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Toluca v Monterrey : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 19th Jan, 01:00 BST, Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo

Renato Manuel Alves Paiva welcomes Martín Gastón Demichelis to the Estadio Nemesio Díez on Sunday morning, as their Toluca and Monterrey sides meet in the Liga MX. We want you to make a smart bet on this match, so we've searched our extensive database and dug out the stats that matter the most. Head-to-head and recent form are included, and the KickOff predictions are produced from them. The best odds are there to get you maximum bang for your buck.


Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

As loyal fans of Monterrey ready themselves for this clash, they have reason to expect some real entertainment. After analysing the relevant stats and past head-to-head (H2H) performance, it looks as though over 2.5 goals will be a worthy bet, as both clubs know they have goals in them and either could ultimately get the win. The prediction and odds are in agreement: over 2.5 goals is a smart bet.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Toluca are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 54% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.05.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Toluca
54%
21/20
7%
21/20
Draw
22%
12/5
3%
5/2
Monterrey
25%
23/10
10%
19/10
Draw 1-1
10%
6/1
8%
6/1
Toluca 2-1
10%
8/115/2
Toluca 1-0
8%
9/1-
Toluca 2-0
7%
11/1
8%
-
Toluca 3-1
6%
14/1
12%
12/1
Monterrey 2-1
6%
11/1
9%
9/1
Draw 2-2
6%
10/110/1
Toluca 3-0
5%
20/1-
Monterrey 1-0
5%
12/1-
Toluca 3-2
4%
20/116/1
Draw 0-0
4%
14/1
15%
-
Monterrey 2-0
3%
18/1
12%
-
Toluca 4-1
3%
28/1
15%
25/1
Monterrey 3-1
3%
22/1
10%
18/1
Monterrey 3-2
3%
28/1
12%
20/1
Over 2.5 Goals
63%
13/20
1%
8/13
Under 2.5 Goals
37%
6/5
2%
11/10
Home 1st Goal
53%
4/6
3%
3/4
Away 1st Goal
45%
13/10
5%
6/5
No 1st Goal
2%
14/1
15%
11/1
BTTS - Yes
62%
8/154/7
BTTS - No
38%
11/85/4
BTTS - Home Win
30%
11/4
6%
27/10
BTTS - Draw
18%
3/117/5
BTTS - Away Win
15%
9/2
10%
4/1
Home/draw
75%
1/3
2%
7/20
Away/draw
46%
8/11
4%
7/10
Home/away
78%
3/10
2%
2/7
Over 1.5 Goals
84%
2/11
2%
2/11
Under 1.5 Goals
16%
7/2
4%
29/10
Over 3.5 Goals
41%
6/4
5%
6/4
Under 3.5 Goals
59%
1/2
4%
4/9
Over 4.5 Goals
23%
7/2
10%
10/3
Under 4.5 Goals
77%
2/11
1%
2/13
Over 5.5 Goals
11%
9/113/2
Under 5.5 Goals
89%
1/161/20
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/33
1%
1/50
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
14/1
15%
9/1
Home DNB
69%
1/2
7%
4/7
Away DNB
40%
6/4
14%
5/4
Toluca win to nil
24%
3/1
8%
-
Monterrey win to nil
10%
6/1
8%
-
Toluca / Toluca
24%
12/5
6%
23/10
Toluca / Monterrey
3%
25/125/1
Toluca / Draw
6%
12/112/1
Draw / Toluca
15%
9/2
8%
9/2
Draw / Monterrey
11%
13/2
7%
6/1
Draw / Draw
14%
5/19/2
Monterrey / Toluca
4%
20/1
9%
20/1
Monterrey / Monterrey
16%
9/2
16%
19/5
Monterrey / Draw
6%
12/112/1
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Win / draw / win form
Toluca 2ND
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
48
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
14
D
3
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Toluca0 - 2America
Toluca4 - 0America
Toluca2 - 2Leon
Toluca5 - 0Puebla
Toluca1 - 1Pumas UNAM
Toluca4 - 1Atlas
Toluca4 - 0Tijuana
Toluca2 - 1A. San Luis
Toluca3 - 0Mazatlan
Toluca3 - 2Juarez
Toluca0 - 0Guadalajara
Toluca0 - 1Cruz Azul
Toluca4 - 1Atlas
Toluca3 - 0Pumas UNAM
Toluca2 - 1Tigres
Toluca2 - 0Tijuana
Toluca1 - 0S. Laguna
Toluca4 - 1Leon
Toluca4 - 1Mazatlan
Toluca0 - 1Puebla
Goals: Scored
42
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AToluca4 - 2Tijuana
HToluca0 - 2America
AToluca0 - 2America
HToluca4 - 0America
AToluca1 - 2Tigres
HToluca2 - 2Leon
AToluca3 - 1Necaxa
HToluca5 - 0Puebla
AToluca1 - 0Queretaro
HToluca1 - 1Pumas UNAM
HToluca4 - 1Atlas
AToluca0 - 2S. Laguna
AToluca2 - 2Pachuca
HToluca4 - 0Tijuana
AToluca2 - 1Monterrey
HToluca2 - 1A. San Luis
AToluca1 - 1Cruz Azul
HToluca3 - 0Mazatlan
HToluca3 - 2Juarez
AToluca0 - 0Guadalajara
Monterrey 5TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
America2 - 1Monterrey
A. San Luis2 - 1Monterrey
Pumas UNAM3 - 5Monterrey
America2 - 1Monterrey
A. San Luis1 - 0Monterrey
Guadalajara1 - 1Monterrey
S. Laguna0 - 2Monterrey
Tijuana2 - 2Monterrey
Puebla1 - 2Monterrey
Necaxa0 - 1Monterrey
Pachuca0 - 1Monterrey
Cruz Azul1 - 2Monterrey
Tigres1 - 2Monterrey
Necaxa2 - 5Monterrey
Leon2 - 0Monterrey
Cruz Azul2 - 1Monterrey
Atlas1 - 2Monterrey
Tijuana1 - 1Monterrey
Juarez0 - 3Monterrey
America1 - 1Monterrey
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMonterrey1 - 1Puebla
HMonterrey1 - 1America
AMonterrey1 - 2America
HMonterrey5 - 1A. San Luis
AMonterrey1 - 2A. San Luis
AMonterrey5 - 3Pumas UNAM
HMonterrey1 - 0Pumas UNAM
HMonterrey2 - 1Leon
HMonterrey4 - 0Atlas
AMonterrey1 - 2America
HMonterrey0 - 0Pumas UNAM
HMonterrey4 - 2Tigres
AMonterrey0 - 1A. San Luis
AMonterrey1 - 1Guadalajara
HMonterrey0 - 0Mazatlan
HMonterrey3 - 2Juarez
AMonterrey2 - 0S. Laguna
HMonterrey1 - 2Toluca
AMonterrey2 - 2Tijuana
AMonterrey2 - 1Puebla
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Toluca since 2019
Toluca
Monterrey
Goals: Scored
12
6
Games: Scored
6 / 6
4 / 6
Clean sheets
2 / 6
0 / 6
TOL
3
D
2
MON
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Toluca
Toluca1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
1 - 2Monterrey
Toluca2 - 0
Toluca5 - 1
League games at Monterrey since 2018
Monterrey
Toluca
Goals: Scored
12
5
Games: Scored
6 / 7
4 / 7
Clean sheets
3 / 7
1 / 7
TOL
1
D
1
MON
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Monterrey
1 - 2Toluca
Draw0 - 0Draw
Monterrey2 - 1
Monterrey2 - 0
Monterrey3 - 1
Monterrey2 - 0
Monterrey2 - 1
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.0 is fairly strong for Toluca in their meeting with Monterrey, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 19 consecutive Liga MX matches.

Toluca 2nd Monterrey 5th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.0
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
14%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
14%
There is a 86% probability that Toluca will score 1 or more goals
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Monterrey will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+11
Toluca have scored 11% more goals at home than predicted
+27
Monterrey have scored 27% more goals when away than predicted
2.4
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga MX - 2024/2024 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/289173/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Toluca
PG (predicted goals)
Monterrey
2
1.3
Attack rating
1%
better
TOL
MON
view stats
Games scored16
20
Failed to score4
4
Scored first13
15
Goals scored42
41
Avg. goals scored2.1
1.7
Avg. shots per game11
11
Avg. shots per goal5
6
Conversion rate for20
16
Avg. XG for1.5
1.4
KickOff rating
+1%
Defence rating
11%
better
TOL
MON
view stats
Games conceded14
17
Clean sheets6
7
Conceded first6
7
Goals conceded22
29
Avg. goals conceded1.1
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded11
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded10
8
Conversion rate against10%
13%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.3
KickOff rating
+11%

Toluca v Monterrey Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

Toluca Liga MX squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
201468
T VolpiPaulinhoPaulinhoM Ruíz
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Volpi GLK20
1
-
A Vega FWD2054
3
-
Paulinho FWD20146
2
-
J Gallardo DEF1943
3
-
Luan DEF191
2
-
M Ruíz MID1911
8
-
B García DEF1811
2
-
J Uriarte MID1854
-
J Domínguez FWD181
1
-
C Baeza MID171
4
-
V Camarena MID16
3
1
I Violante FWD1643
4
-
F Pereira DEF131
3
1
F Amaya MID132
1
-
I López FWD13
-
B Méndez DEF11
1
A Duarte FWD71
-
C Orrantía DEF4
-
R Morales FWD4
-
J Piñuelas DEF1
-
Monterrey Liga MX squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
241065
S CanalesS CanalesS CanalesE Andrada
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Canales MID24106
3
-
S Medina DEF211
4
-
G Berterame FWD2110
2
1
G Arteaga DEF201
3
-
V Guzmán DEF20
1
-
Óliver Torres MID2031
3
-
B Vazquez FWD2041
1
-
H Moreno DEF19
2
-
J Rodríguez MID191
3
-
E Andrada GLK17
5
-
J Rojas MID1731
2
-
R Rosa FWD171
-
Tecatito FWD1711
1
-
S Vegas DEF141
2
1
Érick Aguirre DEF142
1
-
F Ambríz MID14
2
-
J Cortizo FWD1321
2
-
Édson Gutiérrez DEF81
-
L Cárdenas GLK7
-