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Mazatlán v Toluca : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 25th Jan, 03:00 BST, ,

We've analysed both teams' last 20 Liga MX matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the betting market, to generate our match predictions. All the statistics, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside the best odds.


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals
In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 42% chance of Toluca coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Mazatlan
33%
12/5-
Draw
25%
23/10-
Toluca
42%
23/20-
Draw 1-1
12%
11/2-
Toluca 1-0
9%
10/1-
Toluca 2-1
9%
8/1-
Mazatlan 1-0
8%
14/1-
Mazatlan 2-1
8%
11/1-
Toluca 2-0
7%
11/1-
Draw 0-0
6%
12/1-
Draw 2-2
6%
10/1-
Mazatlan 2-0
5%
20/1-
Toluca 3-1
4%
14/1-
Toluca 3-0
3%
20/1-
Mazatlan 3-1
3%
22/1-
Toluca 3-2
3%
20/1-
Mazatlan 3-2
2%
28/1-
Mazatlan 3-0
2%
33/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
13/20-
Under 2.5 Goals
47%
6/5-
Home 1st Goal
46%
13/10-
Away 1st Goal
50%
4/6-
No 1st Goal
4%
12/1-
BTTS - Yes
56%
8/15-
BTTS - No
44%
11/8-
BTTS - Home Win
17%
9/2-
BTTS - Draw
19%
3/1-
BTTS - Away Win
21%
11/4-
Home/draw
58%
4/6-
Away/draw
67%
3/10-
Home/away
75%
1/3-
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
2/11-
Under 1.5 Goals
23%
7/2-
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
6/4-
Under 3.5 Goals
69%
1/2-
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
7/2-
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
2/11-
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
8/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/14-
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/25-
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
12/1-
Home DNB
50%
11/8-
Away DNB
60%
8/15-
Mazatlan win to nil
16%
6/1-
Toluca win to nil
21%
10/3-
Mazatlan / Mazatlan
16%
4/1-
Mazatlan / Toluca
4%
20/1-
Mazatlan / Draw
6%
12/1-
Draw / Mazatlan
11%
13/2-
Draw / Toluca
15%
9/2-
Draw / Draw
14%
5/1-
Toluca / Mazatlan
3%
25/1-
Toluca / Toluca
24%
12/5-
Toluca / Draw
6%
12/1-
bet365
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Win / draw / win form
Mazatlan 14TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
Draw
7
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Mazatlan1 - 1Juarez
Mazatlan0 - 1Pumas UNAM
Mazatlan0 - 5America
Mazatlan2 - 0Tigres
Mazatlan2 - 2Queretaro
Mazatlan0 - 0Necaxa
Mazatlan1 - 1Puebla
Mazatlan3 - 0Pachuca
Mazatlan2 - 2A. San Luis
Mazatlan0 - 2Juarez
Mazatlan0 - 4Pumas UNAM
Mazatlan2 - 0Tijuana
Mazatlan2 - 1Necaxa
Mazatlan2 - 2Guadalajara
Mazatlan2 - 0Atlas
Mazatlan2 - 2Leon
Mazatlan0 - 1A. San Luis
Mazatlan1 - 0Toluca
Mazatlan3 - 1S. Laguna
Mazatlan3 - 0Queretaro
Goals: Scored
12
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
7 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
13 / 20
W
2
Draw
10
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMazatlan1 - 1Juarez
HMazatlan0 - 1Pumas UNAM
AMazatlan0 - 0Leon
HMazatlan0 - 5America
AMazatlan0 - 0S. Laguna
HMazatlan2 - 0Tigres
AMazatlan0 - 0Atlas
HMazatlan2 - 2Queretaro
AMazatlan0 - 1Tijuana
AMazatlan0 - 0Monterrey
HMazatlan0 - 0Necaxa
AMazatlan0 - 1Juarez
HMazatlan1 - 1Puebla
HMazatlan3 - 0Pachuca
AMazatlan0 - 2Guadalajara
AMazatlan0 - 3Toluca
HMazatlan2 - 2A. San Luis
AMazatlan0 - 1Cruz Azul
AMazatlan1 - 1Pachuca
HMazatlan0 - 2Juarez
Toluca 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
Draw
8
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Tijuana2 - 4Toluca
America2 - 0Toluca
Tigres2 - 1Toluca
Necaxa1 - 3Toluca
Queretaro0 - 1Toluca
S. Laguna2 - 0Toluca
Pachuca2 - 2Toluca
Monterrey1 - 2Toluca
Cruz Azul1 - 1Toluca
Guadalajara0 - 0Toluca
Guadalajara1 - 0Toluca
A. San Luis1 - 5Toluca
America5 - 1Toluca
Pachuca2 - 3Toluca
Juarez1 - 1Toluca
Monterrey0 - 0Toluca
Necaxa3 - 3Toluca
Guadalajara3 - 2Toluca
Puebla1 - 1Toluca
Queretaro2 - 2Toluca
Goals: Scored
42
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AToluca4 - 2Tijuana
HToluca0 - 2America
AToluca0 - 2America
HToluca4 - 0America
AToluca1 - 2Tigres
HToluca2 - 2Leon
AToluca3 - 1Necaxa
HToluca5 - 0Puebla
AToluca1 - 0Queretaro
HToluca1 - 1Pumas UNAM
HToluca4 - 1Atlas
AToluca0 - 2S. Laguna
AToluca2 - 2Pachuca
HToluca4 - 0Tijuana
AToluca2 - 1Monterrey
HToluca2 - 1A. San Luis
AToluca1 - 1Cruz Azul
HToluca3 - 0Mazatlan
HToluca3 - 2Juarez
AToluca0 - 0Guadalajara
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Mazatlan since 2020
Mazatlan
Toluca
Goals: Scored
5
4
Games: Scored
4 / 4
3 / 4
Clean sheets
1 / 4
0 / 4
MAZ
2
D
1
TOL
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Mazatlan
Mazatlan1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2Toluca
Mazatlan2 - 1
League games at Toluca since 2021
Toluca
Mazatlan
Goals: Scored
17
5
Games: Scored
5 / 5
4 / 5
Clean sheets
1 / 5
0 / 5
D
1
TOL
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Toluca
Toluca3 - 0
Toluca4 - 1
Toluca4 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
Toluca4 - 1
Goal Statistics

Goals have been difficult to come by for Mazatlán of late. It has been 5 Liga MX games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.3 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Saturday morning against Toluca.

Mazatlan 14th Toluca 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that Mazatlan will score no more than 1 goal
0
22%
1
34%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that Toluca will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-12
Mazatlan have scored 12% fewer goals at home than predicted
+19
Toluca have scored 19% more goals when away than predicted
1.4
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga MX - 2024/2024 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/289180/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Mazatlan
PG (predicted goals)
Toluca
1.3
1.5
Attack rating
MAZ
TOL
59%
better
view stats
Games scored6
16
Failed to score12
4
Scored first4
13
Goals scored11
42
Avg. goals scored0.6
2.1
Avg. shots per game11
11
Avg. shots per goal17
5
Conversion rate for6
20
Avg. XG for1.2
1.5
KickOff rating
+59%
Defence rating
0%
better
MAZ
TOL
view stats
Games conceded11
14
Clean sheets7
6
Conceded first9
6
Goals conceded20
22
Avg. goals conceded1.1
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded10
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
10
Conversion rate against11%
10%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.2
KickOff rating
0%

Mazatlan v Toluca Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

Mazatlan Liga MX squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
18225
H GonzálezL SánchezY BárcenasR Meraz
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
H González GLK18
2
-
L Sánchez DEF172
2
-
B Colula DEF17
4
-
J Sierra MID171
1
-
Y Bárcenas FWD172
2
-
R Meraz MID161
5
-
J Vázquez DEF13
4
-
A Escoboza MID13
1
-
F Almada DEF10
1
-
A Torres MID10
2
-
M Laínez MID101
1
-
R Camacho FWD102
2
-
L Merolla DEF8
-
L Amarilla FWD81
-
R Pizarro MID7
-
N Benedetti FWD7
2
-
J Esquivel DEF6
2
-
V Alvarado DEF5
-
W Vargas DEF4
-
S Rodriguez DEF4
1
-
O Villegas FWD2
-
J Intriago MID1
-
Toluca Liga MX squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
201468
T VolpiPaulinhoPaulinhoM Ruíz
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Volpi GLK20
1
-
Paulinho FWD20146
2
-
A Vega FWD2054
3
-
J Gallardo DEF1943
3
-
Luan DEF191
2
-
M Ruíz MID1911
8
-
B García DEF1811
2
-
J Uriarte MID1854
-
J Domínguez FWD181
1
-
C Baeza MID171
4
-
V Camarena MID16
3
1
I Violante FWD1643
4
-
F Pereira DEF131
3
1
F Amaya MID132
1
-
I López FWD13
-
B Méndez DEF11
1
Helinho  MID72
1
-
A Duarte FWD71
-
E López DEF4
-
R Morales FWD4
-
K. Castillo MID2
-
D Barbosa DEF11
1
-
L. Navarrete Torres DEF1
-