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KGHM Zaglebie Lubin v Legia Warsaw : Ekstraklasa match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 8th Dec, 16:30 BST, Stadion Zaglebia, Lubin

Home advantage can be vital in the Ekstraklasa, and Waldemar Fornalik’s KGHM Zaglebie Lubin will have the blessing of it on Sunday afternoon. Goncalo Feio’s Legia Warsaw are their opponents at the Stadion Zaglebia. In this preview you'll find odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers for the 17 biggest betting markets plus predictions, statistics and head-to-head data for the two sides. Simply click through the tabs below to explore.


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We've made over 1.5 goals our tip on this fixture, meaning that the sides will score at least two goals between them during 90 mins. Both Zaglebie and L. Warsaw's latest form stats suggest it's likely, while their head-to-head (H2H) record adds further weight to the argument. The bookies make it their favoured prediction in this market too, available at 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 38% chance of L. Warsaw coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Zaglebie
36%
14/5
6%
12/5
Draw
26%
13/5
3%
12/5
L. Warsaw
38%
9/10
3%
10/11
Draw 1-1
12%
6/111/2
L. Warsaw 1-0
9%
7/16/1
Zaglebie 1-0
9%
11/117/2
L. Warsaw 2-1
8%
15/27/1
Zaglebie 2-1
8%
12/110/1
Draw 0-0
7%
11/117/2
L. Warsaw 2-0
6%
17/215/2
Zaglebie 2-0
6%
20/114/1
Draw 2-2
6%
14/111/1
L. Warsaw 3-1
4%
14/111/1
Zaglebie 3-1
4%
28/120/1
L. Warsaw 3-0
3%
16/112/1
Zaglebie 3-0
3%
40/125/1
L. Warsaw 3-2
3%
22/116/1
Zaglebie 3-2
2%
33/122/1
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
17/204/5
Under 2.5 Goals
50%
19/2017/20
Home 1st Goal
47%
8/5
4%
-
Away 1st Goal
49%
4/7-
No 1st Goal
4%
11/1-
BTTS - Yes
54%
3/48/11
BTTS - No
46%
1/11/1
BTTS - Home Win
17%
6/15/1
BTTS - Draw
19%
15/47/2
BTTS - Away Win
18%
11/411/4
Home/draw
62%
10/11
6%
4/5
Away/draw
64%
1/42/7
Home/away
74%
2/7
3%
2/7
Over 1.5 Goals
75%
1/41/4
Under 1.5 Goals
25%
11/412/5
Over 3.5 Goals
28%
2/115/8
Under 3.5 Goals
72%
4/111/3
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
5/117/4
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
1/81/9
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
12/117/2
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/251/40
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/251/33
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
11/115/2
Home DNB
54%
7/48/5
Away DNB
57%
2/54/9
Zaglebie win to nil
19%
6/1-
L. Warsaw win to nil
20%
12/5-
Zaglebie / Zaglebie
13%
11/29/2
Zaglebie / L. Warsaw
4%
22/118/1
Zaglebie / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Draw / Zaglebie
10%
7/113/2
Draw / L. Warsaw
16%
4/119/5
Draw / Draw
15%
9/24/1
L. Warsaw / Zaglebie
3%
33/125/1
L. Warsaw / L. Warsaw
26%
21/102/1
L. Warsaw / Draw
6%
12/111/1
bet365
Win / draw / win Ekstraklasa table

Zaglebie have played 17 matches so far this season and are in 13th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

12 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 7 games, drawn 3 and won 2. Zaglebie have conceded 21 goals, scored 10, failed to score in 4 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Zaglebie have played 8 games at home, winning 4, drawing 1 and losing 3 fixtures. They have scored 10 goals, conceded 8 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and failed to score 1 time in home league games.

L. Warsaw lay in 5th place on 29 points in the Ekstraklasa league table having played 17 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 13 games against teams below them in the table, winning 7, drawing 4 and losing 2 games. They have scored 27 goals and kept 3 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. L. Warsaw have conceded 14 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

L. Warsaw have played 8 away games, winning 2, drawing 4 and losing 2 games. They have scored an average of 1.4 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.5 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Zaglebie
L. Warsaw
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Lech Poznan1712232038 
l
 
0-1A
Feb 22
May 10
l
 
5-2A
2
Rakow1710521435 
Mar 29
l
 
5-1A
l
 
0-1A
Mar 15
3
Jagiellonia171043734 
l
 
1-3A
Apr 19
Apr 12
d
 
1-1A
4
Cracovia17935830 
May 24
d
 
1-1A
w
 
3-2F
May 17
5
L. Warsaw 178541029 
Dec 8
l
 
2-0A
-
-
6
Gornik Z.17836527 
Apr 12
w
 
0-1F
d
 
1-1A
Apr 5
7
Motor Lublin17836-327 
l
 
1-2A
May 17
w
 
5-2A
Mar 8
8
MKS Pogon17827426 
d
 
2-2A
Feb 1
Mar 29
l
 
1-0A
9
Katowice17647222 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 8
w
 
4-1A
Apr 26
10
W Lodz17647-222 
May 10
l
 
2-0A
w
 
2-1F
May 3
11
P.Gliwice17566021 
Mar 1
l
 
1-0A
l
 
1-2A
Feb 8
12
Stal Mielec17548-419 
Apr 26
d
 
2-2A
May 24
d
 
2-2F
13
Zaglebie 17548-819 
-
-
w
 
2-0F
Dec 8
14
Puszcza17458-917 
w
 
1-0F
Feb 8
Feb 15
d
 
2-2F
15
Korona17458-1217 
Mar 15
l
 
2-0A
Feb 1
w
 
0-1F
16
RKS165110-416 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 5
w
 
4-1F
Feb 22
17
L.Gdansk172510-1611 
Feb 15
d
 
1-1A
Apr 19
w
 
0-2F
18
S.Wroclaw16178-1210 
w
 
3-0F
May 3
Mar 1
d
 
1-1F
Win / draw / win form
Zaglebie 13TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
L. Warsaw 5TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
Draw
7
L
4
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
9
L. Warsaw have beaten Zaglebie in 9 consecutive league meetings
9
L. Warsaw have not lost to Zaglebie in 9 consecutive league meetings
League games at Zaglebie since 2016
Zaglebie
L. Warsaw
Goals: Scored
10
22
Games: Scored
7 / 10
9 / 10
Clean sheets
1 / 10
3 / 10
ZAG
2
LEG
8
League games at L. Warsaw since 2015
L. Warsaw
Zaglebie
Goals: Scored
22
14
Games: Scored
11 / 12
8 / 12
Clean sheets
4 / 12
1 / 12
ZAG
3
D
2
LEG
7
Goal Statistics

Legia Warsaw's defensive record is to be admired, G. Feio's men having conceded 1 or less in 7 consecutive Ekstraklasa matches. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.3 for KGHM Zaglebie Lubin makes sense in this context.

Zaglebie 13th L. Warsaw 5th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that Zaglebie will score no more than 1 goal
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 60% probability that L. Warsaw will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-17
Zaglebie have scored 17% fewer goals at home than predicted
+9
L. Warsaw’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.2
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ekstraklasa - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/277123/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Zaglebie
PG (predicted goals)
L. Warsaw
1.3
1.4
Attack rating
ZAG
LEG
40%
better
view stats
Games scored12
15
Failed to score5
2
Scored first5
9
Goals scored16
33
Avg. goals scored0.9
1.9
Avg. shots per game10
11
Avg. shots per goal11
6
Conversion rate for9
18
Avg. XG for0.9
2.3
KickOff rating
+40%
Defence rating
6%
better
ZAG
LEG
view stats
Games conceded12
14
Clean sheets5
3
Conceded first12
8
Goals conceded24
23
Avg. goals conceded1.4
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded11
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
6
Conversion rate against13%
16%
Avg. XG against1.7
2.2
KickOff rating
+6%

Zaglebie v L. Warsaw Ekstraklasa lLine ups will show here when available.

Zaglebie Ekstraklasa squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
17325
M MrózM WdowiakM WdowiakD Dabrowski
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
I. Orlikowski DEF171
-
M Mróz MID1721
2
-
M Wdowiak FWD1732
1
-
D Hladun GLK16
1
-
A Lawniczak DEF161
1
-
V Sejk FWD1611
2
-
D Dabrowski MID152
5
-
A Radwanski MID142
3
-
B Kłudka DEF13
2
-
T Makowski MID13
1
-
T Pieńko FWD133
-
M Grzybek DEF121
1
-
P Kusztal FWD111
-
L Mata DEF10
1
-
D Kurminowski  FWD91
1
-
M Nalepa DEF8
2
3
A Wozniak FWD8
-
B Kopacz DEF5
1
-
H Adamczyk MID51
-
K Szmyt MID4
-
M. Reguła MID311
-
J Burić GLK1
-
M. Dziewiatowski MID1
-
L. Warsaw Ekstraklasa squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
16655
R VinagreB KapustkaR VinagreJ Çelhaka
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Vinagre MID175
1
-
Luquinhas MID1722
3
-
B Kapustka MID1661
3
-
P Wszolek MID1623
1
-
R Morishita  FWD1632
2
-
M Gual FWD1642
3
-
S Kapuadi DEF151
2
-
R Augustyniak DEF1441
3
-
K Tobiasz GLK13
1
-
R Pankov DEF131
1
-
K Chodyna MID1321
1
-
M Alfarela FWD1212
1
-
T Pekhart FWD11
-
C Gonçalves MID9
2
-
W. Urbański MID921
3
-
A Jedrzejczyk  DEF8
2
-
J. Ziółkowski DEF81
2
-
J Çelhaka MID82
5
-
P Kun MID6
1
-
B Kramer FWD631
3
-
J Nsame FWD61
-
G Kobylak GLK5
1
-
S Barcia DEF5
-
M Oyedele MID4
-
M. Szczepaniak MID3
-
M Burch DEF1
-