V-Varen Nagasaki's team badge Sagan Tosu's team badge

V-Varen Nagasaki v Sagan Tosu : J2-League match betting preview, prediction and odds

transcosmos Stadium Nagasaki, Isahaya

Takahiro Shimotaira's V-Varen Nagasaki side will have home backing in the J2-League on Sunday morning, as Akio Kogiku's Sagan Tosu visit the transcosmos Stadium Nagasaki. Analysing both sides' last 20 J2-League matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the betting market, to generate our match predictions. All the statistics, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside the best odds.

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V-Varen Nagasaki's next match is v Iwaki at 11:00 on Friday 25th April
Sagan Tosu's next match is v Montedio at 11:00 on Friday 25th April
The last Japanese J2-League meeting between V-V Nagasaki and Sagan Tosu was on Sunday 13th April 2025
Japanese J2-League
April 13th 2025
V-V Nagasaki 0
2 Sagan Tosu
 
31' H. Yamada
73' H. Yamada
 
VVN
SAG
Shots On
2
2
Shots Off
5
5
Corners
6
2
Possession
62%
38%
Fouls
9
12
Yellow/red cards
3/0
2/0
 
V-V NagasakiSagan Tosu
 
M. Goto
M. Sekiguchi
C. Bendini Giusti (I. Arai 61')
K. Kushibiki
K. Takahata (S. Yoneda 76')
T. Nagura (J. Delgado Lloria 61')
M. Sousa de Jesus
R. Yamada (M. Kato 50')
A. Masuyama (S. Aoki 76')
M. de Almeida Santos Matos
T. Matsumoto
R. Izumori
T. Inoue
R. Morishita
S. Ogawa
(S. Hino 76') V. Slivka
K. Nishiya
(Y. Imazu 80') H. Arai
(N. Matsumoto 76') T. Sakurai
(S. Shinkawa 80') football iconfootball iconH. Yamada
(M. Uehara 64') E. Matsuda
J. Nishikawa

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither V-V Nagasaki or Sagan Tosu are in a rich vein of form that would have us feeling confident in tipping a match winner, so we've opted for over 1.5 goals. The stats tell us that both have form in this market, both individually and when facing one another head-to-head. We're predicting there's a 79% chance of 2 goals or more.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
V-V Nagasaki
51%
5/6
2%
-
Draw
23%
27/10
3%
-
Sagan Tosu
25%
29/10
3%
-
Draw 1-1
11%
6/1-
V-V Nagasaki 2-1
10%
15/2-
V-V Nagasaki 1-0
9%
7/1-
V-V Nagasaki 2-0
8%
17/2-
Sagan Tosu 2-1
6%
12/1-
Sagan Tosu 1-0
6%
12/1-
V-V Nagasaki 3-1
6%
14/1-
Draw 2-2
6%
14/1-
Draw 0-0
5%
11/1-
V-V Nagasaki 3-0
5%
14/1-
Sagan Tosu 2-0
4%
20/1-
V-V Nagasaki 3-2
3%
22/1-
V-V Nagasaki 4-1
3%
28/1-
Sagan Tosu 3-1
2%
28/1-
Sagan Tosu 3-2
2%
33/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
4/5-
Under 2.5 Goals
44%
1/1-
Home 1st Goal
53%
8/15-
Away 1st Goal
44%
8/5-
No 1st Goal
3%
11/1-
BTTS - Yes
57%
8/11-
BTTS - No
43%
1/1-
BTTS - Home Win
26%
11/4-
BTTS - Draw
18%
15/4-
BTTS - Away Win
13%
6/1-
Home/draw
75%
1/4
2%
-
Away/draw
49%
10/11
4%
-
Home/away
77%
2/7
3%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
1/4-
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
11/4-
Over 3.5 Goals
34%
2/1-
Under 3.5 Goals
66%
4/11-
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
9/2-
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
1/7-
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
10/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1/20-
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/25-
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
12/1
8%
-
Home DNB
68%
4/11-
Away DNB
41%
2/1-
V-V Nagasaki win to nil
26%
12/5-
Sagan Tosu win to nil
12%
6/1-
V-V Nagasaki / V-V Nagasaki
28%
2/1-
V-V Nagasaki / Sagan Tosu
2%
33/1-
V-V Nagasaki / Draw
6%
12/1-
Draw / V-V Nagasaki
18%
15/4-
Draw / Sagan Tosu
10%
15/2-
Draw / Draw
14%
5/1-
Sagan Tosu / V-V Nagasaki
4%
20/1-
Sagan Tosu / Sagan Tosu
13%
11/2-
Sagan Tosu / Draw
6%
14/1-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
V-V Nagasaki 7TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
46
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
14
D
3
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
V-V Nagasaki5 - 1Blaublitz
V-V Nagasaki1 - 0Tokushima
V-V Nagasaki1 - 0Jubilo Iwata
V-V Nagasaki3 - 2Roasso
V-V Nagasaki1 - 4Vegalta
V-V Nagasaki5 - 2Ehime
V-V Nagasaki4 - 1Kagoshima
V-V Nagasaki4 - 1Oita Trinita
V-V Nagasaki2 - 0TK Gunma
V-V Nagasaki1 - 1Tochigi
V-V Nagasaki1 - 2Renofa
V-V Nagasaki1 - 2Mito
V-V Nagasaki2 - 0Roasso
V-V Nagasaki3 - 1Iwaki
V-V Nagasaki2 - 0Fujieda MYFC
V-V Nagasaki1 - 0JEF United
V-V Nagasaki0 - 0Fagiano
V-V Nagasaki2 - 2Blaublitz
V-V Nagasaki1 - 0Yokohama
V-V Nagasaki6 - 1Tokushima
Goals: Scored
41
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
11
D
4
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AV-V Nagasaki1 - 4Imabari
AV-V Nagasaki2 - 3Fujieda MYFC
HV-V Nagasaki5 - 1Blaublitz
HV-V Nagasaki1 - 0Tokushima
AV-V Nagasaki1 - 1Vegalta
HV-V Nagasaki1 - 0Jubilo Iwata
AV-V Nagasaki2 - 2Renofa
HV-V Nagasaki3 - 2Roasso
HV-V Nagasaki1 - 4Vegalta
HV-V Nagasaki5 - 2Ehime
AV-V Nagasaki2 - 1JEF United
HV-V Nagasaki4 - 1Kagoshima
AV-V Nagasaki2 - 1Blaublitz
HV-V Nagasaki4 - 1Oita Trinita
AV-V Nagasaki0 - 1Fagiano
HV-V Nagasaki2 - 0TK Gunma
AV-V Nagasaki2 - 0Iwaki
AV-V Nagasaki1 - 1Shimizu
HV-V Nagasaki1 - 1Tochigi
HV-V Nagasaki1 - 2Renofa
Sagan Tosu 8TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
37
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
4
D
3
Lost
13
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Roasso3 - 1Sagan Tosu
Iwaki1 - 1Sagan Tosu
Jubilo Iwata1 - 0Sagan Tosu
Nagoya0 - 3Sagan Tosu
Kyoto Sanga2 - 0Sagan Tosu
Tokyo1 - 1Sagan Tosu
Tokyo Verdy2 - 0Sagan Tosu
Kawasaki3 - 2Sagan Tosu
Vissel Kobe2 - 0Sagan Tosu
Sapporo5 - 3Sagan Tosu
Kashima3 - 0Sagan Tosu
Albirex3 - 4Sagan Tosu
Yokohama FM0 - 1Sagan Tosu
Cerezo1 - 0Sagan Tosu
Avispa2 - 0Sagan Tosu
Jubilo Iwata0 - 3Sagan Tosu
Shonan2 - 1Sagan Tosu
Kashiwa1 - 1Sagan Tosu
Gamba Osaka2 - 1Sagan Tosu
Urawa Reds3 - 0Sagan Tosu
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
D
3
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HSagan Tosu1 - 0Fujieda MYFC
ASagan Tosu1 - 3Roasso
HSagan Tosu1 - 0Kataller Toyama
HSagan Tosu1 - 0Omiya Ardija
ASagan Tosu1 - 1Iwaki
HSagan Tosu1 - 4Imabari
ASagan Tosu0 - 1Jubilo Iwata
HSagan Tosu0 - 1Vegalta
HSagan Tosu3 - 0Jubilo Iwata
ASagan Tosu3 - 0Nagoya
HSagan Tosu1 - 2Yokohama FM
HSagan Tosu2 - 1Machida
ASagan Tosu0 - 2Kyoto Sanga
ASagan Tosu1 - 1Tokyo
HSagan Tosu0 - 0Avispa
ASagan Tosu0 - 2Tokyo Verdy
ASagan Tosu2 - 3Kawasaki
HSagan Tosu1 - 2Shonan
ASagan Tosu0 - 2Vissel Kobe
ASagan Tosu3 - 5Sapporo
Goal Statistics

V-Varen Nagasaki have been steady in front of goal of late, finding the net in 14 consecutive J2-League games. Their PG of 1.8 against Sagan Tosu on Sunday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Goals have been an issue for Sagan Tosu of late. It has been 8 J2-League matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.2 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Sunday morning against V-Varen Nagasaki.

V-V Nagasaki 7th Sagan Tosu 8th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
10%
There is a 83% probability that V-V Nagasaki will score 1 or more goals
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that Sagan Tosu will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+35
V-V Nagasaki have scored 35% more goals at home than predicted
-2
Sagan Tosu’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.3
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
J2-League - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/289387/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
V-V Nagasaki
PG (predicted goals)
Sagan Tosu
1.8
1.2
Attack rating
45%
better
VVN
SAG
view stats
Games scored8
6
Failed to score0
2
Scored first4
4
Goals scored16
6
Avg. goals scored2
0.8
Avg. shots per game11
6
Avg. shots per goal5
9
Conversion rate for19
12
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+45%
Defence rating
VVN
SAG
17%
better
view stats
Games conceded6
5
Clean sheets2
3
Conceded first4
4
Goals conceded13
10
Avg. goals conceded1.6
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded7
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded4
6
Conversion rate against22%
16%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+17%

V-V Nagasaki v Sagan Tosu J2-League lLine ups will show here when available.

V-V Nagasaki J2-League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
8522
M GotoM JesusM GuilhermeA Masuyama
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T. Matsumoto
-
M Goto GLK8
1
-
M Sekiguchi DEF811
-
K Kushibiki DEF4
-
Eduardo DEF81
1
-
K Takahata DEF7
-
R Yamada MID8
1
-
A Masuyama MID821
2
-
T Nagura MID6
-
M Jesus MID851
1
-
M Guilherme FWD822
-
Subs
G Harada GLK
-
S Yoneda DEF712
1
-
I Arai DEF
-
H Teruyama DEF4
1
-
S. Aoki MID41
-
M Kato MID41
-
T Sawada MID4
1
-
J Delgado FWD31
-
R Yamasaki FWD5
-
Sagan Tosu J2-League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
8112
R MorishitaT. InoueF. KitajimaR Morishita
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R. Izumori GLK4
-
T. Inoue DEF81
1
-
R Morishita DEF8
2
-
S Ogawa DEF8
-
E Matsuda MID4
-
K. Nishiya MID8
-
T Sakurai MID8
-
H Arai MID8
-
J Nishikawa MID61
1
-
V Slivka MID81
1
-
H Yamada FWD5
-
Subs
K Uchiyama GLK
-
Y Imazu DEF1
-
S Nagasawa DEF2
-
F. Kitajima DEF21
-
N Matsumoto MID2
-
S Hino MID41
-
Y Horigome MID8
-
S. Shinkawa MID7
-
M Uehara MID5
-
Japanese J2-League match betting previews, predictions and odds
Fujieda MYFC v Roasso
Fri 25th Apr, 11:00
Omiya Ardija v Sapporo
Fri 25th Apr, 11:00
JEF United v Blaublitz
Fri 25th Apr, 11:00
Sagan Tosu v Montedio
Fri 25th Apr, 11:00
Mito v Ventforet
Fri 25th Apr, 11:00
Jubilo Iwata v Oita Trinita
Fri 25th Apr, 11:00
V-V Nagasaki v Iwaki
Fri 25th Apr, 11:00
Vegalta v Ehime
Fri 25th Apr, 11:00
Tokushima v Kataller Toyama
Sat 26th Apr, 06:00
Renofa v Imabari
Sat 26th Apr, 06:00
Blaublitz v Tokushima
Tue 29th Apr, 06:00
Roasso v JEF United
Tue 29th Apr, 06:00
Iwaki v Omiya Ardija
Tue 29th Apr, 06:00
Oita Trinita v Sagan Tosu
Tue 29th Apr, 06:00
Ventforet v Vegalta
Tue 29th Apr, 06:00
Sapporo v V-V Nagasaki
Tue 29th Apr, 06:00
Kataller Toyama v Montedio
Tue 29th Apr, 06:00
Mito v Imabari
Tue 29th Apr, 06:00
Ehime v Fujieda MYFC
Tue 29th Apr, 07:00
Jubilo Iwata v Renofa
Tue 29th Apr, 07:00
Iwaki v Blaublitz
Sat 3rd May, 05:00
Vegalta v Renofa
Sat 3rd May, 05:00
Ventforet v Tokushima
Sat 3rd May, 05:30
Omiya Ardija v Kataller Toyama
Sat 3rd May, 06:00
Imabari v Jubilo Iwata
Sat 3rd May, 06:00
Montedio v Sapporo
Sat 3rd May, 06:00
Fujieda MYFC v Mito
Sat 3rd May, 06:00
Oita Trinita v Roasso
Sat 3rd May, 06:00
Sagan Tosu v JEF United
Sat 3rd May, 06:00
V-V Nagasaki v Ehime
Sat 3rd May, 08:00
Vegalta v Fujieda MYFC
Tue 6th May, 05:00
Kataller Toyama v V-V Nagasaki
Tue 6th May, 05:55
Montedio v Oita Trinita
Tue 6th May, 06:00
Sapporo v Jubilo Iwata
Tue 6th May, 06:00
Renofa v Mito
Tue 6th May, 06:00
Ehime v Iwaki
Tue 6th May, 07:00
Blaublitz v Ventforet
Tue 6th May, 07:00
Roasso v Imabari
Tue 6th May, 07:00
Tokushima v Sagan Tosu
Tue 6th May, 07:50
JEF United v Omiya Ardija
Tue 6th May, 08:00