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Necaxa v León : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 15th Mar, 01:00 BST, Estadio Victoria de Aguascalient, Aguascalientes

Alexandre Moya Torralbo takes his León team to the Estadio Victoria de Aguascalient in the Liga MX on Saturday morning, with Sergey Frantsev's Necaxa the opponent. The predictions for all the markets are based on the past 20 games each side has played (home, away and overall) with additional weight assigned to top teams. All the statistics and infographics are designed specifically for the betting market in question. Head-to-head statistics for this fixture are also given if there is some fixture history. Odds are provided straight from from the UK's biggest bookmakers.

Best Tip: Both teams to score

Necaxa should have reason to feel optimistic ahead of this fixture and, funnily enough, so might Leon. The bookies see them as well matched and so do we – there's no clear winner in this fixture. So we look to the both teams to score market, where there's far more clarity. The form statistics, past head-to-head (H2H) records and bookmakers odds below are all pointing towards both sides scoring, and that's what we'd recommend too.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Necaxa are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 38% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.10.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Necaxa 37%	23/20 2%	-
Draw 23%	27/10 1%	-
Leon 40%	21/10	-
Draw 1-1 10%	6/1 7%	-
Leon 2-1 9%	10/1	-
Necaxa 2-1 8%	8/1	-
Leon 1-0 7%	11/1 8%	-
Draw 2-2 7%	11/1	-
Necaxa 1-0 6%	9/1 9%	-
Leon 2-0 5%	16/1 11%	-
Necaxa 2-0 5%	11/1	-
Leon 3-1 5%	22/1	-
Necaxa 3-1 4%	14/1	-
Draw 0-0 4%	14/1 12%	-
Leon 3-2 4%	25/1	-
Necaxa 3-2 3%	20/1	-
Leon 3-0 3%	33/1	-
Necaxa 3-0 3%	20/1	-
Over 2.5 Goals 62%	4/6 4%	-
Under 2.5 Goals 38%	23/20 7%	-
Home 1st Goal 48%	4/6	-
Away 1st Goal 49%	5/4	-
No 1st Goal 2%	14/1 12%	-
BTTS - Yes 64%	4/7 3%	-
BTTS - No 36%	5/4 5%	-
BTTS - Home Win 21%	11/4 4%	-
BTTS - Draw 19%	10/3	-
BTTS - Away Win 23%	9/2 10%	-
Home/draw 60%	4/11	-
Away/draw 63%	4/6 2%	-
Home/away 77%	2/7 3%	-
Over 1.5 Goals 83%	1/5 2%	-
Under 1.5 Goals 17%	10/3 4%	-
Over 3.5 Goals 40%	13/8 5%	-
Under 3.5 Goals 60%	4/9 4%	-
Over 4.5 Goals 22%	4/1 15%	-
Under 4.5 Goals 78%	1/6 3%	-
Over 5.5 Goals 10%	9/1 11%	-
Under 5.5 Goals 90%	1/16 1%	-
Over 0.5 Goals 96%	1/33 1%	-
Under 0.5 Goals 4%	14/1 12%	-
Home DNB 53%	4/7	-
Away DNB 56%	5/4	-
Necaxa win to nil 16%	10/3	-
Leon win to nil 17%	5/1 8%	-
Necaxa / Necaxa 23%	5/2 3%	-
Necaxa / Leon 3%	25/1	-
Necaxa / Draw 6%	12/1	-
Draw / Necaxa 15%	9/2	-
Draw / Leon 12%	6/1 7%	-
Draw / Draw 14%	5/1	-
Leon / Necaxa 4%	20/1	-
Leon / Leon 16%	4/1	-
Leon / Draw 6%	12/1	-

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Necaxa	1 - 2	Tigres
Necaxa	3 - 1	Mazatlan
Necaxa	3 - 2	S. Laguna
Necaxa	1 - 3	Cruz Azul
Necaxa	3 - 2	Guadalajara
Necaxa	0 - 0	Atlas
Necaxa	1 - 1	A. San Luis
Necaxa	1 - 3	Toluca
Necaxa	1 - 2	Tijuana
Necaxa	1 - 1	America
Necaxa	2 - 0	Pumas UNAM
Necaxa	3 - 0	Juarez
Necaxa	0 - 1	Monterrey
Necaxa	4 - 1	Puebla
Necaxa	1 - 1	Queretaro
Necaxa	2 - 5	Monterrey
Necaxa	2 - 0	S. Laguna
Necaxa	1 - 2	Leon
Necaxa	3 - 1	A. San Luis
Necaxa	1 - 1	Pachuca

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Necaxa	2 - 5	Toluca
H	Necaxa	1 - 2	Tigres
H	Necaxa	3 - 1	Mazatlan
A	Necaxa	4 - 0	Atlas
A	Necaxa	3 - 2	America
H	Necaxa	3 - 2	S. Laguna
A	Necaxa	0 - 1	Monterrey
H	Necaxa	1 - 3	Cruz Azul
A	Necaxa	3 - 0	A. San Luis
H	Necaxa	3 - 2	Guadalajara
A	Necaxa	1 - 2	Pumas UNAM
H	Necaxa	0 - 0	Atlas
H	Necaxa	1 - 1	A. San Luis
A	Necaxa	2 - 6	Pachuca
H	Necaxa	1 - 3	Toluca
A	Necaxa	2 - 3	Guadalajara
H	Necaxa	1 - 2	Tijuana
A	Necaxa	0 - 3	Cruz Azul
A	Necaxa	0 - 0	Queretaro
H	Necaxa	1 - 1	America

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

19 / 20

Clean sheets

1 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
S. Laguna	2 - 1	Leon
America	1 - 1	Leon
A. San Luis	1 - 2	Leon
Pachuca	1 - 2	Leon
Mazatlan	1 - 2	Leon
Atlas	1 - 2	Leon
Monterrey	2 - 1	Leon
Toluca	2 - 2	Leon
Juarez	2 - 3	Leon
Tigres	2 - 2	Leon
Guadalajara	2 - 0	Leon
Tijuana	2 - 1	Leon
Puebla	2 - 2	Leon
Pumas UNAM	4 - 1	Leon
Juarez	1 - 1	Leon
Pumas UNAM	1 - 0	Leon
Necaxa	1 - 2	Leon
Guadalajara	1 - 2	Leon
Tijuana	1 - 1	Leon
Atlas	0 - 1	Leon

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Leon	1 - 2	S. Laguna
H	Leon	2 - 1	Tijuana
H	Leon	1 - 0	Tigres
A	Leon	1 - 1	America
A	Leon	2 - 1	A. San Luis
H	Leon	3 - 3	Toluca
A	Leon	2 - 1	Pachuca
A	Leon	2 - 1	Mazatlan
H	Leon	2 - 1	Guadalajara
H	Leon	1 - 0	Juarez
A	Leon	2 - 1	Atlas
A	Leon	1 - 2	Monterrey
H	Leon	0 - 0	Mazatlan
A	Leon	2 - 2	Toluca
H	Leon	4 - 0	Queretaro
H	Leon	0 - 0	Atlas
A	Leon	3 - 2	Juarez
H	Leon	1 - 1	America
A	Leon	2 - 2	Tigres
H	Leon	1 - 0	A. San Luis

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Necaxa

Leon

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

3 / 6

6 / 6

Clean sheets

0 / 6

3 / 6

NEC

LEO

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Necaxa
	1 - 2	Leon
Necaxa	3 - 2
	0 - 1	Leon
	0 - 2	Leon
	2 - 4	Leon
	0 - 2	Leon

Leon

Necaxa

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

7 / 7

6 / 7

Clean sheets

1 / 7

0 / 7

LEO

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Leon
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Leon	2 - 1
Leon	3 - 0
Leon	3 - 1
Leon	2 - 1
Leon	2 - 1

Goal Statistics

León have been steady in front of goal of late, scoring in 10 consecutive Liga MX matches. Their PG of 1.6 against Necaxa on Saturday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

	Necaxa 13th	Leon 11th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.6 goals	1.6 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 21% 1 33% 2 26% 3 13% 4+ 7% There is a 79% probability that Necaxa will score 1 or more goals	0 20% 1 32% 2 26% 3 14% 4+ 8% There is a 80% probability that Leon will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+9 Necaxa’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+12 Leon have scored 12% more goals when away than predicted
	1.7 average goals scored	1.5 average goals scored
	1.5 conceded	1.5 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Liga MX - 2024/2024 season

NEC

LEO

better

view stats

Games scored	21		24
Failed to score	7		4
Scored first	14		16
Goals scored	44		40
Avg. goals scored	1.6		1.4
Avg. shots per game	12		9
Avg. shots per goal	7		6
Conversion rate for	14		16
Avg. XG for	1.4		1.2
KickOff rating		+9%

NEC

LEO

11%

better

view stats

Games conceded	21		21
Clean sheets	7		7
Conceded first	11		9
Goals conceded	46		35
Avg. goals conceded	1.6		1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded	11		11
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		9
Conversion rate against	14%		12%
Avg. XG against	1.6		1.3
KickOff rating		+11%

Necaxa v Leon Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

Necaxa Liga MX squad statistics 2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
28	15	10	6
E Unsain	D Cambindo	J Paradela	A Montes

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
E Unsain GLK	28		1	2 -
A Palavecino MID	28	7	5	4 -
J Paradela MID	28	7	10	4 -
D Cambindo FWD	27	15		5 -
A Oliveros DEF	26		1	2 -
A Mayorga DEF	25		2	2 -
R Monreal FWD	25	2		4 -
T Badaloni FWD	23	4		-
K Rosero FWD	23	2	1	3 -
E Lara DEF	18		2	4 -
A Montes DEF	18	2		6 -
A Peña DEF	14			1 -
R Sandoval DEF	13			-
E González DEF	13			-
D Gómez MID	13			-
P Pérez MID	11	1	1	1 -
I Rodríguez MID	11			1 -
A Rivera MID	10			-
J Rodríguez DEF	8			1 -
A Palma FWD	8	1	1	1 -
R Pineda MID	6	1		-
J Rojas MID	6		2	-
D Buen MID	4			2 -
B Roque FWD	2			1 -
Ángel Ricardo Chávez Soto DEF	1			-
J. Palacios Pulido MID	1			-
R. Jiménez Barruquín MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
15	36	10	42
D Cambindo	D Cambindo	J Paradela	A Palavecino

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
D Cambindo FWD	15	36		14
J Paradela MID	7	23	10	34
A Palavecino MID	7	29	5	42
T Badaloni FWD	4	13		5
K Rosero FWD	2	7	1	11
A Montes DEF	2	5		2
R Monreal FWD	2	9		10
P Pérez MID	1	3	1	4
R Pineda MID	1	2		3
A Palma FWD	1	1	1	5
B Roque FWD		1
D Buen MID				1
J Rojas MID		2	2	3
J Rodríguez DEF				1
E Unsain GLK			1	4
E González DEF		1		2
A Rivera MID		1
I Rodríguez MID				3
R Sandoval DEF		1		3
E Lara DEF		1	2	3
A Mayorga DEF		3	2	9
A Oliveros DEF		5	1	8

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1318	70	156
A Palavecino	A Palavecino	A Palavecino

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
A Palavecino MID	1318	70	156
J Paradela MID	900	51	154
A Oliveros DEF	837	25	85
E Unsain GLK	824		14
A Montes DEF	495	35	78
E Lara DEF	488	17	45
A Mayorga DEF	476	39	74
I Rodríguez MID	451	31	61
A Peña DEF	434	9	28
D Cambindo FWD	318	11	101
R Monreal FWD	266	15	61
K Rosero FWD	230	37	82
E González DEF	223	15	34
P Pérez MID	197	11	42
J Rodríguez DEF	175	9	20
T Badaloni FWD	164	2	44
D Buen MID	152	4	9
J Rojas MID	142	6	12
D Gómez MID	132	18	20
A Rivera MID	100	10	27
R Pineda MID	91	2	8
A Palma FWD	81	4	13
R Sandoval DEF	69	6	16
Ángel Ricardo Chávez Soto DEF	12		1
B Roque FWD	4		1
R. Jiménez Barruquín MID	2		1

Leon Liga MX squad statistics 2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
28	10	4	7
S Barreiro	J Cádiz	J Cádiz	P Bellón

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
S Barreiro DEF	28	1		6 -
S Chávez DEF	28		1	4 -
J Cádiz FWD	26	10	4	4 -
P Bellón DEF	25	1		7 -
A Blanco GLK	23			3 -
A Guardado MID	21	1	1	4 -
E Guerra FWD	20		2	2 1
D Ramírez DEF	19		3	1 -
S Mendoza FWD	19	8	1	3 1
?. Estrada Meza MID	18	2	1	2 -
I Moreno DEF	17	2	3	3 -
S Santos MID	15		1	-
E Ayon FWD	15	1		-
A Frías DEF	14	1	1	3 1
N Fonseca MID	11			1 -
R Echeverría MID	10	3		4 -
J Rodríguez MID	10	2	4	-
E Rigoni FWD	8	1		1 -
M Isaís DEF	7	1		1 -
S González MID	6			1 -
Óscar Jiménez GLK	5			1 -
C Cisneros FWD	5			1
J Casiano FWD	5			-
H Guevara FWD	4			-
V. Barajas García DEF	1			1
L Godinez DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
10	34	4	11
J Cádiz	J Cádiz	J Cádiz	S Chávez

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J Cádiz FWD	10	34	4	9
S Mendoza FWD	8	17	1	10
R Echeverría MID	3	3		1
I Moreno DEF	2	4	3	6
J Rodríguez MID	2	5	4	9
?. Estrada Meza MID	2	2	1	5
S Barreiro DEF	1	5		3
M Isaís DEF	1	1		1
E Rigoni FWD	1	1		2
E Ayon FWD	1	3		2
A Frías DEF	1	5	1	7
A Guardado MID	1	5	1	5
P Bellón DEF	1	3		1
S Santos MID		2	1	5
D Ramírez DEF		2	3	4
S Chávez DEF		1	1	11
N Fonseca MID				1
E Guerra FWD		4	2	6
A Blanco GLK				2
C Cisneros FWD		2
J Casiano FWD				2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1374	64	153
S Barreiro	S Barreiro	S Barreiro

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
S Barreiro DEF	1374	64	153
P Bellón DEF	1078	43	98
S Chávez DEF	816	44	89
A Blanco GLK	735	1	3
A Guardado MID	516	23	49
S Mendoza FWD	472	12	60
A Frías DEF	448	10	35
?. Estrada Meza MID	414	29	69
D Ramírez DEF	400	21	43
S Santos MID	395	53	74
N Fonseca MID	384	27	39
R Echeverría MID	365	24	47
J Rodríguez MID	365	7	42
J Cádiz FWD	342	11	125
I Moreno DEF	321	27	54
E Guerra FWD	300	33	73
Óscar Jiménez GLK	157		2
S González MID	92	3	4
E Ayon FWD	88	3	22
M Isaís DEF	86	9	14
E Rigoni FWD	80	7	11
J Casiano FWD	44	2	8
C Cisneros FWD	29	1	8
L Godinez DEF	12	2	3
H Guevara FWD	9	1	2
V. Barajas García DEF		1	2

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Necaxa v León : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Necaxa v Leon Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

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