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Tijuana v Juárez : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 26th Jul, 03:00 BST, Estadio Caliente, Tijuana

Martin Svedik leads his Juárez side to the Estadio Caliente in the Liga MX on Saturday morning, with Washington Sebastián Abreu Gallo's Tijuana waiting for them. We provide predictions based on complex statistical analysis of both teams, across 17 of the main markets. The data and the odds change with each market, and head-to-head stats are included across them all.


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Tijuana or Juarez are in the kind of form that would leave us feeling confident in tipping a match winner, so we've opted for over 1.5 goals. The stats show that both have form in this market, both individually and when going head-to-head. We're predicting there's a 80% chance of 2 goals or more.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Tijuana are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 46% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.05.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Tijuana
46%
21/20-
Draw
24%
5/2-
Juarez
30%
21/10-
Draw 1-1
11%
6/1-
Tijuana 2-1
9%
8/1-
Tijuana 1-0
8%
8/1-
Juarez 2-1
7%
10/1-
Tijuana 2-0
7%
10/1-
Juarez 1-0
7%
11/1-
Draw 2-2
6%
12/1-
Tijuana 3-1
5%
14/1-
Draw 0-0
5%
12/1-
Juarez 2-0
4%
16/1-
Tijuana 3-0
4%
18/1-
Tijuana 3-2
3%
22/1-
Juarez 3-1
3%
22/1-
Juarez 3-2
3%
28/1-
Tijuana 4-1
2%
33/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
8/11-
Under 2.5 Goals
42%
43/40-
Home 1st Goal
51%
4/6-
Away 1st Goal
46%
13/10-
No 1st Goal
3%
12/1-
BTTS - Yes
60%
8/13-
BTTS - No
40%
6/5-
BTTS - Home Win
24%
3/1-
BTTS - Draw
19%
7/2-
BTTS - Away Win
17%
9/2-
Home/draw
70%
1/3-
Away/draw
54%
4/6-
Home/away
76%
1/4-
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
2/9-
Under 1.5 Goals
20%
3/1-
Over 3.5 Goals
35%
7/4-
Under 3.5 Goals
65%
2/5-
Over 4.5 Goals
18%
9/2-
Under 4.5 Goals
82%
1/7-
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
10/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1/20-
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/25-
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
12/1-
Home DNB
63%
8/15-
Away DNB
47%
11/8-
Tijuana win to nil
22%
3/1-
Juarez win to nil
14%
5/1-
Tijuana / Tijuana
25%
12/5-
Tijuana / Juarez
3%
28/1-
Tijuana / Draw
6%
12/1-
Draw / Tijuana
15%
9/2-
Draw / Juarez
11%
13/2-
Draw / Draw
14%
5/1-
Juarez / Tijuana
4%
22/1-
Juarez / Juarez
17%
4/1-
Juarez / Draw
6%
14/1-
Win / draw / win form
Tijuana 5TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
11
D
3
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
38
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
8
D
1
Lost
11
Juarez 7TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
8
D
3
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
Draw
8
Lost
5
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Tijuana since 2020
Tijuana
Juarez
Goals: Scored
9
6
Games: Scored
4 / 5
4 / 5
Clean sheets
1 / 5
1 / 5
TIJ
3
JUA
2
League games at Juarez since 2019
Juarez
Tijuana
Goals: Scored
8
3
Games: Scored
4 / 6
3 / 6
Clean sheets
3 / 6
2 / 6
TIJ
1
D
3
JUA
2
Goal Statistics

Tijuana have been steady in front of goal of late, finding the net in 10 consecutive Liga MX games. Their PG of 1.7 against Juárez on Saturday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Tijuana 5th Juarez 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
19%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 81% probability that Tijuana will score 1 or more goals
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that Juarez will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+9
Tijuana’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-4
Juarez’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.0
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.6
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga MX - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/303725/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Tijuana
PG (predicted goals)
Juarez
1.7
1.3
Attack rating
12%
better
TIJ
JUA
view stats
Games scored1
1
Failed to score0
0
Scored first1
0
Goals scored1
1
Avg. goals scored1
1
Avg. shots per game9
8
Avg. shots per goal9
8
Conversion rate for11
13
Avg. XG for0.7
0.4
KickOff rating
+12%
Defence rating
60%
better
TIJ
JUA
view stats
Games conceded0
1
Clean sheets1
0
Conceded first0
1
Goals conceded0
1
Avg. goals conceded0
1
Avg. shots/game conceded4
5
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
5
Conversion rate against0%
20%
Avg. XG against0.2
0.8
KickOff rating
+60%

Tijuana v Juarez Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

Tijuana Liga MX squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
1000
A Rodríguez
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Rodríguez GLK1
-
U Bilbao DEF1
-
A Gómez DEF1
-
J Porozo DEF1
-
J Grijalva DEF1
-
R Fernández DEF1
-
G. Mora Zambrano MID1
-
I Olmeda MID1
-
R Zárate MID1
-
K Castañeda MID1
-
J Corona MID1
-
S Nicholson  FWD1
-
D Blanco FWD1
-
Juarez Liga MX squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
1010
S RocaR. Oliveira António
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Roca GLK1
-
A Mayorga DEF1
-
M Mosquera  DEF1
-
F Nevárez DEF1
-
G Castilho MID1
-
D García MID1
-
J Francis MID1
-
R. Oliveira António FWD11
-
Ángel Zaldívar FWD1
-
Madson FWD1
-