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Carrarese v Spezia : Serie B match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 19th Jan, 16:15 BST, Stadio dei Marmi, Carrara

The Serie B is the focus for both Carrarese and Spezia on Sunday afternoon, as bosses Antonio Calabro and Luca D'Angelo battle it out at the Stadio dei Marmi. Our goal is for you to win betting on this match, so every stats you could possibly need to make a well-informed wager is laid out below. Go between seventeen betting markets or take our top tip. We've got predictions, head-to-head analysis and the best odds for every one.

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

It may not be what the neutrals want to hear, but we don't predict a goal-fest here. The statistics suggest Carrarese and Spezia both are poor in attack and defence, and the odds are leaning towards there being fewer than 2 goals in total as they go head-to-head. We think they're probably right and, in the absence of obvious outright winners to back, under 2.5 goals looks like a smart bet.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Carrarese are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 38% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.90.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Carrarese 38%	19/10 5%	9/5 8%
Draw 34%	21/10	15/8 1%
Spezia 28%	6/4 7%	7/5 4%
Draw 0-0 18%	6/1	5/1 8%
Carrarese 1-0 17%	6/1	6/1 8%
Spezia 1-0 14%	11/2 7%	5/1 8%
Draw 1-1 13%	5/1	19/4
Carrarese 2-0 8%	12/1 8%	10/1 10%
Carrarese 2-1 6%	11/1 9%	9/1 5%
Spezia 2-0 5%	10/1 8%	17/2 5%
Spezia 2-1 5%	9/1 9%	8/1 5%
Carrarese 3-0 3%	28/1	22/1 10%
Draw 2-2 2%	18/1	14/1
Carrarese 3-1 2%	28/1 12%	20/1 11%
Spezia 3-0 1%	25/1 10%	18/1
Spezia 3-1 1%	22/1 12%	16/1 11%
Carrarese 3-2 1%	40/1	25/1
Spezia 3-2 1%	40/1	25/1
Over 2.5 Goals 24%	6/4	11/8
Under 2.5 Goals 76%	1/2	10/21
Home 1st Goal 46%	13/10 5%	6/5
Away 1st Goal 40%	10/11 2%	1/1
No 1st Goal 14%	6/1	11/2
BTTS - Yes 33%	21/20	21/20 2%
BTTS - No 67%	7/10	4/6
BTTS - Home Win 10%	6/1	11/2 8%
BTTS - Draw 16%	15/4	7/2 2%
BTTS - Away Win 7%	5/1 8%	19/4 4%
Home/draw 72%	1/2 4%	1/2 4%
Away/draw 62%	2/5	2/5 3%
Home/away 66%	4/11	4/11
Over 1.5 Goals 51%	4/9 4%	4/9
Under 1.5 Goals 49%	13/8 5%	29/20 2%
Over 3.5 Goals 9%	4/1	10/3 2%
Under 3.5 Goals 91%	1/6	2/13
Over 4.5 Goals 3%	10/1	15/2
Under 4.5 Goals 97%	1/20	1/33
Over 5.5 Goals 1%	25/1	16/1
Under 5.5 Goals 99%	1/100	1/1000
Over 0.5 Goals 82%	1/10	1/12
Under 0.5 Goals 18%	6/1	5/1
Home DNB 62%	1/1 9%	1/1 8%
Away DNB 52%	8/11 5%	8/11 5%
Carrarese win to nil 28%	10/3 8%	-
Spezia win to nil 21%	11/4 6%	-
Carrarese / Carrarese 16%	4/1 5%	19/5 9%
Carrarese / Spezia 3%	33/1	22/1 12%
Carrarese / Draw 6%	14/1	12/1
Draw / Carrarese 13%	11/2 8%	5/1 4%
Draw / Spezia 15%	9/2 8%	17/4 5%
Draw / Draw 19%	10/3	3/1
Spezia / Carrarese 3%	33/1	25/1
Spezia / Spezia 19%	10/3 4%	3/1 8%
Spezia / Draw 6%	14/1	12/1

Win / draw / win Serie B table

Carrarese have played 21 matches so far this season and are in 9th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

9 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 5 games, drawn 2 and won 2. Carrarese have conceded 12 goals, scored 6, failed to score in 4 matches and kept 4 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Carrarese have played 10 games at home, winning 6, drawing 3 and losing 1 fixture. They have scored 11 goals, conceded 3 goals, kept 8 clean sheets and failed to score 3 times in home league games.

Spezia lay in 3rd place on 39 points in the Serie B league table having played 21 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 19 games against teams below them in the table, winning 10, drawing 7 and losing 2 games. They have scored 28 goals and kept 10 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Spezia have conceded 12 goals and have failed to score in 5 matches.

Away league performance

Spezia have played 11 away games, winning 3, drawing 6 and losing 2 games. They have scored an average of 0.9 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.7 goals per away game.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Carrarese Spezia
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Sassuolo	21	15	4	2	25	49	l 0-2A	May 1	Jan 24	d 0-00-0
2	Pisa	21	14	4	3	19	46	w 1-0F	l 2-1A	Mar 8	d 2-2F
3	Spezia Away	21	10	9	2	16	39	Jan 19	l 4-2F	-	-
4	Cremonese	21	9	6	6	8	33	Mar 1	l 1-0A	May 9	d 1-1A
5	Juve Stabia	21	7	9	5	-1	30	d 0-00-0	Jan 25	d 1-1F	w 0-3F
6	Catanzaro	21	5	13	3	4	28	Apr 12	l 3-1A	Feb 23	w 0-1F
7	Bari 1908	21	6	10	5	4	28	Mar 29	d 0-00-0	d 0-00-0	l 2-0A
8	Palermo	21	7	6	8	3	27	w 1-0F	Apr 21	Feb 9	l 2-0A
9	Carrarese Home	21	7	6	8	-3	27	-	-	w 4-2A	Jan 19
10	Cesena	21	7	5	9	-1	26	w 2-0F	l 2-1A	w 2-1A	Mar 15
11	Modena	21	5	10	6	-1	25	May 4	l 2-0A	w 1-0F	Feb 15
12	Reggiana	21	6	7	8	-2	25	d 0-00-0	Feb 22	w 1-0F	May 4
13	Brescia	21	5	9	7	-3	24	Feb 2	d 0-00-0	Mar 29	d 1-1F
14	Mantova	21	5	9	7	-4	24	d 1-1A	May 9	d 1-1A	Apr 12
15	Cittadella	21	6	6	9	-15	24	w 3-0F	Apr 5	w 5-0F	Feb 1
16	Sampdoria	21	4	9	8	-7	21	Apr 25	d 1-1F	Apr 5	d 0-00-0
17	Frosinone	21	4	8	9	-13	20	Mar 8	w 0-1F	w 2-1A	Apr 25
18	Sudtirol	21	5	4	12	-14	19	w 2-0F	Mar 15	w 3-0F	Feb 28
19	Cosenza	21	4	10	7	-4	18	w 1-0F	Feb 8	Apr 21	d 0-00-0
20	Salernitana	21	4	6	11	-11	18	Feb 15	l 4-1A	May 1	w 0-2F

	Promotion
	Promotion Play Off
	Relegation Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Carrarese have won 4 consecutive home league games

Carrarese have not lost in 8 consecutive home league games

Carrarese have kept a clean sheet for 6 consecutive home league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

7 / 10

Conceded

2 / 10

Clean sheets

8 / 10

Failed to score

3 / 10

Won

Draw

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Carrarese	2 - 0	Cesena
Carrarese	1 - 0	Cosenza
Carrarese	1 - 0	Palermo
Carrarese	1 - 0	Pisa
Carrarese	0 - 0	Juve Stabia
Carrarese	3 - 0	Cittadella
Carrarese	1 - 1	Mantova
Carrarese	0 - 0	Reggiana
Carrarese	0 - 2	Sassuolo
Carrarese	2 - 0	Sudtirol

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

9 / 20

Clean sheets

11 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Carrarese	1 - 2	Pisa
H	Carrarese	2 - 0	Cesena
A	Carrarese	1 - 1	Sampdoria
H	Carrarese	1 - 0	Cosenza
A	Carrarese	0 - 0	Brescia
H	Carrarese	1 - 0	Palermo
A	Carrarese	1 - 4	Salernitana
H	Carrarese	1 - 0	Pisa
A	Carrarese	0 - 2	Modena
H	Carrarese	0 - 0	Juve Stabia
A	Carrarese	0 - 0	Bari 1908
H	Carrarese	3 - 0	Cittadella
H	Carrarese	1 - 1	Mantova
A	Carrarese	1 - 0	Frosinone
H	Carrarese	0 - 0	Reggiana
A	Carrarese	2 - 4	Spezia
H	Carrarese	0 - 2	Sassuolo
A	Carrarese	1 - 3	Catanzaro
H	Carrarese	2 - 0	Sudtirol
A	Carrarese	0 - 1	Cremonese

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

10 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

10 / 20

Draw

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bari 1908	2 - 0	Spezia
Catanzaro	0 - 1	Spezia
Sampdoria	0 - 0	Spezia
Palermo	2 - 0	Spezia
Juve Stabia	0 - 3	Spezia
Brescia	1 - 1	Spezia
Salernitana	0 - 2	Spezia
Sassuolo	0 - 0	Spezia
Cremonese	1 - 1	Spezia
Cosenza	0 - 0	Spezia
Pisa	2 - 2	Spezia
Cosenza	2 - 2	Spezia
Brescia	0 - 0	Spezia
Parma	2 - 0	Spezia
Reggiana	0 - 0	Spezia
Bari 1908	1 - 1	Spezia
Modena	0 - 0	Spezia
Ternana	1 - 1	Spezia
Pisa	2 - 3	Spezia
Como 1907	4 - 0	Spezia

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

9 / 20

Clean sheets

11 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Spezia	1 - 1	Juve Stabia
A	Spezia	0 - 2	Bari 1908
H	Spezia	1 - 1	Mantova
A	Spezia	1 - 0	Catanzaro
A	Spezia	0 - 0	Sampdoria
H	Spezia	5 - 0	Cittadella
A	Spezia	0 - 2	Palermo
H	Spezia	3 - 0	Sudtirol
A	Spezia	3 - 0	Juve Stabia
H	Spezia	1 - 0	Modena
A	Spezia	1 - 1	Brescia
H	Spezia	0 - 0	Bari 1908
A	Spezia	2 - 0	Salernitana
H	Spezia	1 - 0	Reggiana
A	Spezia	0 - 0	Sassuolo
H	Spezia	4 - 2	Carrarese
A	Spezia	1 - 1	Cremonese
H	Spezia	2 - 1	Cesena
A	Spezia	0 - 0	Cosenza
H	Spezia	2 - 1	Frosinone

Goal Statistics

An absolutely dismal PG of just 0.8 should cause concerns for Spezia fans, as should a 5 Serie B matches run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

	Carrarese 9th	Spezia 3rd
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	0.9 goals	0.8 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 39% 1 37% 2 17% 3 4+ There is a 76% probability of Carrarese scoring 1 goal or less	0 46% 1 36% 2 14% 3 4+ There is a 82% probability of Spezia scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
10 home / away league games	-7 Carrarese’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-24 Spezia have scored 24% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.1 average goals scored	0.9 average goals scored
	0.3 conceded	1.0 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Serie B - 2024/2025 season

SPE

17%

better

view stats

Games scored	14		15
Failed to score	7		6
Scored first	9		10
Goals scored	19		30
Avg. goals scored	0.9		1.4
Avg. shots per game	8		11
Avg. shots per goal	9		8
Conversion rate for	11		13
Avg. XG for	1.2		1.3
KickOff rating		+17%

SPE

15%

better

view stats

Games conceded	10		10
Clean sheets	11		11
Conceded first	8		7
Goals conceded	22		14
Avg. goals conceded	1		0.7
Avg. shots/game conceded	10		8
Avg. shots/goal conceded	10		12
Conversion rate against	10%		8%
Avg. XG against	1.3		0.9
KickOff rating		+15%

Carrarese v Spezia Serie B lLine ups will show here when available.

Carrarese Serie B squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
21	4	3	6
M Bleve	N. Schiavi	M Cicconi	S Giovane

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
M Bleve GLK	21			-
M Finotto FWD	21	3		-
M Imperiale DEF	20			2 -
S Zanon MID	20		2	1 -
N. Schiavi MID	20	4		5 -
L. Cerri FWD	20	3		3 -
M Cicconi MID	19	2	3	3 -
S Giovane MID	18		3	6 -
L Cherubini FWD	18	1	2	2 -
E Zuelli MID	17		2	4 -
J Illanes DEF	16			3 3
D Bouah DEF	15	3		3 -
M Coppolaro DEF	15			3 -
L Capezzi MID	15		1	2 -
G Panico FWD	15			2 -
S. Shpendi FWD	14	2	1	3 -
F Oliana DEF	13	1		3 -
N. Belloni MID	11			-
A Capello FWD	11			1 -
R. Palmieri MID	7			2 -
H Hermannsson DEF	3			1 -
G Guarino DEF	3			1 -
F Falco MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
4	13	3	19
N. Schiavi	N. Schiavi	M Cicconi	M Cicconi

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
N. Schiavi MID	4	13		9
D Bouah DEF	3	5		7
L. Cerri FWD	3	10		8
M Finotto FWD	3	9		10
S. Shpendi FWD	2	10	1	15
M Cicconi MID	2	8	3	19
L Cherubini FWD	1	10	2	9
F Oliana DEF	1	1
R. Palmieri MID		2
A Capello FWD				6
N. Belloni MID		1		1
M Bleve GLK				2
G Panico FWD		5		4
L Capezzi MID			1	6
M Coppolaro DEF		1		1
J Illanes DEF		2		3
E Zuelli MID		3	2	13
S Giovane MID		1	3	10
S Zanon MID		4	2	10
M Imperiale DEF				1
F Falco MID				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
936	38	95
M Imperiale	N. Schiavi	N. Schiavi

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
M Imperiale DEF	936	27	74
N. Schiavi MID	876	38	95
M Bleve GLK	761		9
J Illanes DEF	700	11	91
M Coppolaro DEF	565	14	43
M Cicconi MID	541	13	69
L Capezzi MID	539	31	52
F Oliana DEF	464	15	40
E Zuelli MID	413	15	41
S Zanon MID	389	19	90
S Giovane MID	357	10	55
L Cherubini FWD	285	10	50
D Bouah DEF	259	19	58
L. Cerri FWD	196	5	44
A Capello FWD	185	2	19
G Panico FWD	179	13	44
M Finotto FWD	177	6	37
S. Shpendi FWD	166	10	50
N. Belloni MID	153	12	24
H Hermannsson DEF	116	2	7
G Guarino DEF	106	3	19
R. Palmieri MID	69	8	19
F Falco MID	29		3

Spezia Serie B squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
19	9	7	6
S Esposito	F. Esposito	S Esposito	S Esposito

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
S Esposito MID	20	5	7	6 -
E Soleri FWD	20	3		3 -
A Mateju DEF	19		1	2 -
Ádám Nagy MID	19			5 -
F. Esposito FWD	19	9	1	3 -
N Bertola DEF	18	3	1	4 -
G Serio FWD	18	1	2	5 -
S Elia FWD	18			2 -
P Hristov DEF	17	2	1	5 -
P Wisniewski DEF	17	1		5 -
S Gori GLK	16			-
L Vignali DEF	15	1		2 1
A Reca DEF	15			3 -
F Bandinelli MID	15		1	3 -
F Cassata MID	14		1	3 -
A Colak FWD	14	1	1	-
D Falcinelli FWD	13	1		1 -
G Aurelio DEF	12	1		-
P Candelari MID	12			1 -
D Innocenti MID	11			2 -
M Sarr GLK	4			-
R. Kouda MID	3			1 -
S Giorgeschi DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
9	18	7	27
F. Esposito	F. Esposito	S Esposito	S Esposito

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
F. Esposito FWD	9	18	1	9
S Esposito MID	5	16	7	27
N Bertola DEF	3	6	1	5
E Soleri FWD	3	10		5
P Hristov DEF	2	3	1	4
G Aurelio DEF	1	2		3
D Falcinelli FWD	1	2		1
A Colak FWD	1	4	1	5
L Vignali DEF	1	6		7
G Serio FWD	1	4	2	5
P Wisniewski DEF	1	3		3
S Gori GLK				1
S Elia FWD		4		17
A Reca DEF		2		7
F Bandinelli MID		4	1	8
F Cassata MID		2	1	15
Ádám Nagy MID		2		2
A Mateju DEF		2	1	5
P Candelari MID		2		7
D Innocenti MID		4		6
R. Kouda MID		2		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1020	42	145
S Esposito	N Bertola	S Esposito

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
S Esposito MID	1020	38	145
P Hristov DEF	671	30	122
A Mateju DEF	659	29	98
N Bertola DEF	586	42	96
Ádám Nagy MID	527	19	44
P Wisniewski DEF	523	23	86
F. Esposito FWD	361	6	122
S Gori GLK	356		3
S Elia FWD	295	23	85
F Bandinelli MID	269	20	58
L Vignali DEF	266	23	49
F Cassata MID	225	23	56
E Soleri FWD	173	7	83
A Reca DEF	172	10	40
D Innocenti MID	147	14	44
G Serio FWD	133	8	55
P Candelari MID	110	16	44
A Colak FWD	104	5	26
D Falcinelli FWD	104	6	26
G Aurelio DEF	104	6	17
M Sarr GLK	95		2
R. Kouda MID	17		7
S Giorgeschi DEF	10

Italian Serie B match betting previews, predictions and odds

Salernitana v Reggiana

Palermo v Juve Stabia

Juve Stabia v Carrarese

Carrarese v Spezia : Serie B match betting preview, prediction and odds

Carrarese have played 21 matches so far this season and are in 9th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

Home league performance

Spezia lay in 3rd place on 39 points in the Serie B league table having played 21 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

Away league performance

Carrarese v Spezia Serie B lLine ups will show here when available.

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