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Puebla v Toluca : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 15th Mar, 03:05 BST, Estadio Cuauhtémoc, Puebla

the Estadio Cuauhtémoc is the setting on Saturday morning, as Ratko Dostanic's Puebla host Patrick Glockner's Toluca in the Liga MX. Recent form, head to head (H2H) statistics, predictions and the best odds are all laid out below. We're here to give you everything you need to place an intelligent bet. Here we've gone for both teams to score, but why not take a look and see if there's another bet you prefer?

Best Tip: Both teams to score

Having studied all relevant statistics, including historical head-to-head (H2H) data, we have come to the conclusion that this fixture will deliver both elation and sadness to each set of supporters. We predict both Puebla and Toluca to find the back of the net during the 90 mins, but the ultimate victor of the match seems less clear. The odds point towards a both teams to score bet, and that looks a wise bet to us.

An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 49% chance of Toluca coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Puebla 28%	7/2 5%	-
Draw 23%	16/5 3%	-
Toluca 50%	13/20 3%	-
Draw 1-1 10%	7/1 6%	-
Toluca 2-1 9%	15/2	-
Toluca 1-0 8%	8/1	-
Toluca 2-0 7%	8/1 6%	-
Puebla 2-1 7%	14/1	-
Draw 2-2 6%	14/1	-
Toluca 3-1 6%	11/1	-
Puebla 1-0 5%	16/1	-
Toluca 3-0 4%	12/1	-
Draw 0-0 4%	16/1 13%	-
Toluca 3-2 4%	20/1	-
Puebla 2-0 4%	25/1 10%	-
Puebla 3-1 3%	33/1	-
Puebla 3-2 3%	33/1	-
Toluca 4-1 3%	22/1 10%	-
Over 2.5 Goals 62%	3/5	-
Under 2.5 Goals 38%	13/10	-
Home 1st Goal 45%	7/4 5%	-
Away 1st Goal 52%	4/9 3%	-
No 1st Goal 2%	16/1 13%	-
BTTS - Yes 62%	8/13 3%	-
BTTS - No 38%	6/5 5%	-
BTTS - Home Win 16%	13/2 6%	-
BTTS - Draw 19%	4/1 9%	-
BTTS - Away Win 28%	21/10	-
Home/draw 50%	6/5 4%	-
Away/draw 72%	2/11	-
Home/away 77%	2/9 2%	-
Over 1.5 Goals 83%	2/11	-
Under 1.5 Goals 17%	7/2	-
Over 3.5 Goals 40%	6/4	-
Under 3.5 Goals 60%	1/2	-
Over 4.5 Goals 22%	10/3	-
Under 4.5 Goals 78%	1/5	-
Over 5.5 Goals 11%	8/1	-
Under 5.5 Goals 89%	1/14	-
Over 0.5 Goals 96%	1/40 1%	-
Under 0.5 Goals 4%	16/1 13%	-
Home DNB 44%	5/2 7%	-
Away DNB 66%	2/7 3%	-
Puebla win to nil 12%	9/1	-
Toluca win to nil 22%	9/4 8%	-
Puebla / Puebla 11%	7/1 6%	-
Puebla / Toluca 4%	18/1	-
Puebla / Draw 6%	14/1	-
Draw / Puebla 8%	9/1 9%	-
Draw / Toluca 18%	15/4 6%	-
Draw / Draw 13%	11/2	-
Toluca / Puebla 2%	33/1	-
Toluca / Toluca 32%	8/5 4%	-
Toluca / Draw 6%	14/1	-

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Puebla	1 - 3	Pumas UNAM
Puebla	2 - 0	Tijuana
Puebla	1 - 2	America
Puebla	0 - 1	Mazatlan
Puebla	1 - 2	A. San Luis
Puebla	1 - 0	Guadalajara
Puebla	1 - 2	Cruz Azul
Puebla	2 - 3	Juarez
Puebla	2 - 3	Pachuca
Puebla	2 - 1	Queretaro
Puebla	1 - 2	Monterrey
Puebla	1 - 2	Atlas
Puebla	2 - 2	Leon
Puebla	1 - 0	S. Laguna
Puebla	1 - 2	America
Puebla	0 - 1	Cruz Azul
Puebla	2 - 3	Tigres
Puebla	2 - 2	Atlas
Puebla	0 - 2	Queretaro
Puebla	1 - 4	Pachuca

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Puebla	1 - 3	Pumas UNAM
A	Puebla	0 - 2	Queretaro
A	Puebla	1 - 2	Pachuca
H	Puebla	2 - 0	Tijuana
A	Puebla	2 - 3	Atlas
H	Puebla	1 - 2	America
A	Puebla	2 - 0	S. Laguna
H	Puebla	0 - 1	Mazatlan
A	Puebla	1 - 1	Cruz Azul
H	Puebla	1 - 2	A. San Luis
A	Puebla	1 - 1	Monterrey
A	Puebla	1 - 2	Tijuana
A	Puebla	0 - 2	A. San Luis
H	Puebla	1 - 0	Guadalajara
A	Puebla	0 - 5	Toluca
H	Puebla	1 - 2	Cruz Azul
A	Puebla	0 - 1	Tigres
H	Puebla	2 - 3	Juarez
H	Puebla	2 - 3	Pachuca
A	Puebla	0 - 1	Pumas UNAM

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
America	3 - 0	Toluca
Juarez	0 - 4	Toluca
Leon	3 - 3	Toluca
Pumas UNAM	1 - 1	Toluca
Mazatlan	2 - 1	Toluca
Tijuana	2 - 4	Toluca
America	2 - 0	Toluca
Tigres	2 - 1	Toluca
Necaxa	1 - 3	Toluca
Queretaro	0 - 1	Toluca
S. Laguna	2 - 0	Toluca
Pachuca	2 - 2	Toluca
Monterrey	1 - 2	Toluca
Cruz Azul	1 - 1	Toluca
Guadalajara	0 - 0	Toluca
Guadalajara	1 - 0	Toluca
A. San Luis	1 - 5	Toluca
America	5 - 1	Toluca
Pachuca	2 - 3	Toluca
Juarez	1 - 1	Toluca

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Toluca	5 - 2	Necaxa
A	Toluca	0 - 3	America
H	Toluca	5 - 0	Queretaro
A	Toluca	4 - 0	Juarez
H	Toluca	2 - 1	Guadalajara
A	Toluca	3 - 3	Leon
H	Toluca	1 - 0	Tigres
A	Toluca	1 - 1	Pumas UNAM
A	Toluca	1 - 2	Mazatlan
H	Toluca	1 - 1	Monterrey
A	Toluca	4 - 2	Tijuana
H	Toluca	0 - 2	America
A	Toluca	0 - 2	America
H	Toluca	4 - 0	America
A	Toluca	1 - 2	Tigres
H	Toluca	2 - 2	Leon
A	Toluca	3 - 1	Necaxa
H	Toluca	5 - 0	Puebla
A	Toluca	1 - 0	Queretaro
H	Toluca	1 - 1	Pumas UNAM

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Puebla

Toluca

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

6 / 6

4 / 6

Clean sheets

2 / 6

0 / 6

PUE

TOL

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Puebla
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	1 - 2	Toluca
Puebla	1 - 0
Puebla	4 - 1
Puebla	2 - 0
Puebla	2 - 1

Toluca

Puebla

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

6 / 7

5 / 7

Clean sheets

2 / 7

1 / 7

PUE

TOL

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Toluca
Toluca	5 - 0
	0 - 1	Puebla
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Toluca	2 - 1
Draw	4 - 4	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Toluca	2 - 0

Goal Statistics

Toluca have been reliable in attack of late, finding the net in 9 consecutive Liga MX matches. Their PG of 1.9 against Puebla on Saturday suggests that run is likely to continue.

	Puebla 15th	Toluca 2nd
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.3 goals	1.9 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 26% 1 35% 2 24% 3 10% 4+ There is a 74% probability that Puebla will score 1 or more goals	0 16% 1 29% 2 27% 3 17% 4+ 12% There is a 84% probability that Toluca will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-17 Puebla have scored 17% fewer goals at home than predicted	+20 Toluca have scored 20% more goals when away than predicted
	1.2 average goals scored	1.7 average goals scored
	1.9 conceded	1.6 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Liga MX - 2024/2024 season

PUE

TOL

31%

better

view stats

Games scored	22		25
Failed to score	6		5
Scored first	13		19
Goals scored	29		65
Avg. goals scored	1		2.2
Avg. shots per game	9		12
Avg. shots per goal	8		5
Conversion rate for	12		19
Avg. XG for	1		1.6
KickOff rating		+31%

PUE

TOL

22%

better

view stats

Games conceded	23		21
Clean sheets	5		9
Conceded first	15		10
Goals conceded	48		35
Avg. goals conceded	1.7		1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded	12		10
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		8
Conversion rate against	14%		12%
Avg. XG against	1.5		1.1
KickOff rating		+22%

Puebla v Toluca Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

Puebla Liga MX squad statistics 2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
25	5	4	8
E Orona	E Gómez	B Angulo	B Angulo

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
E Orona DEF	28	1		3 -
B Angulo DEF	27		4	6 2
M Jiménez GLK	24			3 -
G Ferrareis DEF	24	2	1	7 -
E Gularte DEF	24	1		4 1
R Castillo MID	24	1	3	6 -
P González MID	24	1		3 -
A Herrera MID	22			2 -
J Martinez DEF	21			2 -
F Waller MID	21	2	2	7 1
E Gómez FWD	20	5	1	1 -
L Quiñones FWD	17	4	1	4 1
J Rivas DEF	11		1	2 -
Ángel Robles FWD	10			-
J Rodríguez DEF	9			2 -
F Moyano MID	9			1 -
J Gonzalez FWD	9			-
S Olmedo DEF	7			2 1
R Sánchez FWD	7	4		-
L García FWD	7			-
J. Fedorco DEF	5			1 -
B Garnica FWD	5			-
J Rodríguez GLK	4			-
L Cavallini FWD	4	4		1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
5	16	4	20
E Gómez	E Gómez	B Angulo	R Castillo

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
E Gómez FWD	5	16	1	8
L Cavallini FWD	4	7		5
R Sánchez FWD	4	9
L Quiñones FWD	4	10	1	12
F Waller MID	2	7	2	15
G Ferrareis DEF	2	5	1	10
E Orona DEF	1	4		2
P González MID	1	2		3
R Castillo MID	1	7	3	20
E Gularte DEF	1	1		5
A Herrera MID		3		6
M Jiménez GLK				1
B Garnica FWD		1		1
L García FWD				2
F Moyano MID				2
J Gonzalez FWD				5
J Martinez DEF		1		1
J Rodríguez DEF				1
Ángel Robles FWD		3		1
B Angulo DEF		3	4	14
J Rivas DEF			1	2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
938	55	135
B Angulo	B Angulo	B Angulo

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
B Angulo DEF	938	55	135
E Orona DEF	845	47	102
E Gularte DEF	701	32	97
M Jiménez GLK	593		7
L Quiñones FWD	527	25	96
P González MID	519	31	44
G Ferrareis DEF	499	33	76
F Waller MID	482	42	86
R Castillo MID	411	19	47
F Moyano MID	367	15	23
J Martinez DEF	350	29	66
A Herrera MID	327	16	35
E Gómez FWD	288	7	78
J Rivas DEF	245	39	49
S Olmedo DEF	203	5	13
J Rodríguez GLK	141
J. Fedorco DEF	123	10	22
R Sánchez FWD	98	5	34
J Rodríguez DEF	77	9	15
L Cavallini FWD	69	2	23
Ángel Robles FWD	53	3	12
J Gonzalez FWD	44	2	21
B Garnica FWD	34	6	17
L García FWD	19	3	6

Toluca Liga MX squad statistics 2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
28	20	8	9
M Ruíz	Paulinho	A Vega	M Ruíz

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
A Vega FWD	30	10	8	6 -
M Ruíz MID	29	2	6	9 -
J Uriarte MID	28	6	6	-
Paulinho FWD	28	20	7	5 -
J Gallardo DEF	27	4	3	5 -
Luan DEF	27	2		3 -
B García DEF	25	1	1	3 -
J Domínguez FWD	24		2	2 -
I Violante FWD	23	6	4	4 -
F Pereira DEF	19	1		6 1
I López FWD	19		1	-
B Méndez DEF	18			1
V Camarena MID	18			3 1
F Amaya MID	15		2	1 -
Helinho MID	15	3		2 -
R Morales FWD	14	3	1	-
D Barbosa DEF	9		1	2 -
F Romero MID	9			2 -
H Herrera MID	8		2	1 -
E López DEF	7			-
P López GLK	6			-
A Briseño DEF	4	1		-
L García GLK	3			-
K. Castillo MID	2			-
L. Navarrete Torres DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
20	41	8	34
Paulinho	Paulinho	A Vega	J Uriarte

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
Paulinho FWD	20	41	7	18
A Vega FWD	10	21	8	31
I Violante FWD	6	13	4	8
J Uriarte MID	6	14	6	34
J Gallardo DEF	4	10	3	18
Helinho MID	3	12		8
R Morales FWD	3	11	1	5
Luan DEF	2	9		3
M Ruíz MID	2	14	6	17
B García DEF	1	2	1	12
F Pereira DEF	1	3		4
A Briseño DEF	1	1
K. Castillo MID		1
H Herrera MID			2	3
V Camarena MID		1		4
F Romero MID		1		2
D Barbosa DEF		1	1	3
F Amaya MID		1	2	5
B Méndez DEF		2
I López FWD		6	1	4
J Domínguez FWD		5	2	8

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1470	95	183
M Ruíz	M Ruíz	M Ruíz

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
M Ruíz MID	1470	95	183
Luan DEF	1381	36	87
F Pereira DEF	1235	44	101
J Gallardo DEF	1061	48	97
A Vega FWD	1024	47	119
B García DEF	875	35	61
B Méndez DEF	848	20	49
J Uriarte MID	775	18	57
Paulinho FWD	497	19	88
F Romero MID	425	16	29
J Domínguez FWD	418	12	40
V Camarena MID	351	19	26
I Violante FWD	347	11	44
D Barbosa DEF	258	38	53
Helinho MID	252	8	44
H Herrera MID	251	5	13
P López GLK	231	1	1
E López DEF	188	10	13
F Amaya MID	181	14	22
I López FWD	161	1	21
A Briseño DEF	153	1	8
R Morales FWD	128	11	36
L García GLK	85		3
K. Castillo MID	21		1
L. Navarrete Torres DEF	1

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Puebla v Toluca : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Puebla v Toluca Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

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