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Albirex Niigata v Gamba Osaka : J-League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 30th Nov, 05:00 BST, Denka Big Swan Stadium, Niigata

the Denka Big Swan Stadium faithful welcome Gamba Osaka's travelling contingent on Saturday morning, as Rikizo Matsuhashi's Albirex Niigata take on Daniel Poyatos Algaba's side in the J-League. We have predictions, tips, and odds from leading bookmakers and head-to-head statistics across the biggest markets, so there's nowhere better to prepare J-League clash.


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Albirex or Gamba Osaka are in a rich vein of form that would leave us feeling confident enough to tip a match winner, so we're going with over 1.5 goals. The stats tell us that both have a track record in this market, both individually and when facing one another head-to-head. Our predictive algorithm suggests there's a 79% chance of 2 goals or more.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 43% chance of Gamba Osaka coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Albirex
32%
11/8
7%
-
Draw
25%
9/4
2%
-
Gamba Osaka
43%
19/10
7%
-
Draw 1-1
12%
11/2
8%
-
Gamba Osaka 2-1
9%
10/1-
Gamba Osaka 1-0
9%
9/1-
Albirex 2-1
8%
17/2
5%
-
Albirex 1-0
7%
15/2
11%
-
Gamba Osaka 2-0
7%
14/1-
Draw 2-2
6%
12/1
8%
-
Draw 0-0
6%
9/1
9%
-
Albirex 2-0
5%
11/1
8%
-
Gamba Osaka 3-1
5%
22/1
10%
-
Gamba Osaka 3-0
4%
28/1-
Albirex 3-1
3%
18/1-
Gamba Osaka 3-2
3%
28/1-
Albirex 3-2
3%
25/1-
Albirex 3-0
2%
22/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
19/20
5%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
45%
17/20
5%
-
Home 1st Goal
47%
4/5
2%
-
Away 1st Goal
50%
6/5
5%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
9/1
9%
-
BTTS - Yes
58%
7/10
2%
-
BTTS - No
42%
21/20
2%
-
BTTS - Home Win
17%
15/4-
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/3
8%
-
BTTS - Away Win
22%
9/2-
Home/draw
57%
2/5
3%
-
Away/draw
68%
8/15
2%
-
Home/away
75%
1/3
2%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
2/7
3%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
5/2
7%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
9/4-
Under 3.5 Goals
67%
1/3-
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
11/2
8%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
1/9
1%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
14/1
15%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/33
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/16
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
9/1
9%
-
Home DNB
49%
8/11
4%
-
Away DNB
60%
1/1
5%
-
Albirex win to nil
15%
10/3
4%
-
Gamba Osaka win to nil
21%
9/2
10%
-
Albirex / Albirex
21%
3/1-
Albirex / Gamba Osaka
3%
28/1
12%
-
Albirex / Draw
6%
12/1-
Draw / Albirex
14%
5/1-
Draw / Gamba Osaka
13%
11/2-
Draw / Draw
17%
4/1
9%
-
Gamba Osaka / Albirex
3%
25/1-
Gamba Osaka / Gamba Osaka
18%
15/4
6%
-
Gamba Osaka / Draw
6%
14/1
15%
-
bet365
Win / draw / win J-League table

Albirex have played 36 matches so far this season and are in 16th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

28 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 13 games, drawn 7 and won 8. Albirex have conceded 46 goals, scored 33, failed to score in 8 matches and kept 6 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Albirex have played 18 games at home, winning 4, drawing 6 and losing 8 fixtures. They have scored 25 goals, conceded 32 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score 4 times in home league games.

Gamba Osaka lay in 4th place on 60 points in the J-League league table having played 36 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 31 games against teams below them in the table, winning 15, drawing 9 and losing 7 games. They have scored 38 goals and kept 12 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Gamba Osaka have conceded 26 goals and have failed to score in 11 matches.

Away league performance

Gamba Osaka have played 18 away games, winning 6, drawing 8 and losing 4 games. They have scored an average of 1 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.9 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Albirex
Gamba Osaka
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Vissel Kobe3620882268 
l
 
2-3A
l
 
3-2A
w
 
2-1F
d
 
2-2A
2
Hiroshima36181172765 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
Dec 8
d
 
1-1F
3
Machida3618992163 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-3F
l
 
1-3F
d
 
1-1A
4
Gamba Osaka 36161281160 
Nov 30
l
 
1-0A
-
-
5
Kashima36161191559 
l
 
0-4A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-2A
d
 
0-00-0
6
Tokyo Verdy3614139155 
l
 
0-2A
d
 
2-2A
d
 
1-1F
d
 
0-00-0
7
Cerezo36131310052 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
1-2F
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
8
Tokyo3614913051 
l
 
1-3A
l
 
2-0A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-1F
9
Yokohama FM3614715049 
w
 
3-1A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
4-0F
l
 
2-0A
10
Nagoya3614517-247 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-0A
w
 
3-2A
w
 
0-1F
11
Avispa36111411-447 
l
 
1-2A
w
 
0-1F
d
 
2-2A
l
 
1-0A
12
Urawa Reds35121013546 
l
 
2-4A
Dec 8
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-1F
13
Kyoto Sanga36121014-1146 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
2-2F
14
Kawasaki35111212645 
d
 
2-2A
l
 
5-1A
w
 
3-1A
d
 
1-1F
15
Shonan3612915-145 
w
 
3-1F
l
 
2-1F
l
 
0-1A
w
 
1-2F
16
Albirex 36101115-1441 
-
-
w
 
1-0F
Nov 30
17
Kashiwa3691314-1140 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-1F
d
 
0-00-0
18
Jubilo Iwata369819-1935 
d
 
2-2F
l
 
2-0A
w
 
2-1F
w
 
3-4A
19
Sapporo3681018-2034 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-1F
w
 
2-1A
l
 
1-0A
20
Sagan Tosu368523-2629 
l
 
3-4A
w
 
1-2A
w
 
2-1A
w
 
0-2F
Afc Champions League
Afc Champions League Qualifiers
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
3
Albirex have lost 3 consecutive home league games
7
Albirex have not won in 7 consecutive league games
Albirex 16TH
20 league games
Home
3
Overall
7
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
Draw
7
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
Gamba Osaka 4TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
6
Draw
8
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
Draw
8
L
4
bet365
bet365
Goal Statistics

Goals have been an issue for Albirex Niigata of late. It has been 5 J-League matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.3 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Saturday morning against Gamba Osaka.

Albirex 16th Gamba Osaka 4th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that Albirex will score no more than 1 goal
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
13%
4+
7%
There is a 79% probability that Gamba Osaka will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-6
Albirex’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-19
Gamba Osaka have scored 19% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.3
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
1.6
conceded
1.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
J-League - 2024/2024 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/271820/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Albirex
PG (predicted goals)
Gamba Osaka
1.3
1.6
Attack rating
ALB
GAM
1%
better
view stats
Games scored27
25
Failed to score9
11
Scored first12
16
Goals scored44
45
Avg. goals scored1.2
1.3
Avg. shots per game10
10
Avg. shots per goal8
8
Conversion rate for12
13
Avg. XG for1.3
1.4
KickOff rating
+1%
Defence rating
ALB
GAM
31%
better
view stats
Games conceded29
24
Clean sheets7
12
Conceded first22
15
Goals conceded58
34
Avg. goals conceded1.6
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded10
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
11
Conversion rate against17%
10%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.3
KickOff rating
+31%

Albirex v Gamba Osaka J-League lLine ups will show here when available.

Albirex J-League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
351044
S FujiwaraK TaniguchiM FitzgeraldM Fitzgerald
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Fujiwara MID3552
3
-
H Akiyama MID3422
1
-
K Taniguchi FWD32102
-
R Kojima GLK31
1
-
M Hasegawa MID3111
1
-
M Fitzgerald DEF3014
4
-
T Deng DEF29
3
-
M Nagakura FWD2851
1
-
Y Komi MID2724
1
-
E Matsuda MID2311
-
Y Ono MID2241
2
-
E Miyamoto MID2111
4
-
Y Takagi MID2013
1
-
Y Shimada MID191
1
-
K Suzuki FWD1822
-
Y Horigome DEF172
2
-
J. Okumura MID161
2
-
D Gomes FWD16
1
-
F Hayakawa DEF152
2
1
S Ota FWD152
2
-
H Inamura DEF111
2
-
Y Hoshi MID101
1
-
K Chiba DEF81
1
-
K Hashimoto DEF72
-
R Endo DEF71
1
-
T Hasegawa DEF6
-
K Abe GLK5
-
A Ishiyama MID2
-
Gamba Osaka J-League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
361285
J IchimoriT UsamiT UsamiWelton
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Ichimori GLK36
1
-
S Nakatani DEF363
2
-
K Kurokawa DEF362
1
-
T Suzuki MID352
3
-
Dawhan MID353
4
-
I Sakamoto FWD3581
1
-
T Usami FWD35128
3
-
S Fukuoka DEF3421
-
Welton FWD2945
5
-
R Yamashita FWD2815
3
-
T Kishimoto DEF2411
2
-
S Kurata MID2311
1
-
R Handa DEF2211
3
1
K Yamada MID2131
1
-
N Lavi MID20
2
-
J Alano MID181
2
-
I Jebali FWD1622
-
R Matsuda DEF13
2
-
S Nakano DEF12
-
R Meshino FWD11
1
-
R. Mito MID10
1
1
G Miura DEF91
-
Y Fukuda MID61
-
Y Egawa DEF3
-
D Hayashi FWD1
-