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León v Tijuana : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

BC Place Stadium, Vancouver

Tijuana, led by manager Juan Carlos Osorio Arbeláez, visit Alexandre Moya Torralbo and his León side at the Estadio León on Sunday morning in the Liga MX. Stats power the algorithmic predictions below for 17 individual betting markets, and switching between them will display bespoke analysis, including head to head (H2H), form and much more besides. The best odds are also provided. Hit the tabs below to see it all.

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León's next match is v Necaxa at 01:00 on Saturday 15th March
Tijuana's next match is v Pachuca at 02:00 on Monday 17th March
The last Mexican Liga MX meeting between Leon and Tijuana was on Sunday 2nd March 2025
Mexican Liga MX
March 2nd 2025
Leon 2
1 Tijuana
 
?. Estrada Meza 45'27' K. Castañeda Vargas
R. Echeverría Sáez 89'
 
LEO
TIJ
Shots On
9
6
Shots Off
4
8
Corners
6
2
Possession
44%
56%
Fouls
7
9
Yellow/red cards
1/0
1/0
 
LeonTijuana
 
Ó. Jiménez Fabela
S. Reyes Chávez
A. Frías
J. Barreiro Solis
?. Estrada Mezafootball icon (I. Moreno Füguemann 76')
S. Santos
R. Echeverría Sáezfootball icon (S. Fierro González 90')
J. Rodríguez Rubio (J. Ramírez García 90')
N. Fonseca
E. Ayon (J. Cádiz Fernández 46')
J. Mendoza Valencia (E. Rigoni 90')
J. Rodríguez Romero
U. Bilbao Arteta
R. Franco Zambrano
(A. Mejía Montoya 46') R. Fernández Inzunza
(J. Gómez Molina 63') J. Porozo Vernaza
(G. Mora Zambrano 63') football iconK. Castañeda Vargas
I. Tona Olmeda
(J. Vega Grijalva 74') F. Boya
E. Alvarez
(J. Julio Palacios 63') S. Nicholson
J. Zúñiga Murillo

Best Tip: Leon to win

A Liga MX victory in front of their own fans for Alexandre Moya Torralbo's Leon team win in the win / draw / win market is what we're predicting. Stats suggest they have what it takes, and they should have too much for the opposition. The odds from the bookies suggest so too, and when that happens you've got a pretty compelling case. A Leon win is the bet we'd suggest, but we wouldn't expect a whitewash.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Leon are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 61% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.85.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Leon
61%
4/6
7%
-
Draw
23%
16/5
12%
-
Tijuana
16%
15/4
13%
-
Leon 1-0
13%
9/1-
Leon 2-0
12%
9/1-
Draw 1-1
11%
15/2
13%
-
Leon 2-1
10%
15/2-
Draw 0-0
7%
16/1
13%
-
Leon 3-0
7%
14/1-
Tijuana 1-0
6%
16/1-
Leon 3-1
6%
11/1
8%
-
Tijuana 2-1
4%
14/1-
Draw 2-2
4%
12/1
8%
-
Leon 4-0
3%
22/1
21%
-
Leon 4-1
3%
20/1
9%
-
Tijuana 2-0
2%
25/1
13%
-
Leon 3-2
2%
18/1
10%
-
Leon 5-0
1%
40/1
20%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
8/15
3%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
52%
7/5
2%
-
Home 1st Goal
57%
4/9
4%
-
Away 1st Goal
38%
7/4
6%
-
No 1st Goal
5%
16/1
13%
-
BTTS - Yes
46%
4/7-
BTTS - No
54%
5/4-
BTTS - Home Win
24%
2/1
6%
-
BTTS - Draw
15%
15/4
6%
-
BTTS - Away Win
7%
6/1-
Home/draw
84%
2/11
3%
-
Away/draw
39%
23/20
10%
-
Home/away
77%
2/9
2%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
73%
1/7
3%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
27%
9/2
10%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
26%
5/4
5%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
74%
4/7
3%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
3/1
8%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
2/9
2%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
7/1
11%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/12
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/40
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
16/1
13%
-
Home DNB
77%
2/7
3%
-
Away DNB
32%
5/2
8%
-
Leon win to nil
38%
12/5
3%
-
Tijuana win to nil
9%
9/1
11%
-
Leon / Leon
32%
8/5
10%
-
Leon / Tijuana
3%
28/1-
Leon / Draw
6%
12/1-
Draw / Leon
18%
15/4
5%
-
Draw / Tijuana
8%
9/1
11%
-
Draw / Draw
12%
6/1
8%
-
Tijuana / Leon
4%
18/1-
Tijuana / Tijuana
11%
13/2
15%
-
Tijuana / Draw
6%
14/1-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
9
Leon have not lost in 9 consecutive league games
Leon 11TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
9
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
Draw
7
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Leon1 - 0Tigres
Leon3 - 3Toluca
Leon2 - 1Guadalajara
Leon1 - 0Juarez
Leon0 - 0Mazatlan
Leon4 - 0Queretaro
Leon0 - 0Atlas
Leon1 - 1America
Leon1 - 0A. San Luis
Leon1 - 2Cruz Azul
Leon1 - 1S. Laguna
Leon1 - 1Necaxa
Leon0 - 0Pachuca
Leon2 - 0Monterrey
Leon0 - 2Queretaro
Leon2 - 1Puebla
Leon1 - 0A. San Luis
Leon2 - 3Cruz Azul
Leon0 - 1America
Leon3 - 2S. Laguna
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
Draw
7
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HLeon1 - 0Tigres
ALeon1 - 1America
ALeon2 - 1A. San Luis
HLeon3 - 3Toluca
ALeon2 - 1Pachuca
ALeon2 - 1Mazatlan
HLeon2 - 1Guadalajara
HLeon1 - 0Juarez
ALeon2 - 1Atlas
ALeon1 - 2Monterrey
HLeon0 - 0Mazatlan
ALeon2 - 2Toluca
HLeon4 - 0Queretaro
HLeon0 - 0Atlas
ALeon3 - 2Juarez
HLeon1 - 1America
ALeon2 - 2Tigres
HLeon1 - 0A. San Luis
ALeon0 - 2Guadalajara
HLeon1 - 2Cruz Azul
Tijuana 7TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
41
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
3
Draw
6
Lost
11
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Puebla2 - 0Tijuana
Guadalajara2 - 1Tijuana
Tigres4 - 0Tijuana
America1 - 1Tijuana
Cruz Azul3 - 0Tijuana
Juarez1 - 1Tijuana
Atlas0 - 0Tijuana
Necaxa1 - 2Tijuana
Pumas UNAM1 - 0Tijuana
Toluca4 - 0Tijuana
A. San Luis1 - 1Tijuana
Cruz Azul3 - 0Tijuana
Queretaro1 - 2Tijuana
Tigres4 - 1Tijuana
Juarez0 - 1Tijuana
Mazatlan2 - 0Tijuana
Pumas UNAM3 - 3Tijuana
Toluca2 - 0Tijuana
A. San Luis3 - 3Tijuana
Pachuca3 - 2Tijuana
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HTijuana4 - 2Pumas UNAM
ATijuana0 - 2Puebla
HTijuana1 - 2Juarez
ATijuana1 - 2Guadalajara
HTijuana2 - 3Cruz Azul
ATijuana0 - 4Tigres
HTijuana2 - 1Queretaro
ATijuana1 - 1America
HTijuana2 - 4Toluca
ATijuana0 - 3Cruz Azul
HTijuana3 - 0Cruz Azul
HTijuana3 - 0Atlas
HTijuana2 - 2America
HTijuana2 - 1Puebla
ATijuana1 - 1Juarez
HTijuana0 - 3Tigres
ATijuana0 - 0Atlas
HTijuana2 - 2America
ATijuana2 - 1Necaxa
HTijuana2 - 1Pachuca
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Leon have not lost to Tijuana in 5 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Leon since 2019
Leon
Tijuana
Goals: Scored
9
6
Games: Scored
5 / 6
5 / 6
Clean sheets
1 / 6
1 / 6
LEO
4
D
1
TIJ
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Leon
Leon1 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Leon2 - 1
Leon2 - 1
Leon2 - 1
0 - 1Tijuana
League games at Tijuana since 2018
Tijuana
Leon
Goals: Scored
9
9
Games: Scored
7 / 8
6 / 8
Clean sheets
2 / 8
1 / 8
LEO
2
D
4
TIJ
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Tijuana
Tijuana2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Tijuana2 - 0
1 - 2Leon
1 - 3Leon
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics

León have been reliable in attack of late, scoring in 10 consecutive Liga MX outings. Their PG of 1.8 against Tijuana on Sunday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Leon 11th Tijuana 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
16%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
11%
There is a 84% probability that Leon will score 1 or more goals
0
45%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4+
There is a 81% probability of Tijuana scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-14
Leon have scored 14% fewer goals at home than predicted
-12
Tijuana have scored 12% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.3
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
2.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga MX - 2024/2024 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/289244/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Leon
PG (predicted goals)
Tijuana
1.8
0.8
Attack rating
10%
better
LEO
TIJ
view stats
Games scored22
22
Failed to score4
8
Scored first15
13
Goals scored37
45
Avg. goals scored1.4
1.5
Avg. shots per game9
11
Avg. shots per goal6
8
Conversion rate for16
13
Avg. XG for1.2
1.4
KickOff rating
+10%
Defence rating
28%
better
LEO
TIJ
view stats
Games conceded19
26
Clean sheets7
4
Conceded first8
16
Goals conceded32
51
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded11
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
7
Conversion rate against12%
15%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.7
KickOff rating
+28%

Leon v Tijuana Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

Leon Liga MX squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
281047
S BarreiroJ CádizJ RodríguezP Bellón
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Óscar Jiménez GLK5
1
-
S Santos DEF151
-
S Barreiro DEF281
6
-
A Frías DEF1411
3
1
S Chávez DEF281
4
-
N Fonseca MID11
1
-
R Echeverría MID103
4
-
?. Estrada Meza MID1821
2
-
J Rodríguez MID1024
-
S Mendoza MID1981
3
1
E Ayon FWD151
-
Subs
A Blanco GLK23
3
-
P Bellón DEF251
7
-
M Isaís DEF71
1
-
I Moreno DEF1723
3
-
S González MID6
1
-
E Rigoni MID81
1
-
E Guerra MID202
2
1
C Cisneros MID5
1
D Ramírez MID193
1
-
J Cádiz FWD26104
4
-
Tijuana Liga MX squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
261365
U BilbaoJ. Zúñiga MurilloE ÁlvarezU Bilbao
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Rodríguez GLK19
-
R. Franco Zambrano DEF11
2
-
J Porozo DEF7
2
-
U Bilbao DEF2921
4
1
R Fernández DEF26
5
-
I Olmeda MID2912
4
-
F Boya MID4
2
-
E Álvarez MID2956
1
-
K Castañeda MID2964
2
-
J. Zúñiga Murillo MID
-
S Nicholson  FWD613
1
-
Subs
M Ortega GLK3
-
J Grijalva DEF1023
-
A Montoya DEF282
2
-
A Gómez DEF254
5
-
F Contreras MID15
-
J Corona MID1811
3
-
J Julio MID511
1
-
F Madrigal MID8
-
G. Mora Zambrano MID2311
1
-
R Zárate FWD3
2
-