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Stal Mielec v Jagiellonia Bialystok : Ekstraklasa match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 7th Feb, 17:00 BST, Stadion Stali Mielec, Mielec

Friday evening at the Stadion Stali Mielec, and it’s a Ekstraklasa clash between Stal Mielec and Jagiellonia Bialystok. Dzenan Uscuplic and Adrian Siemieniec going all-out to guide their side to victory. We provide predictions based on complex statistical analysis of both teams' performance, across 17 of the biggest betting markets. Data shown and the odds are unique to each market, and head to head (H2H) statistics are included across the board.

Best Tip: Both teams to score

Here is a pair of strong, attacking sides going head-to-head and, as such, we're predicting both of them to score at least 1 goal during the 90 minutes. Can respective bosses Dzenan Uscuplic or Adrian Siemieniec find a tactical plan to top their opponent? Latest form stats and historical head-to-heads, as well as the latest odds from the bookies, do not suggest so.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Stal Mielec are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 38% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.70.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Stal Mielec 38%	-	17/10 13%
Draw 24%	-	12/5
Jagiellonia 37%	-	6/5 12%
Draw 1-1 11%	-	11/2
Stal Mielec 2-1 8%	-	8/1 6%
Jagiellonia 2-1 8%	-	7/1 11%
Stal Mielec 1-0 8%	-	17/2 6%
Jagiellonia 1-0 8%	-	15/2 6%
Draw 2-2 6%	-	10/1
Stal Mielec 2-0 6%	-	12/1 18%
Jagiellonia 2-0 6%	-	10/1 8%
Draw 0-0 5%	-	10/1
Stal Mielec 3-1 4%	-	14/1
Jagiellonia 3-1 4%	-	12/1 13%
Stal Mielec 3-2 3%	-	18/1 12%
Jagiellonia 3-2 3%	-	16/1 11%
Stal Mielec 3-0 3%	-	20/1 11%
Jagiellonia 3-0 3%	-	16/1 11%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%	-	4/6
Under 2.5 Goals 43%	-	1/1
Home 1st Goal 48%	-	-
Away 1st Goal 48%	-	-
No 1st Goal 3%	-	-
BTTS - Yes 60%	-	3/5
BTTS - No 40%	-	6/5
BTTS - Home Win 21%	-	19/5 14%
BTTS - Draw 19%	-	10/3 3%
BTTS - Away Win 20%	-	29/10 11%
Home/draw 63%	-	3/5 8%
Away/draw 62%	-	2/5 7%
Home/away 76%	-	2/7
Over 1.5 Goals 80%	-	1/5
Under 1.5 Goals 20%	-	27/10
Over 3.5 Goals 35%	-	8/5
Under 3.5 Goals 65%	-	2/5
Over 4.5 Goals 18%	-	18/5 2%
Under 4.5 Goals 82%	-	1/7
Over 5.5 Goals 8%	-	15/2
Under 5.5 Goals 92%	-	1/25
Over 0.5 Goals 95%	-	1/50
Under 0.5 Goals 5%	-	17/2
Home DNB 55%	-	21/20 14%
Away DNB 54%	-	4/6 13%
Stal Mielec win to nil 18%	-	-
Jagiellonia win to nil 17%	-	-
Stal Mielec / Stal Mielec 17%	-	17/5 16%
Stal Mielec / Jagiellonia 4%	-	18/1 10%
Stal Mielec / Draw 6%	-	11/1
Draw / Stal Mielec 12%	-	11/2 13%
Draw / Jagiellonia 14%	-	9/2 8%
Draw / Draw 15%	-	17/4
Jagiellonia / Stal Mielec 4%	-	20/1 11%
Jagiellonia / Jagiellonia 22%	-	5/2 13%
Jagiellonia / Draw 6%	-	11/1

Win / draw / win Ekstraklasa table

Stal Mielec have played 19 matches so far this season and are in 13th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

14 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 8 games, drawn 3 and won 3. Stal Mielec have conceded 18 goals, scored 11, failed to score in 6 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Stal Mielec have played 9 games at home, winning 4, drawing 3 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 12 goals, conceded 9 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

Jagiellonia lay in 2nd place on 38 points in the Ekstraklasa league table having played 19 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 18 games against teams below them in the table, winning 11, drawing 5 and losing 2 games. They have scored 37 goals and kept 7 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Jagiellonia have conceded 20 goals and scored in every game.

Away league performance

Jagiellonia have played 9 away games, winning 5, drawing 2 and losing 2 games. They have scored an average of 1.6 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.4 goals per away game.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Stal Mielec Jagiellonia
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Lech Poznan	19	13	2	4	22	41	l 0-2A	Mar 8	Mar 15	l 5-0A
2	Jagiellonia A	19	11	5	3	12	38	Feb 7	l 2-0A	-	-
3	Rakow	19	10	7	2	14	37	May 3	l 1-0A	d 2-2A	May 10
4	L. Warsaw	19	9	6	4	13	33	d 2-2A	May 24	d 1-1F	Apr 12
5	Cracovia	19	9	5	5	8	32	Apr 5	d 1-1F	l 2-4A	Feb 23
6	Gornik Z.	19	9	4	6	6	31	Apr 19	l 3-1A	May 3	w 0-2F
7	MKS Pogon	19	9	3	7	5	30	Feb 16	l 1-0A	May 24	d 1-1A
8	Motor Lublin	19	8	5	6	-3	29	w 1-0F	Mar 29	Feb 16	w 0-2F
9	Katowice	19	7	5	7	3	26	l 0-1A	l 1-0A	Mar 2	l 3-1A
10	P.Gliwice	19	6	7	6	2	25	w 2-0F	Feb 21	Apr 5	w 0-1F
11	W Lodz	19	7	4	8	-4	25	d 1-1F	l 2-1A	w 1-0F	Mar 8
12	RKS	19	6	2	11	-8	20	May 17	w 1-2F	w 5-0F	w 2-3F
13	Stal Mielec H	19	5	4	10	-6	19	-	-	w 2-0F	Feb 7
14	Puszcza	19	4	7	8	-9	19	w 2-0F	May 10	w 2-0F	d 1-1A
15	Korona	19	4	7	8	-12	19	Mar 1	l 2-1A	w 3-1F	Apr 26
16	Zaglebie	19	5	4	10	-12	19	d 2-2F	Apr 26	Apr 19	w 1-3F
17	L.Gdansk	19	3	6	10	-15	15	w 2-1A	Apr 12	w 3-2F	Mar 29
18	S.Wroclaw	19	1	7	11	-16	10	Mar 15	l 2-1A	d 2-2A	May 17

	UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
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Win / draw / win form

Stal Mielec have not lost in 5 consecutive home league games

Jagiellonia have not lost in 6 consecutive away league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Draw

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Stal Mielec	2 - 2	L. Warsaw
Stal Mielec	2 - 0	Puszcza
Stal Mielec	2 - 2	Zaglebie
Stal Mielec	2 - 1	L.Gdansk
Stal Mielec	1 - 0	Motor Lublin
Stal Mielec	0 - 2	Lech Poznan
Stal Mielec	2 - 0	P.Gliwice
Stal Mielec	0 - 1	Katowice
Stal Mielec	1 - 1	W Lodz
Stal Mielec	0 - 0	MKS Pogon
Stal Mielec	3 - 2	Jagiellonia
Stal Mielec	1 - 3	L. Warsaw
Stal Mielec	0 - 0	W Lodz
Stal Mielec	0 - 0	Lech Poznan
Stal Mielec	3 - 1	Ruch Chorzow
Stal Mielec	1 - 0	LKS Lodz
Stal Mielec	0 - 0	Rakow
Stal Mielec	2 - 1	Puszcza
Stal Mielec	2 - 1	Gornik Z.
Stal Mielec	0 - 1	W Poznan

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Stal Mielec	0 - 1	Katowice
A	Stal Mielec	1 - 2	W Lodz
H	Stal Mielec	2 - 2	L. Warsaw
A	Stal Mielec	2 - 1	RKS
H	Stal Mielec	2 - 0	Puszcza
A	Stal Mielec	0 - 1	Rakow
H	Stal Mielec	2 - 2	Zaglebie
A	Stal Mielec	1 - 2	S.Wroclaw
A	Stal Mielec	1 - 3	Gornik Z.
H	Stal Mielec	2 - 1	L.Gdansk
A	Stal Mielec	1 - 1	Cracovia
H	Stal Mielec	1 - 0	Motor Lublin
H	Stal Mielec	0 - 2	Lech Poznan
A	Stal Mielec	1 - 2	Korona
H	Stal Mielec	2 - 0	P.Gliwice
A	Stal Mielec	0 - 1	MKS Pogon
A	Stal Mielec	0 - 2	Jagiellonia
H	Stal Mielec	0 - 1	Katowice
H	Stal Mielec	1 - 1	W Lodz
A	Stal Mielec	2 - 3	LKS Lodz

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

19 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

1 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Puszcza	1 - 1	Jagiellonia
MKS Pogon	1 - 1	Jagiellonia
Gornik Z.	0 - 2	Jagiellonia
Zaglebie	1 - 3	Jagiellonia
P.Gliwice	0 - 1	Jagiellonia
Motor Lublin	0 - 2	Jagiellonia
Lech Poznan	5 - 0	Jagiellonia
Katowice	3 - 1	Jagiellonia
RKS	2 - 3	Jagiellonia
P.Gliwice	1 - 1	Jagiellonia
Stal Mielec	3 - 2	Jagiellonia
Zaglebie	1 - 2	Jagiellonia
L. Warsaw	1 - 1	Jagiellonia
RKS	0 - 2	Jagiellonia
Gornik Z.	2 - 1	Jagiellonia
W Lodz	1 - 3	Jagiellonia
Puszcza	3 - 3	Jagiellonia
W Poznan	1 - 2	Jagiellonia
Korona	2 - 2	Jagiellonia
MKS Pogon	2 - 1	Jagiellonia

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

19 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

1 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Jagiellonia	5 - 0	RKS
A	Jagiellonia	1 - 1	Puszcza
A	Jagiellonia	1 - 1	MKS Pogon
H	Jagiellonia	2 - 2	S.Wroclaw
H	Jagiellonia	2 - 2	Rakow
A	Jagiellonia	2 - 0	Gornik Z.
H	Jagiellonia	3 - 1	Korona
A	Jagiellonia	3 - 1	Zaglebie
H	Jagiellonia	1 - 1	L. Warsaw
A	Jagiellonia	1 - 0	P.Gliwice
A	Jagiellonia	2 - 0	Motor Lublin
H	Jagiellonia	3 - 2	L.Gdansk
A	Jagiellonia	0 - 5	Lech Poznan
H	Jagiellonia	1 - 0	W Lodz
A	Jagiellonia	1 - 3	Katowice
H	Jagiellonia	2 - 4	Cracovia
H	Jagiellonia	2 - 0	Stal Mielec
A	Jagiellonia	3 - 2	RKS
H	Jagiellonia	2 - 0	Puszcza
H	Jagiellonia	3 - 0	W Poznan

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Stal Mielec

Jagiellonia

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

4 / 4

Clean sheets

0 / 4

STM

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Stal Mielec
Stal Mielec	3 - 2
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Stal Mielec	3 - 1

Jagiellonia

Stal Mielec

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

5 / 5

2 / 5

Clean sheets

3 / 5

0 / 5

JAG

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Jagiellonia
Jagiellonia	2 - 0
Jagiellonia	4 - 0
Jagiellonia	4 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	3 - 3	Draw

Goal Statistics

Jagiellonia Bialystok have been reliable in attack of late, finding the net in 11 consecutive Ekstraklasa games. Their PG of 1.5 against Stal Mielec on Friday suggests that run is likely to continue.

	Stal Mielec 13th	Jagiellonia 2nd
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.5 goals	1.5 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 22% 1 33% 2 25% 3 13% 4+ There is a 78% probability that Stal Mielec will score 1 or more goals	0 23% 1 34% 2 25% 3 12% 4+ There is a 77% probability that Jagiellonia will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-9 Stal Mielec’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+18 Jagiellonia have scored 18% more goals when away than predicted
	1.2 average goals scored	1.7 average goals scored
	0.9 conceded	1.5 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Ekstraklasa - 2024/2025 season

better

STM

JAG

view stats

Games scored	0		0
Failed to score	0		0
Scored first	0		0
Goals scored	0		0
Avg. goals scored	0		0
Avg. shots per game	0		0
Avg. shots per goal	0		0
Conversion rate for	0		0
Avg. XG for	0		0
KickOff rating		0%

better

STM

JAG

view stats

Games conceded	0		0
Clean sheets	0		0
Conceded first	0		0
Goals conceded	0		0
Avg. goals conceded	0		0
Avg. shots/game conceded	0		0
Avg. shots/goal conceded	0		0
Conversion rate against	0%		0%
Avg. XG against	0		0
KickOff rating		0%

Stal Mielec v Jagiellonia Ekstraklasa lLine ups will show here when available.

Stal Mielec Ekstraklasa squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
17	6	3	4
M Domanski	P Wlazlo	M Guillaumier	M Matras

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
A Jaunzems DEF	18		1	-
M Matras DEF	18			4 -
M Domanski MID	18	1	1	2 -
M Guillaumier MID	18	1	3	4 -
I Shkurin FWD	18	5	1	2 -
M Senger DEF	17	1		3 1
K Getinger MID	17		2	-
R. Assayag FWD	17	1		1 -
L Wolsztynski FWD	16	3		1 -
J Madrzyk GLK	15			1 -
P Wlazlo MID	15	6		1
B Esselink DEF	14			2 1
R Dadok MID	14		3	3 -
D Tkacz MID	13			1 -
S Krykun FWD	12	1		-
F Gerbowski MID	11			3 -
K. Wołkowicz MID	10			2 -
K Knap MID	7			2 -
A Bukowski DEF	5		1	1 -
P Hannola MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	15	3	30
P Wlazlo	I Shkurin	M Guillaumier	K Getinger

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
P Wlazlo MID	6	11		4
I Shkurin FWD	5	15	1	11
L Wolsztynski FWD	3	8		3
S Krykun FWD	1	7		14
M Domanski MID	1	5	1	21
M Guillaumier MID	1	5	3	12
M Senger DEF	1	8		4
R. Assayag FWD	1	1		4
A Bukowski DEF			1	1
K Knap MID				1
K. Wołkowicz MID		3		2
F Gerbowski MID				2
A Jaunzems DEF		3	1	17
D Tkacz MID		4		3
R Dadok MID		4	3	10
B Esselink DEF		1		3
M Matras DEF		4		8
K Getinger MID		2	2	30

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
802	32	82
P Wlazlo	M Guillaumier	M Guillaumier

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
P Wlazlo MID	802	24	66
M Senger DEF	783	30	70
M Matras DEF	782	20	81
M Guillaumier MID	756	32	82
B Esselink DEF	673	18	62
M Domanski MID	612	7	28
K Getinger MID	568	27	60
J Madrzyk GLK	512		7
A Jaunzems DEF	448	17	53
I Shkurin FWD	255	9	72
D Tkacz MID	236	9	35
R Dadok MID	229	12	40
S Krykun FWD	197	10	35
K. Wołkowicz MID	139	9	20
L Wolsztynski FWD	108	2	35
F Gerbowski MID	85	3	18
K Knap MID	62	4	7
R. Assayag FWD	61	1	13
A Bukowski DEF	45	4	8
P Hannola MID	40	1	2

Jagiellonia Ekstraklasa squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
17	12	6	5
J Imaz	J Imaz	K Hansen	T Romanczuk

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
J Kubicki MID	19	3	1	2 -
J Imaz FWD	19	12	4	-
K Hansen FWD	18	3	6	-
M Sacek DEF	17		3	4 -
S Abramowicz GLK	16			2 -
J Moutinho DEF	16		2	3 -
A Pululu FWD	16	6		3 -
L Diaby-Fadiga FWD	16	3	1	2 -
M Villar FWD	16	2	4	-
A Diéguez DEF	15		2	2 1
T Romanczuk MID	14	1	2	5 -
M Skrzypczak DEF	13	1		2 -
D Stojinovic DEF	13			-
D Churlinov FWD	13	2	3	1 -
M Listkowski MID	12			-
T Silva DEF	9	1		2 -
P. Kováčik MID	8			-
A. Rybak FWD	7			-
C. Polak DEF	5			-
M Stryjek GLK	3			-
O. Pietuszewski FWD	2			-
E Ebosse DEF	1			-
L Flach MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
12	26	6	15
J Imaz	J Imaz	K Hansen	K Hansen

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J Imaz FWD	12	26	4	12
A Pululu FWD	6	16		12
J Kubicki MID	3	6	1	9
K Hansen FWD	3	10	6	15
L Diaby-Fadiga FWD	3	8	1	5
D Churlinov FWD	2	12	3	10
M Villar FWD	2	4	4	8
T Romanczuk MID	1	3	2	4
T Silva DEF	1	2		2
M Skrzypczak DEF	1	2		1
A Diéguez DEF		1	2	4
J Moutinho DEF		2	2	10
D Stojinovic DEF		1
M Listkowski MID				4
M Sacek DEF			3	10
P. Kováčik MID		1		1
C. Polak DEF				3

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1122	33	90
A Diéguez	J Moutinho	A Pululu

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
A Diéguez DEF	1122	12	44
M Sacek DEF	1021	30	80
M Skrzypczak DEF	831	9	33
J Moutinho DEF	736	33	76
T Romanczuk MID	654	31	79
D Stojinovic DEF	579	4	34
J Imaz FWD	533	15	35
S Abramowicz GLK	463	1	6
J Kubicki MID	449	11	37
K Hansen FWD	308	14	42
D Churlinov FWD	264	11	52
M Villar FWD	210	15	38
A Pululu FWD	205	13	90
P. Kováčik MID	162	2	10
T Silva DEF	150	7	28
C. Polak DEF	135	9	19
M Listkowski MID	120	4	19
L Diaby-Fadiga FWD	89	4	31
M Stryjek GLK	78
A. Rybak FWD	43	1	6
L Flach MID	39	5	13
E Ebosse DEF	16		1
O. Pietuszewski FWD	6		4

Polish Ekstraklasa match betting previews, predictions and odds

Stal Mielec v Jagiellonia

Fri 7th Feb, 17:00

MKS Pogon v Gornik Z.

P.Gliwice v L. Warsaw

Sat 8th Feb, 19:15

Korona v Motor Lublin

Sun 9th Feb, 11:15

W Lodz v Cracovia

Sun 9th Feb, 13:45

L.Gdansk v Lech Poznan

Stal Mielec v MKS Pogon

Sun 16th Feb, 11:15

Katowice v P.Gliwice

Sun 16th Feb, 13:45

Jagiellonia v Motor Lublin

Sun 16th Feb, 16:30

Zaglebie v L.Gdansk

Mon 17th Feb, 18:00

Stal Mielec v Jagiellonia Bialystok : Ekstraklasa match betting preview, prediction and odds

Stal Mielec have played 19 matches so far this season and are in 13th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

Home league performance

Jagiellonia lay in 2nd place on 38 points in the Ekstraklasa league table having played 19 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

Away league performance

Stal Mielec v Jagiellonia Ekstraklasa lLine ups will show here when available.

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