Motor Lublin v Stal Mielec : Ekstraklasa match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 30th Mar, 13:45 BST, Arena Lublin, Lublin

Home advantage is often beneficial in the Ekstraklasa, and Mateusz Stolarski’s Motor Lublin will have the luxury of it on Sunday afternoon. Dzenan Uscuplic’s Stal Mielec are their opponents at the Arena Lublin. We've got predictions, tips, and odds and head-to-head statistics across all the main betting markets, all with the aim of helping you find a winning bet on this Ekstraklasa clash.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The stats suggest there isn't an obvious winner for this clash, but there's plenty of reasons to believe that Motor Lublin and Stal Mielec will score at least a couple of goals between them. We've seen goals when they've gone head-to-head historically, and neither Mateusz Stolarski or Dzenan Uscuplic has served up too many 0-0s lately either. The bookies predict over 1.5 goals too, with top odds of 1.20 equating to roughly a 81% probability.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Motor Lublin are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 49% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.15.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Motor Lublin 49%	23/20 8%	-
Draw 23%	5/2	-
Stal Mielec 28%	11/5 6%	-
Draw 1-1 11%	6/1	-
Motor Lublin 2-1 9%	8/1	-
Motor Lublin 1-0 8%	9/1 5%	-
Motor Lublin 2-0 7%	11/1 9%	-
Stal Mielec 2-1 7%	11/1	-
Draw 2-2 6%	11/1	-
Stal Mielec 1-0 6%	12/1	-
Motor Lublin 3-1 6%	14/1	-
Draw 0-0 5%	12/1	-
Motor Lublin 3-0 4%	20/1 11%	-
Stal Mielec 2-0 4%	18/1	-
Motor Lublin 3-2 4%	20/1	-
Stal Mielec 3-1 3%	22/1 12%	-
Stal Mielec 3-2 3%	28/1	-
Motor Lublin 4-1 2%	33/1 17%	-
Over 2.5 Goals 59%	7/10 2%	-
Under 2.5 Goals 41%	11/10 2%	-
Home 1st Goal 52%	4/6 3%	-
Away 1st Goal 46%	5/4 5%	-
No 1st Goal 3%	12/1	-
BTTS - Yes 60%	4/7	-
BTTS - No 40%	5/4	-
BTTS - Home Win 26%	11/4	-
BTTS - Draw 19%	10/3	-
BTTS - Away Win 16%	9/2 8%	-
Home/draw 72%	4/11 5%	-
Away/draw 51%	4/6 7%	-
Home/away 77%	2/7	-
Over 1.5 Goals 81%	1/5	-
Under 1.5 Goals 19%	10/3	-
Over 3.5 Goals 36%	13/8	-
Under 3.5 Goals 64%	4/9	-
Over 4.5 Goals 19%	4/1	-
Under 4.5 Goals 81%	1/6	-
Over 5.5 Goals 9%	10/1 10%	-
Under 5.5 Goals 91%	1/20 1%	-
Over 0.5 Goals 95%	1/25	-
Under 0.5 Goals 5%	12/1	-
Home DNB 65%	4/7 5%	-
Away DNB 44%	5/4 10%	-
Motor Lublin win to nil 23%	10/3 8%	-
Stal Mielec win to nil 12%	11/2 7%	-
Motor Lublin / Motor Lublin 23%	5/2 8%	-
Motor Lublin / Stal Mielec 3%	25/1 10%	-
Motor Lublin / Draw 6%	12/1	-
Draw / Motor Lublin 15%	9/2	-
Draw / Stal Mielec 12%	6/1 7%	-
Draw / Draw 14%	5/1	-
Stal Mielec / Motor Lublin 4%	20/1	-
Stal Mielec / Stal Mielec 16%	4/1 9%	-
Stal Mielec / Draw 6%	12/1 13%	-

Win / draw / win Ekstraklasa table

Motor Lublin have played 25 matches so far this season and lay in 8th place in the Ekstraklasa league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 14 games against teams below in the table, having won 7, drawn 4 and lost 3 matches. They have kept 5 clean sheets and have failed to score in 4 fixtures. Motor Lublin have outscored their opponents by 35 goals to 26 goals.

Home League Performance

Motor Lublin have played 12 games at home winning 5, drawing 4 and losing 3 games. They have scored 19 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and conceded 18 goals at home.

Stal Mielec are in 16th position in the Ekstraklasa on 23 points having played 25 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

9 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 21 goals and kept no clean sheets. They have scored 10 goals in total and failed to score in 4 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

22 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 12 games, drawn 4 and won 6. Stal Mielec have conceded 30 goals, scored 22, failed to score in 7 fixtures and have kept 3 clean sheets.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Motor Lublin Stal Mielec
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Rakow	25	15	7	3	21	52	l 0-2A	d 2-2A	May 3	l 1-0A
2	Jagiellonia	26	15	6	5	16	51	l 0-2A	l 3-0A	w 2-1A	l 2-0A
3	Lech Poznan	26	16	2	8	24	50	Apr 13	w 1-2A	l 0-2A	l 3-1A
4	MKS Pogon	26	13	5	8	13	44	w 4-2F	May 3	l 1-2A	l 1-0A
5	L. Warsaw	26	11	8	7	13	41	d 3-3A	l 5-2F	d 2-2A	May 24
6	Cracovia	26	11	8	7	7	41	Apr 26	l 6-2F	Apr 4	d 1-1F
7	Gornik Z.	25	12	4	9	7	40	w 1-0F	l 4-0A	Apr 22	l 3-1A
8	Motor Lublin H	25	10	6	9	-9	36	-	-	w 1-0F	Mar 30
9	Katowice	25	9	6	10	2	33	w 3-2A	d 0-00-0	l 0-1A	l 1-0A
10	P.Gliwice	26	8	9	9	-2	33	May 10	w 2-3F	w 2-0F	d 2-2F
11	Korona	25	8	9	8	-7	33	d 1-1A	l 1-0A	l 0-1A	l 2-1A
12	W Lodz	26	9	6	11	-9	33	l 3-4F	Apr 19	d 1-1F	l 2-1A
13	RKS	25	9	4	12	-5	31	w 1-0F	May 24	May 17	w 1-2F
14	Puszcza	26	6	7	13	-13	25	d 0-00-0	w 0-1F	w 2-0F	May 10
15	L.Gdansk	26	6	6	14	-17	24	d 1-1F	w 0-2F	w 2-1A	Apr 14
16	Stal Mielec A	25	6	5	14	-12	23	Mar 30	l 1-0A	-	-
17	Zaglebie	25	6	5	14	-17	23	May 17	w 1-2F	d 2-2F	Apr 28
18	S.Wroclaw	26	4	9	13	-12	21	w 2-1A	Apr 5	l 1-4A	l 2-1A

	UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
	UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
	UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Stal Mielec have lost 3 consecutive league games

Motor Lublin have not lost in 5 consecutive home league games

Stal Mielec have not won in 5 consecutive league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

9 / 12

Conceded

9 / 12

Clean sheets

3 / 12

Failed to score

3 / 12

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Motor Lublin	3 - 3	L. Warsaw
Motor Lublin	3 - 2	Katowice
Motor Lublin	1 - 1	L.Gdansk
Motor Lublin	1 - 0	RKS
Motor Lublin	4 - 2	MKS Pogon
Motor Lublin	3 - 4	W Lodz
Motor Lublin	2 - 1	S.Wroclaw
Motor Lublin	0 - 2	Jagiellonia
Motor Lublin	1 - 0	Gornik Z.
Motor Lublin	0 - 0	Puszcza
Motor Lublin	1 - 1	Korona
Motor Lublin	0 - 2	Rakow

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Motor Lublin	0 - 4	Gornik Z.
H	Motor Lublin	3 - 3	L. Warsaw
A	Motor Lublin	1 - 0	Puszcza
H	Motor Lublin	3 - 2	Katowice
A	Motor Lublin	0 - 3	Jagiellonia
A	Motor Lublin	0 - 1	Korona
H	Motor Lublin	1 - 1	L.Gdansk
A	Motor Lublin	2 - 2	Rakow
H	Motor Lublin	1 - 0	RKS
A	Motor Lublin	2 - 1	Zaglebie
A	Motor Lublin	3 - 2	P.Gliwice
H	Motor Lublin	4 - 2	MKS Pogon
A	Motor Lublin	2 - 6	Cracovia
H	Motor Lublin	3 - 4	W Lodz
A	Motor Lublin	2 - 1	Lech Poznan
H	Motor Lublin	2 - 1	S.Wroclaw
H	Motor Lublin	0 - 2	Jagiellonia
A	Motor Lublin	0 - 1	Stal Mielec
H	Motor Lublin	1 - 0	Gornik Z.
A	Motor Lublin	2 - 5	L. Warsaw

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Lech Poznan	3 - 1	Stal Mielec
P.Gliwice	2 - 2	Stal Mielec
Katowice	1 - 0	Stal Mielec
W Lodz	2 - 1	Stal Mielec
RKS	1 - 2	Stal Mielec
Rakow	1 - 0	Stal Mielec
S.Wroclaw	2 - 1	Stal Mielec
Gornik Z.	3 - 1	Stal Mielec
Cracovia	1 - 1	Stal Mielec
Korona	2 - 1	Stal Mielec
MKS Pogon	1 - 0	Stal Mielec
Jagiellonia	2 - 0	Stal Mielec
LKS Lodz	3 - 2	Stal Mielec
Gornik Z.	1 - 1	Stal Mielec
W Poznan	5 - 2	Stal Mielec
Korona	1 - 0	Stal Mielec
Zaglebie	0 - 0	Stal Mielec
RKS	2 - 1	Stal Mielec
S.Wroclaw	0 - 1	Stal Mielec
P.Gliwice	3 - 0	Stal Mielec

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Stal Mielec	1 - 4	S.Wroclaw
A	Stal Mielec	1 - 3	Lech Poznan
H	Stal Mielec	0 - 1	Korona
A	Stal Mielec	2 - 2	P.Gliwice
H	Stal Mielec	1 - 2	MKS Pogon
H	Stal Mielec	2 - 1	Jagiellonia
A	Stal Mielec	0 - 1	Katowice
A	Stal Mielec	1 - 2	W Lodz
H	Stal Mielec	2 - 2	L. Warsaw
A	Stal Mielec	2 - 1	RKS
H	Stal Mielec	2 - 0	Puszcza
A	Stal Mielec	0 - 1	Rakow
H	Stal Mielec	2 - 2	Zaglebie
A	Stal Mielec	1 - 2	S.Wroclaw
A	Stal Mielec	1 - 3	Gornik Z.
H	Stal Mielec	2 - 1	L.Gdansk
A	Stal Mielec	1 - 1	Cracovia
H	Stal Mielec	1 - 0	Motor Lublin
H	Stal Mielec	0 - 2	Lech Poznan
A	Stal Mielec	1 - 2	Korona

Goal Statistics

Motor Lublin's fans will be hoping for goals on Sunday afternoon, not least because Stal Mielec have conceded in each of their last 10 Ekstraklasa games. A PG of 1.8 for M. Stolarski's side suggests that run should continue.

	Motor Lublin 8th	Stal Mielec 15th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.8 goals	1.3 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 17% 1 30% 2 27% 3 16% 4+ 10% There is a 83% probability that Motor Lublin will score 1 or more goals	0 28% 1 36% 2 23% 3 10% 4+ There is a 64% probability that Stal Mielec will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
12 home / away league games	+13 Motor Lublin have scored 13% more goals at home than predicted	-15 Stal Mielec have scored 15% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.6 average goals scored	0.9 average goals scored
	1.5 conceded	1.8 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Ekstraklasa - 2024/2025 season

11%

better

MTL

STM

view stats

Games scored	17		18
Failed to score	8		7
Scored first	11		8
Goals scored	35		26
Avg. goals scored	1.4		1
Avg. shots per game	10		10
Avg. shots per goal	7		9
Conversion rate for	14		11
Avg. XG for	2.2		2.4
KickOff rating		+11%

better

MTL

STM

view stats

Games conceded	19		22
Clean sheets	6		3
Conceded first	12		17
Goals conceded	44		38
Avg. goals conceded	1.8		1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded	11		10
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		7
Conversion rate against	16%		15%
Avg. XG against	1.2		2
KickOff rating		+7%

Motor Lublin v Stal Mielec Ekstraklasa lLine ups will show here when available.

Motor Lublin Ekstraklasa squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
25	12	6	5
B. Wolski	S Mraz	B. Wolski	S Samper

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
F. Wójcik DEF	25		4	2 -
B. Wolski MID	25	1	6	1 -
S Mraz FWD	25	12	4	3 -
M. Ndiaye MID	23	2		3 -
M Krol MID	23	2	4	2 -
M. Bartoš DEF	22	2		4 -
P. Ceglarz MID	22	5	1	2 -
P Stolarski DEF	21	2	1	4 -
F. Luberecki DEF	20		1	2 -
A. Najemski DEF	20	1	2	4 -
K Caliskaner FWD	20		2	1 -
M Scalet MID	18	1	1	2 -
S Samper MID	16		1	4 1
C. Simon MID	16	2		2 -
K Rosa GLK	15			2 -
K Palacz DEF	13			2 -
K. Wełniak FWD	11	1		-
I Brkić GLK	10			-
B Hoeven FWD	9	2		1 -
H Matthys DEF	6		1	1 -
J Labojko MID	6			2 -
A Sefer FWD	5			-
M Gasior MID	4			-
K Kruk DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
12	31	6	28
S Mraz	S Mraz	B. Wolski	B. Wolski

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
S Mraz FWD	12	31	4	11
P. Ceglarz MID	5	16	1	8
C. Simon MID	2	6		7
M. Ndiaye MID	2	11		7
M Krol MID	2	10	4	11
M. Bartoš DEF	2	3
P Stolarski DEF	2	3	1	6
B Hoeven FWD	2	3
K. Wełniak FWD	1	2
A. Najemski DEF	1	2	2	3
M Scalet MID	1	4	1	2
B. Wolski MID	1	4	6	28
H Matthys DEF		1	1	1
F. Wójcik DEF			4	8
A Sefer FWD		1
M Gasior MID				3
S Samper MID			1	10
K Palacz DEF				4
K Rosa GLK				1
K Caliskaner FWD		1	2	14
F. Luberecki DEF			1	9

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
995	35	81
B. Wolski	P Stolarski	K Caliskaner

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
B. Wolski MID	995	23	78
M. Bartoš DEF	943	19	62
A. Najemski DEF	845	27	59
S Samper MID	783	15	40
F. Luberecki DEF	641	33	71
P Stolarski DEF	492	35	69
F. Wójcik DEF	478	17	58
K Rosa GLK	443	1	10
S Mraz FWD	396	8	78
M Scalet MID	395	12	49
K Palacz DEF	356	16	26
P. Ceglarz MID	345	14	69
C. Simon MID	293	10	28
K Caliskaner FWD	292	24	81
H Matthys DEF	283	8	15
M Krol MID	241	13	58
I Brkić GLK	236		4
J Labojko MID	225	7	12
M. Ndiaye MID	203	16	72
M Gasior MID	105	2	9
B Hoeven FWD	90	5	24
A Sefer FWD	58	12	15
K Kruk DEF	34	2	3
K. Wełniak FWD	25		6

Stal Mielec Ekstraklasa squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
23	9	3	5
M Domanski	P Wlazlo	M Guillaumier	M Senger

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
M Domanski MID	24	1	2	2 -
A Jaunzems MID	24		1	2 -
M Senger DEF	23	1		4 1
M Guillaumier MID	23	1	3	3 -
K Getinger MID	23	1	3	2 -
M Matras DEF	22	1		4 -
J Madrzyk GLK	21			1 -
L Wolsztynski FWD	21	3		2 -
B Esselink DEF	20			3 1
R Dadok MID	20	2	3	3 -
P Wlazlo MID	20	9		3 2
R. Assayag FWD	19	1		1 -
S Krykun FWD	16	1		-
D Tkacz MID	15			1 -
F Gerbowski MID	14			3 -
K. Wołkowicz MID	14			2 -
P Hannola MID	7			-
K Knap MID	7			2 -
A Bukowski DEF	5		1	1 -
D Kadzior FWD	4			1 1
J Beauguel FWD	3			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
9	15	3	31
P Wlazlo	P Wlazlo	M Guillaumier	K Getinger

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
P Wlazlo MID	9	15		4
L Wolsztynski FWD	3	9		3
R Dadok MID	2	7	3	11
S Krykun FWD	1	8		13
R. Assayag FWD	1	2		4
M Domanski MID	1	5	2	23
M Matras DEF	1	6		8
K Getinger MID	1	3	3	31
M Guillaumier MID	1	6	3	12
M Senger DEF	1	10		4
B Esselink DEF		3		3
A Jaunzems MID		3	1	17
D Tkacz MID		4		3
F Gerbowski MID		1		2
K. Wołkowicz MID		5		3
P Hannola MID				1
K Knap MID				1
A Bukowski DEF			1	1
D Kadzior FWD				1
J Beauguel FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1054	41	97
P Wlazlo	M Senger	M Guillaumier

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
P Wlazlo MID	1054	36	95
M Senger DEF	1044	41	96
B Esselink DEF	930	29	94
M Guillaumier MID	929	39	97
M Domanski MID	837	13	43
M Matras DEF	812	19	87
K Getinger MID	792	35	91
J Madrzyk GLK	666		9
A Jaunzems MID	622	28	69
R Dadok MID	320	19	67
D Tkacz MID	249	9	36
S Krykun FWD	241	12	46
P Hannola MID	174	6	17
K. Wołkowicz MID	171	13	29
L Wolsztynski FWD	136	3	51
F Gerbowski MID	94	4	21
D Kadzior FWD	65	4	14
R. Assayag FWD	64	1	13
K Knap MID	62	4	7
A Bukowski DEF	45	4	8
J Beauguel FWD	14	1	7