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Tokyo v Cerezo Osaka : J-League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 8th Dec, 05:00 BST, Ajinomoto Stadium, Chōfu

Peter Cklamovski welcomes Akio Kogiku to the Ajinomoto Stadium on Sunday morning, as their Tokyo and Cerezo Osaka troops do battle in the J-League. The aim of this preview is, quite simply, to help you make the smartest bet possible. To this end, statistics for seventeen major betting market have been published below, with head-to-head history and statistically significant form streaks highlighted. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are included as well.


Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals means that there will be 3 goals or less scored by Tokyo and Cerezo combined during a standard 90 mins. Recent form stats and historical head-to-head (H2H) records have led us to our prediction, and our predictive algorithm suggests there's a 79% chance of it being right on the money. The top price available at present on under 3.5 goals is 1.36.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Tokyo are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 40% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.50.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Tokyo
40%
6/429/20
Draw
28%
12/59/4
Cerezo
32%
17/106/4
Draw 1-1
13%
11/2-
Tokyo 1-0
12%
17/2-
Cerezo 1-0
10%
9/1-
Draw 0-0
10%
10/1-
Tokyo 2-1
8%
9/1-
Tokyo 2-0
7%
12/1-
Cerezo 2-1
7%
9/1-
Cerezo 2-0
6%
12/1-
Draw 2-2
5%
12/1-
Tokyo 3-1
3%
18/1-
Tokyo 3-0
3%
25/1-
Cerezo 3-1
3%
20/1-
Cerezo 3-0
2%
25/1-
Tokyo 3-2
2%
25/1-
Cerezo 3-2
2%
25/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
42%
17/203/4
Under 2.5 Goals
58%
19/2017/20
Home 1st Goal
49%
5/6-
Away 1st Goal
45%
21/20-
No 1st Goal
6%
11/1
9%
-
BTTS - Yes
48%
4/64/6
BTTS - No
52%
11/1011/10
BTTS - Home Win
16%
15/47/2
BTTS - Draw
18%
10/316/5
BTTS - Away Win
13%
4/118/5
Home/draw
68%
4/910/21
Away/draw
60%
1/21/2
Home/away
72%
3/103/10
Over 1.5 Goals
68%
1/41/4
Under 1.5 Goals
32%
11/412/5
Over 3.5 Goals
21%
2/115/8
Under 3.5 Goals
79%
4/111/3
Over 4.5 Goals
9%
5/14/1
Under 4.5 Goals
91%
1/81/9
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
12/117/2
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/251/40
Over 0.5 Goals
90%
1/201/33
Under 0.5 Goals
10%
10/115/2
Home DNB
59%
5/65/6
Away DNB
52%
5/617/20
Tokyo win to nil
24%
7/2-
Cerezo win to nil
19%
4/1-
Tokyo / Tokyo
19%
10/316/5
Tokyo / Cerezo
3%
25/120/1
Tokyo / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Draw / Tokyo
14%
5/119/4
Draw / Cerezo
14%
5/119/4
Draw / Draw
15%
9/24/1
Cerezo / Tokyo
3%
25/120/1
Cerezo / Cerezo
19%
10/316/5
Cerezo / Draw
6%
12/111/1
bet365
Win / draw / win J-League table

Tokyo have played 37 matches so far this season and are in 9th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

15 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 6 games, drawn 6 and won 3. Tokyo have conceded 20 goals, scored 18, failed to score in 4 matches and kept 4 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Tokyo have played 18 games at home, winning 6, drawing 6 and losing 6 fixtures. They have scored 22 goals, conceded 21 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and failed to score 5 times in home league games.

Cerezo lay in 8th place on 52 points in the J-League league table having played 37 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 23 games against teams below them in the table, winning 11, drawing 8 and losing 4 games. They have scored 32 goals and kept 9 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Cerezo have conceded 22 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Cerezo have played 18 away games, winning 5, drawing 7 and losing 6 games. They have scored an average of 1.1 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.2 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Tokyo
Cerezo
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Vissel Kobe3720982269 
l
 
1-2F
w
 
0-2F
l
 
1-4A
l
 
2-1A
2
Hiroshima37191173168 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
3-2A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-0A
3
Machida3719992266 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
3-0A
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-1A
4
Gamba Osaka37171281263 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
5
Kashima37171191762 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-1A
l
 
0-2A
d
 
1-1F
6
Tokyo Verdy37141310055 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
2-2A
w
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1A
7
Yokohama FM3715715152 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-3A
d
 
2-2A
l
 
4-0A
8
Cerezo 37131311-252 
Dec 8
d
 
2-2A
-
-
9
Tokyo 3714914-151 
-
-
d
 
2-2F
Dec 8
10
Avispa37121411-350 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
1-3F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-3F
11
Kawasaki37121312749 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
3-0A
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1A
12
Urawa Reds37121114447 
w
 
2-1A
w
 
0-2F
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-1F
13
Nagoya3714518-547 
w
 
4-1F
l
 
3-1A
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-1A
14
Kyoto Sanga37121015-1246 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
3-0A
l
 
3-5A
d
 
1-1F
15
Shonan3712916-245 
l
 
0-2A
w
 
0-1F
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-2A
16
Kashiwa3791414-1141 
d
 
3-3A
l
 
3-2F
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1F
17
Albirex37101116-1541 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-3F
l
 
1-2A
w
 
0-1F
18
Jubilo Iwata3710819-1838 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-1F
l
 
1-2A
d
 
1-1A
19
Sapporo3781019-2434 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2A
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1A
20
Sagan Tosu379523-2332 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-1F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-2F
Afc Champions League
Afc Champions League Qualifiers
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
3
Tokyo have lost 3 consecutive league games
Tokyo 9TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
3
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
Cerezo 8TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
Draw
7
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Tokyo since 2018
Tokyo
Cerezo
Goals: Scored
13
5
Games: Scored
5 / 6
3 / 6
Clean sheets
3 / 6
1 / 6
TOK
4
CER
2
League games at Cerezo since 2018
Cerezo
Tokyo
Goals: Scored
7
7
Games: Scored
4 / 7
4 / 7
Clean sheets
3 / 7
3 / 7
TOK
2
D
3
CER
2
Goal Statistics

Goals have been difficult to come by for Cerezo Osaka of late. It has been 7 J-League games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.1 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Sunday morning against Tokyo.

Tokyo 9th Cerezo 8th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Tokyo will score no more than 1 goal
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 70% probability that Cerezo will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-12
Tokyo have scored 12% fewer goals at home than predicted
-22
Cerezo have scored 22% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.2
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
J-League - 2024/2024 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/271829/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Tokyo
PG (predicted goals)
Cerezo
1.2
1.1
Attack rating
TOK
CER
2%
better
view stats
Games scored28
31
Failed to score9
6
Scored first14
16
Goals scored50
43
Avg. goals scored1.4
1.2
Avg. shots per game8
10
Avg. shots per goal6
8
Conversion rate for16
12
Avg. XG for1.2
1.4
KickOff rating
+2%
Defence rating
TOK
CER
8%
better
view stats
Games conceded28
26
Clean sheets9
11
Conceded first21
19
Goals conceded51
45
Avg. goals conceded1.4
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded11
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
8
Conversion rate against13%
13%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.4
KickOff rating
+8%

Tokyo v Cerezo J-League lLine ups will show here when available.

Tokyo J-League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
32736
T KoR ArakiK KoizumiS Anzai
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
K Koizumi MID3413
5
-
T Ko MID3422
2
-
D Oliveira FWD336
3
-
T Nakagawa FWD3353
1
-
K Tawaratsumida MID3223
-
S Anzai MID3042
5
1
Y Nagatomo DEF2821
4
-
R Araki MID2873
2
-
T Nozawa GLK26
1
-
K Endo FWD2553
1
-
R Harakawa  MID2311
1
-
M Morishige DEF22
2
-
K Shirai DEF2112
1
-
H Nakamura  DEF191
2
-
T. Oka DEF192
3
-
Y Kimoto DEF181
5
1
K Bangnagande  DEF1722
3
-
H Trevisan DEF161
5
1
K Doi DEF15
1
-
G Hatano GLK13
2
K Higashi MID1311
1
-
L Nozawa FWD1111
-
T Ogashiwa FWD102
-
E Galdino FWD5
-
K Yamashita FWD4
-
R Sato MID3
-
T Kodama GLK1
-
Cerezo J-League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3720104
J KimL CearáL FernandesS Tanaka
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Kim GLK37
-
L Ceará FWD37201
3
-
S Tanaka MID3634
4
-
H Okuno MID351
1
-
L Fernandes MID34310
3
-
K Funaki DEF301
1
-
K Toriumi DEF30
-
H Tameda MID3021
1
-
R Nishio DEF282
2
-
S Uejo MID28
1
-
M Shibayama MID261
1
Capixaba FWD2614
3
-
V Bueno MID2134
-
H Okuda DEF2012
1
-
K Noborizato DEF18
-
S Kitano FWD1721
-
R Yamasaki FWD121
-
H Yamada FWD12
1
-
Y Hirano MID10
1
S Kagawa  MID101
3
-
R Shindo DEF8
1
-
H Kida MID8
-
R Sakata FWD8
-
T Yamashita DEF4
1
-