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Venezia v Milan : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 27th Apr, 14:00 BST, Stadio Pierluigi Penzo, Venice

Eusebio Di Francesco's Venezia side enjoy home advantage in the Serie A on Sunday afternoon, as Giuseppe Pillon's Milan arrive at the Stadio Pierluigi Penzo. You'll see stats supporting our top of below, but be sure to take a look at the 16 other markets we cover too. Each has been designed to deliver as full a picture as possible, with Serie A performances and head to heads (H2Hs) included, so that you're able to make the smartest bet choices. Finally, be sure to get the best odds and bet smart.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Serie A Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We don't believe there is a clear favourite to win this match, but what is clear is that the odds suggest it'll have a maximum of 3 goals. Our statistical analysis says the same. Venezia and Milan have taken part in a lot of under 3.5 goal games lately, and key performance statistics point towards an extension of that record. We're confidently predicting under 3.5 goals on Sunday afternoon, and the bookmakers have it priced at 1.44.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Venezia
26%
4/1
5%
-
Draw
26%
3/1-
Milan
48%
8/13-
Draw 1-1
12%
7/1-
Milan 1-0
12%
7/1-
Milan 2-1
9%
15/2-
Milan 2-0
9%
15/2-
Venezia 1-0
8%
14/1-
Draw 0-0
8%
12/1-
Venezia 2-1
6%
14/1-
Draw 2-2
5%
14/1-
Milan 3-1
4%
11/1
8%
-
Milan 3-0
4%
12/1-
Venezia 2-0
4%
25/1-
Milan 3-2
2%
22/1-
Venezia 3-1
2%
40/1
21%
-
Milan 4-1
2%
22/1-
Milan 4-0
2%
22/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
8/11-
Under 2.5 Goals
55%
11/10-
Home 1st Goal
43%
2/1
4%
-
Away 1st Goal
52%
4/9-
No 1st Goal
5%
12/1-
BTTS - Yes
49%
7/10
3%
-
BTTS - No
51%
21/20
3%
-
BTTS - Home Win
11%
15/2-
BTTS - Draw
18%
4/1-
BTTS - Away Win
20%
9/4-
Home/draw
52%
5/4-
Away/draw
74%
1/6
1%
-
Home/away
74%
2/9-
Over 1.5 Goals
71%
2/9-
Under 1.5 Goals
29%
10/3-
Over 3.5 Goals
24%
7/4-
Under 3.5 Goals
76%
4/9-
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
4/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
1/6-
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
9/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/16-
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/25-
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
12/1-
Home DNB
45%
11/4-
Away DNB
66%
1/4-
Venezia win to nil
15%
9/1
11%
-
Milan win to nil
28%
2/1-
Venezia / Venezia
10%
15/2
6%
-
Venezia / Milan
4%
20/1-
Venezia / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Venezia
8%
9/1-
Draw / Milan
18%
7/2-
Draw / Draw
13%
11/2-
Milan / Venezia
2%
33/1-
Milan / Milan
33%
6/4
4%
-
Milan / Draw
6%
14/1-
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Win / draw / win Serie A table

Venezia have played 32 matches so far this season and are in 18th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

29 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 16 games, drawn 10 and won 3. Venezia have conceded 41 goals, scored 21, failed to score in 15 matches and kept 5 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Venezia have played 16 games at home, winning 4, drawing 5 and losing 7 fixtures. They have scored 13 goals, conceded 16 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and failed to score 8 times in home league games.

Milan lay in 9th place on 51 points in the Serie A league table having played 32 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 19 games against teams below them in the table, winning 13, drawing 4 and losing 2 games. They have scored 38 goals and kept 10 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Milan have conceded 16 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Milan have played 16 away games, winning 7, drawing 2 and losing 7 games. They have scored an average of 1.6 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.4 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Venezia
Milan
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Inter3221834171 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-2F
2
Napoli3220842668 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-1A
3
Atalanta3218773561 
l
 
0-2A
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 20
l
 
2-1A
4
Juventus32151431959 
May 25
d
 
2-2A
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-0A
5
Bologna32151251457 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-0A
May 11
l
 
2-1F
6
Lazio3216881056 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
3-1F
l
 
1-2A
d
 
2-2F
7
Roma3215981554 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1F
May 18
8
Fiorentina3215891753 
May 11
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
2-2A
l
 
2-1A
9
Milan Away3214991451 
Apr 27
l
 
4-0A
-
-
10
Torino3291310-140 
l
 
0-1A
May 4
d
 
2-2A
l
 
2-1A
11
Udinese3211714-1040 
w
 
3-2A
l
 
3-2A
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-4F
12
Genoa3291211-939 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-0A
d
 
0-00-0
May 4
13
Como 1907329914-836 
d
 
2-2F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-1A
w
 
1-2A
14
Verona329518-2932 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
15
Cagliari327916-1530 
w
 
2-1F
May 18
d
 
1-1F
d
 
3-3A
16
Parma3251314-1428 
l
 
1-2F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
3-2A
l
 
2-1A
17
Lecce326818-2926 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
3-0F
w
 
2-3A
18
Venezia Home3241216-1924 
-
-
w
 
4-0F
Apr 27
19
Empoli3241216-2624 
d
 
1-1F
Apr 20
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-2F
20
Monza322921-3115 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
2-2F
May 25
w
 
0-1F
Win / draw / win form
Venezia 18TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Venezia1 - 0Monza
Venezia0 - 1Bologna
Venezia0 - 0Napoli
Venezia0 - 0Lazio
Venezia0 - 1Roma
Venezia1 - 1Verona
Venezia0 - 1Inter
Venezia1 - 1Empoli
Venezia2 - 1Cagliari
Venezia2 - 2Como 1907
Venezia0 - 1Lecce
Venezia1 - 2Parma
Venezia3 - 2Udinese
Venezia0 - 2Atalanta
Venezia2 - 0Genoa
Venezia0 - 1Torino
Venezia1 - 0Cremonese
Venezia2 - 1Palermo
Venezia2 - 1Feralpisalo
Venezia2 - 1Cremonese
Goals: Scored
14
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
W
2
Draw
10
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HVenezia1 - 0Monza
AVenezia1 - 1Lecce
HVenezia0 - 1Bologna
HVenezia0 - 0Napoli
AVenezia1 - 1Como 1907
AVenezia0 - 0Atalanta
HVenezia0 - 0Lazio
AVenezia0 - 2Genoa
HVenezia0 - 1Roma
AVenezia2 - 3Udinese
HVenezia1 - 1Verona
AVenezia1 - 1Parma
HVenezia0 - 1Inter
HVenezia1 - 1Empoli
AVenezia0 - 1Napoli
HVenezia2 - 1Cagliari
AVenezia2 - 2Juventus
HVenezia2 - 2Como 1907
AVenezia0 - 3Bologna
HVenezia0 - 1Lecce
Milan 9TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Udinese0 - 4Milan
Napoli2 - 1Milan
Lecce2 - 3Milan
Bologna2 - 1Milan
Torino2 - 1Milan
Empoli0 - 2Milan
Juventus2 - 0Milan
Como 19071 - 2Milan
Verona0 - 1Milan
Atalanta2 - 1Milan
Cagliari3 - 3Milan
Monza0 - 1Milan
Fiorentina2 - 1Milan
Inter1 - 2Milan
Lazio2 - 2Milan
Parma2 - 1Milan
Torino3 - 1Milan
Juventus0 - 0Milan
Sassuolo3 - 3Milan
Fiorentina1 - 2Milan
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AMilan4 - 0Udinese
HMilan2 - 2Fiorentina
AMilan1 - 2Napoli
HMilan2 - 1Como 1907
AMilan3 - 2Lecce
HMilan1 - 2Lazio
AMilan1 - 2Bologna
AMilan1 - 2Torino
HMilan1 - 0Verona
AMilan2 - 0Empoli
HMilan1 - 1Inter
HMilan3 - 2Parma
AMilan0 - 2Juventus
AMilan2 - 1Como 1907
HMilan1 - 1Cagliari
HMilan1 - 1Roma
AMilan1 - 0Verona
HMilan0 - 0Genoa
AMilan1 - 2Atalanta
HMilan3 - 0Empoli
Goal Statistics

Goals have been difficult to come by for Venezia of late. It has been 9 Serie A games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.1 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Sunday afternoon against Milan.

Venezia 18th Milan 9th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.0
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 73% probability that Venezia will score no more than 1 goal
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Milan will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-26
Venezia have scored 26% fewer goals at home than predicted
+5
Milan’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.0
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/283376/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Venezia
PG (predicted goals)
Milan
1
1.5
Attack rating
VEN
ACM
37%
better
view stats
Games scored17
28
Failed to score15
4
Scored first13
15
Goals scored25
51
Avg. goals scored0.8
1.6
Avg. shots per game7
11
Avg. shots per goal9
7
Conversion rate for11
15
Avg. XG for1.1
1.8
KickOff rating
+37%
Defence rating
VEN
ACM
13%
better
view stats
Games conceded26
21
Clean sheets6
11
Conceded first15
15
Goals conceded44
37
Avg. goals conceded1.4
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded11
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
8
Conversion rate against12%
13%
Avg. XG against1.6
1.2
KickOff rating
+13%

Venezia v Milan Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Venezia Serie A squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
29337
J IdzesH CavigliaG OristanioH Caviglia
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Oristanio MID3123
3
-
M Ellertsson MID3021
1
-
J Idzes DEF291
4
-
H Caviglia MID2832
6
1
G Busio MID271
3
-
J Yeboah MID261
5
-
C Gytkjaer FWD232
-
F Zampano DEF2112
5
-
R Haps DEF181
3
-
I. Doumbia MID18
-
F Stankovic GLK16
1
-
M Svoboda DEF161
1
-
M Sverko DEF151
3
-
A Duncan MID15
2
-
A Zerbin FWD111
2
-
F Candé DEF101
3
-
J Schingtienne DEF10
2
-
K Pérez MID9
4
-
B Bjarkason MID9
2
-
I Radu  GLK8
1
-
J Joronen GLK8
-
F Carboni DEF8
2
-
D Crnigoj MID8
-
M Marić FWD6
-
D Fila FWD6
1
-
C Conde MID5
2
-
A Marcandalli DEF4
1
-
R Sagrado DEF3
-
S. El Haddad MID3
-
Milan Serie A squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
30975
M Maignan T ReijndersR LeãoY Fofana
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Maignan  GLK30
2
-
T Reijnders MID3094
2
1
Y Fofana MID2914
5
-
R Leão FWD2967
4
-
T Hernández DEF2833
4
1
C Pulisic FWD2797
1
-
Y Musah MID252
5
-
T Abraham FWD2533
1
-
S Chukwueze FWD233
-
M Thiaw DEF21
2
-
M Gabbia DEF191
3
-
E Royal DEF18
5
-
S Pavlovic DEF1711
2
1
F Tomori DEF151
2
1
R Loftus-Cheek MID14
1
-
A. Jiménez Sánchez DEF13
5
-
F Terracciano DEF10
2
-
J Félix FWD9
1
-
S Giménez FWD921
3
-
L Jović  FWD92
1
-
K Walker DEF8
1
-
W Bondo MID4
1
-
R Sottil  FWD3
-
M Sportiello GLK1
-