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Sagan Tosu v Kataller Toyama : J2-League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 23rd Mar, 05:00 BST, Ekimae Real Estate Stadium (Tosu), Tosu

Kataller Toyama, led by manager Michiharu Otagiri, visit Akio Kogiku and his Sagan Tosu side at the Ekimae Real Estate Stadium (Tosu) on Sunday morning in the J2-League. We have custom-designed statistics for the biggest betting markets, from from under 0.5 goals to over 5.5, including form and historical head to head (H2H) data. Predictions are calculated from these, and the odds come directly from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

It's our view that there's not a clear favourite to to get the win in this one, but does appear clear is that the odds are pointing towards it'll have 3 goals or less. Our statistical analysis draws the same conclusion. Sagan Tosu and Kataller Toyama have taken part in a host of under 3.5 goal games recently, and key performance statistics point towards an extension of that record. We're confidently predicting under 3.5 goals on Sunday morning, and the bookies have it priced at 1.22.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Sagan Tosu are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 42% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.25.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Sagan Tosu
42%
5/45/4
Draw
27%
11/521/10
Kataller Toyama
31%
11/519/10
Draw 1-1
13%
5/15/1
Sagan Tosu 1-0
11%
6/111/2
Kataller Toyama 1-0
9%
8/1
6%
13/2
Sagan Tosu 2-1
9%
17/2
5%
15/2
Draw 0-0
8%
15/2
13%
13/2
Sagan Tosu 2-0
8%
9/117/2
Kataller Toyama 2-1
7%
11/19/1
Kataller Toyama 2-0
5%
14/111/1
Draw 2-2
5%
14/1
12%
12/1
Sagan Tosu 3-1
4%
18/1
10%
14/1
Sagan Tosu 3-0
3%
20/116/1
Kataller Toyama 3-1
3%
28/118/1
Sagan Tosu 3-2
2%
33/122/1
Kataller Toyama 3-0
2%
33/122/1
Kataller Toyama 3-2
2%
40/125/1
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
23/20
2%
11/10
Under 2.5 Goals
54%
4/6
2%
8/13
Home 1st Goal
49%
8/11
4%
-
Away 1st Goal
45%
11/8-
No 1st Goal
5%
15/2
13%
-
BTTS - Yes
51%
5/6
4%
10/11
BTTS - No
49%
5/6
2%
4/5
BTTS - Home Win
18%
4/1
9%
19/5
BTTS - Draw
19%
7/217/5
BTTS - Away Win
14%
6/15/1
Home/draw
69%
4/117/20
Away/draw
58%
8/13
3%
4/7
Home/away
73%
4/111/3
Over 1.5 Goals
71%
4/11
3%
4/11
Under 1.5 Goals
29%
2/1
9%
7/4
Over 3.5 Goals
24%
3/113/5
Under 3.5 Goals
76%
2/92/9
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
8/1
10%
6/1
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
1/14
1%
1/18
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
18/1
10%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/50
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/14
1%
1/16
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
8/1
20%
6/1
Home DNB
60%
4/7
3%
8/13
Away DNB
50%
5/4
2%
23/20
Sagan Tosu win to nil
24%
11/4-
Kataller Toyama win to nil
17%
9/2
10%
-
Sagan Tosu / Sagan Tosu
22%
11/4
6%
27/10
Sagan Tosu / Kataller Toyama
3%
33/125/1
Sagan Tosu / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Draw / Sagan Tosu
15%
9/217/4
Draw / Kataller Toyama
12%
6/1
8%
11/2
Draw / Draw
18%
15/4
6%
17/5
Kataller Toyama / Sagan Tosu
3%
25/1
10%
20/1
Kataller Toyama / Kataller Toyama
16%
9/2
10%
19/5
Kataller Toyama / Draw
6%
14/112/1
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Win / draw / win form
Sagan Tosu 17TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
6
D
3
Lost
11
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Sagan Tosu1 - 0Omiya Ardija
Sagan Tosu1 - 4Imabari
Sagan Tosu0 - 1Vegalta
Sagan Tosu3 - 0Jubilo Iwata
Sagan Tosu1 - 2Yokohama FM
Sagan Tosu2 - 1Machida
Sagan Tosu0 - 0Avispa
Sagan Tosu1 - 2Shonan
Sagan Tosu1 - 1Urawa Reds
Sagan Tosu1 - 4Hiroshima
Sagan Tosu0 - 2Gamba Osaka
Sagan Tosu1 - 4Kashiwa
Sagan Tosu3 - 0Kyoto Sanga
Sagan Tosu0 - 1Tokyo
Sagan Tosu0 - 2Nagoya
Sagan Tosu5 - 2Kawasaki
Sagan Tosu0 - 2Tokyo Verdy
Sagan Tosu4 - 2Kashima
Sagan Tosu0 - 0Vissel Kobe
Sagan Tosu0 - 2Cerezo
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
4
D
4
Lost
12
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HSagan Tosu1 - 0Omiya Ardija
ASagan Tosu1 - 1Iwaki
HSagan Tosu1 - 4Imabari
ASagan Tosu0 - 1Jubilo Iwata
HSagan Tosu0 - 1Vegalta
HSagan Tosu3 - 0Jubilo Iwata
ASagan Tosu3 - 0Nagoya
HSagan Tosu1 - 2Yokohama FM
HSagan Tosu2 - 1Machida
ASagan Tosu0 - 2Kyoto Sanga
ASagan Tosu1 - 1Tokyo
HSagan Tosu0 - 0Avispa
ASagan Tosu0 - 2Tokyo Verdy
ASagan Tosu2 - 3Kawasaki
HSagan Tosu1 - 2Shonan
ASagan Tosu0 - 2Vissel Kobe
ASagan Tosu3 - 5Sapporo
HSagan Tosu1 - 1Urawa Reds
ASagan Tosu0 - 3Kashima
HSagan Tosu1 - 4Hiroshima
Kataller Toyama 4TH
3 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
1
Conceded
2
Games: Scored
1 / 3
Conceded
1 / 3
Clean sheets
2 / 3
Failed to score
2 / 3
Won
1
Draw
1
Lost
1
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Imabari0 - 0Kataller Toyama
JEF United2 - 0Kataller Toyama
Ehime0 - 1Kataller Toyama
Goals: Scored
6
Conceded
3
Games: Scored
3 / 5
Conceded
2 / 5
Clean sheets
3 / 5
Failed to score
2 / 5
Won
3
D
1
L
1
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AKataller Toyama0 - 0Imabari
HKataller Toyama3 - 1Jubilo Iwata
HKataller Toyama2 - 0Ventforet
AKataller Toyama0 - 2JEF United
AKataller Toyama1 - 0Ehime
Goal Statistics

Goals have been difficult to come by for Sagan Tosu of late. It has been 5 J2-League games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.3 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Sunday morning against Kataller Toyama.

Sagan Tosu 17th Kataller Toyama 4th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 61% probability that Sagan Tosu will score no more than 1 goal
0
32%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 68% probability that Kataller Toyama will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-7
Sagan Tosu’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
=0
Kataller Toyama’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.2
average goals scored
0.3
average goals scored
1.6
conceded
0.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
J2-League - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/292804/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Sagan Tosu
PG (predicted goals)
Kataller Toyama
1.3
1.1
Attack rating
SAG
25%
better
view stats
Games scored3
3
Failed to score2
2
Scored first2
3
Goals scored3
6
Avg. goals scored0.6
1.2
Avg. shots per game7
9
Avg. shots per goal11
7
Conversion rate for9
14
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+25%
Defence rating
SAG
50%
better
view stats
Games conceded4
2
Clean sheets1
3
Conceded first3
1
Goals conceded7
3
Avg. goals conceded1.4
0.6
Avg. shots/game conceded7
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
13
Conversion rate against19%
8%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+50%

Sagan Tosu v Kataller Toyama J2-League lLine ups will show here when available.

Sagan Tosu J2-League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5112
H YangK NishizawaJôR Morishita
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
H Yang GLK5
-
T. Inoue DEF5
-
S Ogawa DEF5
-
R Morishita DEF5
2
-
T Sakurai MID5
-
H Arai MID5
-
K Nishizawa MID51
1
-
K. Nishiya MID5
-
Y Horigome MID5
-
V Slivka MID51
1
-
S. Shinkawa MID4
-
N Sakai FWD4
-
M Uehara DEF3
-
K. Sakaiya MID3
-
Jô FWD31
-
J Nishikawa FWD3
-
H Yamada FWD3
-
S Nagasawa DEF2
-
S Hino MID2
-
Y Imazu DEF1
-
F. Kitajima DEF1
-
Kataller Toyama J2-League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5121
T TagawaK. KamiyamaH TakeS Fuseya
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Tagawa GLK5
-
S. Nishiya DEF5
-
T. Hama DEF5
-
K. Kamiyama DEF51
-
S Fuseya MID5
1
-
Y. Takahashi MID5
1
-
T. Ito MID511
-
H. Sueki MID511
-
S. Usui FWD51
1
-
R Matsuda FWD51
-
H Take FWD512
-
G. Takenaka MID41
-
K Ueda MID4
-
N Inoue MID4
-
J. Imase DEF3
-
D. Matsuoka MID3
-
S Sakai DEF2
-
A. Nabeta DEF1
-
Y Kawai MID1
-
S. Sera MID1
-
Y. Sasaki MID1
-
M. Furukawa FWD1
-