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Santos Laguna v Toluca : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 17th Jul, 04:05 BST, Estadio Nuevo Corona, Torreón

Thursday morning sees Viorel Frunza’s Santos Laguna and Patrick Glockner’s Toluca go up against one another in a Liga MX clash at the Estadio Nuevo Corona. All statistics, including 20-game form for both teams and head to head (H2H) history, will change as you click through each of the seventeen betting markets using the tabs below. Odds from leading bookmakers and, of course, our algorithmic predictions will too.


Best Tip: Toluca to win

This is a fixture that really only looks like going one way and, unfortunately for the hosts, that way is Toluca's. We predict Thursday's visitors to Estadio Nuevo Corona will have too much for their hosts, and there's plenty of evidence to support that view in the sides' recent form stats, head-to-head (H2H) records and the odds from the UK's leading bookies too. They've made an away win in the win / draw / win market the most likely result, and are offering a best price of 1.53.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 63% chance of Toluca coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
S. Laguna
17%
19/4
15%
4/1
14%
Draw
20%
16/5
5%
3/1
8%
Toluca
63%
8/15
7%
1/2
7%
Toluca 2-0
10%
7/1
11%
13/2
6%
Toluca 1-0
10%
7/1
11%
6/1
6%
Toluca 2-1
10%
15/213/2
Draw 1-1
10%
7/113/2
7%
Toluca 3-0
7%
10/1
20%
9/1
17%
Toluca 3-1
7%
11/19/1
Draw 0-0
5%
12/111/1
Draw 2-2
5%
14/1
15%
12/1
9%
S. Laguna 1-0
5%
16/112/1
S. Laguna 2-1
5%
16/1
13%
12/1
8%
Toluca 4-0
4%
20/1
19%
14/1
21%
Toluca 4-1
4%
20/1
9%
16/1
12%
Toluca 3-2
3%
22/116/1
S. Laguna 2-0
2%
28/1
12%
20/1
11%
Toluca 4-2
2%
40/125/1
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
4/6
3%
3/5
1%
Under 2.5 Goals
42%
23/20
4%
11/10
2%
Home 1st Goal
40%
11/5
9%
2/1
10%
Away 1st Goal
57%
4/11
3%
4/9
5%
No 1st Goal
3%
12/111/1
BTTS - Yes
54%
3/4
3%
8/11
6%
BTTS - No
46%
1/1
5%
1/1
9%
BTTS - Home Win
9%
9/1
20%
15/2
23%
BTTS - Draw
16%
4/1
5%
17/4
9%
BTTS - Away Win
29%
21/10
3%
2/1
3%
Home/draw
37%
11/8
5%
7/5
13%
Away/draw
83%
1/7
5%
1/7
4%
Home/away
80%
2/9
4%
2/9
4%
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
1/5
1%
2/11
Under 1.5 Goals
20%
10/3
10%
3/1
Over 3.5 Goals
36%
13/8
5%
29/20
3%
Under 3.5 Goals
64%
4/9
2%
4/9
1%
Over 4.5 Goals
19%
4/1
4%
16/5
3%
Under 4.5 Goals
81%
1/6
2%
1/6
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
9/1
11%
13/2
8%
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
1/16
1%
1/20
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/331/66
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
14/19/1
Home DNB
31%
10/3
14%
3/1
18%
Away DNB
77%
1/5
5%
1/5
5%
S. Laguna win to nil
8%
10/1
10%
-
Toluca win to nil
33%
13/8
12%
-
S. Laguna / S. Laguna
9%
17/2
20%
7/1
14%
S. Laguna / Toluca
4%
20/116/1
S. Laguna / Draw
5%
16/1
13%
14/1
Draw / S. Laguna
7%
11/1
10%
10/1
11%
Draw / Toluca
18%
7/2
5%
10/3
4%
Draw / Draw
13%
11/2
8%
5/1
4%
Toluca / S. Laguna
2%
40/1
17%
28/1
12%
Toluca / Toluca
35%
13/10
8%
13/10
8%
Toluca / Draw
6%
14/1
15%
12/1
8%
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
6
Toluca have not lost in 6 consecutive league games
S. Laguna 2ND
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
Won
5
D
3
Lost
12
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
S. Laguna3 - 0Pumas UNAM
S. Laguna0 - 4Tijuana
S. Laguna1 - 2Queretaro
S. Laguna2 - 3A. San Luis
S. Laguna2 - 1Leon
S. Laguna2 - 0Atlas
S. Laguna0 - 1Cruz Azul
S. Laguna0 - 2Puebla
S. Laguna1 - 4America
S. Laguna0 - 2Guadalajara
S. Laguna0 - 0Mazatlan
S. Laguna1 - 1Pachuca
S. Laguna0 - 2Juarez
S. Laguna2 - 0Toluca
S. Laguna0 - 2Monterrey
S. Laguna3 - 2Necaxa
S. Laguna0 - 3Tigres
S. Laguna1 - 1Pumas UNAM
S. Laguna0 - 3A. San Luis
S. Laguna0 - 2Pachuca
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
41
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
3
D
1
Lost
16
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HS. Laguna3 - 0Pumas UNAM
HS. Laguna0 - 4Tijuana
AS. Laguna0 - 2Pumas UNAM
HS. Laguna1 - 2Queretaro
AS. Laguna1 - 2Toluca
HS. Laguna2 - 3A. San Luis
AS. Laguna0 - 3Tigres
HS. Laguna2 - 1Leon
AS. Laguna2 - 4Monterrey
HS. Laguna2 - 0Atlas
HS. Laguna0 - 1Cruz Azul
AS. Laguna1 - 1Mazatlan
AS. Laguna2 - 3Necaxa
HS. Laguna0 - 2Puebla
AS. Laguna0 - 1Juarez
HS. Laguna1 - 4America
AS. Laguna1 - 2Pachuca
AS. Laguna0 - 1Guadalajara
AS. Laguna2 - 3Queretaro
HS. Laguna0 - 2Guadalajara
Toluca 3RD
20 league games
Away
Overall
6
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
America0 - 0Toluca
Tigres1 - 1Toluca
Monterrey3 - 2Toluca
A. San Luis0 - 1Toluca
Atlas2 - 3Toluca
Puebla0 - 3Toluca
America3 - 0Toluca
Juarez0 - 4Toluca
Leon3 - 3Toluca
Pumas UNAM1 - 1Toluca
Mazatlan2 - 1Toluca
Tijuana2 - 4Toluca
America2 - 0Toluca
Tigres2 - 1Toluca
Necaxa1 - 3Toluca
Queretaro0 - 1Toluca
S. Laguna2 - 0Toluca
Pachuca2 - 2Toluca
Monterrey1 - 2Toluca
Cruz Azul1 - 1Toluca
Goals: Scored
47
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
14
D
4
L
2
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HToluca3 - 1Necaxa
HToluca2 - 0America
AToluca0 - 0America
HToluca3 - 0Tigres
AToluca1 - 1Tigres
HToluca2 - 1Monterrey
AToluca2 - 3Monterrey
HToluca2 - 2Cruz Azul
AToluca1 - 0A. San Luis
AToluca3 - 2Atlas
HToluca2 - 1S. Laguna
HToluca3 - 2Pachuca
AToluca3 - 0Puebla
HToluca5 - 2Necaxa
AToluca0 - 3America
HToluca5 - 0Queretaro
AToluca4 - 0Juarez
HToluca2 - 1Guadalajara
AToluca3 - 3Leon
HToluca1 - 0Tigres
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at S. Laguna since 2019
S. Laguna
Toluca
Goals: Scored
15
11
Games: Scored
6 / 7
5 / 7
Clean sheets
2 / 7
1 / 7
STS
4
D
1
TOL
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT S. Laguna
S. Laguna2 - 0
S. Laguna3 - 1
0 - 5Toluca
1 - 2Toluca
Draw2 - 2Draw
S. Laguna3 - 1
S. Laguna4 - 0
League games at Toluca since 2018
Toluca
S. Laguna
Goals: Scored
17
11
Games: Scored
8 / 8
7 / 8
Clean sheets
1 / 8
0 / 8
STS
1
D
1
TOL
6
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Toluca
Toluca2 - 1
Toluca1 - 0
Toluca4 - 3
Toluca2 - 1
Toluca3 - 1
1 - 2S. Laguna
Draw2 - 2Draw
Toluca2 - 1
Goal Statistics

Toluca's defensive record is to be admired, Patrick Glockner's men having conceded 1 or less in 6 consecutive Liga MX games. An average PG rating of 1.0 for Santos Laguna makes sense in this context.

S. Laguna 2nd Toluca 3rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.0
goals
2.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 75% probability of S. Laguna scoring 1 goal or less
0
13%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4+
15%
There is a 61% probability that Toluca will score 2 or more goals in this match
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-33
S. Laguna have scored 33% fewer goals at home than predicted
+16
Toluca have scored 16% more goals when away than predicted
0.9
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
1.8
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga MX - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/303715/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
S. Laguna
PG (predicted goals)
Toluca
1
2.1
Attack rating
23%
better
STS
TOL
view stats
Games scored1
1
Failed to score0
0
Scored first1
0
Goals scored3
3
Avg. goals scored3
3
Avg. shots per game7
16
Avg. shots per goal2
5
Conversion rate for43
19
Avg. XG for1
2.1
KickOff rating
+23%
Defence rating
60%
better
STS
TOL
view stats
Games conceded0
1
Clean sheets1
0
Conceded first0
1
Goals conceded0
1
Avg. goals conceded0
1
Avg. shots/game conceded7
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
9
Conversion rate against0%
11%
Avg. XG against0.5
0.9
KickOff rating
+60%

S. Laguna v Toluca Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

S. Laguna Liga MX squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
1111
C AcevedoA LópezA LópezR Sordo
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Acevedo GLK1
-
J Abella DEF1
-
H Ortega DEF1
-
K Balanta DEF1
-
B Amione DEF1
-
E. Echeverría Mata DEF1
-
J Güemez MID1
-
F Villalba MID1
-
A López MID111
-
J Ocejo FWD1
-
R Sordo FWD11
1
-
Subs
H Pérez GLK
-
Édson Gutiérrez DEF1
-
I Solorzano DEF
-
J Rodriguez MID1
-
K Palacios MID
-
R Prieto MID
-
D Medina MID
-
C Dájome FWD11
1
-
F Fagúndez FWD
-
C Lozano FWD1
-
Toluca Liga MX squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
1111
F PereiraHelinho N CastroJ Gallardo
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
H González GLK
-
E López DEF1
-
B Méndez DEF1
-
F Pereira DEF1
-
H Herrera MID
-
M Isaís MID
-
N Castro MID11
-
Helinho  MID11
-
R Morales MID1
-
V Camarena FWD
-
Subs
L García GLK1
-
D Barbosa DEF1
-
Luan DEF1
-
J Gallardo DEF1
1
-
F Romero MID1
-
J Uriarte MID11
-
M Ruíz MID111
1
-
J Domínguez FWD1
-
A Vega FWD11
-
O. Virgen FWD
-