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León v Guadalajara : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 20th Jul, 02:00 BST, Estadio León, León de los Aldamas

Alexandre Moya Torralbo welcomes Gabriel Alejandro Milito to the Estadio León on Sunday morning, as their León and Guadalajara charges clash in the Liga MX. We've analysed both clubs' last 20 Liga MX matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the market, to generate our match predictions. All the statistics, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The statistics suggest we don't have an obvious winner in this fixture, but there's plenty of reasons to believe that Leon and Guadalajara will score at least a couple of goals between them. That has been the case when they've gone head-to-head in the past, and neither Alexandre Moya Torralbo or Gabriel Alejandro Milito has served up too many 0-0s recently either. The bookies are predicting over 1.5 goals too, with odds of 1.29 equating to roughly a 75% probability.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Leon are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 37% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.50.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Leon
37%
6/429/20
Draw
26%
23/1011/5
Guadalajara
37%
6/46/4
Draw 1-1
12%
11/25/1
Guadalajara 1-0
9%
15/27/1
Leon 1-0
9%
15/27/1
Leon 2-1
8%
9/18/1
Guadalajara 2-1
8%
9/18/1
Draw 0-0
7%
9/115/2
Guadalajara 2-0
6%
12/110/1
Leon 2-0
6%
12/110/1
Draw 2-2
5%
14/111/1
Guadalajara 3-1
4%
20/114/1
Leon 3-1
4%
20/114/1
Guadalajara 3-0
3%
25/118/1
Leon 3-0
3%
25/118/1
Leon 3-2
2%
28/120/1
Guadalajara 3-2
2%
28/120/1
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
19/2017/20
Under 2.5 Goals
51%
17/203/4
Home 1st Goal
48%
20/211/1
Away 1st Goal
48%
20/211/1
No 1st Goal
5%
9/115/2
BTTS - Yes
54%
3/43/4
BTTS - No
46%
1/119/20
BTTS - Home Win
17%
4/119/5
BTTS - Draw
19%
7/210/3
BTTS - Away Win
17%
4/119/5
Home/draw
63%
4/910/21
Away/draw
63%
4/910/21
Home/away
74%
3/103/10
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
3/102/7
Under 1.5 Goals
26%
12/521/10
Over 3.5 Goals
27%
12/521/10
Under 3.5 Goals
73%
3/102/7
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
6/119/4
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
1/101/11
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
14/110/1
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/331/66
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/161/25
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
9/17/1
Home DNB
55%
5/617/20
Away DNB
55%
5/617/20
Leon win to nil
20%
10/3-
Guadalajara win to nil
20%
10/3-
Leon / Leon
19%
10/33/1
Leon / Guadalajara
3%
28/120/1
Leon / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Draw / Leon
13%
5/15/1
Draw / Guadalajara
13%
5/15/1
Draw / Draw
16%
4/119/5
Guadalajara / Leon
3%
28/120/1
Guadalajara / Guadalajara
19%
10/33/1
Guadalajara / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
Leon 14TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
Draw
7
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Leon0 - 1A. San Luis
Leon2 - 3Cruz Azul
Leon0 - 2Monterrey
Leon1 - 0Puebla
Leon1 - 2Pumas UNAM
Leon2 - 1Tijuana
Leon1 - 0Tigres
Leon3 - 3Toluca
Leon2 - 1Guadalajara
Leon1 - 0Juarez
Leon0 - 0Mazatlan
Leon4 - 0Queretaro
Leon0 - 0Atlas
Leon1 - 1America
Leon1 - 0A. San Luis
Leon1 - 2Cruz Azul
Leon1 - 1S. Laguna
Leon1 - 1Necaxa
Leon0 - 0Pachuca
Leon2 - 0Monterrey
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
9
D
3
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HLeon0 - 1A. San Luis
ALeon1 - 2Cruz Azul
HLeon2 - 3Cruz Azul
HLeon0 - 2Monterrey
ALeon1 - 2Cruz Azul
HLeon1 - 0Puebla
ALeon1 - 1Queretaro
HLeon1 - 2Pumas UNAM
ALeon1 - 2Necaxa
ALeon1 - 2S. Laguna
HLeon2 - 1Tijuana
HLeon1 - 0Tigres
ALeon1 - 1America
ALeon2 - 1A. San Luis
HLeon3 - 3Toluca
ALeon2 - 1Pachuca
ALeon2 - 1Mazatlan
HLeon2 - 1Guadalajara
HLeon1 - 0Juarez
ALeon2 - 1Atlas
Guadalajara
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Atlas1 - 1Guadalajara
Mazatlan1 - 1Guadalajara
Monterrey3 - 1Guadalajara
Juarez1 - 1Guadalajara
Pumas UNAM0 - 1Guadalajara
A. San Luis3 - 1Guadalajara
Toluca2 - 1Guadalajara
Leon2 - 1Guadalajara
Necaxa3 - 2Guadalajara
S. Laguna0 - 2Guadalajara
Puebla1 - 0Guadalajara
Pachuca0 - 2Guadalajara
Cruz Azul1 - 0Guadalajara
America1 - 0Guadalajara
Tigres1 - 1Guadalajara
Queretaro0 - 2Guadalajara
Tijuana4 - 2Guadalajara
America1 - 0Guadalajara
Toluca0 - 0Guadalajara
Atlas0 - 1Guadalajara
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AGuadalajara1 - 1Atlas
HGuadalajara1 - 0Puebla
AGuadalajara1 - 1Mazatlan
AGuadalajara1 - 3Monterrey
HGuadalajara0 - 1Cruz Azul
AGuadalajara1 - 1Juarez
HGuadalajara0 - 0America
AGuadalajara1 - 0Pumas UNAM
AGuadalajara1 - 3A. San Luis
HGuadalajara2 - 1Pachuca
AGuadalajara1 - 2Toluca
HGuadalajara2 - 1Tijuana
HGuadalajara1 - 1Queretaro
AGuadalajara1 - 2Leon
HGuadalajara1 - 1Tigres
AGuadalajara2 - 3Necaxa
HGuadalajara1 - 0S. Laguna
HGuadalajara1 - 2Atlas
HGuadalajara0 - 1A. San Luis
AGuadalajara2 - 0S. Laguna
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Leon since 2018
Leon
Guadalajara
Goals: Scored
11
13
Games: Scored
6 / 8
7 / 8
Clean sheets
1 / 8
2 / 8
LEO
4
GUA
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Leon
Leon2 - 1
1 - 2Guadalajara
0 - 2Guadalajara
Leon2 - 1
1 - 3Guadalajara
Leon1 - 0
Leon4 - 3
0 - 1Guadalajara
League games at Guadalajara since 2019
Guadalajara
Leon
Goals: Scored
8
7
Games: Scored
5 / 8
4 / 8
Clean sheets
4 / 8
3 / 8
LEO
2
D
3
GUA
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Guadalajara
Guadalajara2 - 0
1 - 2Leon
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 3Leon
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Guadalajara2 - 0
Guadalajara2 - 1
Goal Statistics

Goals have been difficult to come by for Guadalajara of late. It has been 9 Liga MX games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.3 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Sunday morning against León.

Leon 14th Guadalajara th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that Leon will score no more than 1 goal
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that Guadalajara will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-19
Leon have scored 19% fewer goals at home than predicted
-18
Guadalajara have scored 18% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.2
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga MX - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/303719/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Leon
PG (predicted goals)
Guadalajara
1.3
1.3
Attack rating
0%
better
LEO
GUA
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score1
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game9
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0.5
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
LEO
GUA
57%
better
view stats
Games conceded1
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first1
0
Goals conceded1
0
Avg. goals conceded1
0
Avg. shots/game conceded10
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded10
0
Conversion rate against10%
0%
Avg. XG against1.3
0
KickOff rating
+57%

Leon v Guadalajara Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

Leon Liga MX squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
1001
S ChávezR Echeverría
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Chávez DEF1
-
I Moreno DEF1
-
A Frías DEF1
-
D Ramírez DEF1
-
R Echeverría DEF1
1
-
S Barreiro DEF1
-
F Beltran MID1
-
S Santos MID1
-
?. Estrada Meza MID1
-
N Fonseca MID1
1
-
J Rodríguez MID1
-
E Ayon FWD1
1
-
C Cisneros FWD1
-
Guadalajara Liga MX squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE