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Nacional Asunción v Sportivo Luqueño : Division 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 11th May, 23:00 BST, Estadio Arsenio Erico, Asunción

Nacional Asunción and their manager Pedro Alcídes Sarabia Achucarro will be hoping for victory against Gustavo Eliseo Morínigo Vázquez and his Sportivo Luqueño side on Sunday night, as the pair go head to head at the Estadio Arsenio Erico in the Division 1. Stats drive the algorithmic predictions below for 17 individual betting markets, and flipping between them delivers bespoke analysis, including head-to-head, form and unique league tables. Odds from leading bookmakers are also provided. Click on the tabs below to see it all.


In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Nacional
44%
--
Draw
29%
--
Sportivo Luqueño
28%
--
Nacional 1-0
14%
--
Draw 1-1
13%
--
Draw 0-0
11%
--
Sportivo Luqueño 1-0
10%
--
Nacional 2-0
9%
--
Nacional 2-1
8%
--
Sportivo Luqueño 2-1
6%
--
Sportivo Luqueño 2-0
5%
--
Draw 2-2
4%
--
Nacional 3-0
4%
--
Nacional 3-1
3%
--
Sportivo Luqueño 3-1
2%
--
Nacional 3-2
2%
--
Sportivo Luqueño 3-0
2%
--
Sportivo Luqueño 3-2
1%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
38%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
62%
--
Home 1st Goal
50%
--
Away 1st Goal
42%
--
No 1st Goal
8%
--
BTTS - Yes
43%
--
BTTS - No
57%
--
BTTS - Home Win
16%
--
BTTS - Draw
18%
--
BTTS - Away Win
10%
--
Home/draw
73%
--
Away/draw
56%
--
Home/away
71%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
64%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
36%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
18%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
82%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
7%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
93%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
2%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
98%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
89%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
11%
--
Home DNB
64%
--
Away DNB
48%
--
Nacional win to nil
28%
--
Sportivo Luqueño win to nil
17%
--
Win / draw / win form
Nacional 11TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
Draw
7
L
4
Goals: Scored
15
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
4
Draw
6
Lost
10
Sportivo Luqueño 10TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
4
Draw
7
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
12
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
9 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
11 / 20
W
4
Draw
8
Lost
8
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Nacional since 2018
Nacional
Sportivo Luqueño
Goals: Scored
9
10
Games: Scored
6 / 11
8 / 11
Clean sheets
3 / 11
5 / 11
NAC
4
D
2
5
League games at Sportivo Luqueño since 2018
Sportivo Luqueño
Nacional
Goals: Scored
15
18
Games: Scored
11 / 13
11 / 13
Clean sheets
2 / 13
2 / 13
NAC
4
D
5
4
Goal Statistics

Goals have been an issue for Nacional Asunción of late. It has been 19 Division 1 games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.3 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Sunday night against Sportivo Luqueño.

Nacional 11th Sportivo Luqueño 10th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
28%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Nacional will score no more than 1 goal
0
39%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 76% probability of Sportivo Luqueño scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-20
Nacional have scored 20% fewer goals at home than predicted
+1
Sportivo Luqueño’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.0
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Division 1 - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/291879/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Nacional
PG (predicted goals)
Sportivo Luqueño
1.3
0.9
Attack rating
25%
better
NAC
view stats
Games scored12
8
Failed to score4
7
Scored first7
4
Goals scored12
10
Avg. goals scored0.8
0.6
Avg. shots per game10
9
Avg. shots per goal13
15
Conversion rate for8
7
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+25%
Defence rating
NAC
3%
better
view stats
Games conceded11
11
Clean sheets5
4
Conceded first8
9
Goals conceded21
18
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded9
12
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
10
Conversion rate against15%
10%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+3%

Nacional v Sportivo Luqueño Division 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Nacional Division 1 squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
16424
S RojasG CaballeroC ColmánC Núñez
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Rojas GLK16
2
-
G Caballero FWD164
-
C Núñez DEF14
4
-
J. Monteagudo DEF141
3
-
O Lugo MID14
3
-
G Benitez DEF13
-
J Alfaro MID131
3
-
J. Alfaro MID1211
4
-
C Colmán FWD1212
1
-
F Ledesma MID11
1
-
C Ortiz MID10
2
-
C Arrua MID101
3
-
R Antúnez MID9
4
-
T Fleytas FWD91
2
1
D Duarte FWD9
-
L Meza MID8
1
-
H Schlender DEF711
3
-
V Herrera MID7
-
D Cáceres DEF5
1
-
A. Cañete Torres DEF5
1
-
F Muñoz FWD51
-
A Benítez FWD4
1
1
S Vargas DEF3
-
L Trezza MID3
-
J Gaona DEF2
-
C Espinola DEF2
-
A. Martinez Roman FWD2
-
F Morel FWD2
-
Sportivo Luqueño Division 1 squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
14235
Ángel BenítezW GonzálezL ComasÁngel Benítez
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Ángel Benítez MID151
5
-
A Villalba DEF14
5
-
W González FWD142
2
-
I Torres MID13
2
-
L Comas MID1213
3
-
F Benítez MID12
1
-
A Aguilar GLK11
2
-
R Ferreira DEF11
1
-
E Vera MID1121
1
D Ríos MID11
3
-
W Ayala MID111
3
-
P Aguilar DEF10
2
-
J Báez MID10
-
M Mosqueira FWD10
1
1
G Hauche MID9
3
-
J. Marchio DEF8
2
2
W Rodríguez MID8
1
-
Ángel Adrián Brizuela Céspedes DEF71
-
A Parra MID7
-
K Pereira FWD61
-
A. Espinola Oviedo GLK5
-
J. Ramos Benitez MID5
-
F. Pasadore FWD5
1
-
S Ibarra DEF4
-
M. Suárez Cabrera DEF4
-
R Alborno DEF31
-
O. Caceres Prieto FWD31
-
E Contreras MID2
-
S Maldonado MID1
1
-