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León v Toluca : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 9th Feb, 01:00 BST, Estadio León, León de los Aldamas

Alexandre Moya Torralbo welcomes Patrick Glockner to the Estadio León on Sunday morning, as their León and Toluca teams meet in the Liga MX. Quite simply, we want you to win betting on this game. To this end, statistics for seventeen major betting market have been laid out below, with head to head (H2H) history and statistically significant form streaks highlighted. The best odds are also given.


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We are making over 1.5 goals our top tip on this one, meaning that the sides will score at least two goals between them during the standard 90 mins. Both Leon and Toluca's recent form stats suggest it's likely, while their head-to-head (H2H) record also supports the bet. The bookies make it the most likely outcome in this market too, available at 1.18.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Leon are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 40% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.90.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Leon
40%
19/10-
Draw
26%
14/5-
Toluca
34%
5/4-
Draw 1-1
12%
13/2-
Leon 1-0
10%
11/1-
Toluca 1-0
9%
10/1-
Leon 2-1
9%
10/1-
Toluca 2-1
8%
8/1-
Draw 0-0
7%
14/1-
Leon 2-0
7%
16/1-
Toluca 2-0
6%
12/1-
Draw 2-2
5%
11/1-
Leon 3-1
4%
20/1-
Toluca 3-1
3%
16/1-
Leon 3-0
3%
28/1-
Leon 3-2
2%
22/1-
Toluca 3-0
2%
20/1-
Toluca 3-2
2%
20/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
8/13-
Under 2.5 Goals
51%
5/4-
Home 1st Goal
49%
6/5-
Away 1st Goal
47%
8/11-
No 1st Goal
5%
14/1-
BTTS - Yes
54%
8/15-
BTTS - No
46%
11/8-
BTTS - Home Win
18%
15/4-
BTTS - Draw
19%
7/2-
BTTS - Away Win
16%
11/4-
Home/draw
66%
8/13-
Away/draw
60%
2/5-
Home/away
74%
1/4-
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
2/11-
Under 1.5 Goals
26%
7/2-
Over 3.5 Goals
27%
6/4-
Under 3.5 Goals
73%
1/2-
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
7/2-
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
2/11-
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
9/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/16-
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/33-
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
14/1-
Home DNB
58%
11/10-
Away DNB
53%
4/6-
Leon win to nil
21%
5/1-
Toluca win to nil
18%
10/3-
Leon / Leon
17%
15/4-
Leon / Toluca
4%
20/1-
Leon / Draw
6%
12/1-
Draw / Leon
12%
6/1-
Draw / Toluca
14%
5/1-
Draw / Draw
14%
5/1-
Toluca / Leon
3%
25/1-
Toluca / Toluca
23%
13/5-
Toluca / Draw
6%
12/1-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
7
Leon have not lost in 7 consecutive home league games
Leon 11TH
20 league games
Home
7
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
Draw
7
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Leon2 - 1Guadalajara
Leon1 - 0Juarez
Leon0 - 0Mazatlan
Leon4 - 0Queretaro
Leon0 - 0Atlas
Leon1 - 1America
Leon1 - 0A. San Luis
Leon1 - 2Cruz Azul
Leon1 - 1S. Laguna
Leon1 - 1Necaxa
Leon0 - 0Pachuca
Leon2 - 0Monterrey
Leon0 - 2Queretaro
Leon2 - 1Puebla
Leon1 - 0A. San Luis
Leon2 - 3Cruz Azul
Leon0 - 1America
Leon3 - 2S. Laguna
Leon1 - 2Tigres
Leon2 - 2America
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
7
Draw
9
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ALeon2 - 1Mazatlan
HLeon2 - 1Guadalajara
HLeon1 - 0Juarez
ALeon2 - 1Atlas
ALeon1 - 2Monterrey
HLeon0 - 0Mazatlan
ALeon2 - 2Toluca
HLeon4 - 0Queretaro
HLeon0 - 0Atlas
ALeon3 - 2Juarez
HLeon1 - 1America
ALeon2 - 2Tigres
HLeon1 - 0A. San Luis
ALeon0 - 2Guadalajara
HLeon1 - 2Cruz Azul
ALeon1 - 2Tijuana
HLeon1 - 1S. Laguna
HLeon1 - 1Necaxa
ALeon2 - 2Puebla
HLeon0 - 0Pachuca
Toluca 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Pumas UNAM1 - 1Toluca
Mazatlan2 - 1Toluca
Tijuana2 - 4Toluca
America2 - 0Toluca
Tigres2 - 1Toluca
Necaxa1 - 3Toluca
Queretaro0 - 1Toluca
S. Laguna2 - 0Toluca
Pachuca2 - 2Toluca
Monterrey1 - 2Toluca
Cruz Azul1 - 1Toluca
Guadalajara0 - 0Toluca
Guadalajara1 - 0Toluca
A. San Luis1 - 5Toluca
America5 - 1Toluca
Pachuca2 - 3Toluca
Juarez1 - 1Toluca
Monterrey0 - 0Toluca
Necaxa3 - 3Toluca
Guadalajara3 - 2Toluca
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HToluca1 - 0Tigres
AToluca1 - 1Pumas UNAM
AToluca1 - 2Mazatlan
HToluca1 - 1Monterrey
AToluca4 - 2Tijuana
HToluca0 - 2America
AToluca0 - 2America
HToluca4 - 0America
AToluca1 - 2Tigres
HToluca2 - 2Leon
AToluca3 - 1Necaxa
HToluca5 - 0Puebla
AToluca1 - 0Queretaro
HToluca1 - 1Pumas UNAM
HToluca4 - 1Atlas
AToluca0 - 2S. Laguna
AToluca2 - 2Pachuca
HToluca4 - 0Tijuana
AToluca2 - 1Monterrey
HToluca2 - 1A. San Luis
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Leon since 2019
Leon
Toluca
Goals: Scored
16
8
Games: Scored
6 / 7
4 / 7
Clean sheets
3 / 7
1 / 7
LEO
4
D
2
TOL
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Leon
Leon1 - 0
0 - 1Toluca
Draw4 - 4Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
Leon2 - 1
Leon4 - 0
Leon3 - 0
League games at Toluca since 2018
Toluca
Leon
Goals: Scored
9
7
Games: Scored
4 / 6
4 / 6
Clean sheets
2 / 6
2 / 6
LEO
1
D
4
TOL
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Toluca
Draw2 - 2Draw
Toluca4 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
1 - 2Leon
Goal Statistics
Leon 11th Toluca 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 60% probability that Leon will score no more than 1 goal
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
9%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Toluca will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-18
Leon have scored 18% fewer goals at home than predicted
+15
Toluca have scored 15% more goals when away than predicted
1.3
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga MX - 2024/2024 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/289209/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Leon
PG (predicted goals)
Toluca
1.4
1.3
Attack rating
%
better
LEO
TOL
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
LEO
TOL
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Leon v Toluca Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

Leon Liga MX squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
21825
S BarreiroJ CádizE GuerraS Mendoza
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Chávez DEF211
2
-
S Barreiro DEF211
4
-
A Blanco GLK19
2
-
P Bellón DEF19
4
-
J Cádiz FWD1981
4
-
E Guerra FWD172
2
1
A Guardado MID1611
3
-
D Ramírez DEF142
1
-
?. Estrada Meza MID1311
2
-
S Mendoza FWD124
4
1
A Frías DEF111
2
-
S Santos MID11
-
E Ayon FWD111
-
I Moreno DEF1021
2
-
M Isaís DEF51
1
-
J Casiano FWD5
-
N Fonseca MID4
1
-
C Cisneros FWD4
1
H Guevara FWD4
-
J Rodríguez MID311
-
R Echeverría MID3
-
E Rigoni FWD31
1
-
Óscar Jiménez GLK2
-
S González MID2
-
V. Barajas García DEF1
1
L Godinez DEF1
-
Toluca Liga MX squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
231568
M RuízPaulinhoA VegaM Ruíz
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Vega FWD2456
6
-
Luan DEF231
2
-
M Ruíz MID2322
8
-
J Gallardo DEF2243
4
-
J Uriarte MID2254
-
Paulinho FWD22156
2
-
B García DEF2111
2
-
J Domínguez FWD191
1
-
I Violante FWD1843
4
-
V Camarena MID17
3
1
I López FWD17
-
F Pereira DEF151
5
1
F Amaya MID152
1
-
B Méndez DEF14
1
Helinho  MID113
2
-
R Morales FWD8
-
E López DEF6
-
D Barbosa DEF41
2
-
L García GLK3
-
F Romero MID3
1
-
K. Castillo MID2
-
H Herrera MID2
-
L. Navarrete Torres DEF1
-