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Tokushima Vortis v Montedio Yamagata : J2-League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Pocari Sweat Stadium, Naruto

Kosaku Masuda's Tokushima Vortis side enjoy home advantage in the J2-League on Sunday morning, as Susumu Watanabe's Montedio Yamagata arrive at the Pocari Sweat Stadium. Below we've got predictions for all the biggest betting markets, supporting statistics including head to heads (H2Hs), and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers. Access it all via the tabs below.

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Tokushima Vortis's next match is v Tochigi at 06:00 on Sunday 12th May
Montedio Yamagata's next match is v Mito at 06:00 on Sunday 12th May

The last Japanese J2-League meeting between Tokushima and Montedio was on Sunday 28th April 2024

Japanese J2-League

April 28th 2024

Tokushima 2	1 Montedio

K. Hashimoto 74'	45' S. Kokubu
D. Watari 90'

	TOK MON
Shots On	6 3
Shots Off	10 1
Corners	13 2
Possession	50% 50%
Fouls	8 9
Yellow/red cards	2/0 2/0

Tokushima	Montedio

J. Suárez García T. Tamukai H. Aoki (E. Ferreira de Souza 67') K. Hashimoto (S.Takada 85') K. Ferráz Mafaldo K. Mori K. Sugimori (N. Matsumoto 80') S. Kodama R. Hyon N. Browne (T. Sugimoto 80') Y. Kakitani (T. Alves Sales 67')	M. Goto Y. Kumamoto K. Nishimura A. Kawai T. Yoshida (C. Kato 80') Y. Konishi (K. Sakamoto 63') R. Kida S. Minami (R. Arita 74') S. Kokubu (N. Sugiyama 65') Z. Issaka (D. Watari 80') J. Takahashi

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We don't believe there is a clear favourite to to get the win in this one, but what is clear is that the odds are pointing towards it'll have 3 goals or less. Our statistical analysis draws the same conclusion. Tokushima and Montedio have taken part in a lot of under 3.5 goal games recently, and key performance stats point towards those records being extended. We have confidence in predicting under 3.5 goals on Sunday morning, and the bookies have it priced at 1.25.

An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 47% chance of Montedio coming away with a win.

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Tokushima 27%	9/4 12%	2/1
Draw 26%	11/5	21/10 3%
Montedio 47%	5/4 2%	23/20 2%
Draw 1-1 12%	5/1 8%	5/1
Montedio 1-0 11%	6/1 7%	11/2
Montedio 2-1 9%	17/2	15/2
Montedio 2-0 9%	9/1 9%	8/1
Tokushima 1-0 8%	8/1 6%	7/1
Draw 0-0 7%	15/2	13/2 6%
Tokushima 2-1 7%	11/1 9%	9/1
Draw 2-2 5%	14/1	12/1
Montedio 3-1 5%	18/1 10%	14/1
Montedio 3-0 4%	20/1 9%	14/1
Tokushima 2-0 4%	14/1	12/1
Montedio 3-2 3%	33/1	20/1
Tokushima 3-1 2%	28/1 12%	18/1
Tokushima 3-2 2%	40/1 21%	25/1
Montedio 4-1 2%	40/1	25/1
Over 2.5 Goals 48%	23/20 2%	-
Under 2.5 Goals 52%	4/6 2%	-
Home 1st Goal 44%	11/8 6%	-
Away 1st Goal 52%	8/11 4%	-
No 1st Goal 5%	15/2	-
BTTS - Yes 52%	5/6	17/20 3%
BTTS - No 48%	5/6	5/6
BTTS - Home Win 13%	6/1 8%	5/1
BTTS - Draw 18%	7/2	17/5 2%
BTTS - Away Win 21%	4/1	7/2
Home/draw 53%	8/13 3%	13/20
Away/draw 73%	1/3 5%	1/3
Home/away 74%	4/11	1/3 2%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%	4/11	-
Under 1.5 Goals 27%	2/1	-
Over 3.5 Goals 26%	11/4	-
Under 3.5 Goals 74%	1/4	-
Over 4.5 Goals 12%	8/1 13%	-
Under 4.5 Goals 88%	1/14 1%	-
Over 5.5 Goals 5%	18/1	-
Under 5.5 Goals 95%	1/50	-
Over 0.5 Goals 93%	1/14	-
Under 0.5 Goals 7%	8/1 6%	-
Home DNB 45%	5/4 7%	5/4
Away DNB 65%	4/7 6%	4/7
Tokushima win to nil 14%	9/2 10%	-
Montedio win to nil 26%	11/4	-
Tokushima / Tokushima 15%	9/2 10%	4/1
Tokushima / Montedio 3%	25/1 10%	20/1
Tokushima / Draw 6%	14/1	12/1
Draw / Tokushima 12%	6/1 8%	11/2
Draw / Montedio 15%	9/2	4/1
Draw / Draw 17%	15/4	7/2 2%
Montedio / Tokushima 3%	33/1 17%	25/1
Montedio / Montedio 22%	11/4 6%	5/2
Montedio / Draw 6%	14/1	11/1 8%

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM
Tokushima	0 - 1	JEF United
Tokushima	0 - 1	TK Gunma
Tokushima	1 - 2	Renofa
Tokushima	1 - 2	Blaublitz
Tokushima	1 - 5	Ventforet
Tokushima	0 - 0	Fujieda MYFC
Tokushima	0 - 3	Jubilo Iwata
Tokushima	0 - 1	Roasso
Tokushima	0 - 1	Omiya Ardija
Tokushima	2 - 0	Iwaki
Tokushima	2 - 0	Renofa
Tokushima	3 - 3	JEF United
Tokushima	1 - 2	Ventforet
Tokushima	1 - 1	Fagiano
Tokushima	0 - 0	TK Gunma
Tokushima	1 - 1	Montedio
Tokushima	1 - 0	Tochigi
Tokushima	2 - 1	Machida
Tokushima	2 - 0	Kanazawa
Tokushima	1 - 1	Shimizu

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM
A	Tokushima	1 - 0	Fujieda MYFC
A	Tokushima	1 - 6	V-V Nagasaki
H	Tokushima	0 - 1	JEF United
A	Tokushima	1 - 1	Shimizu
H	Tokushima	0 - 1	TK Gunma
A	Tokushima	0 - 0	Vegalta
H	Tokushima	1 - 2	Renofa
A	Tokushima	2 - 1	Mito
H	Tokushima	1 - 2	Blaublitz
A	Tokushima	1 - 2	Kagoshima
H	Tokushima	1 - 5	Ventforet
A	Tokushima	1 - 1	Blaublitz
H	Tokushima	0 - 0	Fujieda MYFC
A	Tokushima	2 - 1	V-V Nagasaki
H	Tokushima	0 - 3	Jubilo Iwata
A	Tokushima	1 - 0	Montedio
H	Tokushima	0 - 1	Roasso
H	Tokushima	0 - 1	Omiya Ardija
A	Tokushima	3 - 3	Oita Trinita
H	Tokushima	2 - 0	Iwaki

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM
Vegalta	2 - 0	Montedio
V-V Nagasaki	2 - 0	Montedio
Iwaki	0 - 0	Montedio
Yokohama	2 - 0	Montedio
Tochigi	1 - 3	Montedio
JEF United	2 - 3	Montedio
Shimizu	0 - 0	Montedio
Iwaki	1 - 3	Montedio
Kanazawa	0 - 1	Montedio
Blaublitz	1 - 1	Montedio
Shimizu	3 - 0	Montedio
Machida	5 - 0	Montedio
Fujieda MYFC	1 - 2	Montedio
Oita Trinita	0 - 1	Montedio
Mito	3 - 1	Montedio
Renofa	1 - 0	Montedio
Tokushima	1 - 1	Montedio
Roasso	0 - 3	Montedio
Vegalta	2 - 1	Montedio
Fagiano	2 - 0	Montedio

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM
H	Montedio	2 - 1	Ehime
A	Montedio	0 - 2	Vegalta
H	Montedio	2 - 0	Kagoshima
A	Montedio	0 - 2	V-V Nagasaki
H	Montedio	2 - 0	Shimizu
A	Montedio	0 - 0	Iwaki
H	Montedio	0 - 1	Fujieda MYFC
H	Montedio	0 - 1	Ventforet
A	Montedio	0 - 2	Yokohama
A	Montedio	3 - 1	Tochigi
A	Montedio	3 - 2	JEF United
A	Montedio	0 - 0	Shimizu
H	Montedio	2 - 1	Ventforet
A	Montedio	3 - 1	Iwaki
H	Montedio	2 - 1	TK Gunma
A	Montedio	1 - 0	Kanazawa
H	Montedio	2 - 0	Tochigi
H	Montedio	0 - 1	Tokushima
A	Montedio	1 - 1	Blaublitz
H	Montedio	2 - 0	Fagiano

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Tokushima

Montedio

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

5 / 6

4 / 6

Clean sheets

2 / 6

1 / 6

TOK

MON

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Tokushima
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	0 - 1	Montedio
Tokushima	1 - 0
Tokushima	1 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Tokushima	5 - 1

Tokushima

Montedio

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

9 / 11

7 / 11

Clean sheets

4 / 11

2 / 11

TOK

MON

FIXTURE HISTORY
	0 - 1	Tokushima
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Montedio	3 - 0
	0 - 1	Montedio
	0 - 1	Tokushima
Tokushima	1 - 0
Tokushima	1 - 0
Montedio	3 - 1
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Tokushima	5 - 1
Montedio	3 - 2

Goal Statistics

Goals have been a problem for Tokushima Vortis of late. It has been 7 J2-League matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.1 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Sunday morning against Montedio Yamagata.

	Tokushima 15th	Montedio 13th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.1 goals	1.5 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 34% 1 37% 2 20% 3 4+ There is a 71% probability that Tokushima will score no more than 1 goal	0 22% 1 33% 2 25% 3 13% 4+ There is a 78% probability that Montedio will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-23 Tokushima have scored 23% fewer goals at home than predicted	-20 Montedio have scored 20% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.0 average goals scored	1.0 average goals scored
	1.3 conceded	1.5 conceded

Statistics J2-League - 2024/2024 Season

12%

better

TOK

MON

view stats

Games scored	11		7
Failed to score	4		8
Scored first	6		4
Goals scored	14		15
Avg. goals scored	0.9		1
Avg. shots per game	10		9
Avg. shots per goal	11		9
Conversion rate	9%		11%
KickOff rating		+12%

better

TOK

MON

view stats

Games conceded	11		12
Clean sheets	4		3
Conceded first	7		10
Goals conceded	23		19
Avg. goals conceded	1.5		1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded	11		10
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		8
Conversion rate	14%		12%
KickOff rating		+1%

Tokushima v Montedio J2-League lLine ups will show here when available.

Tokushima J2-League squad statistics 2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
14	5	1	4
J Suárez	D Watari	Kaique	Elsinho

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
J Suárez GLK	14			2 -
T Tamukai DEF	6			-
Kaique DEF	11		1	-
K Mori DEF	14			-
H Aoki DEF	3			-
K Sugimori MID	10			1 -
H Rio MID	11			-
S Kodama MID	11			2 -
K Hashimoto MID	11	1	1	1 -
Y Kakitani FWD	13			1 -
N Browne FWD	11	1	1	1 -
Subs
H Tanaka GLK				-
Elsinho DEF	11			4 -
T Sugimoto MID	11	1	1	1 -
S Takada MID	13		1	1 -
T Alves FWD	8			-
A Tanahashi FWD	6	2		-
D Watari FWD	13	5		2 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
5	0	1	0
D Watari		Kaique

Line-up	goals	Assists
N Browne FWD	1	1
K Hashimoto MID	1	1
Kaique DEF		1
Subs
D Watari FWD	5
A Tanahashi FWD	2
T Sugimoto MID	1	1
S Takada MID		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
0	0	0

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won

Montedio J2-League squad statistics 2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
14	4	3	3
M Goto	J Takahashi	Z Issaka	T Yoshida

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
M Goto GLK	14			-
A Kawai DEF	11		1	2 -
Y Kumamoto DEF	12		1	1 -
K Nishimura DEF	14		1	2 -
T Yoshida DEF	11			3 -
Y Konishi MID	7			-
S Minami MID	14			2 -
S Kokubu MID	10	1		-
Z Issaka FWD	13	3	3	1 1
J Takahashi FWD	14	4	2	1 -
R Kida FWD	14	1		-
Subs
K Hasegawa GLK				-
K Sakamoto DEF	14	1	1	-
S Kikuchi DEF	1			-
C Kato MID	11			1 -
N Matsumoto MID	7			-
N Sugiyama MID	11	1		-
R Arita FWD	8	1		1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
4	0	3	0
J Takahashi		Z Issaka

Line-up	goals	Assists
J Takahashi FWD	4	2
Z Issaka FWD	3	3
S Kokubu MID	1
R Kida FWD	1
A Kawai DEF		1
Y Kumamoto DEF		1
K Nishimura DEF		1
Subs
K Sakamoto DEF	1	1
N Sugiyama MID	1
R Arita FWD	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
0	0	0

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won

Japanese J2-League match betting previews, predictions and odds

Tokushima Vortis v Montedio Yamagata : J2-League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tokushima v Montedio J2-League lLine ups will show here when available.

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