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Arouca v Estoril : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estadio Municipal de Arouca, Arouca

Vasco Seabra's Arouca side enjoy home advantage in the Liga NOS on Sunday afternoon, as Ian Cathro's Estoril visit the Estadio Municipal de Arouca. Analysing both teams' last 20 Liga NOS matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the betting market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the statistics, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers.

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Arouca's next match is v Braga at 20:30 on Saturday 29th March
Estoril's next match is v Porto at 18:00 on Sunday 30th March
The last Portuguese Liga NOS meeting between Arouca and Estoril was on Sunday 16th March 2025
Portuguese Liga NOS
March 16th 2025
Arouca 1
1 Estoril
 
M. Sylla 13'90' A. Marqués Méndez
 
ARO
EST
Shots On
1
3
Shots Off
1
4
Corners
3
4
Possession
36%
64%
Fouls
14
14
Yellow/red cards
2/0
 
AroucaEstoril
 
N. Mantl
W. Moreira da Costa
J. Fontán Mondragón
C. Camará Lamba
T. Sousa Esgaio (G. Yalçın 79')
D. Martins Simão (P. Carvalho Santos 23')
T. Fukui
M. Syllafootball icon (B. Mansilla 79')
A. Trezza Hernández (M. Puche García 79')
D. Remeseiro Salgueiro
D. Nandín Berrutti (H. Pereira Araújo 55')
K. Chamorro Rodríguez
K. Boma
F. Bacher
P. Gaspar Amaral
(G. Faria Costa 65') P. Costa Álvaro
(P. Salgueiro Costa Pessoa Carvalho 79') W. Cardoso Pina
J. Antunes Carvalho
J. Holsgrove
(A. Orellana Gómez 79') M. da Silva Rocha
(I. Salazar Piriz 85') R. Guitane
(A. Marqués Méndez 65') Y. Begraoui

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We make over 1.5 goals our tip on this fixture, meaning that the sides will score a minimum of 2 goals between them during the standard 90 mins. Both Arouca and Estoril's current form stats suggest things will go that way, while their head-to-head (H2H) record adds further weight to the argument. The bookies make it the most likely outcome in this market too, available at 1.33.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Arouca are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 42% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.00.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Arouca
42%
9/10
3%
19/20
3%
Draw
25%
5/2
3%
12/5
Estoril
34%
3/1
3%
3/1
5%
Draw 1-1
12%
11/25/1
Arouca 2-1
9%
15/2
6%
7/1
Arouca 1-0
8%
13/2
7%
6/1
8%
Estoril 2-1
8%
12/110/1
Estoril 1-0
7%
10/19/1
11%
Arouca 2-0
7%
8/115/2
Draw 2-2
6%
14/111/1
8%
Draw 0-0
5%
9/1
11%
15/2
6%
Estoril 2-0
5%
20/1
11%
16/1
13%
Arouca 3-1
5%
14/1
12%
12/1
Estoril 3-1
4%
33/122/1
Arouca 3-0
3%
16/112/1
Arouca 3-2
3%
25/1
10%
18/1
10%
Estoril 3-2
3%
40/125/1
10%
Estoril 3-0
2%
40/133/1
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
9/10
7%
10/11
5%
Under 2.5 Goals
45%
9/10
9%
5/6
6%
Home 1st Goal
50%
4/7
3%
-
Away 1st Goal
47%
13/8-
No 1st Goal
3%
9/1
11%
-
BTTS - Yes
58%
4/5
6%
4/5
3%
BTTS - No
42%
19/20
2%
19/20
5%
BTTS - Home Win
22%
3/1
8%
14/5
10%
BTTS - Draw
19%
15/417/5
2%
BTTS - Away Win
18%
13/2
6%
6/1
Home/draw
66%
2/9
2%
1/4
Away/draw
58%
10/11
6%
5/6
2%
Home/away
75%
2/7
1%
3/10
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
2/7
3%
3/10
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
5/2
8%
23/10
10%
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
9/4
13%
11/5
9%
Under 3.5 Goals
67%
1/3
6%
1/3
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
11/2
19%
5/1
14%
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
1/9
3%
1/9
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
12/1
24%
11/1
8%
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/25
2%
1/33
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/20
2%
1/16
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
10/1
22%
15/2
6%
Home DNB
59%
2/52/5
Away DNB
51%
7/49/5
4%
Arouca win to nil
20%
9/4-
Estoril win to nil
16%
6/1
8%
-
Arouca / Arouca
26%
21/10
3%
2/1
3%
Arouca / Estoril
3%
33/125/1
Arouca / Draw
6%
14/111/1
8%
Draw / Arouca
17%
15/418/5
Draw / Estoril
10%
15/2
6%
7/1
7%
Draw / Draw
16%
9/2
10%
19/5
4%
Estoril / Arouca
4%
22/118/1
Estoril / Estoril
13%
11/25/1
Estoril / Draw
6%
14/112/1
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Arouca have played 25 matches so far this season and are in 12th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

16 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 10 games, drawn 4 and won 2. Arouca have conceded 30 goals, scored 11, failed to score in 7 matches and kept 3 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Arouca have played 12 games at home, winning 3, drawing 4 and losing 5 fixtures. They have scored 9 goals, conceded 15 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score 4 times in home league games.

Estoril lay in 8th place on 35 points in the Liga NOS league table having played 25 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 15 games against teams below them in the table, winning 7, drawing 7 and losing 1 game. They have scored 25 goals and kept 4 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Estoril have conceded 16 goals and have failed to score in 4 matches.

Away league performance

Estoril have played 12 away games, winning 3, drawing 4 and losing 5 games. They have scored an average of 1.3 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.9 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Arouca
Estoril
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
S. Lisbon2619524762 
l
 
0-3A
d
 
2-2F
l
 
0-3A
l
 
3-1A
2
Benfica2519243959 
l
 
0-2A
Apr 13
May 4
l
 
3-0A
3
Porto2616553153 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
4-0A
Mar 30
l
 
4-0A
4
Braga2616552053 
l
 
1-2A
Mar 29
Apr 19
d
 
2-2A
5
Santa Clara261349243 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 27
l
 
1-4F
w
 
2-3F
6
V. Guimaraes2610115941 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
2-2A
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
7
Casa Pia2610610-336 
May 4
l
 
3-1A
l
 
0-2A
Apr 27
8
Estoril Away26998-736 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
4-1F
-
-
9
Famalicao268108034 
Apr 5
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
2-1F
Apr 13
10
Moreirense268711-631 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-1F
d
 
2-2A
May 11
11
Nacional268513-1029 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2F
w
 
1-0F
d
 
2-2F
12
Rio Ave267811-1429 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-1F
d
 
2-2A
13
Arouca Home267811-1429 
-
-
w
 
4-1A
d
 
1-1A
14
Gil Vicente255812-1323 
d
 
1-1A
May 11
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-2A
15
Estrela Amadora265813-1723 
Apr 19
l
 
2-1F
May 17
w
 
2-4F
16
AVS2641111-1723 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-1F
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 4
17
Sporting Farense263815-2017 
d
 
2-2A
w
 
0-1F
d
 
2-2F
l
 
1-0A
18
Boavista263617-2715 
May 17
w
 
1-3F
w
 
2-1F
d
 
0-00-0
Win / draw / win form
Arouca 13TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Arouca0 - 2Porto
Arouca2 - 2Sporting Farense
Arouca1 - 1Rio Ave
Arouca1 - 0Moreirense
Arouca1 - 1Gil Vicente
Arouca1 - 0Santa Clara
Arouca0 - 2Benfica
Arouca1 - 2Braga
Arouca1 - 1AVS
Arouca0 - 3S. Lisbon
Arouca1 - 0Nacional
Arouca0 - 1V. Guimaraes
Arouca1 - 3V. Guimaraes
Arouca0 - 0Estrela Amadora
Arouca2 - 1Boavista
Arouca2 - 1Sporting Farense
Arouca0 - 3S. Lisbon
Arouca3 - 2Famalicao
Arouca3 - 2Porto
Arouca5 - 0Vizela
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AArouca1 - 0AVS
HArouca0 - 2Porto
HArouca2 - 2Sporting Farense
AArouca2 - 2S. Lisbon
HArouca1 - 1Rio Ave
AArouca2 - 1Nacional
HArouca1 - 0Moreirense
AArouca2 - 2V. Guimaraes
AArouca3 - 1Boavista
HArouca1 - 1Gil Vicente
AArouca1 - 3Casa Pia
HArouca1 - 0Santa Clara
AArouca1 - 2Estrela Amadora
HArouca0 - 2Benfica
AArouca0 - 0Famalicao
HArouca1 - 2Braga
AArouca1 - 4Estoril
HArouca1 - 1AVS
AArouca0 - 4Porto
AArouca1 - 0Sporting Farense
Estoril 8TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
39
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
3
Draw
8
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
S. Lisbon3 - 1Estoril
Nacional2 - 2Estoril
Gil Vicente1 - 2Estoril
Santa Clara2 - 3Estoril
Estrela Amadora2 - 4Estoril
Benfica3 - 0Estoril
Braga2 - 2Estoril
Porto4 - 0Estoril
Sporting Farense1 - 0Estoril
Rio Ave2 - 2Estoril
Boavista0 - 0Estoril
V. Guimaraes1 - 0Estoril
Moreirense2 - 1Estoril
Sporting Farense3 - 2Estoril
Chaves2 - 2Estoril
Casa Pia0 - 0Estoril
Benfica3 - 1Estoril
Vizela3 - 3Estoril
Boavista2 - 1Estoril
Rio Ave1 - 1Estoril
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HEstoril2 - 2Sporting Farense
AEstoril1 - 3S. Lisbon
HEstoril2 - 1Rio Ave
AEstoril2 - 2Nacional
HEstoril2 - 1Boavista
AEstoril2 - 1Gil Vicente
HEstoril1 - 0V. Guimaraes
AEstoril3 - 2Santa Clara
AEstoril4 - 2Estrela Amadora
HEstoril2 - 2Moreirense
AEstoril0 - 3Benfica
HEstoril0 - 2Casa Pia
AEstoril2 - 2Braga
HEstoril2 - 1Famalicao
HEstoril0 - 0AVS
AEstoril0 - 4Porto
HEstoril4 - 1Arouca
AEstoril0 - 1Sporting Farense
HEstoril0 - 3S. Lisbon
AEstoril2 - 2Rio Ave
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Arouca since 2016
Arouca
Estoril
Goals: Scored
9
6
Games: Scored
4 / 5
3 / 5
Clean sheets
2 / 5
1 / 5
ARO
4
EST
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Arouca
Arouca4 - 3
Arouca2 - 0
0 - 2Estoril
Arouca2 - 1
Arouca1 - 0
League games at Estoril since 2016
Estoril
Arouca
Goals: Scored
13
8
Games: Scored
6 / 6
5 / 6
Clean sheets
1 / 6
0 / 6
ARO
2
D
1
EST
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Estoril
Estoril4 - 1
1 - 2Arouca
Estoril2 - 0
1 - 2Arouca
Estoril4 - 2
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics
Arouca 13th Estoril 8th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
21%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 79% probability that Arouca will score 1 or more goals
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 61% probability that Estoril will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-2
Arouca’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+28
Estoril have scored 28% more goals when away than predicted
1.3
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
2.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/285274/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Arouca
PG (predicted goals)
Estoril
1.5
1.4
Attack rating
ARO
EST
3%
better
view stats
Games scored18
16
Failed to score7
9
Scored first13
10
Goals scored24
33
Avg. goals scored1
1.3
Avg. shots per game9
8
Avg. shots per goal9
6
Conversion rate for11
16
Avg. XG for1.2
1.1
KickOff rating
+3%
Defence rating
7%
better
ARO
EST
view stats
Games conceded19
20
Clean sheets6
5
Conceded first11
12
Goals conceded38
40
Avg. goals conceded1.5
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded10
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
6
Conversion rate against15%
15%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.6
KickOff rating
+7%

Arouca v Estoril Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Arouca Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
24528
N MantlJasonC LambaB Pinto
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Mantl GLK24
5
-
T Esgaio DEF2421
2
-
J Fontán DEF221
6
-
C Lamba DEF2012
4
-
Weverson DEF192
4
-
B Pinto MID241
8
-
T Fukui MID231
3
-
A Trezza MID2631
4
-
Jason MID2551
4
-
M Sylla MID262
3
-
D Nandin FWD91
2
-
Subs
J Valido GLK2
-
B Popovic DEF10
1
M Loum MID15
3
-
P Santos MID24
3
-
M Puche FWD15
-
B Mansilla FWD4
-
H Araújo FWD184
2
-
G Yalcin FWD1631
2
1
Estoril Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
241038
P ÁlvaroA MarquésW. Cardoso PinaP Álvaro
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
K Chamorro GLK1
-
K Boma DEF211
5
-
P Álvaro DEF2411
8
-
F Bacher DEF1611
5
-
W. Cardoso Pina MID2523
3
-
Xeka  MID1211
5
-
J Holsgrove MID2113
4
-
P Amaral MID212
1
-
R Guitane FWD1
-
Y Begraoui FWD2662
1
-
J Carvalho FWD2152
3
1
Subs
D. Aranha Dias GLK
-
E Mangala DEF8
4
-
G Costa DEF132
1
-
P. Salgueiro Costa Pessoa Carvalho DEF13
1
-
J Orellana MID2011
2
-
V Zanocelo MID221
7
-
A Marqués FWD2510
1
-
A. Ferreira Lacximicant FWD1912
2
-
I. Salazar Piriz FWD9
-