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Napoli v Inter Milan : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

San Paolo, Castelvolturno

Simone Inzaghi leads his Inter Milan charges to the San Paolo in the Serie A on Saturday evening, with Antonio Conte's Napoli the opponent. Below we've got predictions for all the biggest betting markets, supporting stats including head-to-heads, and odds from leading bookmakers. All is accessible via the tabs below.

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Napoli's next match is v Venezia at 11:30 on Sunday 16th March
Inter Milan's next match is v Atalanta at 19:45 on Sunday 16th March
The last Italian Serie A meeting between Napoli and Inter was on Saturday 1st March 2025
Italian Serie A
March 1st 2025
Napoli 1
1 Inter
 
P. Billing 87'22' F. Dimarco
 
NAP
INT
Shots On
4
1
Shots Off
2
2
Corners
12
3
Possession
62%
38%
Fouls
7
15
Yellow/red cards
1/0
 
NapoliInter
 
A. Meret
G. Di Lorenzo
L. Spinazzola (M. Olivera Miramontes 82')
A. Rrahmani
A. Buongiorno
S. Lobotka
B. Gilmour (P. Billing 79')
S. McTominay
M. Politano (C. Ngonge 82')
R. Lukaku Menama
G. Raspadori (N. Okafor 77')
J. Martínez Riera
D. Dumfries
(S. de Vrij 80') A. Bastoni
(B. Pavard 51') football iconF. Dimarco
F. Acerbi
Y. Bisseck
N. Barella
(P. Zieliński 51') H. Çalhanoğlu
(D. Frattesi 80') H. Mkhitaryan
L. Martínez
(C. Correa 65') M. Thuram

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Serie A Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals means that there will be a maximum of 3 goals scored by Napoli and Inter combined during a standard 90 mins. Recent form stats and historical head-to-head (H2H) records have led us to this prediction, and we think there's a 76% chance of it being a winning tip. The top price available at present on under 3.5 goals is 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 48% chance of Inter coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Napoli
26%
2/1
9%
21/10
8%
Draw
26%
21/10
5%
2/1
6%
Inter
48%
6/4
5%
6/4
4%
Inter 1-0
12%
7/16/1
Draw 1-1
12%
5/119/4
Inter 2-0
9%
11/19/1
9%
Inter 2-1
9%
9/18/1
Draw 0-0
9%
15/26/1
7%
Napoli 1-0
9%
8/1
13%
7/1
7%
Napoli 2-1
6%
10/1
10%
9/1
5%
Draw 2-2
5%
14/111/1
Inter 3-0
4%
22/1
12%
18/1
Inter 3-1
4%
20/116/1
Napoli 2-0
4%
14/1
15%
12/1
8%
Inter 3-2
2%
33/122/1
Napoli 3-1
2%
22/118/1
Inter 4-0
2%
50/133/1
17%
Inter 4-1
2%
40/1
20%
33/1
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
11/1011/10
2%
Under 2.5 Goals
55%
8/114/6
2%
Home 1st Goal
43%
6/5
5%
-
Away 1st Goal
52%
5/6
4%
-
No 1st Goal
5%
15/2-
BTTS - Yes
49%
4/5
6%
5/6
BTTS - No
51%
19/20
2%
10/11
BTTS - Home Win
11%
5/119/4
5%
BTTS - Draw
18%
10/3
4%
16/5
BTTS - Away Win
20%
9/219/5
4%
Home/draw
52%
1/2
4%
8/15
2%
Away/draw
74%
4/11
3%
4/11
3%
Home/away
74%
4/11
2%
4/11
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
71%
4/114/11
1%
Under 1.5 Goals
29%
11/519/10
3%
Over 3.5 Goals
23%
3/113/5
Under 3.5 Goals
77%
1/41/4
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
7/16/1
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
1/121/12
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
16/112/1
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/401/66
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1/141/12
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
8/1
6%
6/1
7%
Home DNB
44%
1/1
9%
21/20
5%
Away DNB
66%
8/11
5%
4/6
5%
Napoli win to nil
15%
4/1
15%
-
Inter win to nil
28%
3/1
8%
-
Napoli / Napoli
17%
15/4
6%
4/1
11%
Napoli / Inter
3%
28/122/1
Napoli / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Draw / Napoli
12%
11/2
8%
11/2
8%
Draw / Inter
15%
9/2
8%
17/4
5%
Draw / Draw
18%
15/43/1
8%
Inter / Napoli
3%
28/122/1
Inter / Inter
20%
3/1
8%
3/1
Inter / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Win / draw / win Serie A table

Napoli have played 26 matches so far this season and are in 2nd position in the league. Napoli are unbeaten in 1 games against teams above them in the league and kept zero clean sheets out of 1 games. Napoli are winless in the 1 games they have played against teams above them in the table and have conceded in every game.

Performance against teams above them in the league

1 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost zero games, drawn 1 and won zero. Napoli have conceded 1 goal, scored 1, scored in every game and kept no clean sheets.

Home league performance

Napoli have played 12 games at home, winning 9, drawing 1 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 18 goals, conceded 8 goals, kept 6 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

Inter lay in 1st place on 57 points in the Serie A league table having played 26 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 26 games against teams below them in the table, winning 17, drawing 6 and losing 3 games. They have scored 59 goals and kept 12 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Inter have conceded 24 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

Inter have played 13 away games, winning 8, drawing 3 and losing 2 games. They have scored an average of 2.3 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.8 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Napoli
Inter
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Inter Away2818733661 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
-
-
2
Napoli Home2818642260 
-
-
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
3
Atalanta2817743758 
l
 
0-3A
w
 
2-3A
w
 
4-0F
Mar 16
4
Juventus28131322052 
w
 
2-1A
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
4-4F
l
 
1-0A
5
Lazio2815671451 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
2-2A
May 18
w
 
0-6F
6
Bologna28131141050 
w
 
3-0F
Apr 7
d
 
2-2A
Apr 20
7
Roma2813781346 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1F
Apr 27
w
 
0-1F
8
Fiorentina2813691345 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-3F
w
 
2-1F
l
 
3-0A
9
Milan2812881044 
Mar 30
w
 
0-2F
l
 
1-2A
d
 
1-1A
10
Udinese2811710-340 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-3A
Mar 30
w
 
2-3F
11
Torino288119-135 
Apr 27
w
 
0-1F
w
 
3-2F
May 11
12
Genoa2981110-935 
May 11
w
 
1-2F
w
 
1-0F
d
 
2-2A
13
Como 1907287813-1029 
w
 
3-1F
l
 
2-1A
w
 
2-0F
May 25
14
Cagliari286814-1526 
May 25
w
 
0-4F
Apr 12
w
 
0-3F
15
Verona288218-3026 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
3-0A
May 4
w
 
0-5F
16
Lecce296716-2725 
w
 
1-0F
May 4
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-4F
17
Parma285914-1424 
w
 
2-1A
May 18
w
 
3-1F
Apr 5
18
Empoli2841014-2222 
Apr 14
w
 
0-1F
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-3F
19
Venezia2831015-1919 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 16
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
20
Monza282818-2514 
w
 
2-0F
Apr 19
w
 
3-2A
d
 
1-1A
Win / draw / win form
Napoli 2ND
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
10
Draw
6
L
4
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
13
D
4
L
3
Inter 1ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
46
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
13
D
4
L
3
Goals: Scored
46
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
14
D
4
L
2
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Napoli since 2015
Napoli
Inter
Goals: Scored
17
13
Games: Scored
8 / 10
8 / 10
Clean sheets
2 / 10
2 / 10
NAP
4
D
4
INT
2
League games at Inter since 2016
Inter
Napoli
Goals: Scored
12
5
Games: Scored
8 / 10
4 / 10
Clean sheets
6 / 10
2 / 10
NAP
1
D
3
INT
6
Goal Statistics

Inter Milan's defensive record is to be admired, Simone Inzaghi's men having conceded 1 or less in 8 consecutive Serie A outings. An average PG rating of 1.0 for Napoli makes sense in this context.

Inter Milan's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday evening, not least because Napoli have conceded in each of their last 5 Serie A games. A PG of 1.5 for Simone Inzaghi's side suggests that run should continue.

Napoli 2nd Inter 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.0
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 74% probability of Napoli scoring 1 goal or less
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Inter will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-25
Napoli have scored 25% fewer goals at home than predicted
+20
Inter have scored 20% more goals when away than predicted
1.3
average goals scored
2.3
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
0.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/283307/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Napoli
PG (predicted goals)
Inter
1
1.5
Attack rating
NAP
INT
21%
better
view stats
Games scored22
24
Failed to score4
2
Scored first16
18
Goals scored42
59
Avg. goals scored1.6
2.3
Avg. shots per game9
12
Avg. shots per goal6
5
Conversion rate for18
20
Avg. XG for1.5
2
KickOff rating
+21%
Defence rating
6%
better
NAP
INT
view stats
Games conceded14
14
Clean sheets12
12
Conceded first9
8
Goals conceded21
24
Avg. goals conceded0.8
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded7
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
7
Conversion rate against11%
14%
Avg. XG against0.9
1
KickOff rating
+6%

Napoli v Inter Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Napoli Serie A squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
281084
G LorenzoR Lukaku R Lukaku G Lorenzo
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Meret GLK25
-
G Lorenzo DEF2831
4
-
A Rrahmani DEF2812
2
-
A Buongiorno DEF191
1
-
M Politano MID2722
2
-
B Gilmour MID16
-
S Lobotka MID241
3
-
S McTominay MID2562
3
-
L Spinazzola MID1911
1
-
R Lukaku  FWD26108
1
-
G Raspadori FWD174
1
-
Subs
N Contini GLK
1
-
S Scuffet GLK
-
J Jesus DEF111
2
-
R Marín DEF1
-
M Olivera DEF221
1
-
P Billing MID31
-
L. Hasa MID
-
N Okafor FWD111
-
G Simeone FWD2311
1
-
C Ngonge FWD11
1
-
Inter Serie A squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
261354
A BastoniM ThuramN Barella D Dumfries
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Martínez GLK3
-
Y Bisseck DEF1712
3
-
F Acerbi DEF141
-
A Bastoni DEF2714
3
-
D Dumfries MID2462
4
-
N Barella  MID2535
3
-
H Calhanoglu  MID2053
3
-
H Mkhitaryan MID2614
3
-
F Dimarco MID2444
2
-
M Thuram FWD27134
1
-
L Martínez FWD26103
-
Subs
A. Calligaris GLK
-
R Gennaro GLK
-
S Vrij DEF222
1
-
B Pavard DEF191
3
-
M. Aidoo DEF
-
M. Cocchi DEF
-
P Zielinski MID2222
-
D Frattesi MID2141
1
-
K Asllani MID152
3
-
M Arnautovic  FWD1021
1
-
J Correa FWD912
1
-
M Taremi FWD2011
1
-