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Santos Laguna v Tijuana : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mon 21st Apr, 00:00 BST, Estadio Nuevo Corona, Torreón

Home advantage can be vital in the Liga MX, and Viorel Frunza’s Santos Laguna will have the joy of it on Monday morning. Juan Carlos Osorio Arbeláez’s Tijuana are their visitors to the Estadio Nuevo Corona. All of the key stats for the tie, including head to heads (H2Hs), predictions and odds from leading bookmakers across seventeen major markets are covered in this betting preview. It's all here with the aim of helping you make a smart bet.


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We're ruling out a bore-draw or a slim 1-0 win here, and instead are tipping over 1.5 goals. That means that S. Laguna and Tijuana will score a minimum of a couple of between them during the standard 90 mins. It's a tip based on the recent form of the respective sides, as well as their historic head-to-heads. We give it a probability of 77%. The bookmakers have it at 1.14.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think S. Laguna are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 46% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.00.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
S. Laguna
46%
1/1-
Draw
25%
13/5-
Tijuana
30%
5/2-
Draw 1-1
12%
13/2-
S. Laguna 1-0
9%
11/1-
S. Laguna 2-1
9%
8/1-
S. Laguna 2-0
7%
11/1-
Tijuana 1-0
7%
16/1-
Tijuana 2-1
7%
12/1-
Draw 0-0
6%
16/1-
Draw 2-2
6%
10/1-
S. Laguna 3-1
5%
14/1-
Tijuana 2-0
4%
20/1-
S. Laguna 3-0
4%
18/1-
S. Laguna 3-2
3%
18/1-
Tijuana 3-1
3%
22/1-
Tijuana 3-2
2%
25/1-
S. Laguna 4-1
2%
25/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
8/15-
Under 2.5 Goals
46%
7/5-
Home 1st Goal
51%
8/13-
Away 1st Goal
46%
13/10-
No 1st Goal
3%
16/1-
BTTS - Yes
57%
4/9-
BTTS - No
43%
13/8-
BTTS - Home Win
23%
9/4-
BTTS - Draw
19%
3/1-
BTTS - Away Win
15%
9/2-
Home/draw
70%
1/4-
Away/draw
54%
4/5-
Home/away
75%
2/7-
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
1/7-
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
9/2-
Over 3.5 Goals
32%
6/5-
Under 3.5 Goals
68%
8/13-
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
11/4-
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
1/4-
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
7/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/12-
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/40-
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
16/1-
Home DNB
63%
1/2-
Away DNB
47%
6/4-
S. Laguna win to nil
23%
10/3-
Tijuana win to nil
14%
7/1-
S. Laguna / S. Laguna
26%
11/5-
S. Laguna / Tijuana
3%
25/1-
S. Laguna / Draw
6%
12/1-
Draw / S. Laguna
15%
9/2-
Draw / Tijuana
10%
7/1-
Draw / Draw
13%
11/2-
Tijuana / S. Laguna
4%
18/1-
Tijuana / Tijuana
15%
9/2-
Tijuana / Draw
6%
12/1-
Win / draw / win form
S. Laguna 18TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
5
D
4
Lost
11
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
38
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
2
D
3
Lost
15
Tijuana 7TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
40
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
4
Draw
5
Lost
11
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
41
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
7
D
2
Lost
11
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
S. Laguna have beaten Tijuana in 5 consecutive home league meetings
6
S. Laguna have not lost to Tijuana in 6 consecutive home league meetings
League games at S. Laguna since 2019
S. Laguna
Tijuana
Goals: Scored
16
5
Games: Scored
6 / 6
4 / 6
Clean sheets
2 / 6
0 / 6
STS
5
D
1
League games at Tijuana since 2018
Tijuana
S. Laguna
Goals: Scored
11
10
Games: Scored
5 / 7
7 / 7
Clean sheets
0 / 7
2 / 7
STS
2
D
2
TIJ
3
Goal Statistics

Santos Laguna's fans will be hoping for goals on Monday morning, not least because Tijuana have conceded in each of their last 15 Liga MX outings. A PG of 1.6 for Viorel Frunza's side suggests that run should continue.

S. Laguna 18th Tijuana 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 80% probability that S. Laguna will score 1 or more goals
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Tijuana will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-27
S. Laguna have scored 27% fewer goals at home than predicted
-17
Tijuana have scored 17% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.0
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
1.6
conceded
2.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga MX - 2024/2024 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/289310/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
S. Laguna
PG (predicted goals)
Tijuana
1.6
1.2
Attack rating
STS
TIJ
36%
better
view stats
Games scored18
28
Failed to score14
8
Scored first9
16
Goals scored27
55
Avg. goals scored0.8
1.5
Avg. shots per game9
11
Avg. shots per goal10
7
Conversion rate for10
14
Avg. XG for1.1
1.3
KickOff rating
+36%
Defence rating
STS
TIJ
1%
better
view stats
Games conceded29
32
Clean sheets3
4
Conceded first22
19
Goals conceded60
65
Avg. goals conceded1.9
1.8
Avg. shots/game conceded14
12
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
6
Conversion rate against14%
16%
Avg. XG against1.9
1.7
KickOff rating
+1%

S. Laguna v Tijuana Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

S. Laguna Liga MX squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
29637
C AcevedoB BarticciottoR SordoA Santamaría
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Acevedo GLK29
1
-
R Sordo FWD2523
6
-
E. Echeverría Mata DEF241
5
-
A Santamaría DEF2311
6
1
S Murra MID23
4
-
A López MID2331
1
-
J Rodriguez FWD231
1
-
S Robles FWD232
-
F Villalba MID2113
1
-
B Amione DEF19
2
-
C Lozano FWD1941
4
1
F Fagúndez FWD1521
6
-
J Abella DEF131
1
-
J Güemez MID133
1
-
S Naveda MID131
3
-
P Aquino MID13
4
1
I Solorzano DEF12
2
1
C Dájome FWD11
1
Édson Gutiérrez DEF8
1
-
B Barticciotto FWD76
1
-
D Medina MID6
1
-
R Prieto MID4
1
-
H Rodríguez DEF2
1
-
H Pérez GLK1
-
Tijuana Liga MX squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
281667
U BilbaoJ. Zúñiga MurilloE ÁlvarezR Fernández
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J. Zúñiga Murillo FWD32162
4
-
E Álvarez FWD3256
1
-
U Bilbao DEF3121
4
1
K Castañeda MID3165
2
-
I Olmeda MID3112
5
-
A Montoya DEF302
3
-
A Gómez DEF284
6
-
R Fernández DEF28
7
-
G. Mora Zambrano MID2621
1
-
D Blanco FWD2331
3
-
A Rodríguez GLK22
1
-
J Corona MID2111
3
-
F Contreras DEF15
-
R. Franco Zambrano DEF12
2
-
J Grijalva DEF1223
-
J Corona GLK11
-
J Porozo DEF10
3
-
F Madrigal MID8
-
S Nicholson  FWD814
1
-
J Julio MID711
1
-
F Boya MID7
3
-
R Zárate MID6
2
-
F. Monarrez Ochoa FWD6
1
-
M Ortega GLK3
-
J Hernandez FWD11
1
-