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Guadalajara v Puebla : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wed 16th Apr, 02:05 BST, Estadio AKRON, Zapopan

Puebla, led by manager Ratko Dostanic, visit Oscar Garcia and his Guadalajara side at the Estadio AKRON on Wednesday morning in the Liga MX. You'll find stats supporting our top of under 2.5 goals below, but don't forget to explore 16 other betting markets we're covering too. Each has been designed to deliver as full a picture as possible, with Liga MX performances and head-to-heads included, so that you're able to make the smartest bet choices. Finally, be sure to get the best odds and bet smart.

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

It may be an over exaggeration to say that we expect Oscar Garcia and Ratko Dostanic to got all-out defensive here, but we're certainly not expecting a deluge of goals as Guadalajara and Puebla go head-to-head. The stats belowpoint towards there being under 2.5 goals (i.e. 2 goals of fewer in total), and we're saying that's a good shout here. With best odds of 1.57 available on under 2.5 goals and no obvious match winner in sight, that's the bet we recommend.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Guadalajara are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 52% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.60.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Guadalajara 51%	1.55 4%	-
Draw 28%	4.20 12%	-
Puebla 22%	5.75 5%	-
Guadalajara 1-0 15%	6.00 9%	-
Draw 1-1 12%	8.00 7%	-
Draw 0-0 11%	9.50 19%	-
Guadalajara 2-0 11%	6.50	-
Puebla 1-0 9%	12.00 9%	-
Guadalajara 2-1 9%	8.50 6%	-
Guadalajara 3-0 5%	11.00 8%	-
Puebla 2-1 5%	17.00 11%	-
Guadalajara 3-1 4%	13.00 13%	-
Puebla 2-0 4%	29.00 12%	-
Draw 2-2 3%	21.00 9%	-
Guadalajara 4-0 2%	21.00 19%	-
Guadalajara 3-2 2%	29.00 15%	-
Guadalajara 4-1 1%	26.00 24%	-
Puebla 3-1 1%	41.00 20%	-
Over 2.5 Goals 38%	1.95 15%	-
Under 2.5 Goals 62%	1.85 16%	-
Home 1st Goal 53%	1.36 6%	-
Away 1st Goal 39%	3.50	-
No 1st Goal 8%	9.50 19%	-
BTTS - Yes 42%	2.05 9%	-
BTTS - No 58%	1.70 8%	-
BTTS - Home Win 17%	4.00 11%	-
BTTS - Draw 16%	6.00	-
BTTS - Away Win 8%	12.00 8%	-
Home/draw 78%	1.14	-
Away/draw 49%	2.38 6%	-
Home/away 72%	1.22 2%	-
Over 1.5 Goals 64%	1.29 8%	-
Under 1.5 Goals 36%	3.50 27%	-
Over 3.5 Goals 18%	3.40 21%	-
Under 3.5 Goals 82%	1.30 8%	-
Over 4.5 Goals 7%	7.00 30%	-
Under 4.5 Goals 93%	1.10 4%	-
Over 5.5 Goals 2%	15.00 29%	-
Under 5.5 Goals 98%	1.03 2%	-
Over 0.5 Goals 89%	1.05 3%	-
Under 0.5 Goals 11%	11.00 38%	-
Home DNB 70%	1.20 2%	-
Away DNB 41%	4.33 8%	-
Guadalajara win to nil 34%	2.38 6%	-
Puebla win to nil 14%	9.00 13%	-
Guadalajara / Guadalajara 34%	2.40 8%	-
Guadalajara / Puebla 2%	41.00	-
Guadalajara / Draw 5%	15.00	-
Draw / Guadalajara 20%	4.00	-
Draw / Puebla 7%	11.00	-
Draw / Draw 15%	5.50 16%	-
Puebla / Guadalajara 4%	23.00 12%	-
Puebla / Puebla 8%	10.00	-
Puebla / Draw 5%	17.00 11%	-

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

10 / 20

Clean sheets

10 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Guadalajara	0 - 1	Cruz Azul
Guadalajara	0 - 0	America
Guadalajara	2 - 1	Pachuca
Guadalajara	2 - 1	Tijuana
Guadalajara	1 - 1	Queretaro
Guadalajara	1 - 1	Tigres
Guadalajara	1 - 0	S. Laguna
Guadalajara	1 - 2	Atlas
Guadalajara	0 - 1	A. San Luis
Guadalajara	0 - 0	Pumas UNAM
Guadalajara	3 - 2	Necaxa
Guadalajara	2 - 3	Atlas
Guadalajara	1 - 1	Monterrey
Guadalajara	2 - 0	Leon
Guadalajara	5 - 0	Juarez
Guadalajara	2 - 0	Mazatlan
Guadalajara	0 - 0	Toluca
Guadalajara	0 - 0	America
Guadalajara	1 - 0	Toluca
Guadalajara	2 - 0	Queretaro

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Guadalajara	1 - 1	Mazatlan
A	Guadalajara	1 - 3	Monterrey
H	Guadalajara	0 - 1	Cruz Azul
A	Guadalajara	1 - 1	Juarez
H	Guadalajara	0 - 0	America
A	Guadalajara	1 - 0	Pumas UNAM
A	Guadalajara	1 - 3	A. San Luis
H	Guadalajara	2 - 1	Pachuca
A	Guadalajara	1 - 2	Toluca
H	Guadalajara	2 - 1	Tijuana
H	Guadalajara	1 - 1	Queretaro
A	Guadalajara	1 - 2	Leon
H	Guadalajara	1 - 1	Tigres
A	Guadalajara	2 - 3	Necaxa
H	Guadalajara	1 - 0	S. Laguna
H	Guadalajara	1 - 2	Atlas
H	Guadalajara	0 - 1	A. San Luis
A	Guadalajara	2 - 0	S. Laguna
H	Guadalajara	0 - 0	Pumas UNAM
A	Guadalajara	0 - 1	Puebla

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Leon	1 - 0	Puebla
Juarez	2 - 0	Puebla
Queretaro	2 - 0	Puebla
Pachuca	2 - 1	Puebla
Atlas	3 - 2	Puebla
S. Laguna	0 - 2	Puebla
Cruz Azul	1 - 1	Puebla
Monterrey	1 - 1	Puebla
Tijuana	2 - 1	Puebla
A. San Luis	2 - 0	Puebla
Toluca	5 - 0	Puebla
Tigres	1 - 0	Puebla
Pumas UNAM	1 - 0	Puebla
Mazatlan	1 - 1	Puebla
America	0 - 1	Puebla
Necaxa	4 - 1	Puebla
Tijuana	3 - 1	Puebla
Guadalajara	3 - 2	Puebla
Juarez	4 - 3	Puebla
Leon	2 - 1	Puebla

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Puebla	0 - 1	Leon
H	Puebla	0 - 0	Tigres
A	Puebla	0 - 2	Juarez
H	Puebla	0 - 3	Toluca
H	Puebla	1 - 3	Pumas UNAM
A	Puebla	0 - 2	Queretaro
A	Puebla	1 - 2	Pachuca
H	Puebla	2 - 0	Tijuana
A	Puebla	2 - 3	Atlas
H	Puebla	1 - 2	America
A	Puebla	2 - 0	S. Laguna
H	Puebla	0 - 1	Mazatlan
A	Puebla	1 - 1	Cruz Azul
H	Puebla	1 - 2	A. San Luis
A	Puebla	1 - 1	Monterrey
A	Puebla	1 - 2	Tijuana
A	Puebla	0 - 2	A. San Luis
H	Puebla	1 - 0	Guadalajara
A	Puebla	0 - 5	Toluca
H	Puebla	1 - 2	Cruz Azul

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Guadalajara

Puebla

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

4 / 5

Clean sheets

1 / 5

GUA

PUE

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Guadalajara
Guadalajara	3 - 2
Guadalajara	1 - 0
	2 - 3	Puebla
	0 - 1	Puebla
	1 - 3	Puebla

Puebla

Guadalajara

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

7 / 9

Clean sheets

2 / 9

GUA

PUE

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Puebla
Puebla	1 - 0
	0 - 2	Guadalajara
Puebla	1 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
	0 - 2	Guadalajara
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	2 - 2	Draw

Goal Statistics

Goals have been an issue for Guadalajara of late. It has been 6 Liga MX matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.4 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Wednesday morning against Puebla.

Scoring more than 1 goal looks unlikely for Puebla, with Ratko Dostanic's men having not found the back of the net in 3 consecutive Liga MX games.

	Guadalajara 9th	Puebla 15th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.4 goals	0.8 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 25% 1 35% 2 24% 3 11% 4+ There is a 60% probability that Guadalajara will score no more than 1 goal	0 45% 1 36% 2 14% 3 4+ There is a 81% probability of Puebla scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-21 Guadalajara have scored 21% fewer goals at home than predicted	-8 Puebla’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.3 average goals scored	0.9 average goals scored
	0.7 conceded	2.0 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Liga MX - 2024/2024 season

18%

better

GUA

PUE

view stats

Games scored	25		22
Failed to score	8		10
Scored first	16		13
Goals scored	41		29
Avg. goals scored	1.2		0.9
Avg. shots per game	10		9
Avg. shots per goal	8		10
Conversion rate for	13		11
Avg. XG for	1.2		0.9
KickOff rating		+18%

23%

better

GUA

PUE

view stats

Games conceded	22		26
Clean sheets	11		6
Conceded first	14		18
Goals conceded	37		54
Avg. goals conceded	1.1		1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		12
Avg. shots/goal conceded	8		7
Conversion rate against	13%		14%
Avg. XG against	1.1		1.5
KickOff rating		+23%

Guadalajara v Puebla Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

Guadalajara Liga MX squad statistics 2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
31	9	6	9
J Rangel	R Hernández	R Hernández	Érick Gutiérrez

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
J Rangel GLK	31			3 -
F González MID	29			6 -
F Beltran MID	28	1	1	3 -
R Hernández FWD	28	9	6	4 -
J Castillo DEF	27		2	2 1
Érick Gutiérrez MID	27		1	9 -
A Mozo DEF	26	2	1	3 -
M. Chávez García DEF	23		4	7 -
J Sandoval FWD	23	3	2	2 -
G Sepúlveda DEF	22	2		3 -
C Cowell FWD	22	5	2	1
V Guzmán MID	18	2	2	2 -
Chicharito FWD	17	1	1	1
A. González Alba FWD	16	3	1	1 -
L Mejía DEF	14	1		1 -
O Govea MID	14			1 -
H. Camberos Figueroa MID	13	1	1	-
L Romo MID	12	1	2	1 1
M Tapias DEF	9			1 1
I Brizuela MID	8			1 -
R Ruiz DEF	7			-
A Pulido FWD	7	2		-
T Braams FWD	6	1	1	1 -
M Ortiz DEF	5	1		-
F Barajas MID	5			-
L. Sepúlveda DEF	3			-
E. García Mendoza GLK	1			-
S Zamora MID	1			-
G. García Ortega FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
9	15	6	23
R Hernández	R Hernández	R Hernández	R Hernández

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
R Hernández FWD	9	15	6	23
C Cowell FWD	5	15	2	11
A. González Alba FWD	3	9	1	3
J Sandoval FWD	3	8	2	12
G Sepúlveda DEF	2	3		2
V Guzmán MID	2	6	2	14
A Mozo DEF	2	8	1	7
A Pulido FWD	2	5
L Romo MID	1	8	2	8
H. Camberos Figueroa MID	1	7	1	6
M Ortiz DEF	1	2		1
L Mejía DEF	1	3
Chicharito FWD	1	6	1	6
F Beltran MID	1	7	1	11
T Braams FWD	1	4	1	5
F Barajas MID		1
J Rangel GLK				2
I Brizuela MID		1		1
M Tapias DEF				2
O Govea MID		1		4
F González MID				8
M. Chávez García DEF			4	9
Érick Gutiérrez MID		7	1	10
J Castillo DEF		1	2	7

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1210	87	151
F González	M. Chávez García	Érick Gutiérrez

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
F González MID	1210	72	122
G Sepúlveda DEF	1089	28	68
Érick Gutiérrez MID	1056	74	151
J Castillo DEF	1032	48	95
R Hernández FWD	966	37	128
J Rangel GLK	964	2	21
F Beltran MID	920	41	110
A Mozo DEF	870	51	99
M. Chávez García DEF	588	87	136
L Romo MID	477	20	50
M Tapias DEF	377	14	24
V Guzmán MID	376	8	38
L Mejía DEF	330	13	31
O Govea MID	296	10	22
J Sandoval FWD	267	27	57
C Cowell FWD	235	21	69
R Ruiz DEF	206	7	13
H. Camberos Figueroa MID	192	22	59
Chicharito FWD	128	7	28
M Ortiz DEF	120	4	15
A. González Alba FWD	108	7	22
A Pulido FWD	87	1	10
I Brizuela MID	67	1	10
T Braams FWD	47	5	15
F Barajas MID	38		5
E. García Mendoza GLK	24
L. Sepúlveda DEF	13		1
S Zamora MID	4
G. García Ortega FWD	2

Puebla Liga MX squad statistics 2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
28	5	4	8
E Orona	E Gómez	B Angulo	B Angulo

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
E Orona DEF	31	1		4 -
B Angulo DEF	29		4	6 2
G Ferrareis DEF	27	2	1	8 -
E Gularte DEF	27	1		6 1
R Castillo MID	26	1	3	6 -
P González MID	26	1		4 -
M Jiménez GLK	24			3 -
F Waller MID	24	2	2	7 1
J Martinez DEF	23			2 -
E Gómez FWD	23	5	1	1 -
A Herrera MID	22			2 -
L Quiñones FWD	18	4	1	5 1
F Moyano MID	12			3 -
J Rivas DEF	11		1	2 -
J Rodríguez DEF	11			2 -
Ángel Robles FWD	10			-
R Sánchez FWD	10	4		-
J Gonzalez FWD	9			-
S Olmedo DEF	8			2 1
J. Fedorco DEF	8			2 -
B Garnica FWD	7			-
L García FWD	7			-
J Rodríguez GLK	4			-
L Cavallini FWD	4	4		1 -
J González GLK	3			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
5	20	4	20
E Gómez	E Gómez	B Angulo	R Castillo

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
E Gómez FWD	5	20	1	9
L Cavallini FWD	4	7		5
R Sánchez FWD	4	10		1
L Quiñones FWD	4	10	1	12
G Ferrareis DEF	2	8	1	10
F Waller MID	2	9	2	15
E Orona DEF	1	5		2
E Gularte DEF	1	3		7
R Castillo MID	1	10	3	20
P González MID	1	2		3
L García FWD				2
B Garnica FWD		1		1
J Gonzalez FWD				5
F Moyano MID		1		2
Ángel Robles FWD		3		1
J Rodríguez DEF				1
J Rivas DEF			1	2
B Angulo DEF		4	4	14
A Herrera MID		3		6
J Martinez DEF		1		1
M Jiménez GLK				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
988	56	142
B Angulo	B Angulo	B Angulo

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
B Angulo DEF	988	56	142
E Orona DEF	940	49	114
E Gularte DEF	799	38	107
M Jiménez GLK	593		7
G Ferrareis DEF	566	35	85
L Quiñones FWD	559	26	98
F Waller MID	547	45	93
P González MID	535	33	47
F Moyano MID	486	18	31
R Castillo MID	438	21	49
J Martinez DEF	377	33	71
A Herrera MID	327	16	35
E Gómez FWD	326	9	90
J Rivas DEF	245	39	49
S Olmedo DEF	205	5	13
J. Fedorco DEF	183	13	32
R Sánchez FWD	153	11	46
J Rodríguez GLK	141
J Rodríguez DEF	113	12	21
J González GLK	83
L Cavallini FWD	69	2	23
B Garnica FWD	57	7	21
Ángel Robles FWD	53	3	12
J Gonzalez FWD	44	2	21
L García FWD	19	3	6

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Mon 21st Apr, 02:05

Guadalajara v Puebla : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Guadalajara v Puebla Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

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