Arouca's team badge Estrela Amadora's team badge

Arouca v Estrela Amadora : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 19th Apr, 18:00 BST, Estadio Municipal de Arouca, Arouca

Arouca and their boss Vasco Seabra will be aiming to beat Filipe Gonçalo Pinto Martins and his Estrela Amadora side on Saturday evening, as the pair meet at the Estadio Municipal de Arouca in the Liga NOS. We want you to make a smart bet on this match, so we've delved into our 20+ year database and pulled out the statistics that matter the most. Head-to-head and recent form is included, and these are used to generate our predictions. Odds from leading bookmakers are there to get you maximum bang for your buck.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

Under 2.5 goals means, quite simply, that there will be a maximum of 2 goals scored in total by Arouca and Estrela Amadora during the standard 90 mins. It's a bet the statistics below and the odds are both leaning towards here, and an outcome that we've seen these sides produce before. Without a strong favourite to win the game, our best bet prediction for this one is under 2.5 goals.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Arouca
44%
9/10-
Draw
29%
23/10-
Estrela Amadora
27%
16/5
2%
-
Arouca 1-0
14%
11/2-
Draw 1-1
13%
11/2-
Draw 0-0
11%
15/2-
Estrela Amadora 1-0
10%
9/1
9%
-
Arouca 2-0
9%
15/2-
Arouca 2-1
8%
8/1-
Estrela Amadora 2-1
6%
14/1-
Estrela Amadora 2-0
5%
20/1-
Draw 2-2
4%
16/1-
Arouca 3-0
4%
16/1
13%
-
Arouca 3-1
3%
16/1-
Estrela Amadora 3-1
2%
33/1-
Arouca 3-2
2%
28/1-
Estrela Amadora 3-0
2%
40/1-
Estrela Amadora 3-2
1%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
37%
11/10-
Under 2.5 Goals
63%
7/10-
Home 1st Goal
50%
4/7-
Away 1st Goal
42%
7/4-
No 1st Goal
8%
15/2-
BTTS - Yes
43%
19/20-
BTTS - No
57%
4/5-
BTTS - Home Win
16%
7/2-
BTTS - Draw
17%
15/4-
BTTS - Away Win
10%
15/2
6%
-
Home/draw
73%
2/9-
Away/draw
56%
10/11-
Home/away
71%
1/3-
Over 1.5 Goals
64%
4/11-
Under 1.5 Goals
36%
2/1-
Over 3.5 Goals
18%
11/4-
Under 3.5 Goals
82%
1/4-
Over 4.5 Goals
7%
7/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
93%
1/12-
Over 5.5 Goals
2%
18/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
98%
1/50-
Over 0.5 Goals
89%
1/14-
Under 0.5 Goals
11%
8/1
6%
-
Home DNB
64%
2/5
3%
-
Away DNB
48%
7/4
8%
-
Arouca win to nil
28%
9/4
8%
-
Estrela Amadora win to nil
17%
11/2-
Arouca / Arouca
26%
11/5
3%
-
Arouca / Estrela Amadora
2%
33/1-
Arouca / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Arouca
18%
15/4-
Draw / Estrela Amadora
10%
7/1
6%
-
Draw / Draw
17%
4/1-
Estrela Amadora / Arouca
3%
25/1-
Estrela Amadora / Estrela Amadora
12%
6/1-
Estrela Amadora / Draw
6%
14/1-
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Arouca have played 29 matches so far this season and lay in 13th place in the Liga NOS league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 7 games against teams below in the table, having won 3, drawn 3 and lost 1 match. They have kept 2 clean sheets and have scored in every game. Arouca have outscored their opponents by 29 goals to 22 goals.

Home League Performance

Arouca have played 14 games at home winning 3, drawing 5 and losing 6 games. They have scored 11 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and conceded 18 goals at home.

Estrela Amadora are in 15th position in the Liga NOS on 26 points having played 29 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

8 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 19 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 6 goals in total and failed to score in 8 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

24 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 13 games, drawn 6 and won 5. Estrela Amadora have conceded 37 goals, scored 18, failed to score in 12 fixtures and have kept 5 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Arouca
Estrela Amadora
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
S. Lisbon2921625169 
l
 
0-3A
d
 
2-2F
l
 
0-3A
l
 
5-1A
2
Benfica2922344669 
l
 
0-2A
d
 
2-2A
l
 
2-3A
l
 
1-0A
3
Braga2918652460 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-1A
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1A
4
Porto2918563059 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
4-0A
Apr 26
l
 
2-0A
5
V. Guimaraes29121251248 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
2-2A
d
 
2-2A
l
 
2-0A
6
Santa Clara2914411046 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 26
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
7
Famalicao2911108743 
l
 
1-2A
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
0-3A
d
 
0-00-0
8
Casa Pia2911711-340 
May 4
l
 
3-1A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
9
Estoril2910910-839 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
4-1F
l
 
2-4A
May 17
10
Moreirense299812-735 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-1F
w
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1F
11
Nacional299515-1132 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2F
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
12
Rio Ave298813-1532 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
1-0F
May 4
13
Arouca Home297913-1630 
-
-
w
 
2-1A
Apr 19
14
Gil Vicente296815-1626 
d
 
1-1A
May 10
d
 
1-1F
l
 
3-0A
15
Estrela Amadora A296815-2026 
Apr 19
l
 
2-1F
-
-
16
AVS2941114-2623 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-1F
May 11
d
 
1-1F
17
Sporting Farense294916-2021 
d
 
2-2A
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
18
Boavista294619-2818 
May 17
w
 
1-3F
d
 
2-2A
w
 
0-1F
Win / draw / win form
5
Arouca have not won in 5 consecutive home league games
Arouca 13TH
20 league games
Home
5
Overall
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Arouca1 - 2Famalicao
Arouca1 - 1Estoril
Arouca0 - 2Porto
Arouca2 - 2Sporting Farense
Arouca1 - 1Rio Ave
Arouca1 - 0Moreirense
Arouca1 - 1Gil Vicente
Arouca1 - 0Santa Clara
Arouca0 - 2Benfica
Arouca1 - 2Braga
Arouca1 - 1AVS
Arouca0 - 3S. Lisbon
Arouca1 - 0Nacional
Arouca0 - 1V. Guimaraes
Arouca1 - 3V. Guimaraes
Arouca0 - 0Estrela Amadora
Arouca2 - 1Boavista
Arouca2 - 1Sporting Farense
Arouca0 - 3S. Lisbon
Arouca3 - 2Famalicao
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
5
Draw
8
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AArouca2 - 2Benfica
HArouca1 - 2Famalicao
AArouca1 - 2Braga
HArouca1 - 1Estoril
AArouca1 - 0AVS
HArouca0 - 2Porto
HArouca2 - 2Sporting Farense
AArouca2 - 2S. Lisbon
HArouca1 - 1Rio Ave
AArouca2 - 1Nacional
HArouca1 - 0Moreirense
AArouca2 - 2V. Guimaraes
AArouca3 - 1Boavista
HArouca1 - 1Gil Vicente
AArouca1 - 3Casa Pia
HArouca1 - 0Santa Clara
AArouca1 - 2Estrela Amadora
HArouca0 - 2Benfica
AArouca0 - 0Famalicao
HArouca1 - 2Braga
Estrela Amadora 15TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
9
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
8 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
12 / 20
W
2
Draw
8
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Nacional0 - 1Estrela Amadora
V. Guimaraes2 - 0Estrela Amadora
Moreirense1 - 1Estrela Amadora
Boavista0 - 1Estrela Amadora
Casa Pia1 - 0Estrela Amadora
Famalicao0 - 0Estrela Amadora
AVS1 - 1Estrela Amadora
Porto2 - 0Estrela Amadora
Sporting Farense1 - 0Estrela Amadora
S. Lisbon5 - 1Estrela Amadora
Gil Vicente3 - 0Estrela Amadora
Santa Clara1 - 0Estrela Amadora
Benfica1 - 0Estrela Amadora
Braga1 - 1Estrela Amadora
Vizela4 - 0Estrela Amadora
Arouca0 - 0Estrela Amadora
Boavista1 - 1Estrela Amadora
Moreirense2 - 2Estrela Amadora
Famalicao0 - 0Estrela Amadora
Braga3 - 0Estrela Amadora
Goals: Scored
15
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HEstrela Amadora0 - 1Sporting Farense
AEstrela Amadora1 - 0Nacional
HEstrela Amadora0 - 3S. Lisbon
AEstrela Amadora0 - 2V. Guimaraes
HEstrela Amadora1 - 1Gil Vicente
AEstrela Amadora1 - 1Moreirense
HEstrela Amadora0 - 0Santa Clara
AEstrela Amadora1 - 0Boavista
AEstrela Amadora0 - 1Casa Pia
HEstrela Amadora2 - 3Benfica
AEstrela Amadora0 - 0Famalicao
HEstrela Amadora0 - 1Braga
HEstrela Amadora2 - 4Estoril
AEstrela Amadora1 - 1AVS
HEstrela Amadora1 - 0Rio Ave
AEstrela Amadora0 - 2Porto
HEstrela Amadora2 - 1Arouca
AEstrela Amadora0 - 1Sporting Farense
HEstrela Amadora2 - 0Nacional
AEstrela Amadora1 - 5S. Lisbon
Goal Statistics

A truly dreadful PG of just 0.9 should cause concerns for Estrela Amadora fans, as should a 8 Liga NOS games run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

Arouca 13th Estrela Amadora 15th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Arouca will score no more than 1 goal
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 77% probability of Estrela Amadora scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-27
Arouca have scored 27% fewer goals at home than predicted
-49
Estrela Amadora have scored 49% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.0
average goals scored
0.5
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/285311/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Arouca
PG (predicted goals)
Estrela Amadora
1.3
0.9
Attack rating
27%
better
ARO
view stats
Games scored22
15
Failed to score7
14
Scored first14
8
Goals scored29
22
Avg. goals scored1
0.8
Avg. shots per game8
8
Avg. shots per goal8
10
Conversion rate for12
10
Avg. XG for1.2
0.8
KickOff rating
+27%
Defence rating
ARO
2%
better
view stats
Games conceded23
23
Clean sheets6
6
Conceded first14
19
Goals conceded45
42
Avg. goals conceded1.6
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded10
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
7
Conversion rate against16%
15%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.2
KickOff rating
+2%

Arouca v Estrela Amadora Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Arouca Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
26528
N MantlJasonC LambaB Pinto
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Trezza FWD2841
4
-
Jason FWD2751
4
-
M Sylla FWD272
3
-
N Mantl GLK26
5
-
P Santos MID26
3
-
T Esgaio DEF2521
2
-
T Fukui MID251
4
-
J Fontán DEF241
7
-
B Pinto MID241
8
-
C Lamba DEF2212
5
-
Weverson DEF202
4
-
H Araújo FWD2051
2
-
G Yalcin FWD1831
4
1
M Puche FWD17
-
M Loum MID16
5
-
P Gozálbez MID161
1
-
B Popovic DEF12
1
A Dante DEF11
1
-
D Nandin FWD91
2
-
A Pinto DEF8
1
-
B Mansilla FWD6
-
M Rocha DEF4
1
1
J Valido GLK2
-
N Galovic DEF1
-
Estrela Amadora Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
24529
NiltonR PinhoNiltonA Ruiz
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Pinho FWD275
6
-
Kikas FWD2651
3
-
Nilton DEF252
4
-
L Bucca MID2421
8
-
R Lima DEF222
2
1
P. Valente Moreira MID221
3
-
A Ruiz MID222
9
-
L Cordeiro MID2111
3
-
J Cabral FWD2021
2
-
D. Martins Travassos DEF191
4
-
M Keliano MID191
7
-
Ferro DEF15
5
-
I Dramé DEF151
1
-
M Lopes DEF141
2
-
F Ronaldo FWD9
-
Andorinha GLK8
-
C Banza FWD81
3
-
R Pantalon DEF6
1
-
G. Serrão Montóia DEF6
2
1
Amine MID5
-
G. Saches Sousa FWD3
1
-
M. Gudžulić GLK2
1
-
S. Commey DEF2
-
F Meixedo GLK1
-
J Mina DEF1
-
A. Mussolo Sola MID1
-
D Cabral MID11
-
T Ferreira FWD1
-