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Montedio Yamagata v Tokushima Vortis : J2-League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 23rd Mar, 05:00 BST, ND Soft Stadium Yamagata, Tendo

Sunday morning at the ND Soft Stadium Yamagata, and it’s a J2-League clash between Montedio Yamagata and Tokushima Vortis. Susumu Watanabe and Kosaku Masuda will be doing all they can to ensure victory. This preview has the best odds for seventeen different markets, alongside supporting data that changes as you explore. Our predictions run off 20-game form, so all statistics are shown for each side's last 20 too. Home vs away and overall performance can be found, while you'll also find head-to-head history towards the bottom of the page.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We think it's unlikely that this fixture will have 4 goals or more, and the odds and stats align with KO's predictive algorithm on this one. Montedio and Tokushima have rarely been involved in a high volume of goals of late, whether that be in J2-League individually or when going head-to-head. So, without a compelling favourite win or double chance market, we're recommending under 3.5 goals. The UK's top bookies have that available at a best price of 1.25.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Montedio are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 38% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.55.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Montedio 38%	31/20 7%	29/20
Draw 27%	23/10	21/10
Tokushima 35%	17/10 8%	8/5
Draw 1-1 13%	11/2	5/1
Montedio 1-0 10%	7/1 11%	6/1
Tokushima 1-0 10%	15/2 6%	13/2
Montedio 2-1 8%	9/1 9%	8/1
Tokushima 2-1 8%	10/1 10%	8/1
Draw 0-0 8%	8/1 5%	7/1
Montedio 2-0 7%	11/1 8%	9/1
Tokushima 2-0 6%	12/1 8%	10/1
Draw 2-2 5%	14/1	11/1
Montedio 3-1 4%	20/1 9%	16/1
Tokushima 3-1 3%	22/1 10%	16/1
Montedio 3-0 3%	25/1 10%	18/1
Tokushima 3-0 3%	28/1 26%	18/1
Montedio 3-2 2%	33/1	20/1
Tokushima 3-2 2%	33/1 17%	22/1
Over 2.5 Goals 47%	43/40 4%	1/1
Under 2.5 Goals 53%	8/11 4%	4/6
Home 1st Goal 48%	5/6 13%	-
Away 1st Goal 47%	11/10 15%	-
No 1st Goal 5%	8/1 5%	-
BTTS - Yes 52%	5/6 2%	5/6
BTTS - No 48%	5/6 4%	17/20
BTTS - Home Win 17%	9/2	4/1
BTTS - Draw 19%	7/2	17/5
BTTS - Away Win 16%	9/2 10%	17/4
Home/draw 65%	4/9 4%	4/9
Away/draw 62%	1/2 7%	1/2
Home/away 73%	1/3	1/3
Over 1.5 Goals 72%	1/3 2%	1/3
Under 1.5 Goals 28%	9/4 4%	15/8
Over 3.5 Goals 25%	11/4 7%	12/5
Under 3.5 Goals 75%	1/4 3%	1/4
Over 4.5 Goals 12%	7/1 14%	11/2
Under 4.5 Goals 89%	1/12 2%	1/14
Over 5.5 Goals 5%	16/1	-
Under 5.5 Goals 95%	1/40	-
Over 0.5 Goals 92%	1/16	1/20
Under 0.5 Goals 8%	9/1 5%	13/2
Home DNB 57%	4/5 6%	4/5
Away DNB 54%	10/11 6%	10/11
Montedio win to nil 21%	3/1 11%	-
Tokushima win to nil 19%	7/2 4%	-
Montedio / Montedio 19%	10/3 4%	3/1
Montedio / Tokushima 3%	28/1 12%	22/1
Montedio / Draw 6%	14/1	11/1
Draw / Montedio 14%	5/1 8%	19/4
Draw / Tokushima 13%	5/1	5/1
Draw / Draw 17%	15/4 5%	18/5
Tokushima / Montedio 3%	28/1	22/1
Tokushima / Tokushima 18%	7/2 13%	16/5
Tokushima / Draw 6%	14/1	11/1

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Montedio	4 - 2	Blaublitz
Montedio	0 - 3	Fagiano
Montedio	4 - 0	JEF United
Montedio	1 - 0	Roasso
Montedio	2 - 0	Renofa
Montedio	4 - 1	TK Gunma
Montedio	1 - 2	Yokohama
Montedio	4 - 2	V-V Nagasaki
Montedio	1 - 0	Tokushima
Montedio	1 - 2	Iwaki
Montedio	1 - 0	Tochigi
Montedio	1 - 1	Vegalta
Montedio	0 - 0	Oita Trinita
Montedio	0 - 2	Blaublitz
Montedio	0 - 1	Mito
Montedio	2 - 2	Fagiano
Montedio	2 - 1	Ehime
Montedio	2 - 0	Kagoshima
Montedio	2 - 0	Shimizu
Montedio	0 - 1	Fujieda MYFC

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Montedio	3 - 1	Roasso
H	Montedio	4 - 2	Blaublitz
A	Montedio	2 - 3	JEF United
A	Montedio	0 - 1	Mito
A	Montedio	1 - 2	Omiya Ardija
H	Montedio	0 - 3	Fagiano
H	Montedio	4 - 0	JEF United
A	Montedio	3 - 1	Mito
H	Montedio	1 - 0	Roasso
A	Montedio	2 - 1	Shimizu
H	Montedio	2 - 0	Renofa
A	Montedio	2 - 1	Ventforet
A	Montedio	3 - 1	Ehime
H	Montedio	4 - 1	TK Gunma
A	Montedio	3 - 0	Oita Trinita
H	Montedio	1 - 2	Yokohama
A	Montedio	1 - 0	Fujieda MYFC
H	Montedio	4 - 2	V-V Nagasaki
H	Montedio	1 - 0	Tokushima
A	Montedio	1 - 1	Fagiano

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
V-V Nagasaki	1 - 0	Tokushima
Iwaki	1 - 1	Tokushima
Fujieda MYFC	0 - 2	Tokushima
Tochigi	0 - 0	Tokushima
TK Gunma	0 - 2	Tokushima
Roasso	1 - 2	Tokushima
Blaublitz	2 - 0	Tokushima
Renofa	1 - 2	Tokushima
Yokohama	2 - 0	Tokushima
Montedio	1 - 0	Tokushima
Ehime	0 - 1	Tokushima
Ventforet	1 - 3	Tokushima
JEF United	1 - 0	Tokushima
Oita Trinita	1 - 2	Tokushima
Iwaki	1 - 1	Tokushima
Fagiano	1 - 2	Tokushima
Fujieda MYFC	0 - 1	Tokushima
V-V Nagasaki	6 - 1	Tokushima
Shimizu	1 - 1	Tokushima
Vegalta	0 - 0	Tokushima

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Tokushima	0 - 1	V-V Nagasaki
H	Tokushima	0 - 0	Roasso
A	Tokushima	1 - 1	Iwaki
H	Tokushima	1 - 0	Vegalta
A	Tokushima	2 - 0	Fujieda MYFC
A	Tokushima	0 - 0	Tochigi
H	Tokushima	1 - 0	Kagoshima
A	Tokushima	2 - 0	TK Gunma
H	Tokushima	3 - 0	Fujieda MYFC
A	Tokushima	2 - 1	Roasso
A	Tokushima	0 - 2	Blaublitz
H	Tokushima	0 - 1	Iwaki
H	Tokushima	1 - 2	Shimizu
H	Tokushima	3 - 1	Oita Trinita
A	Tokushima	2 - 1	Renofa
A	Tokushima	0 - 2	Yokohama
H	Tokushima	1 - 1	Fagiano
A	Tokushima	0 - 1	Montedio
A	Tokushima	1 - 0	Ehime
H	Tokushima	2 - 0	Vegalta

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Montedio

Tokushima

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

4 / 6

Clean sheets

2 / 6

MON

TOK

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Montedio
Montedio	1 - 0
	0 - 1	Tokushima
Montedio	3 - 0
	0 - 1	Tokushima
Montedio	3 - 1
Montedio	3 - 2

Tokushima

Montedio

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

6 / 7

5 / 7

Clean sheets

2 / 7

1 / 7

MON

TOK

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Tokushima
Tokushima	2 - 1
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	0 - 1	Montedio
Tokushima	1 - 0
Tokushima	1 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Tokushima	5 - 1

Goal Statistics

Tokushima Vortis's defensive record is very strong, K. Masuda's men having conceded 1 or less in 10 consecutive J2-League matches. An average PG rating of 1.3 for Montedio Yamagata makes sense in this context.

	Montedio 10th	Tokushima 8th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.3 goals	1.3 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 27% 1 35% 2 23% 3 10% 4+ There is a 62% probability that Montedio will score no more than 1 goal	0 29% 1 36% 2 22% 3 9% 4+ There is a 65% probability that Tokushima will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+19 Montedio have scored 19% more goals at home than predicted	-6 Tokushima’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.6 average goals scored	1.1 average goals scored
	1.0 conceded	1.1 conceded

Attack defence ratings
J2-League - 2025/2025 season

41%

better

MON

TOK

view stats

Games scored	4		3
Failed to score	1		2
Scored first	3		2
Goals scored	10		4
Avg. goals scored	2		0.8
Avg. shots per game	7		8
Avg. shots per goal	3		10
Conversion rate for	29		11
Avg. XG for	0		0
KickOff rating		+41%

MON

TOK

57%

better

view stats

Games conceded	5		2
Clean sheets	0		3
Conceded first	2		2
Goals conceded	9		2
Avg. goals conceded	1.8		0.4
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		7
Avg. shots/goal conceded	5		18
Conversion rate against	19%		6%
Avg. XG against	0		0
KickOff rating		+57%

Montedio v Tokushima J2-League lLine ups will show here when available.

Montedio J2-League squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
5	2	3	1
H Nodake	S Kokubu	A Disaro	Z Issaka

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
H Nodake DEF	5		1	-
T Abe DEF	5		1	-
Z Issaka MID	5	1	1	1 -
S Kokubu MID	5	2		1 -
S Doi MID	5	2		-
L Takae MID	5			-
J Takahashi FWD	5	2		-
A Disaro FWD	5	1	3	1 -
K Nishimura DEF	4			1 -
K Okamoto DEF	4			-
R Kida MID	4			-
K Yoshio MID	3			-
W Tanaka MID	3			-
Y Fujimoto FWD	3			-
S. Horikane FWD	3	1		-
R Terakado GLK	2			-
K Hasegawa GLK	2			-
Y Kumamoto DEF	2			-
T Yamada DEF	2			-
R Nakamura MID	2			-
K Sakamoto MID	2			-
T Heward-Belle GLK	1			-
H Shirowa DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
2	3	3	2
S Kokubu	S Doi	A Disaro	A Disaro

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
S Kokubu MID	2	1
S Doi MID	2	3
J Takahashi FWD	2	2		1
S. Horikane FWD	1	1
Z Issaka MID	1	1	1
A Disaro FWD	1	2	3	2
H Nodake DEF			1	1
W Tanaka MID		1
T Abe DEF			1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
302	2	37
T Abe	H Nodake	T Abe

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
T Abe DEF	302	1	37
K Nishimura DEF	256	1	26
L Takae MID	254	1	18
H Nodake DEF	173	2	30
S Kokubu MID	122	2	17
S Doi MID	111		7
W Tanaka MID	101	2	7
K Okamoto DEF	95		13
R Nakamura MID	80		4
Z Issaka MID	73	2	24
R Kida MID	68		8
H Shirowa DEF	61		6
A Disaro FWD	59	2	12
Y Kumamoto DEF	52	1	10
K Hasegawa GLK	34
R Terakado GLK	33		1
J Takahashi FWD	29		9
K Yoshio MID	23		3
T Yamada DEF	20		3
S. Horikane FWD	7	1	8
K Sakamoto MID	6
Y Fujimoto FWD	5		6

Tokushima J2-League squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
5	2	1	2
H Tanaka	J Victor	S Takada	H Tanaka

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
H Tanaka GLK	5			2 -
N Yamada DEF	5			-
K Yamakoshi DEF	5			-
Y Takagi DEF	5			1 -
Elsinho DEF	5			2 -
S Takada MID	5		1	-
T Sugimoto MID	5		1	1 -
K Sugimori MID	5	1		-
S Kodama MID	5			-
L Barcelos FWD	5	1	1	-
D Watari FWD	5		1	-
H Aoki DEF	4			-
N Kanuma MID	4			-
Kaique DEF	3			1 -
T Shigehiro MID	3			-
J Victor FWD	3	2		-
K Tsuboi FWD	2			-
T Nishino FWD	2			1 -
K Nagai GLK	1			-
T Tamukai DEF	1			-
K Yanagisawa DEF	1			-
H Rio MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
2	2	1	1
J Victor	J Victor	S Takada	L Barcelos

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J Victor FWD	2	2
K Sugimori MID	1	1
L Barcelos FWD	1	1	1	1
D Watari FWD			1	1
S Kodama MID		1
T Sugimoto MID		1	1
S Takada MID		1	1
Y Takagi DEF		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
228	4	34
S Kodama	N Kanuma	S Kodama

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
S Kodama MID	228	3	34
K Yamakoshi DEF	200	1	31
N Kanuma MID	174	4	12
N Yamada DEF	166	1	25
Elsinho DEF	137		18
Y Takagi DEF	124		27
H Tanaka GLK	123		4
H Aoki DEF	120	2	23
T Sugimoto MID	95	2	24
Kaique DEF	59		17
D Watari FWD	57	3	31
K Sugimori MID	53	1	12
T Shigehiro MID	45	3	6
L Barcelos FWD	38	1	25
J Victor FWD	36		7
S Takada MID	27		14
T Nishino FWD	10		3
K Tsuboi FWD	7
H Rio MID	6
T Tamukai DEF	1

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Montedio Yamagata v Tokushima Vortis : J2-League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Montedio v Tokushima J2-League lLine ups will show here when available.

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