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Arouca v Sporting Farense : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 23rd Feb, 15:30 BST, Estadio Municipal de Arouca, Arouca

Home advantage can be vital in the Liga NOS, and Vasco Seabra’s Arouca will have the blessing of it on Sunday afternoon. António José Cardoso de Oliveira’s Sporting Farense are their visitors to the Estadio Municipal de Arouca. Stats drive the predictions below for 17 individual betting markets, and switching between them shows bespoke analysis, including head-to-head, form and a whole lot more besides. The best odds are also provided. Hit the tabs below to explore.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

It's not the news we want to be reporting, but we don't predict a goal-fest here. The stats suggest Arouca and Sporting Farense both are poor in attack and defence, and the odds suggest it's likely there's fewer than 2 goals in total as they go head-to-head. We think they're on the right track here and, without an obvious outright winners to back, under 2.5 goals looks like a smart bet.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Arouca are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 42% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.91.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Arouca
42%
9/1010/11
Draw
30%
12/512/5
Sporting Farense
28%
16/516/5
Arouca 1-0
15%
11/25/1
Draw 1-1
13%
11/25/1
Draw 0-0
13%
15/213/2
Sporting Farense 1-0
11%
9/18/1
Arouca 2-0
9%
7/17/1
Arouca 2-1
8%
8/17/1
Sporting Farense 2-1
6%
14/111/1
Sporting Farense 2-0
5%
20/116/1
Draw 2-2
3%
16/114/1
Arouca 3-0
3%
14/112/1
Arouca 3-1
3%
16/112/1
Sporting Farense 3-1
2%
40/125/1
Sporting Farense 3-0
2%
40/133/1
Arouca 3-2
1%
28/122/1
Sporting Farense 3-2
1%
40/133/1
Over 2.5 Goals
33%
23/2023/20
Under 2.5 Goals
67%
4/613/20
Home 1st Goal
49%
4/7-
Away 1st Goal
42%
7/4-
No 1st Goal
9%
15/2-
BTTS - Yes
40%
1/11/1
BTTS - No
60%
3/43/4
BTTS - Home Win
14%
7/216/5
BTTS - Draw
17%
15/418/5
BTTS - Away Win
9%
8/17/1
Home/draw
72%
2/92/9
Away/draw
58%
10/1117/20
Home/away
70%
3/103/10
Over 1.5 Goals
61%
4/114/11
Under 1.5 Goals
39%
2/115/8
Over 3.5 Goals
15%
3/114/5
Under 3.5 Goals
85%
2/92/9
Over 4.5 Goals
6%
8/113/2
Under 4.5 Goals
94%
1/141/14
Over 5.5 Goals
2%
18/114/1
Under 5.5 Goals
98%
1/501/80
Over 0.5 Goals
87%
1/141/14
Under 0.5 Goals
13%
15/213/2
Home DNB
63%
4/114/11
Away DNB
49%
2/119/10
Arouca win to nil
28%
2/1-
Sporting Farense win to nil
18%
11/2-
Arouca / Arouca
26%
21/102/1
Arouca / Sporting Farense
2%
40/128/1
Arouca / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / Arouca
17%
15/47/2
Draw / Sporting Farense
10%
15/27/1
Draw / Draw
17%
15/47/2
Sporting Farense / Arouca
3%
25/120/1
Sporting Farense / Sporting Farense
12%
6/111/2
Sporting Farense / Draw
6%
14/112/1
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Arouca have played 22 matches so far this season and lay in 12th place in the Liga NOS league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 7 games against teams below in the table, having won 4, drawn 2 and lost 1 match. They have kept 2 clean sheets and have scored in every game. Arouca have outscored their opponents by 21 goals to 13 goals.

Home League Performance

Arouca have played 10 games at home winning 3, drawing 3 and losing 4 games. They have scored 7 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and conceded 11 goals at home.

Sporting Farense are in 17th position in the Liga NOS on 15 points having played 22 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

5 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 13 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 6 goals in total and failed to score in 6 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

21 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 13 games, drawn 5 and won 3. Sporting Farense have conceded 30 goals, scored 12, failed to score in 11 fixtures and have kept 5 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Arouca
Sporting Farense
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
S. Lisbon2216424152 
l
 
0-3A
d
 
2-2F
l
 
0-5A
l
 
3-1A
2
Benfica2216243250 
l
 
0-2A
Apr 13
l
 
1-2F
Mar 30
3
Porto2214442846 
Mar 2
l
 
4-0A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-1A
4
Braga2213541844 
l
 
1-2A
Mar 30
Mar 16
l
 
2-0A
5
Santa Clara221228238 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 27
May 17
d
 
0-00-0
6
Casa Pia22967133 
May 4
l
 
3-1A
Apr 6
d
 
1-1F
7
V. Guimaraes227105531 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
2-2A
d
 
2-2F
May 11
8
Estoril22877-631 
Mar 16
l
 
4-1F
w
 
1-0F
Mar 9
9
Famalicao226106028 
Apr 6
d
 
0-00-0
May 4
w
 
1-2F
10
Moreirense227510-526 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-1F
l
 
1-2A
d
 
0-00-0
11
Rio Ave22688-1226 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
l
 
1-2A
l
 
1-0A
12
Arouca Home226610-1324 
-
-
l
 
0-1A
Feb 23
13
Nacional226511-923 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2F
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-0A
14
Gil Vicente225710-1122 
d
 
1-1A
May 11
l
 
0-1A
Apr 27
15
Estrela Amadora225512-1520 
Apr 19
l
 
2-1F
w
 
1-0F
Apr 13
16
AVS223109-1519 
d
 
1-1F
Mar 9
Mar 2
d
 
0-00-0
17
Sporting Farense A223613-1815 
Feb 23
w
 
0-1F
-
-
18
Boavista222614-2312 
May 17
w
 
1-3F
Apr 19
d
 
1-1F
Win / draw / win form
7
Arouca have not lost in 7 consecutive league games
Arouca 12TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
7
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Arouca1 - 1Rio Ave
Arouca1 - 0Moreirense
Arouca1 - 1Gil Vicente
Arouca1 - 0Santa Clara
Arouca0 - 2Benfica
Arouca1 - 2Braga
Arouca1 - 1AVS
Arouca0 - 3S. Lisbon
Arouca1 - 0Nacional
Arouca0 - 1V. Guimaraes
Arouca1 - 3V. Guimaraes
Arouca0 - 0Estrela Amadora
Arouca2 - 1Boavista
Arouca2 - 1Sporting Farense
Arouca0 - 3S. Lisbon
Arouca3 - 2Famalicao
Arouca3 - 2Porto
Arouca5 - 0Vizela
Arouca0 - 3Benfica
Arouca3 - 0Gil Vicente
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AArouca2 - 2S. Lisbon
HArouca1 - 1Rio Ave
AArouca2 - 1Nacional
HArouca1 - 0Moreirense
AArouca2 - 2V. Guimaraes
AArouca3 - 1Boavista
HArouca1 - 1Gil Vicente
AArouca1 - 3Casa Pia
HArouca1 - 0Santa Clara
AArouca1 - 2Estrela Amadora
HArouca0 - 2Benfica
AArouca0 - 0Famalicao
HArouca1 - 2Braga
AArouca1 - 4Estoril
HArouca1 - 1AVS
AArouca0 - 4Porto
AArouca1 - 0Sporting Farense
HArouca0 - 3S. Lisbon
AArouca0 - 1Rio Ave
HArouca1 - 0Nacional
Sporting Farense 17TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
3
Draw
7
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
S. Lisbon3 - 1Sporting Farense
Moreirense0 - 0Sporting Farense
Santa Clara0 - 0Sporting Farense
Famalicao1 - 2Sporting Farense
Boavista1 - 1Sporting Farense
Casa Pia1 - 1Sporting Farense
Braga2 - 0Sporting Farense
AVS0 - 0Sporting Farense
Porto2 - 1Sporting Farense
Nacional2 - 0Sporting Farense
Rio Ave1 - 0Sporting Farense
Gil Vicente2 - 0Sporting Farense
Estrela Amadora0 - 3Sporting Farense
V. Guimaraes1 - 1Sporting Farense
Arouca2 - 1Sporting Farense
Vizela2 - 1Sporting Farense
S. Lisbon3 - 2Sporting Farense
Braga2 - 1Sporting Farense
Chaves1 - 1Sporting Farense
Casa Pia1 - 3Sporting Farense
Goals: Scored
12
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
W
3
Draw
6
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HSporting Farense0 - 1Porto
HSporting Farense0 - 2Nacional
ASporting Farense1 - 3S. Lisbon
HSporting Farense1 - 2Rio Ave
ASporting Farense0 - 0Moreirense
ASporting Farense0 - 0Santa Clara
HSporting Farense2 - 2V. Guimaraes
ASporting Farense2 - 1Famalicao
HSporting Farense0 - 1Gil Vicente
ASporting Farense1 - 1Boavista
HSporting Farense1 - 0Estrela Amadora
ASporting Farense1 - 1Casa Pia
HSporting Farense1 - 2Benfica
ASporting Farense0 - 2Braga
HSporting Farense1 - 0Estoril
ASporting Farense0 - 0AVS
HSporting Farense0 - 1Arouca
ASporting Farense1 - 2Porto
ASporting Farense0 - 2Nacional
HSporting Farense0 - 5S. Lisbon
Goal Statistics

A truly awful PG of just 0.9 should cause concerns for Sporting Farense fans, as should a 5 Liga NOS games run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

Arouca 12th Sporting Farense 17th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
4+
There is a 67% probability that Arouca will score no more than 1 goal
0
41%
1
37%
2
16%
3
4+
There is a 78% probability of Sporting Farense scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
=0
Arouca’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-4
Sporting Farense’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.3
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/285252/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Arouca
PG (predicted goals)
Sporting Farense
1.2
0.9
Attack rating
34%
better
ARO
FAR
view stats
Games scored16
11
Failed to score6
11
Scored first12
7
Goals scored21
13
Avg. goals scored1
0.6
Avg. shots per game9
8
Avg. shots per goal9
14
Conversion rate for11
7
Avg. XG for1.1
0.8
KickOff rating
+34%
Defence rating
0%
better
ARO
FAR
view stats
Games conceded17
17
Clean sheets5
5
Conceded first9
12
Goals conceded34
31
Avg. goals conceded1.5
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded10
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
8
Conversion rate against15%
13%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.6
KickOff rating
0%

Arouca v Sporting Farense Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Arouca Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
22517
N MantlJasonT EsgaioB Pinto
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Mantl GLK22
6
-
T Esgaio DEF2211
2
-
M Sylla FWD221
3
-
A Trezza FWD2221
3
-
Jason FWD2151
4
-
P Santos MID20
3
-
B Pinto MID201
7
-
T Fukui MID191
2
-
J Fontán DEF181
6
-
C Lamba DEF1611
3
-
Weverson DEF151
4
-
P Gozálbez MID151
1
-
H Araújo FWD154
1
-
M Loum MID14
3
-
M Puche FWD12
-
G Yalcin FWD1231
2
1
B Popovic DEF10
1
A Dante DEF10
1
-
D Nandin FWD5
1
-
M Rocha DEF4
1
1
A Pinto DEF4
-
N Galovic DEF1
-
B Mansilla FWD1
-
Sporting Farense Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
22228
R VelhoD PovedaE BaldéC Falcão
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Velho GLK22
-
C Falcão MID201
7
1
Pastor DEF191
3
-
M Moreno DEF19
4
1
M. Miranda Oliveira Menino MID191
3
-
L Áfrico DEF171
5
-
E Baldé FWD1712
1
1
D Poveda FWD1721
1
-
P Victor DEF16
2
-
Neto MID161
6
-
Álex Bermejo FWD151
2
-
M Matias FWD1522
1
-
D Poloni DEF131
1
-
A Jorge DEF13
6
-
T Tómané FWD132
1
-
F Soares MID12
2
-
R. Boaventura Morais DEF71
-
R Silva DEF71
4
-
Z Carlos MID3
1
R Costa FWD3
-
T Ribeiro DEF2
-
R Lopes FWD2
1
-
Y Njie FWD2
1
-
S. Loureiro Carvalho Justo MID1
-