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Legia Warsaw v MKS Pogon Szczecin : Ekstraklasa match betting preview, prediction and odds

Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa i, Warszawa

Legia Warsaw and their manager Goncalo Feio will be hoping for victory against Robert Kolendowicz and his MKS Pogon Szczecin side on Friday evening, as the pair clash at the Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa i in the Ekstraklasa. This preview has odds for seventeen different betting markets, alongside supporting data that changes as you go between markets. Our predictions run off 20-game form, so all stats are shown from a 20-game perspective. Home vs away and overall records can be viewed, while you'll also find head-to-head history a little further down the page.

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Legia Warsaw's next match is v Gornik Z. at 13:45 on Sunday 6th April
MKS Pogon Szczecin's next match is v Katowice at 16:30 on Sunday 6th April
The last Polish Ekstraklasa meeting between L. Warsaw and MKS Pogon was on Friday 28th March 2025
Polish Ekstraklasa
March 28th 2025
L. Warsaw 0
0 MKS Pogon
 
LEG
POG
Shots On
5
4
Shots Off
3
3
Corners
8
5
Possession
57%
43%
Fouls
11
12
Yellow/red cards
2/0
3/0
 
L. WarsawMKS Pogon
 
K. Tobiasz
R. Pankov
P. Wszołek
R. Nascimento Vinagre
S. Kapuadi
B. Kapustka
R. Morishita
J. Elitim Sepúlveda
M. Gual Huguet (I. Shkurin 81')
K. Chodyna (V. Bichakhchyan 63')
L. Lima Linhares (W. Urbański 63')
V. Cojocaru
L. Koutris
L. Wahlqvist
L. Borges da Silva
(W. Lisowski 76') D. Keramitsis
(K. Łukasiak 84') J. Costa Gamboa
(M. Wędrychowski 46') A. Przyborek
(K. Smolinski 73') F. Ulvestad
R. Kurzawa
(O. Korczakowski 84') K. Grosicki
E. Koulouris

Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

As loyal fans of MKS Pogon ready themselves for this clash, they certainly have reason to expect an exciting match. After studying the relevant statistics and past head-to-head (H2H) records, it looks as though over 2.5 goals will be a worthy bet, as both sides know they have goals in them and either could win. The prediction and odds are both pointing in the same direction: over 2.5 goals is the bet to go for.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think L. Warsaw are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 54% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.95.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
L. Warsaw
54%
4/5
10%
-
Draw
22%
11/4
4%
-
MKS Pogon
24%
16/5
20%
-
Draw 1-1
10%
13/2
7%
-
L. Warsaw 2-1
10%
15/2
6%
-
L. Warsaw 1-0
8%
17/2
5%
-
L. Warsaw 2-0
8%
9/1
9%
-
L. Warsaw 3-1
6%
12/1
13%
-
MKS Pogon 2-1
6%
14/1
25%
-
Draw 2-2
6%
11/1-
MKS Pogon 1-0
5%
16/1
13%
-
L. Warsaw 3-0
5%
14/1
21%
-
Draw 0-0
4%
14/1-
L. Warsaw 3-2
4%
20/1-
MKS Pogon 2-0
3%
22/1
10%
-
L. Warsaw 4-1
3%
22/1
21%
-
MKS Pogon 3-1
3%
28/1
12%
-
MKS Pogon 3-2
3%
28/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
62%
4/7
3%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
38%
27/20
4%
-
Home 1st Goal
53%
1/2
7%
-
Away 1st Goal
44%
8/5
9%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
14/1-
BTTS - Yes
61%
4/7-
BTTS - No
39%
5/4-
BTTS - Home Win
29%
11/5
9%
-
BTTS - Draw
18%
7/2
4%
-
BTTS - Away Win
14%
6/1
17%
-
Home/draw
76%
2/9
5%
-
Away/draw
46%
19/20
8%
-
Home/away
78%
1/4
3%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
83%
1/6
1%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
17%
4/1
11%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
40%
11/8
5%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
61%
8/15
2%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
22%
10/3
4%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
78%
1/5
2%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
10%
7/1
20%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
90%
1/12
2%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/33-
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
14/1-
Home DNB
69%
1/3
11%
-
Away DNB
40%
9/4
30%
-
L. Warsaw win to nil
25%
5/2
13%
-
MKS Pogon win to nil
10%
8/1
29%
-
L. Warsaw / L. Warsaw
29%
15/8
10%
-
L. Warsaw / MKS Pogon
3%
28/1-
L. Warsaw / Draw
6%
12/1-
Draw / L. Warsaw
17%
4/1
9%
-
Draw / MKS Pogon
9%
8/1
13%
-
Draw / Draw
13%
11/2
8%
-
MKS Pogon / L. Warsaw
4%
18/1
10%
-
MKS Pogon / MKS Pogon
13%
11/2
18%
-
MKS Pogon / Draw
6%
14/1
15%
-
Win / draw / win Ekstraklasa table

L. Warsaw have played 25 matches so far this season and are in 5th position in the league. L. Warsaw are winless in the 5 games they have played against teams above them in the table and have conceded in every game.

Performance against teams above them in the league

5 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 4 games, drawn 1 and won zero. L. Warsaw have conceded 11 goals, scored 5, failed to score in 2 matches and kept no clean sheets.

Home league performance

L. Warsaw have played 12 games at home, winning 8, drawing 2 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 28 goals, conceded 13 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 1 time in home league games.

MKS Pogon lay in 4th place on 43 points in the Ekstraklasa league table having played 25 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 21 games against teams below them in the table, winning 13, drawing 3 and losing 5 games. They have scored 40 goals and kept 10 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. MKS Pogon have conceded 21 goals and have failed to score in 3 matches.

Away league performance

MKS Pogon have played 12 away games, winning 3, drawing 3 and losing 6 games. They have scored an average of 1.3 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.4 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
L. Warsaw
MKS Pogon
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Rakow2515732152 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-2A
Apr 19
l
 
1-0A
2
Jagiellonia2515641751 
Apr 13
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
May 24
3
Lech Poznan2516272650 
May 10
l
 
5-2A
l
 
0-3A
l
 
2-0A
4
MKS Pogon Away2613581344 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
-
-
5
L. Warsaw Home2611871341 
-
-
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
6
Gornik Z.251249740 
d
 
1-1A
Apr 6
w
 
3-0F
l
 
1-0A
7
Cracovia251087538 
w
 
3-2F
May 17
w
 
5-2A
l
 
2-1A
8
Motor Lublin251069-936 
w
 
5-2A
d
 
3-3F
May 3
l
 
4-2A
9
Katowice259610233 
w
 
4-1A
Apr 26
Apr 6
l
 
3-1A
10
P.Gliwice26899-233 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
1-0F
Apr 13
11
Korona25898-733 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-1F
w
 
3-0F
d
 
0-00-0
12
W Lodz269611-933 
w
 
2-1F
May 3
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-4F
13
RKS259412-531 
w
 
4-1F
l
 
3-1F
l
 
0-1A
May 10
14
Puszcza256712-1125 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
2-2F
w
 
2-1F
Apr 25
15
Stal Mielec256514-1223 
May 24
d
 
2-2F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2F
16
Zaglebie 256514-1723 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-3F
w
 
1-0F
d
 
2-2F
17
L.Gdansk255614-1821 
Apr 21
w
 
0-2F
May 17
w
 
0-3F
18
S.Wroclaw253913-1418 
w
 
3-1F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
5-3F
d
 
1-1A
Win / draw / win form
5
MKS Pogon have not lost in 5 consecutive away league games
L. Warsaw 5TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
11
Draw
6
L
3
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
MKS Pogon 4TH
20 league games
Away
5
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
Draw
7
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
10
D
3
Lost
7
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at L. Warsaw since 2015
L. Warsaw
MKS Pogon
Goals: Scored
21
12
Games: Scored
11 / 12
8 / 12
Clean sheets
4 / 12
1 / 12
LEG
6
D
3
POG
3
League games at MKS Pogon since 2016
MKS Pogon
L. Warsaw
Goals: Scored
18
15
Games: Scored
8 / 11
8 / 11
Clean sheets
3 / 11
3 / 11
LEG
3
D
2
POG
6
Goal Statistics

Legia Warsaw have been consistent in attack of late, finding the net in 14 consecutive Ekstraklasa matches. Their PG of 1.9 against MKS Pogon Szczecin on Friday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

L. Warsaw 5th MKS Pogon 4th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.9
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
14%
1
28%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
13%
There is a 86% probability that L. Warsaw will score 1 or more goals
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that MKS Pogon will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+6
L. Warsaw’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
=0
MKS Pogon’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.9
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ekstraklasa - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/277179/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
L. Warsaw
PG (predicted goals)
MKS Pogon
1.9
1.3
Attack rating
14%
better
LEG
POG
view stats
Games scored22
19
Failed to score3
6
Scored first14
14
Goals scored48
41
Avg. goals scored1.9
1.6
Avg. shots per game11
11
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate for18
15
Avg. XG for2.3
2.3
KickOff rating
+14%
Defence rating
LEG
POG
22%
better
view stats
Games conceded20
15
Clean sheets5
10
Conceded first11
10
Goals conceded35
28
Avg. goals conceded1.4
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded9
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
9
Conversion rate against15%
11%
Avg. XG against2.2
1.3
KickOff rating
+22%

L. Warsaw v MKS Pogon Ekstraklasa lLine ups will show here when available.

L. Warsaw Ekstraklasa squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
24965
P WszolekB KapustkaR VinagreJ. Ziółkowski
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
K Tobiasz GLK15
1
-
P Wszolek DEF2523
3
-
R Pankov DEF181
3
-
S Kapuadi DEF233
4
-
R Vinagre DEF2516
1
-
B Kapustka MID2591
3
-
J Elitim MID8
2
-
R Morishita  MID2454
3
1
K Chodyna FWD2232
1
-
M Gual FWD2572
3
-
Luquinhas FWD2133
3
-
Subs
V Kovacevic GLK5
1
-
J. Ziółkowski DEF132
5
-
A Jedrzejczyk  DEF11
3
-
M Oyedele MID9
2
-
R Augustyniak MID2042
4
-
V Bichakhchyan MID6
-
P Kun MID11
2
-
W. Urbański MID1531
4
-
I Shkurin FWD51
-
MKS Pogon Ekstraklasa squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
261786
V CojocaruE KoulourisK GrosickiL Borges
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
V Cojocaru GLK26
3
-
L Wahlqvist DEF2411
4
-
D Keramitsis DEF4
1
L Borges DEF2511
6
-
L Koutris DEF264
2
-
J Gamboa  MID241
2
-
A Przyborek MID211
3
-
F Ulvestad MID2543
5
-
R Kurzawa MID2112
4
-
K Grosicki MID2558
2
-
E Koulouris FWD24171
4
-
Subs
K Kaminski GLK
-
L Luizão DEF
-
J Lis DEF10
-
W Lisowski DEF12
2
-
M Wedrychowski MID5
1
K Lukasiak MID222
1
1
O. Korczakowski MID18
3
-
K Smoliński MID5
1
-
P. Paryzek FWD201
2
-