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Kashima Antlers v Machida Zelvia : J-League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 8th Dec, 05:00 BST, Kashima Soccer Stadium, Kashima

Home advantage is often beneficial in the J-League, and Masaki Chugo’s Kashima Antlers will have the luxury of it on Sunday morning. Go Kuroda’s Machida Zelvia are their opponents at the Kashima Soccer Stadium. J-League stats are the foundation of the predictions you'll find below, with head-to-head records included too. You can view it all, with graphics and odds from leading bookmakers available for every betting markets via the tabs.

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

We're anticipating a game with little to choose between the sides here and, as such, we predict under 2.5 goals. For those unfamiliar with that term, this simply means that 2 goals or fewer will be scored in total as Kashima and Machida go head-to-head. Tight defences and clear heads will be required to deliver us a winner, but we have faith in both sides to deliver precisely that. The stats and the odds below also suggest this is a strong tip.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Kashima are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 35% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.62.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Kashima 35%	13/8 3%	6/4
Draw 31%	11/5	21/10
Machida 34%	13/8 1%	6/4
Kashima 1-0 14%	15/2 6%	13/2
Draw 0-0 14%	17/2	7/1
Draw 1-1 14%	5/1	5/1
Machida 1-0 13%	15/2	13/2
Kashima 2-0 7%	12/1	10/1
Kashima 2-1 7%	9/1	8/1
Machida 2-1 7%	9/1	8/1
Machida 2-0 7%	12/1	10/1
Draw 2-2 3%	12/1	11/1
Kashima 3-0 2%	25/1	18/1
Kashima 3-1 2%	20/1	16/1
Machida 3-1 2%	20/1	16/1
Machida 3-0 2%	25/1	18/1
Kashima 3-2 1%	28/1	22/1
Machida 3-2 1%	28/1	20/1
Over 2.5 Goals 32%	11/10 5%	1/1
Under 2.5 Goals 68%	7/10 6%	4/6
Home 1st Goal 46%	1/1 5%	-
Away 1st Goal 45%	1/1 9%	-
No 1st Goal 9%	17/2	-
BTTS - Yes 39%	4/5 3%	5/6
BTTS - No 61%	19/20 3%	17/20
BTTS - Home Win 11%	9/2	17/4
BTTS - Draw 17%	10/3	17/5
BTTS - Away Win 11%	9/2	4/1
Home/draw 66%	4/9 4%	10/21
Away/draw 65%	4/9	10/21
Home/away 69%	4/11	1/3
Over 1.5 Goals 59%	1/3 2%	1/3
Under 1.5 Goals 41%	9/4 4%	19/10
Over 3.5 Goals 14%	11/4 7%	12/5
Under 3.5 Goals 86%	1/4 3%	1/4
Over 4.5 Goals 5%	7/1 14%	11/2
Under 4.5 Goals 95%	1/12 2%	1/14
Over 5.5 Goals 2%	18/1 27%	11/1
Under 5.5 Goals 98%	1/40 1%	1/200
Over 0.5 Goals 86%	1/16	1/20
Under 0.5 Goals 14%	9/1 5%	13/2
Home DNB 57%	5/6	17/20
Away DNB 55%	5/6	5/6
Kashima win to nil 24%	7/2	-
Machida win to nil 23%	7/2 4%	-
Kashima / Kashima 19%	10/3 4%	16/5
Kashima / Machida 3%	28/1	22/1
Kashima / Draw 6%	14/1	11/1
Draw / Kashima 14%	5/1	19/4
Draw / Machida 14%	5/1	19/4
Draw / Draw 17%	4/1	7/2
Machida / Kashima 3%	28/1	22/1
Machida / Machida 19%	10/3	16/5
Machida / Draw 6%	14/1	11/1

Win / draw / win J-League table

Kashima have played 37 matches so far this season and are in 5th position in the league. Kashima are unbeaten at home after 18 games and have kept 10 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams above them in the league

7 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 2 games, drawn 2 and won 3. Kashima have conceded 8 goals, scored 9, failed to score in 2 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Kashima have played 18 games at home, winning 9, drawing 9 and losing 0 fixtures. They have scored 25 goals, conceded 12 goals, kept 10 clean sheets and failed to score 5 times in home league games.

Machida lay in 3rd place on 66 points in the J-League league table having played 37 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 33 games against teams below them in the table, winning 19, drawing 8 and losing 6 games. They have scored 51 goals and kept 17 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Machida have conceded 25 goals and have failed to score in 7 matches.

Away league performance

Machida have played 18 away games, winning 10, drawing 5 and losing 3 games. They have scored an average of 1.3 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.7 goals per away game.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Kashima Machida
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Vissel Kobe	37	20	9	8	22	69	w 1-0F	l 3-1F	l 1-2A	d 0-00-0
2	Hiroshima	37	19	11	7	31	68	d 2-2F	w 1-3F	l 1-2A	l 2-0A
3	Machida	37	19	9	9	22	66	Dec 8	l 1-0A	-	-
4	Gamba Osaka	37	17	12	8	12	63	d 0-00-0	w 1-2F	d 1-1F	w 1-3A
5	Kashima	37	17	11	9	17	62	-	-	w 1-0F	Dec 8
6	Tokyo Verdy	37	14	13	10	0	55	d 3-3F	l 2-1A	w 5-0F	w 0-1F
7	Yokohama FM	37	15	7	15	1	52	w 3-2A	l 4-1F	l 1-2A	w 1-3A
8	Cerezo	37	13	13	11	-2	52	d 1-1A	w 0-2F	w 2-1F	d 0-00-0
9	Tokyo	37	14	9	14	-1	51	w 2-1F	l 2-0A	w 3-0F	w 1-2F
10	Avispa	37	12	14	11	-3	50	d 0-00-0	l 1-0A	d 0-00-0	w 0-3F
11	Kawasaki	37	12	13	12	7	49	w 2-1A	w 1-3F	l 1-4F	w 0-1F
12	Urawa Reds	37	12	11	14	4	47	d 0-00-0	d 2-2F	d 2-2A	w 1-2F
13	Nagoya	37	14	5	18	-5	47	d 0-00-0	w 0-3F	w 1-0F	w 0-1F
14	Kyoto Sanga	37	12	10	15	-12	46	w 1-0F	d 0-00-0	w 1-0F	w 0-3F
15	Shonan	37	12	9	16	-2	45	w 3-1F	l 3-2F	l 0-1A	d 0-00-0
16	Kashiwa	37	9	14	14	-11	41	d 0-00-0	w 1-2F	w 2-0F	d 1-1A
17	Albirex	37	10	11	16	-15	41	d 1-1A	w 0-4F	l 1-3A	d 0-00-0
18	Jubilo Iwata	37	10	8	19	-18	38	w 1-0F	l 2-1F	w 4-0F	l 2-0A
19	Sapporo	37	8	10	19	-24	34	w 2-0F	w 0-3F	d 0-00-0	w 1-2F
20	Sagan Tosu	37	9	5	23	-23	32	w 3-0F	l 4-2F	w 3-1F	l 2-1A

	Afc Champions League
	Afc Champions League Qualifiers
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Kashima have drawn 5 consecutive home league games

Kashima have not lost in 21 consecutive home league games

Kashima have kept a clean sheet for 3 consecutive league games

Kashima have failed to score in 3 consecutive home league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

10 / 20

Clean sheets

10 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Kashima	0 - 0	Nagoya
Kashima	0 - 0	Avispa
Kashima	0 - 0	Kashiwa
Kashima	2 - 2	Hiroshima
Kashima	0 - 0	Urawa Reds
Kashima	3 - 0	Sagan Tosu
Kashima	2 - 1	Tokyo
Kashima	2 - 0	Sapporo
Kashima	0 - 0	Gamba Osaka
Kashima	1 - 1	Albirex
Kashima	3 - 2	Yokohama FM
Kashima	1 - 0	Vissel Kobe
Kashima	3 - 3	Tokyo Verdy
Kashima	3 - 1	Shonan
Kashima	1 - 0	Kyoto Sanga
Kashima	1 - 0	Jubilo Iwata
Kashima	2 - 1	Kawasaki
Kashima	1 - 1	Cerezo
Kashima	2 - 1	Yokohama
Kashima	1 - 1	Kashiwa

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

10 / 20

Clean sheets

10 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Kashima	2 - 0	Cerezo
A	Kashima	0 - 0	Kyoto Sanga
H	Kashima	0 - 0	Nagoya
A	Kashima	3 - 1	Kawasaki
H	Kashima	0 - 0	Avispa
A	Kashima	4 - 0	Albirex
A	Kashima	2 - 3	Shonan
H	Kashima	0 - 0	Kashiwa
H	Kashima	2 - 2	Hiroshima
A	Kashima	1 - 2	Tokyo Verdy
H	Kashima	0 - 0	Urawa Reds
A	Kashima	1 - 2	Jubilo Iwata
H	Kashima	3 - 0	Sagan Tosu
H	Kashima	2 - 1	Tokyo
A	Kashima	1 - 4	Yokohama FM
H	Kashima	2 - 0	Sapporo
A	Kashima	1 - 3	Vissel Kobe
H	Kashima	0 - 0	Gamba Osaka
A	Kashima	2 - 2	Urawa Reds
H	Kashima	1 - 1	Albirex

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

10 / 20

Clean sheets

10 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Sagan Tosu	2 - 1	Machida
Kashiwa	1 - 1	Machida
Hiroshima	2 - 0	Machida
Avispa	0 - 3	Machida
Albirex	0 - 0	Machida
Cerezo	0 - 0	Machida
Tokyo Verdy	0 - 1	Machida
Gamba Osaka	1 - 3	Machida
Vissel Kobe	0 - 0	Machida
Yokohama FM	1 - 3	Machida
Urawa Reds	1 - 2	Machida
Shonan	0 - 0	Machida
Kyoto Sanga	0 - 3	Machida
Jubilo Iwata	2 - 0	Machida
Tokyo	1 - 2	Machida
Kawasaki	0 - 1	Machida
Sapporo	1 - 2	Machida
Nagoya	0 - 1	Machida
Vegalta	1 - 3	Machida
Renofa	0 - 2	Machida

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

9 / 20

Clean sheets

11 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Machida	1 - 0	Kyoto Sanga
H	Machida	3 - 0	Tokyo
A	Machida	1 - 2	Sagan Tosu
A	Machida	1 - 1	Kashiwa
H	Machida	1 - 4	Kawasaki
A	Machida	0 - 2	Hiroshima
H	Machida	0 - 0	Sapporo
A	Machida	3 - 0	Avispa
H	Machida	2 - 2	Urawa Reds
A	Machida	0 - 0	Albirex
H	Machida	4 - 0	Jubilo Iwata
H	Machida	0 - 1	Shonan
A	Machida	0 - 0	Cerezo
H	Machida	1 - 2	Yokohama FM
A	Machida	1 - 0	Tokyo Verdy
H	Machida	1 - 0	Nagoya
A	Machida	3 - 1	Gamba Osaka
A	Machida	0 - 0	Vissel Kobe
H	Machida	0 - 0	Avispa
A	Machida	3 - 1	Yokohama FM

Goal Statistics

Kashima Antlers's defensive record is very strong, M. Chugo's men having conceded 1 or less in 6 consecutive J-League matches. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.0 for Machida Zelvia makes sense in this context.

	Kashima 5th	Machida 3rd
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.0 goals	1.0 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 37% 1 37% 2 18% 3 4+ There is a 74% probability that Kashima will score no more than 1 goal	0 38% 1 37% 2 18% 3 4+ There is a 75% probability of Machida scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-9 Kashima’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+2 Machida’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.4 average goals scored	1.4 average goals scored
	0.7 conceded	0.7 conceded

Attack defence ratings
J-League - 2024/2024 season

better

KAS

MAC

view stats

Games scored	28		28
Failed to score	9		9
Scored first	23		19
Goals scored	57		53
Avg. goals scored	1.5		1.4
Avg. shots per game	9		9
Avg. shots per goal	6		6
Conversion rate for	16		16
Avg. XG for	1.4		1.5
KickOff rating		+3%

KAS

MAC

better

view stats

Games conceded	22		19
Clean sheets	15		18
Conceded first	8		12
Goals conceded	40		31
Avg. goals conceded	1.1		0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded	10		8
Avg. shots/goal conceded	9		9
Conversion rate against	11%		11%
Avg. XG against	1.3		1
KickOff rating		+6%

Kashima v Machida J-League lLine ups will show here when available.

Kashima J-League squad statistics 2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
37	14	9	5
T Hayakawa	Y Suzuki	S Nago	Y Suzuki

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
T Hayakawa GLK	37			1 -
K Anzai DEF	37	1	2	-
N Ueda DEF	37	3	2	3 -
I Sekigawa DEF	36	1	2	3 -
Y Higuchi MID	35	3	3	1 -
Y Suzuki FWD	35	14	7	4 1
S Nago MID	34	5	9	3 -
K Chinen MID	32	3	2	5 -
K. Nono DEF	31	9		3 -
S Morooka FWD	31	2	2	3 -
H Nakama MID	27	4		2 -
T Fujii MID	24	2	1	2 -
A Cavric FWD	24	7	3	-
G Shibasaki MID	21		3	1 -
H Sugai DEF	13			1 -
K Misao MID	13	1		2 -
G Parede FWD	12			1 -
H. Tokuda FWD	11	1		-
R Milosavljevic MID	10			2 -
Talles MID	8			-
K Tsukui DEF	5			-
Y Funabashi MID	3			-
K Tagawa FWD	3			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
14	25	9	35
Y Suzuki	Y Suzuki	S Nago	S Nago

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
Y Suzuki FWD	14	25	7	27
K. Nono DEF	9	22		10
A Cavric FWD	7	17	3	9
S Nago MID	5	16	9	35
H Nakama MID	4	10		9
N Ueda DEF	3	6	2	6
Y Higuchi MID	3	8	3	16
K Chinen MID	3	10	2	11
T Fujii MID	2	8	1	6
S Morooka FWD	2	14	2	15
H. Tokuda FWD	1	2
K Anzai DEF	1	4	2	12
I Sekigawa DEF	1	2	2	3
K Misao MID	1	2		3
Y Funabashi MID				1
K Tsukui DEF				1
Talles MID		4		4
G Parede FWD		2
H Sugai DEF				1
G Shibasaki MID		2	3	15
K Tagawa FWD				2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1740	103	233
K Anzai	K Chinen	K Chinen

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
K Anzai DEF	1740	23	154
I Sekigawa DEF	1625	44	194
N Ueda DEF	1578	22	146
T Hayakawa GLK	1287	2	20
K Chinen MID	1240	103	233
K. Nono DEF	1053	44	116
Y Suzuki FWD	966	27	221
S Nago MID	644	34	105
Y Higuchi MID	623	34	70
G Shibasaki MID	597	23	44
H Nakama MID	550	36	88
K Misao MID	437	33	64
S Morooka FWD	428	16	136
A Cavric FWD	340	20	80
T Fujii MID	243	12	41
G Parede FWD	77	1	12
K Tsukui DEF	70	1	7
Talles MID	69	3	8
R Milosavljevic MID	59	4	9
H Sugai DEF	44	3	10
H. Tokuda FWD	36	2	16
Y Funabashi MID	30	1	3
K Tagawa FWD	18	3	6

Machida J-League squad statistics 2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
36	10	4	6
K Tani	S Fujio	J Suzuki	K Sento

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
K Tani GLK	36			1 1
K Sento MID	35	1	1	5 1
K Fujimoto FWD	35	3	3	2 -
K Hayashi DEF	33		2	3 -
G Shoji DEF	32	1	1	4 -
M Duke FWD	32	4		1 -
S Oh FWD	32	8	3	5 -
I Dresevic DEF	30	3		5 -
S Fujio FWD	30	10	1	4 -
H Shimoda MID	29	4	2	3 -
H. Mochizuki DEF	25		2	1 -
Erik FWD	25	3	1	2 -
J Suzuki DEF	24	1	4	4 -
S Na FWD	24	3	2	1 -
K Shibato MID	22	1		6 -
S Araki FWD	22	1	2	1 -
J Min-gyu DEF	15		1	1 -
B Vásquez MID	13		1	1 -
R Shirasaki MID	13	1	1	1 -
D Sugioka DEF	12		1	-
Y Soma FWD	9	1		2 -
T Yasui MID	8		1	-
Y Nakashima FWD	6	1	1	1 -
Y Nakayama DEF	5	1		-
K. Kuwayama FWD	3			-
K Fukui GLK	2			-
K. Ashibe MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
10	22	4	18
S Fujio	S Fujio	J Suzuki	K Hayashi

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
S Fujio FWD	10	22	1	9
S Oh FWD	8	21	3	14
H Shimoda MID	4	7	2	18
M Duke FWD	4	11		4
Erik FWD	3	7	1	7
I Dresevic DEF	3	5		2
S Na FWD	3	5	2	7
K Fujimoto FWD	3	9	3	13
G Shoji DEF	1	4	1	5
Y Nakashima FWD	1	1	1	2
R Shirasaki MID	1	1	1	4
Y Soma FWD	1	5		14
J Suzuki DEF	1	4	4	4
K Sento MID	1	6	1	11
K Shibato MID	1	2		4
S Araki FWD	1	4	2	3
Y Nakayama DEF	1	1
K. Kuwayama FWD		1
T Yasui MID			1
K Tani GLK				2
D Sugioka DEF		2	1	3
B Vásquez MID		2	1	6
J Min-gyu DEF		1	1	1
H. Mochizuki DEF		2	2	6
K Hayashi DEF		2	2	18

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1098	53	277
G Shoji	K Sento	S Oh

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
G Shoji DEF	1098	34	135
K Tani GLK	1093	1	31
K Hayashi DEF	1041	47	109
I Dresevic DEF	997	40	117
K Sento MID	850	53	122
H Shimoda MID	685	12	41
H. Mochizuki DEF	601	21	136
S Oh FWD	515	9	277
J Suzuki DEF	511	26	58
K Shibato MID	433	38	84
J Min-gyu DEF	427	21	82
S Fujio FWD	370	19	90
R Shirasaki MID	367	11	58
K Fujimoto FWD	362	32	109
D Sugioka DEF	310	13	37
S Na FWD	258	15	55
M Duke FWD	243	5	97
S Araki FWD	240	8	33
Erik FWD	188	12	45
B Vásquez MID	171	17	41
Y Soma FWD	135	12	40
Y Nakayama DEF	108	4	20
T Yasui MID	44	1	3
K Fukui GLK	41
Y Nakashima FWD	28	2	5
K. Kuwayama FWD	16		8
K. Ashibe MID	5		4

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Kashima Antlers v Machida Zelvia : J-League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Kashima have played 37 matches so far this season and are in 5th position in the league. Kashima are unbeaten at home after 18 games and have kept 10 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams above them in the league

Home league performance

Machida lay in 3rd place on 66 points in the J-League league table having played 37 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

Away league performance

Kashima v Machida J-League lLine ups will show here when available.

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