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Pumas UNAM v Toluca : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estadio Olímpico de Universitari, Mexico City

Gustavo Alberto Lema and Patrick Glockner meet in the Liga MX on Thursday morning, as Pumas UNAM face Toluca at the Estadio Olímpico de Universitari. Our aim is to give you all the tools you need to make a smart, well-informed bet on this tie, so we've searched our expansive database and found the statistics that are most significant. Head-to-head and recent form is included, and the KickOff predictions are produced from them. Odds are there to ensure you get the best price.

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Pumas UNAM's next match is v Mazatlan at 00:00 on Monday 10th February
Toluca's next match is v Leon at 01:00 on Sunday 9th February
The last Mexican Liga MX meeting between Pumas UNAM and Toluca was on Thursday 30th January 2025
Mexican Liga MX
January 30th 2025
Pumas UNAM 1
1 Toluca
 
P. Bennevendo Peña 61'51' (OG)N. da Silva
 
PUM
TOL
Shots On
4
4
Shots Off
4
9
Corners
4
5
Possession
41%
59%
Fouls
11
7
Yellow/red cards
4/0
1/0
 
Pumas UNAMToluca
 
P. Lara Nevarez
L. Magallán
N. da Silvafootball icon
P. Bennevendo Peñafootball icon
R. Ergas Moreno (P. Monroy Reyes 46')
P. Quispe Córdova (I. Pussetto 46')
R. López Quiñones (?. Rico Reyes 89')
J. Caicedo Barrera
U. Rivas Gilio (J. Ruvalcaba 60')
A. Carrasquilla Alcázar (S. Trigos Nava 89')
G. Martínez Ayala
L. García Palomera
J. Gallardo Vasconcelos
(R. Morales 68') B. García Carpizo
A. Pereira Castelnoble
B. Méndez Cittadini
L. Garcia Teixeira
(H. Nunes de Castro 68') J. Angulo Uriarte
M. Ruiz Suárez
F. Romero
(I. Violante Romero 84') E. Vega Rojas
(H. Herrera López 73') E. López Rodríguez

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We've made over 1.5 goals our tip on this one, meaning that the teams will score at least two goals between them during the standard 90 mins. Both Pumas UNAM and Toluca's current form stats suggest it's likely, while their head-to-head (H2H) record also supports the bet. The bookies make it their favoured prediction in this market too, available at 1.22.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Pumas UNAM are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 41% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.25.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Pumas UNAM
41%
6/4-
Draw
25%
12/5-
Toluca
34%
7/4
4%
-
Draw 1-1
12%
11/2-
Pumas UNAM 1-0
9%
8/1-
Pumas UNAM 2-1
9%
9/1-
Toluca 1-0
8%
17/2-
Toluca 2-1
8%
9/1-
Pumas UNAM 2-0
7%
11/1
8%
-
Draw 0-0
6%
9/1
9%
-
Draw 2-2
6%
12/1-
Toluca 2-0
5%
12/1-
Pumas UNAM 3-1
4%
20/1
11%
-
Toluca 3-1
3%
20/1-
Pumas UNAM 3-0
3%
22/1-
Pumas UNAM 3-2
3%
28/1
12%
-
Toluca 3-2
2%
28/1-
Toluca 3-0
2%
28/1
12%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
19/20
5%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
48%
17/20
5%
-
Home 1st Goal
49%
5/6-
Away 1st Goal
47%
11/10-
No 1st Goal
4%
9/1
9%
-
BTTS - Yes
56%
3/4
3%
-
BTTS - No
44%
1/1
2%
-
BTTS - Home Win
20%
4/1
5%
-
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/3-
BTTS - Away Win
17%
9/2
10%
-
Home/draw
66%
2/5
3%
-
Away/draw
59%
1/2-
Home/away
75%
3/10-
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
2/7
3%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
24%
5/2
7%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
30%
12/5
5%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
70%
3/10
2%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
6/1
17%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
1/10
2%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
14/1
15%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/33
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/20-
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
10/1-
Home DNB
58%
4/5-
Away DNB
52%
10/11-
Pumas UNAM win to nil
21%
10/3
4%
-
Toluca win to nil
17%
4/1-
Pumas UNAM / Pumas UNAM
21%
3/1-
Pumas UNAM / Toluca
3%
28/1
12%
-
Pumas UNAM / Draw
6%
12/1-
Draw / Pumas UNAM
14%
5/1-
Draw / Toluca
13%
11/2-
Draw / Draw
17%
4/1
9%
-
Toluca / Pumas UNAM
3%
25/1-
Toluca / Toluca
18%
7/2-
Toluca / Draw
6%
14/1
15%
-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
Pumas UNAM 4TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
12
D
4
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Pumas UNAM0 - 0Atlas
Pumas UNAM2 - 1Necaxa
Pumas UNAM3 - 5Monterrey
Pumas UNAM2 - 0Queretaro
Pumas UNAM0 - 2Cruz Azul
Pumas UNAM3 - 0A. San Luis
Pumas UNAM1 - 0Tijuana
Pumas UNAM1 - 0Puebla
Pumas UNAM1 - 3Tigres
Pumas UNAM2 - 0Pachuca
Pumas UNAM4 - 1Leon
Pumas UNAM0 - 2Cruz Azul
Pumas UNAM2 - 1America
Pumas UNAM1 - 0Leon
Pumas UNAM0 - 0Cruz Azul
Pumas UNAM3 - 3Tijuana
Pumas UNAM3 - 0S. Laguna
Pumas UNAM3 - 0Puebla
Pumas UNAM2 - 2Necaxa
Pumas UNAM3 - 1Pachuca
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HPumas UNAM0 - 0Atlas
APumas UNAM2 - 3Queretaro
HPumas UNAM2 - 1Necaxa
HPumas UNAM3 - 5Monterrey
APumas UNAM0 - 1Monterrey
APumas UNAM1 - 0Mazatlan
HPumas UNAM2 - 0Queretaro
APumas UNAM0 - 0Guadalajara
HPumas UNAM0 - 2Cruz Azul
APumas UNAM0 - 0Monterrey
HPumas UNAM3 - 0A. San Luis
APumas UNAM1 - 1Toluca
APumas UNAM1 - 0America
HPumas UNAM1 - 0Tijuana
HPumas UNAM1 - 0Puebla
APumas UNAM0 - 2Necaxa
HPumas UNAM1 - 3Tigres
APumas UNAM1 - 2Atlas
HPumas UNAM2 - 0Pachuca
APumas UNAM2 - 1Juarez
Toluca 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Mazatlan2 - 1Toluca
Tijuana2 - 4Toluca
America2 - 0Toluca
Tigres2 - 1Toluca
Necaxa1 - 3Toluca
Queretaro0 - 1Toluca
S. Laguna2 - 0Toluca
Pachuca2 - 2Toluca
Monterrey1 - 2Toluca
Cruz Azul1 - 1Toluca
Guadalajara0 - 0Toluca
Guadalajara1 - 0Toluca
A. San Luis1 - 5Toluca
America5 - 1Toluca
Pachuca2 - 3Toluca
Juarez1 - 1Toluca
Monterrey0 - 0Toluca
Necaxa3 - 3Toluca
Guadalajara3 - 2Toluca
Puebla1 - 1Toluca
Goals: Scored
41
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AToluca1 - 2Mazatlan
HToluca1 - 1Monterrey
AToluca4 - 2Tijuana
HToluca0 - 2America
AToluca0 - 2America
HToluca4 - 0America
AToluca1 - 2Tigres
HToluca2 - 2Leon
AToluca3 - 1Necaxa
HToluca5 - 0Puebla
AToluca1 - 0Queretaro
HToluca1 - 1Pumas UNAM
HToluca4 - 1Atlas
AToluca0 - 2S. Laguna
AToluca2 - 2Pachuca
HToluca4 - 0Tijuana
AToluca2 - 1Monterrey
HToluca2 - 1A. San Luis
AToluca1 - 1Cruz Azul
HToluca3 - 0Mazatlan
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
6
Pumas UNAM have not lost to Toluca in 6 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Pumas UNAM since 2019
Pumas UNAM
Toluca
Goals: Scored
14
5
Games: Scored
6 / 6
4 / 6
Clean sheets
2 / 6
0 / 6
PUM
4
D
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Pumas UNAM
Draw1 - 1Draw
Pumas UNAM3 - 1
Pumas UNAM5 - 0
Pumas UNAM1 - 0
Pumas UNAM2 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
League games at Toluca since 2018
Toluca
Pumas UNAM
Goals: Scored
12
10
Games: Scored
7 / 8
6 / 8
Clean sheets
2 / 8
1 / 8
PUM
3
D
2
TOL
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Toluca
Draw1 - 1Draw
Toluca3 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
1 - 2Pumas UNAM
Toluca2 - 1
Toluca1 - 0
2 - 3Pumas UNAM
0 - 1Pumas UNAM
Goal Statistics

Pumas UNAM's fans will be hoping for goals on Thursday morning, not least because Toluca have conceded in each of their last 5 Liga MX outings. A PG of 1.5 for G. Lema's side suggests that run should continue.

Pumas UNAM 4th Toluca 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Pumas UNAM will score 1 or more goals
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that Toluca will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+2
Pumas UNAM’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+14
Toluca have scored 14% more goals when away than predicted
1.8
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga MX - 2024/2024 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/289194/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Pumas UNAM
PG (predicted goals)
Toluca
1.5
1.3
Attack rating
PUM
TOL
22%
better
view stats
Games scored16
17
Failed to score5
4
Scored first12
14
Goals scored28
43
Avg. goals scored1.3
2
Avg. shots per game12
11
Avg. shots per goal9
5
Conversion rate for11
19
Avg. XG for1.4
1.5
KickOff rating
+22%
Defence rating
1%
better
PUM
TOL
view stats
Games conceded12
15
Clean sheets9
6
Conceded first7
6
Goals conceded23
23
Avg. goals conceded1.1
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded8
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
10
Conversion rate against14%
10%
Avg. XG against1
1.2
KickOff rating
+1%

Pumas UNAM v Toluca Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

Pumas UNAM Liga MX squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
24637
J CaicedoG MartínezR MorenoN Silva
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
P. Lara Nevarez GLK5
2
-
N Silva DEF231
7
-
L Magallán DEF19
5
-
U Rivas DEF18
2
-
P Bennevendo MID2411
3
-
R Lopez MID1822
1
-
J Caicedo MID2411
6
-
A Carrasquilla MID3
2
-
R Moreno MID2113
5
-
P Quispe FWD2221
2
-
G Martínez FWD2261
6
-
Subs
?. Padilla Pérez GLK
-
J Galindo DEF
-
P Reyes DEF12
3
-
J Ruvalcaba MID1842
2
-
S Trigos MID12
-
?. Rico Reyes MID151
2
-
A Ávila FWD11
-
I Pussetto  FWD1852
1
-
S. López López FWD1
-
Toluca Liga MX squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
23568
M RuízA VegaA VegaM Ruíz
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L García GLK3
-
B Méndez DEF14
1
F Pereira DEF151
5
1
Luan DEF231
2
-
J Gallardo DEF2243
4
-
B García MID2111
2
-
M Ruíz MID2322
8
-
F Romero MID3
1
-
A Vega MID2456
6
-
I López FWD17
-
J Uriarte FWD2254
-
Subs
R Dimas GLK
-
D Barbosa DEF41
2
-
A Briseño DEF
-
E López DEF6
-
Helinho  MID113
2
-
H Herrera MID2
-
F Amaya MID152
1
-
J Domínguez FWD191
1
-
I Violante FWD1843
4
-
R Morales FWD8
-