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Necaxa v Guadalajara : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 18th Jan, 03:00 BST, Estadio Victoria de Aguascalient, Aguascalientes

Fernando Rubén Gago takes his Guadalajara charges to the Estadio Victoria de Aguascalient in the Liga MX on Saturday morning, with Eduardo Fentanes Orozco's Necaxa the opponent. We've analysed both teams' last 20 Liga MX matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the betting market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the stats, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

There's 78% chance of Necaxa and Guadalajara no more than 3 goals combined during this Liga MX clash according to our predictive algorithm and, without a strong favourite in the WDW market, we think that's a great tip here. Calculations are made based on latest form, historical head-to-head (H2H) statistics and the view of the betting market, and you can get it at top odds of 1.29.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Necaxa are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 38% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.70.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Necaxa
38%
17/10
4%
8/5
Draw
27%
23/1011/5
Guadalajara
34%
29/20
2%
11/8
Draw 1-1
13%
11/25/1
Necaxa 1-0
11%
17/2
12%
-
Guadalajara 1-0
10%
8/1
6%
-
Draw 0-0
9%
10/1
10%
-
Necaxa 2-1
8%
9/18/1
Guadalajara 2-1
8%
9/115/2
Necaxa 2-0
7%
12/1-
Guadalajara 2-0
6%
11/1-
Draw 2-2
5%
12/1
13%
11/1
Necaxa 3-1
3%
20/116/1
Guadalajara 3-1
3%
20/114/1
Necaxa 3-0
3%
28/1
12%
-
Guadalajara 3-0
2%
22/1
12%
-
Necaxa 3-2
2%
28/120/1
Guadalajara 3-2
2%
28/118/1
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
19/20
3%
17/20
Under 2.5 Goals
56%
17/20
3%
4/5
Home 1st Goal
48%
11/1021/20
Away 1st Goal
47%
5/619/20
No 1st Goal
5%
10/1
10%
8/1
BTTS - Yes
50%
7/10
6%
8/11
BTTS - No
50%
21/20
5%
1/1
BTTS - Home Win
16%
9/24/1
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/3
4%
10/3
BTTS - Away Win
15%
4/1
9%
7/2
Home/draw
66%
8/15
2%
8/15
Away/draw
62%
4/9
4%
4/9
Home/away
73%
1/33/10
Over 1.5 Goals
70%
2/7
1%
2/7
Under 1.5 Goals
30%
5/2
3%
11/5
Over 3.5 Goals
23%
12/5
3%
2/1
Under 3.5 Goals
77%
3/10
1%
3/10
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
11/2
7%
9/2
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
1/9
1%
1/10
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
14/1
12%
9/1
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/33
1%
1/66
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1/20
1%
1/25
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
10/1
10%
7/1
Home DNB
58%
10/11
4%
19/20
Away DNB
53%
4/5
2%
3/4
Necaxa win to nil
22%
4/1
11%
-
Guadalajara win to nil
20%
10/3-
Necaxa / Necaxa
18%
7/210/3
Necaxa / Guadalajara
3%
25/1
10%
20/1
Necaxa / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Draw / Necaxa
13%
11/2
8%
5/1
Draw / Guadalajara
14%
5/119/4
Draw / Draw
16%
4/119/5
Guadalajara / Necaxa
3%
28/120/1
Guadalajara / Guadalajara
20%
3/1
8%
14/5
Guadalajara / Draw
6%
12/1
13%
11/1
bet365
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
11
Necaxa have not won in 11 consecutive league games
Necaxa 13TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
11
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
8
Draw
7
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Necaxa0 - 0Atlas
Necaxa1 - 1A. San Luis
Necaxa1 - 3Toluca
Necaxa1 - 2Tijuana
Necaxa1 - 1America
Necaxa2 - 0Pumas UNAM
Necaxa3 - 0Juarez
Necaxa0 - 1Monterrey
Necaxa4 - 1Puebla
Necaxa1 - 1Queretaro
Necaxa2 - 5Monterrey
Necaxa2 - 0S. Laguna
Necaxa1 - 2Leon
Necaxa3 - 1A. San Luis
Necaxa1 - 1Pachuca
Necaxa1 - 0Guadalajara
Necaxa3 - 3Toluca
Necaxa0 - 0America
Necaxa2 - 1Atlas
Necaxa4 - 0Mazatlan
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
3
Draw
7
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ANecaxa1 - 2Pumas UNAM
HNecaxa0 - 0Atlas
HNecaxa1 - 1A. San Luis
ANecaxa2 - 6Pachuca
HNecaxa1 - 3Toluca
ANecaxa2 - 3Guadalajara
HNecaxa1 - 2Tijuana
ANecaxa0 - 3Cruz Azul
ANecaxa0 - 0Queretaro
HNecaxa1 - 1America
ANecaxa0 - 0Mazatlan
HNecaxa2 - 0Pumas UNAM
ANecaxa2 - 3S. Laguna
HNecaxa3 - 0Juarez
ANecaxa1 - 1Leon
HNecaxa0 - 1Monterrey
HNecaxa4 - 1Puebla
ANecaxa0 - 1Tigres
ANecaxa1 - 2Pachuca
HNecaxa1 - 1Queretaro
Guadalajara 9TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
S. Laguna0 - 2Guadalajara
Puebla1 - 0Guadalajara
Pachuca0 - 2Guadalajara
Cruz Azul1 - 0Guadalajara
America1 - 0Guadalajara
Tigres1 - 1Guadalajara
Queretaro0 - 2Guadalajara
Tijuana4 - 2Guadalajara
America1 - 0Guadalajara
Toluca0 - 0Guadalajara
Atlas0 - 1Guadalajara
Pachuca0 - 1Guadalajara
Monterrey0 - 2Guadalajara
Cruz Azul3 - 0Guadalajara
Necaxa1 - 0Guadalajara
Mazatlan2 - 2Guadalajara
A. San Luis0 - 2Guadalajara
Tijuana1 - 1Guadalajara
Tigres1 - 0Guadalajara
Pumas UNAM3 - 0Guadalajara
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HGuadalajara1 - 0S. Laguna
HGuadalajara1 - 2Atlas
HGuadalajara0 - 1A. San Luis
AGuadalajara2 - 0S. Laguna
HGuadalajara0 - 0Pumas UNAM
AGuadalajara0 - 1Puebla
HGuadalajara3 - 2Necaxa
AGuadalajara2 - 0Pachuca
HGuadalajara2 - 3Atlas
HGuadalajara1 - 1Monterrey
AGuadalajara0 - 1Cruz Azul
HGuadalajara2 - 0Leon
AGuadalajara0 - 1America
HGuadalajara5 - 0Juarez
AGuadalajara1 - 1Tigres
HGuadalajara2 - 0Mazatlan
AGuadalajara2 - 0Queretaro
AGuadalajara2 - 4Tijuana
HGuadalajara0 - 0Toluca
AGuadalajara0 - 1America
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Necaxa since 2019
Necaxa
Guadalajara
Goals: Scored
5
10
Games: Scored
3 / 5
4 / 5
Clean sheets
1 / 5
2 / 5
NEC
1
D
1
GUA
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Necaxa
Necaxa1 - 0
0 - 4Guadalajara
0 - 1Guadalajara
1 - 2Guadalajara
Draw3 - 3Draw
League games at Guadalajara since 2018
Guadalajara
Necaxa
Goals: Scored
13
7
Games: Scored
8 / 8
4 / 8
Clean sheets
4 / 8
0 / 8
NEC
1
D
1
GUA
6
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Guadalajara
Guadalajara3 - 2
Guadalajara2 - 0
Guadalajara1 - 0
Guadalajara2 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
Guadalajara1 - 0
1 - 2Necaxa
Guadalajara1 - 0
Goal Statistics
Necaxa 13th Guadalajara 9th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Necaxa will score no more than 1 goal
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that Guadalajara will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+9
Necaxa’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-24
Guadalajara have scored 24% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.7
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga MX - 2024/2024 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/289172/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Necaxa
PG (predicted goals)
Guadalajara
1.3
1.2
Attack rating
NEC
GUA
13%
better
view stats
Games scored12
13
Failed to score6
6
Scored first7
10
Goals scored21
26
Avg. goals scored1.2
1.4
Avg. shots per game11
11
Avg. shots per goal10
8
Conversion rate for10
12
Avg. XG for1.3
1.3
KickOff rating
+13%
Defence rating
NEC
GUA
27%
better
view stats
Games conceded13
10
Clean sheets5
9
Conceded first8
7
Goals conceded28
17
Avg. goals conceded1.6
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded12
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
10
Conversion rate against13%
10%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.2
KickOff rating
+27%

Necaxa v Guadalajara Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

Necaxa Liga MX squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
18656
E UnsainD CambindoJ ParadelaA Montes
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
E Unsain GLK18
1
-
A Oliveros DEF181
1
-
A Palavecino MID1852
3
-
J Paradela MID1825
3
-
R Monreal FWD181
3
-
D Cambindo FWD176
2
-
A Mayorga DEF161
1
-
A Montes DEF161
6
-
F Arce MID142
5
-
K Rosero  FWD141
1
-
B Garnica FWD14
1
1
H Jurado FWD14
-
T Badaloni FWD132
-
E González DEF11
-
D Gómez MID11
-
E Lara DEF101
1
-
J Rodríguez DEF6
1
-
R Sandoval FWD6
-
R Pineda FWD61
-
A Peña DEF5
-
A Rivera MID5
-
Guadalajara Liga MX squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
19644
J RangelR HernándezR HernándezF González
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Rangel GLK19
3
-
F Beltran MID1911
3
-
J Castillo DEF181
1
-
A Mozo DEF1821
1
-
Érick Gutiérrez MID171
3
-
F González MID17
4
-
J Chiquete DEF16
2
-
V Guzmán MID1622
2
-
R Hernández FWD1564
2
-
R Sánchez FWD1531
1
-
C Cowell FWD1452
-
M. Chávez García MID122
1
-
A. González Alba FWD1131
1
-
J Sandoval FWD1012
-
G Sepúlveda DEF91
2
-
O Govea MID9
1
-
C Cisneros FWD9
-
A Briseño DEF81
3
1
Chicharito FWD71
1
P Pérez FWD6
-
F Barajas FWD5
-
L. Sepúlveda DEF3
-
I Brizuela FWD3
-
R Ruiz DEF1
-
J Sánchez DEF11
-