 0-0
7%
13/2-
Draw 2-2
5%
16/1-
AVS 2-0
5%
12/1-
Casa Pia 3-1
4%
20/1
9%
-
Casa Pia 3-0
4%
22/1-
AVS 3-1
3%
25/1-
Casa Pia 3-2
3%
33/1-
AVS 3-2
2%
40/1-
AVS 3-0
2%
33/1
17%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
27/20
2%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
50%
4/7
2%
-
Home 1st Goal
45%
13/10
2%
-
Away 1st Goal
51%
5/6-
No 1st Goal
4%
13/2-
BTTS - Yes
54%
1/1
3%
-
BTTS - No
46%
3/4
3%
-
BTTS - Home Win
14%
6/1
8%
-
BTTS - Draw
19%
15/4
6%
-
BTTS - Away Win
20%
9/2
8%
-
Home/draw
56%
8/15
2%
-
Away/draw
70%
4/11
3%
-
Home/away
74%
4/11-
Over 1.5 Goals
75%
2/5-
Under 1.5 Goals
25%
7/4-
Over 3.5 Goals
28%
10/3-
Under 3.5 Goals
72%
1/5-
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
9/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
1/16-
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
20/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/66-
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/12-
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
13/2-
Home DNB
48%
11/10
5%
-
Away DNB
62%
4/6
3%
-
AVS win to nil
16%
7/2-
Casa Pia win to nil
24%
11/4-
AVS / AVS
17%
4/1
5%
-
AVS / Casa Pia
3%
28/1-
AVS / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / AVS
13%
11/2-
Draw / Casa Pia
15%
9/2-
Draw / Draw
18%
7/2-
Casa Pia / AVS
2%
33/1-
Casa Pia / Casa Pia
21%
3/1
8%
-
Casa Pia / Draw
6%
14/1-
Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

AVS have played 29 matches so far this season and are in 16th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

26 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 14 games, drawn 9 and won 3. AVS have conceded 48 goals, scored 21, failed to score in 8 matches and kept 4 clean sheets.

Home league performance

AVS have played 14 games at home, winning 3, drawing 5 and losing 6 fixtures. They have scored 11 goals, conceded 20 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and failed to score 5 times in home league games.

Casa Pia lay in 8th place on 40 points in the Liga NOS league table having played 29 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 17 games against teams below them in the table, winning 9, drawing 5 and losing 3 games. They have scored 25 goals and kept 6 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Casa Pia have conceded 17 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

Casa Pia have played 14 away games, winning 4, drawing 3 and losing 7 games. They have scored an average of 1.1 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.6 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
AVS
Casa Pia
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
S. Lisbon2921625169 
d
 
2-2A
l
 
3-0A
l
 
1-3A
l
 
2-0A
2
Benfica2922344669 
d
 
1-1A
Apr 27
w
 
3-1A
l
 
3-0A
3
Braga2918652460 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
4-1A
May 10
w
 
1-2F
4
Porto2918563059 
l
 
0-5A
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-0A
5
V. Guimaraes29121251248 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-0A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
6
Santa Clara2914411046 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-1A
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-1F
7
Famalicao2911108743 
l
 
2-3F
l
 
4-1A
d
 
1-1F
May 17
8
Casa Pia Away2911711-340 
Apr 19
d
 
1-1A
-
-
9
Estoril2910910-839 
l
 
0-3A
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 28
w
 
0-2F
10
Moreirense299812-735 
May 17
d
 
1-1A
w
 
3-1A
l
 
3-2A
11
Nacional299515-1132 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
3-1A
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-1A
12
Rio Ave298813-1532 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-1A
d
 
2-2F
13
Arouca297913-1630 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
3-1F
May 4
14
Gil Vicente296815-1626 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
4-2F
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1A
15
Estrela Amadora296815-2026 
d
 
1-1A
May 11
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
16
AVS Home2941114-2623 
-
-
d
 
1-1F
Apr 19
17
Sporting Farense294916-2021 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-1F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
0-00-0
18
Boavista294619-2818 
May 5
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
0-1A
w
 
2-3F
Win / draw / win form
5
AVS have lost 5 consecutive league games
5
AVS have not won in 5 consecutive league games
5
Casa Pia have not won in 5 consecutive away league games
AVS 16TH
14 league games
Home
Overall
5
Goals: Scored
11
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
9 / 14
Conceded
10 / 14
Clean sheets
4 / 14
Failed to score
5 / 14
Won
3
Draw
5
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
15
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
2
Draw
8
Lost
10
Casa Pia 8TH
20 league games
Away
5
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
Goal Statistics

Goals have been an issue for AVS of late. It has been 6 Liga NOS games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.2 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Saturday afternoon against Casa Pia.

Casa Pia's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday afternoon, not least because AVS have conceded in each of their last 5 Liga NOS games. A PG of 1.5 for J. Gândara Mendes Pereira's side suggests that run should continue.

AVS 16th Casa Pia 8th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that AVS will score no more than 1 goal
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Casa Pia will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
14 home / away league games
-27
AVS have scored 27% fewer goals at home than predicted
+35
Casa Pia have scored 35% more goals when away than predicted
0.8
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/285375/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
AVS
PG (predicted goals)
Casa Pia
1.2
1.5
Attack rating
25%
better
view stats
Games scored19
21
Failed to score10
8
Scored first7
13
Goals scored22
34
Avg. goals scored0.8
1.2
Avg. shots per game8
8
Avg. shots per goal10
7
Conversion rate for10
15
Avg. XG for1
1
KickOff rating
+25%
Defence rating
9%
better
view stats
Games conceded22
23
Clean sheets7
6
Conceded first19
15
Goals conceded48
37
Avg. goals conceded1.7
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded11
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
8
Conversion rate against15%
13%
Avg. XG against1.6
1.3
KickOff rating
+9%

AVS v Casa Pia Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

AVS Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
263210
C CastroJ MercadoL PiazonJ Grau
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Mercado FWD2731
2
-
C Castro DEF2611
5
-
L Piazon MID262
3
-
J Grau MID2422
10
-
B Akinsola FWD2411
-
Kiki DEF2012
3
-
F Fonseca DEF20
5
-
Z Luís FWD192
2
-
V Lopes FWD1921
4
-
G Assunção MID182
9
1
G Ochoa GLK17
2
-
R Rodrigues DEF17
4
-
B Roux DEF1711
4
-
I Rodríguez DEF16
4
1
R Ribeiro FWD161
-
Nenê FWD1631
4
-
G. Mendonça MID141
2
-
S Simão GLK11
-
J Teixeira DEF11
3
1
G Aburjania MID9
-
Y Mena FWD9
4
-
T Tavares DEF81
1
-
L Fernandes MID7
1
-
E Veiga DEF6
-
A Santos DEF6
1
-
G Rodrigues FWD51
1
-
T Galletto MID1
-
Casa Pia Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
27948
L LeloCassianoL LeloG Larrazabal
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Lelo DEF2714
2
-
P Sequeira GLK26
2
-
J Goulart DEF262
5
-
G Larrazabal DEF2513
7
1
M Svensson FWD2313
3
-
A Kraev MID211
7
-
J Fonte DEF20
5
-
A Geraldes DEF201
3
-
R Brito MID201
4
-
M Sousa MID20
3
-
J Livolant FWD2032
1
-
R Kluivert DEF191
5
-
Cassiano FWD1991
2
-
D Tchamba  DEF1821
4
-
H. Martins Pereira FWD1811
1
-
Pablo MID16
3
-
Cauê FWD6
1
-
O Osundina FWD5
-
I Mohamed MID4
-
T Dias DEF2
-
F. Benaissa-Yahia DEF2
-
R Batista GLK1
1