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Toluca v Pachuca : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 29th Mar, 23:00 BST, Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo

We’ve Liga MX action to enjoy on Saturday night, as Patrick Glockner and his Toluca side host Jorge Guillermo Almada Álves’s Pachuca at the Estadio Nemesio Díez. The odds you see on the page are provided straight from top bookmakers, while predictions are algorithmically generated from statistics over a 20-game period. We pay particular attention to Liga MX match data, including head-to-head records. Hit the tabs below to explore.


Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

This Liga MX tie, with Toluca and Pachuca going head-to-head, offers real intrigue in the widely used under 2.5 goals market, with 3 goals or more being scored looking highly likely. Attackers on both sides will look to come out on the front foot and, having analysed the relevant statistics and odds, we're confident that a bet on over 2.5 goals is the one to go for.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Toluca are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 58% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.73.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Toluca
58%
8/11
5%
-
Draw
21%
29/10
4%
-
Pachuca
21%
10/3
8%
-
Toluca 2-1
10%
15/2-
Draw 1-1
9%
13/2-
Toluca 2-0
8%
9/1-
Toluca 1-0
8%
17/2-
Toluca 3-1
7%
12/1-
Draw 2-2
6%
12/1
8%
-
Toluca 3-0
6%
14/1
12%
-
Pachuca 2-1
6%
14/1
15%
-
Pachuca 1-0
4%
16/1
13%
-
Toluca 3-2
4%
20/1-
Draw 0-0
4%
16/1
13%
-
Toluca 4-1
4%
22/1
12%
-
Toluca 4-0
3%
25/1
10%
-
Pachuca 2-0
3%
22/1-
Pachuca 3-2
2%
28/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
64%
4/7
3%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
36%
27/20
4%
-
Home 1st Goal
54%
1/2
2%
-
Away 1st Goal
44%
13/8
5%
-
No 1st Goal
2%
16/1
13%
-
BTTS - Yes
62%
4/7-
BTTS - No
38%
5/4-
BTTS - Home Win
32%
21/10
5%
-
BTTS - Draw
17%
15/4
6%
-
BTTS - Away Win
13%
6/1
8%
-
Home/draw
79%
1/5
2%
-
Away/draw
42%
21/20
7%
-
Home/away
79%
1/4-
Over 1.5 Goals
84%
1/6
1%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
16%
4/1
11%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
42%
11/8
5%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
58%
8/15
2%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
24%
3/1
8%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
76%
2/9
2%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
12%
7/1
11%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
88%
1/12
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/40
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
16/1
13%
-
Home DNB
72%
1/3
2%
-
Away DNB
36%
9/4
8%
-
Toluca win to nil
26%
5/2
7%
-
Pachuca win to nil
9%
8/1
13%
-
Toluca / Toluca
30%
7/4
5%
-
Toluca / Pachuca
3%
28/1-
Toluca / Draw
6%
12/1-
Draw / Toluca
17%
4/1-
Draw / Pachuca
9%
17/2
12%
-
Draw / Draw
13%
11/2-
Pachuca / Toluca
4%
18/1
10%
-
Pachuca / Pachuca
12%
6/1
8%
-
Pachuca / Draw
6%
14/1-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
4
Toluca have won 4 consecutive home league games
5
Toluca have not lost in 5 consecutive home league games
Toluca 2ND
20 league games
Home
4
Overall
Goals: Scored
51
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
14
D
4
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Toluca5 - 2Necaxa
Toluca5 - 0Queretaro
Toluca2 - 1Guadalajara
Toluca1 - 0Tigres
Toluca1 - 1Monterrey
Toluca0 - 2America
Toluca4 - 0America
Toluca2 - 2Leon
Toluca5 - 0Puebla
Toluca1 - 1Pumas UNAM
Toluca4 - 1Atlas
Toluca4 - 0Tijuana
Toluca2 - 1A. San Luis
Toluca3 - 0Mazatlan
Toluca3 - 2Juarez
Toluca0 - 0Guadalajara
Toluca0 - 1Cruz Azul
Toluca4 - 1Atlas
Toluca3 - 0Pumas UNAM
Toluca2 - 1Tigres
Goals: Scored
46
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
11
D
4
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AToluca3 - 0Puebla
HToluca5 - 2Necaxa
AToluca0 - 3America
HToluca5 - 0Queretaro
AToluca4 - 0Juarez
HToluca2 - 1Guadalajara
AToluca3 - 3Leon
HToluca1 - 0Tigres
AToluca1 - 1Pumas UNAM
AToluca1 - 2Mazatlan
HToluca1 - 1Monterrey
AToluca4 - 2Tijuana
HToluca0 - 2America
AToluca0 - 2America
HToluca4 - 0America
AToluca1 - 2Tigres
HToluca2 - 2Leon
AToluca3 - 1Necaxa
HToluca5 - 0Puebla
AToluca1 - 0Queretaro
Pachuca 16TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Juarez2 - 2Pachuca
Guadalajara2 - 1Pachuca
Cruz Azul2 - 1Pachuca
Queretaro0 - 1Pachuca
Monterrey2 - 3Pachuca
America2 - 1Pachuca
Tigres2 - 1Pachuca
S. Laguna1 - 1Pachuca
Tijuana2 - 1Pachuca
Puebla2 - 3Pachuca
Atlas2 - 0Pachuca
Mazatlan3 - 0Pachuca
Pumas UNAM2 - 0Pachuca
Leon0 - 0Pachuca
America1 - 1Pachuca
S. Laguna0 - 2Pachuca
Tigres0 - 3Pachuca
A. San Luis2 - 1Pachuca
Necaxa1 - 1Pachuca
Puebla1 - 4Pachuca
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HPachuca4 - 1Tijuana
HPachuca1 - 1Mazatlan
APachuca2 - 2Juarez
HPachuca2 - 1Puebla
APachuca1 - 2Guadalajara
HPachuca2 - 1Pumas UNAM
APachuca1 - 2Cruz Azul
HPachuca1 - 2Leon
HPachuca0 - 0Atlas
APachuca1 - 0Queretaro
APachuca3 - 2Monterrey
HPachuca2 - 1S. Laguna
HPachuca0 - 1Juarez
APachuca1 - 2America
HPachuca6 - 2Necaxa
APachuca1 - 2Tigres
APachuca1 - 1S. Laguna
HPachuca0 - 2Guadalajara
APachuca1 - 2Tijuana
HPachuca2 - 4Cruz Azul
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Toluca since 2018
Toluca
Pachuca
Goals: Scored
11
15
Games: Scored
5 / 7
5 / 7
Clean sheets
2 / 7
2 / 7
TOL
3
PAC
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Toluca
Toluca5 - 0
1 - 5Pachuca
1 - 4Pachuca
0 - 3Pachuca
0 - 2Pachuca
Toluca2 - 0
Toluca2 - 1
League games at Pachuca since 2019
Pachuca
Toluca
Goals: Scored
12
12
Games: Scored
6 / 7
6 / 7
Clean sheets
1 / 7
1 / 7
TOL
3
D
2
PAC
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Pachuca
Draw2 - 2Draw
2 - 3Toluca
1 - 2Toluca
Pachuca3 - 1
1 - 2Toluca
Draw0 - 0Draw
Pachuca3 - 2
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.1 is decent for Toluca in their clash with Pachuca, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 30 consecutive Liga MX games.

Toluca 2nd Pachuca 16th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.1
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
12%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4+
16%
There is a 62% probability that Toluca will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Pachuca will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+18
Toluca have scored 18% more goals at home than predicted
+6
Pachuca’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.6
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga MX - 2024/2024 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/289271/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Toluca
PG (predicted goals)
Pachuca
2.1
1.2
Attack rating
31%
better
TOL
PAC
view stats
Games scored26
21
Failed to score5
8
Scored first20
11
Goals scored68
40
Avg. goals scored2.2
1.4
Avg. shots per game11
11
Avg. shots per goal5
8
Conversion rate for19
12
Avg. XG for1.6
1.3
KickOff rating
+31%
Defence rating
25%
better
TOL
PAC
view stats
Games conceded21
25
Clean sheets10
4
Conceded first10
16
Goals conceded35
44
Avg. goals conceded1.1
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded10
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
6
Conversion rate against12%
17%
Avg. XG against1.1
1
KickOff rating
+25%

Toluca v Pachuca Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

Toluca Liga MX squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
292199
M RuízPaulinhoA VegaM Ruíz
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Vega FWD31119
6
-
M Ruíz MID3026
9
-
J Uriarte MID2966
-
Paulinho FWD29217
5
-
J Gallardo DEF2853
5
-
Luan DEF272
3
-
B García DEF2511
3
-
J Domínguez FWD252
2
-
I Violante FWD2464
4
-
F Pereira DEF201
6
1
I López FWD201
-
V Camarena MID19
3
1
B Méndez DEF18
1
Helinho  MID163
2
-
F Amaya MID152
1
-
R Morales FWD1431
-
F Romero MID10
3
-
D Barbosa DEF91
2
-
H Herrera MID92
1
-
E López DEF8
-
P López GLK7
-
A Briseño DEF51
-
L García GLK3
-
K. Castillo MID2
-
L. Navarrete Torres DEF1
-
Pachuca Liga MX squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
271088
C MorenoS RondónO IdrissiO Idrissi
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
O Idrissi FWD2838
7
1
C Moreno GLK271
5
-
B González DEF261
2
1
P Reyna MID25
6
-
S Rondón FWD25104
3
1
L Rodríguez DEF221
2
-
E Montiel MID2212
2
1
O. de Jesús González Ojeda FWD2112
2
-
A Gutiérrez MID201
-
S Barreto DEF191
5
1
C. Sánchez Nava DEF1914
2
-
A González FWD163
1
1
G Cabral DEF13
3
1
A Aceves DEF12
1
-
J Berlanga DEF12
4
1
J López MID1211
1
-
S. Hernández Hernández FWD1222
2
-
J Kennedy FWD1291
3
-
E Bauermann DEF101
2
1
M Rodriguez FWD101
-
A Micolta DEF8
2
-
S Homenchenko MID61
2
-
I Hernández FWD3
-
J Téllez GLK2
-
I Luna MID2
1
-