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Toluca v Tigres UANL : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo

Patrick Glockner and Veljko Paunovic take on one another in the Liga MX on Sunday morning, as Toluca face Tigres UANL at the Estadio Nemesio Díez. We've analysed both teams' last 20 Liga MX matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the betting market, to generate our match predictions. All the statistics, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside odds from leading bookmakers.

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Toluca's next match is v Leon at 01:00 on Sunday 9th February
Tigres UANL's next match is v Atlas at 01:00 on Sunday 9th February
The last Mexican Liga MX meeting between Toluca and Tigres was on Sunday 2nd February 2025
Mexican Liga MX
February 2nd 2025
Toluca 1
0 Tigres
 
J. Dias Fernandes 90'
 
TOL
TIG
Shots On
6
Shots Off
12
4
Corners
3
7
Possession
66%
34%
Fouls
9
15
Yellow/red cards
4/0
4/0
 
TolucaTigres
 
L. García Palomera
J. Gallardo Vasconcelos
D. Barbosa Zaragoza (B. García Carpizo 81')
B. Méndez Cittadini
A. Pereira Castelnoble (L. Garcia Teixeira 46')
J. Angulo Uriarte (J. Dias Fernandes 62')
H. Nunes de Castro (H. Herrera López 82')
M. Ruiz Suárez
F. Romero
E. Vega Rojas
E. López Rodríguez (R. Morales 62')
N. Guzmán
J. Angulo Uriarte
Joaquim Henrique
J. Brunetta
(D. Reyes Rosales 81') F. Gorriarán Fontes
J. Garza García
(C. Antuna Romero 81') D. Lainez Leyva
G. Pizarro
J. Aquino Carmona
(R. Zanre Zwarg 67') N. Ibáñez
(F. Córdova Reyes 63') J. Herrera Morales

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals
In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Toluca are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 55% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.25.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Toluca
55%
1/1
9%
-
Draw
23%
12/5
3%
-
Tigres
22%
29/10
39%
-
Draw 1-1
11%
11/2
7%
-
Toluca 2-1
10%
15/2
6%
-
Toluca 1-0
10%
13/2
25%
-
Toluca 2-0
9%
17/2
21%
-
Toluca 3-1
6%
14/1
12%
-
Tigres 2-1
6%
12/1
18%
-
Tigres 1-0
6%
10/1
8%
-
Toluca 3-0
6%
16/1
19%
-
Draw 2-2
5%
14/1
25%
-
Draw 0-0
5%
9/1
23%
-
Toluca 3-2
3%
25/1
13%
-
Tigres 2-0
3%
18/1
12%
-
Toluca 4-1
3%
33/1-
Toluca 4-0
3%
33/1
17%
-
Tigres 3-1
2%
28/1
38%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
19/20
15%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
43%
17/20
12%
-
Home 1st Goal
54%
8/13
6%
-
Away 1st Goal
43%
6/4
14%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
9/1
23%
-
BTTS - Yes
57%
4/5
15%
-
BTTS - No
43%
19/20
13%
-
BTTS - Home Win
27%
3/1-
BTTS - Draw
17%
7/2
4%
-
BTTS - Away Win
12%
13/2
50%
-
Home/draw
78%
1/4
8%
-
Away/draw
45%
4/5
15%
-
Home/away
77%
3/10
4%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
2/7
8%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
20%
5/2
19%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
35%
9/4
24%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
65%
1/3
8%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
18%
11/2
30%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
82%
1/9
5%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
14/1
36%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1/33
2%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/20
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
10/1
15%
-
Home DNB
71%
4/9
14%
-
Away DNB
38%
13/8
25%
-
Toluca win to nil
28%
12/5
21%
-
Tigres win to nil
10%
11/2
8%
-
Toluca / Toluca
26%
11/5
15%
-
Toluca / Tigres
2%
33/1
31%
-
Toluca / Draw
6%
12/1-
Draw / Toluca
17%
4/1
17%
-
Draw / Tigres
10%
7/1
14%
-
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2
8%
-
Tigres / Toluca
4%
22/1-
Tigres / Tigres
14%
5/1
26%
-
Tigres / Draw
6%
14/1
15%
-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
Toluca 2ND
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
49
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
14
D
4
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Toluca1 - 1Monterrey
Toluca0 - 2America
Toluca4 - 0America
Toluca2 - 2Leon
Toluca5 - 0Puebla
Toluca1 - 1Pumas UNAM
Toluca4 - 1Atlas
Toluca4 - 0Tijuana
Toluca2 - 1A. San Luis
Toluca3 - 0Mazatlan
Toluca3 - 2Juarez
Toluca0 - 0Guadalajara
Toluca0 - 1Cruz Azul
Toluca4 - 1Atlas
Toluca3 - 0Pumas UNAM
Toluca2 - 1Tigres
Toluca2 - 0Tijuana
Toluca1 - 0S. Laguna
Toluca4 - 1Leon
Toluca4 - 1Mazatlan
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AToluca1 - 1Pumas UNAM
AToluca1 - 2Mazatlan
HToluca1 - 1Monterrey
AToluca4 - 2Tijuana
HToluca0 - 2America
AToluca0 - 2America
HToluca4 - 0America
AToluca1 - 2Tigres
HToluca2 - 2Leon
AToluca3 - 1Necaxa
HToluca5 - 0Puebla
AToluca1 - 0Queretaro
HToluca1 - 1Pumas UNAM
HToluca4 - 1Atlas
AToluca0 - 2S. Laguna
AToluca2 - 2Pachuca
HToluca4 - 0Tijuana
AToluca2 - 1Monterrey
HToluca2 - 1A. San Luis
AToluca1 - 1Cruz Azul
Tigres 3RD
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Guadalajara1 - 1Tigres
A. San Luis1 - 3Tigres
A. San Luis3 - 0Tigres
Cruz Azul1 - 1Tigres
Tijuana0 - 3Tigres
Mazatlan2 - 0Tigres
Monterrey4 - 2Tigres
Juarez0 - 1Tigres
Queretaro1 - 0Tigres
Pumas UNAM1 - 3Tigres
S. Laguna0 - 3Tigres
Atlas1 - 1Tigres
Monterrey1 - 1Tigres
Monterrey3 - 3Tigres
Puebla2 - 3Tigres
America2 - 0Tigres
Toluca2 - 1Tigres
Cruz Azul1 - 0Tigres
S. Laguna0 - 3Tigres
Queretaro1 - 1Tigres
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HTigres4 - 0Tijuana
ATigres1 - 1Guadalajara
HTigres2 - 1Mazatlan
ATigres3 - 1A. San Luis
HTigres0 - 0A. San Luis
ATigres0 - 3A. San Luis
ATigres1 - 1Cruz Azul
HTigres2 - 1Toluca
ATigres3 - 0Tijuana
HTigres2 - 1Pachuca
ATigres0 - 2Mazatlan
ATigres2 - 4Monterrey
HTigres1 - 0Puebla
HTigres2 - 2Leon
ATigres1 - 0Juarez
ATigres0 - 1Queretaro
HTigres1 - 0A. San Luis
ATigres3 - 1Pumas UNAM
HTigres1 - 1Guadalajara
ATigres3 - 0S. Laguna
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Toluca have beaten Tigres in 5 consecutive home league meetings
5
Toluca have not lost to Tigres in 5 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Toluca since 2019
Toluca
Tigres
Goals: Scored
14
8
Games: Scored
5 / 6
6 / 6
Clean sheets
0 / 6
1 / 6
TOL
5
TIG
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Toluca
Toluca2 - 1
Toluca3 - 1
Toluca3 - 2
Toluca3 - 1
Toluca3 - 2
0 - 1Tigres
League games at Tigres since 2018
Tigres
Toluca
Goals: Scored
18
9
Games: Scored
8 / 9
7 / 9
Clean sheets
2 / 9
1 / 9
TOL
2
D
1
TIG
6
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Tigres
Tigres2 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
Tigres4 - 1
Tigres3 - 1
Tigres3 - 0
0 - 1Toluca
Tigres2 - 1
Tigres1 - 0
1 - 2Toluca
Goal Statistics
Toluca 2nd Tigres 3rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.9
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
15%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
12%
There is a 85% probability that Toluca will score 1 or more goals
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 70% probability that Tigres will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+13
Toluca have scored 13% more goals at home than predicted
+7
Tigres’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.5
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga MX - 2024/2024 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/289202/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Toluca
PG (predicted goals)
Tigres
1.9
1.1
Attack rating
16%
better
TOL
TIG
view stats
Games scored17
17
Failed to score4
4
Scored first14
12
Goals scored43
30
Avg. goals scored2
1.4
Avg. shots per game11
13
Avg. shots per goal5
9
Conversion rate for19
11
Avg. XG for1.5
1.7
KickOff rating
+16%
Defence rating
TOL
TIG
6%
better
view stats
Games conceded15
13
Clean sheets6
8
Conceded first6
8
Goals conceded23
20
Avg. goals conceded1.1
1
Avg. shots/game conceded11
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded10
10
Conversion rate against10%
10%
Avg. XG against1.2
1
KickOff rating
+6%

Toluca v Tigres Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

Toluca Liga MX squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
231568
M RuízPaulinhoA VegaM Ruíz
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L García GLK3
-
D Barbosa DEF41
2
-
B Méndez DEF14
1
F Pereira DEF151
5
1
J Gallardo DEF2243
4
-
Helinho  MID113
2
-
M Ruíz MID2322
8
-
F Romero MID3
1
-
J Uriarte MID2254
-
I López FWD17
-
A Vega FWD2456
6
-
Subs
R Dimas GLK
-
A Briseño DEF
-
Luan DEF231
2
-
B García DEF2111
2
-
H Herrera MID2
-
F Amaya MID152
1
-
J Domínguez FWD191
1
-
I Violante FWD1843
4
-
Paulinho FWD22156
2
-
R Morales FWD8
-
Tigres Liga MX squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
24755
F GorriaránJ BrunettaD LainezJ Aquino
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Guzmán GLK18
-
J Aquino DEF23
4
1
Joaquim DEF2012
3
-
J Angulo DEF223
5
-
J Garza DEF101
2
-
G Pizarro MID222
4
-
F Gorriarán MID243
3
-
D Lainez MID1915
3
-
J Brunetta MID2272
2
1
O Herrera MID234
2
-
N Ibáñez FWD244
2
-
Subs
F Tapia GLK3
-
J Purata DEF4
1
-
D Reyes DEF20
2
-
E Tercero DEF1
-
R Carioca MID16
1
-
J Vigón MID141
-
S Córdova MID2314
2
-
R Fulgencio MID
-
R Rômulo MID1
-
U Antuna FWD171
1
-