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Napoli v Milan : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 30th Mar, 19:45 BST, San Paolo, Castelvolturno

We’ve Serie A action to look forward to on Sunday evening, as Antonio Conte and his Napoli side host Giuseppe Pillon’s Milan at the San Paolo. We've got bespoke stats for all of the main betting markets, from both teams to score to double chance, including form and historical head to head (H2H) data. Predictions are generated from these, and the odds come directly from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Serie A Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Napoli are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 43% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.95.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Napoli
43%
9/10
5%
19/20
Draw
27%
27/10
6%
5/2
Milan
31%
14/5
6%
14/5
Draw 1-1
13%
6/1
8%
11/2
Napoli 1-0
11%
13/2
15%
11/2
Milan 1-0
9%
10/1
16%
17/2
Napoli 2-1
9%
15/2
6%
7/1
Draw 0-0
8%
10/1
22%
15/2
Napoli 2-0
8%
8/115/2
Milan 2-1
7%
12/110/1
Milan 2-0
5%
18/1
12%
14/1
Draw 2-2
5%
14/1
12%
12/1
Napoli 3-1
4%
14/1
12%
12/1
Napoli 3-0
4%
14/1
12%
12/1
Milan 3-1
3%
33/122/1
Napoli 3-2
2%
25/1
10%
18/1
Milan 3-0
2%
40/128/1
Milan 3-2
2%
40/125/1
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
10/11
9%
10/11
Under 2.5 Goals
54%
10/11
10%
4/5
Home 1st Goal
50%
4/7
3%
-
Away 1st Goal
45%
13/8
1%
-
No 1st Goal
5%
10/1
22%
-
BTTS - Yes
50%
4/5
8%
4/5
BTTS - No
50%
19/20
8%
10/11
BTTS - Home Win
18%
3/1
11%
29/10
BTTS - Draw
19%
15/4
5%
7/2
BTTS - Away Win
14%
13/211/2
Home/draw
69%
1/4
3%
1/4
Away/draw
57%
10/11
6%
4/5
Home/away
73%
2/73/10
Over 1.5 Goals
71%
3/10
4%
3/10
Under 1.5 Goals
29%
5/2
9%
9/4
Over 3.5 Goals
24%
12/5
15%
9/4
Under 3.5 Goals
76%
1/3
6%
3/10
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
11/2
19%
5/1
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
1/9
3%
1/10
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
12/1
24%
11/1
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/25
2%
1/40
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/20
2%
1/18
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
10/1
22%
15/2
Home DNB
61%
2/5
3%
2/5
Away DNB
49%
7/4
5%
17/10
Napoli win to nil
24%
9/4-
Milan win to nil
17%
11/2
8%
-
Napoli / Napoli
26%
21/10
5%
21/10
Napoli / Milan
3%
33/125/1
Napoli / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Draw / Napoli
17%
15/4
5%
18/5
Draw / Milan
10%
15/2
6%
13/2
Draw / Draw
16%
9/2
10%
19/5
Milan / Napoli
4%
22/1
12%
18/1
Milan / Milan
13%
11/25/1
Milan / Draw
6%
14/112/1
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Win / draw / win Serie A table

Napoli have played 29 matches so far this season and lay in 2nd place in the Serie A league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 27 games against teams below in the table, having won 18, drawn 5 and lost 4 matches. They have kept 13 clean sheets and have failed to score in 5 fixtures. Napoli have outscored their opponents by 45 goals to 44 goals.

Home League Performance

Napoli have played 14 games at home winning 10, drawing 2 and losing 2 games. They have scored 21 goals, kept 6 clean sheets and conceded 10 goals at home.

Milan are in 9th position in the Serie A on 47 points having played 29 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

6 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 21 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 21 goals in total and failed to score in 1 fixture.

Performance against teams above them in the league

11 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 6 games, drawn 4 and won 1. Milan have conceded 17 goals, scored 10, failed to score in 3 fixtures and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
Napoli
Milan
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Inter2919733864 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-2F
2
Napoli Home2918742261 
-
-
l
 
0-2A
Mar 30
3
Atalanta2917753558 
l
 
0-3A
w
 
2-3A
Apr 20
l
 
2-1A
4
Bologna29141141553 
w
 
3-0F
Apr 7
May 11
l
 
2-1F
5
Juventus29131331752 
w
 
2-1A
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-0A
6
Lazio291568951 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
2-2A
l
 
1-2A
d
 
2-2F
7
Roma2914781449 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1F
May 18
8
Fiorentina2914691648 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-3F
Apr 5
l
 
2-1A
9
Milan Away2913881147 
Mar 30
w
 
0-2F
-
-
10
Udinese2911711-440 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-3A
w
 
1-0F
Apr 11
11
Torino299119038 
Apr 27
w
 
0-1F
d
 
2-2A
l
 
2-1A
12
Genoa2981110-935 
May 11
w
 
1-2F
d
 
0-00-0
May 4
13
Como 1907297814-1129 
w
 
3-1F
l
 
2-1A
w
 
2-1A
w
 
1-2A
14
Verona299218-2929 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
3-0A
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
15
Cagliari296815-1626 
May 25
w
 
0-4F
d
 
1-1F
d
 
3-3A
16
Parma2951014-1425 
w
 
2-1A
May 18
w
 
3-2A
l
 
2-1A
17
Lecce296716-2725 
w
 
1-0F
May 4
w
 
3-0F
w
 
2-3A
18
Empoli2941015-2322 
Apr 14
w
 
0-1F
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-2F
19
Venezia2931115-1920 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
4-0F
Apr 27
20
Monza292918-2515 
w
 
2-0F
Apr 19
May 25
w
 
0-1F
Win / draw / win form
6
Napoli have not lost in 6 consecutive home league games
Napoli 2ND
20 league games
Home
6
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
10
Draw
6
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Napoli2 - 1Fiorentina
Napoli1 - 1Inter
Napoli1 - 1Udinese
Napoli2 - 1Juventus
Napoli2 - 0Verona
Napoli1 - 0Venezia
Napoli0 - 1Lazio
Napoli1 - 0Roma
Napoli0 - 3Atalanta
Napoli1 - 0Lecce
Napoli3 - 1Como 1907
Napoli2 - 0Monza
Napoli2 - 1Parma
Napoli3 - 0Bologna
Napoli0 - 0Lecce
Napoli0 - 2Bologna
Napoli2 - 2Roma
Napoli2 - 2Frosinone
Napoli0 - 3Atalanta
Napoli1 - 1Torino
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
11
Draw
6
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ANapoli0 - 0Venezia
HNapoli2 - 1Fiorentina
HNapoli1 - 1Inter
ANapoli1 - 2Como 1907
ANapoli2 - 2Lazio
HNapoli1 - 1Udinese
ANapoli1 - 1Roma
HNapoli2 - 1Juventus
ANapoli3 - 2Atalanta
HNapoli2 - 0Verona
ANapoli3 - 0Fiorentina
HNapoli1 - 0Venezia
ANapoli2 - 1Genoa
ANapoli3 - 1Udinese
HNapoli0 - 1Lazio
ANapoli1 - 0Torino
HNapoli1 - 0Roma
ANapoli1 - 1Inter
HNapoli0 - 3Atalanta
ANapoli2 - 0Milan
Milan 9TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Lecce2 - 3Milan
Bologna2 - 1Milan
Torino2 - 1Milan
Empoli0 - 2Milan
Juventus2 - 0Milan
Como 19071 - 2Milan
Verona0 - 1Milan
Atalanta2 - 1Milan
Cagliari3 - 3Milan
Monza0 - 1Milan
Fiorentina2 - 1Milan
Inter1 - 2Milan
Lazio2 - 2Milan
Parma2 - 1Milan
Torino3 - 1Milan
Juventus0 - 0Milan
Sassuolo3 - 3Milan
Fiorentina1 - 2Milan
Verona1 - 3Milan
Lazio0 - 1Milan
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMilan2 - 1Como 1907
AMilan3 - 2Lecce
HMilan1 - 2Lazio
AMilan1 - 2Bologna
AMilan1 - 2Torino
HMilan1 - 0Verona
AMilan2 - 0Empoli
HMilan1 - 1Inter
HMilan3 - 2Parma
AMilan0 - 2Juventus
AMilan2 - 1Como 1907
HMilan1 - 1Cagliari
HMilan1 - 1Roma
AMilan1 - 0Verona
HMilan0 - 0Genoa
AMilan1 - 2Atalanta
HMilan3 - 0Empoli
HMilan0 - 0Juventus
AMilan3 - 3Cagliari
AMilan1 - 0Monza
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Milan have not lost to Napoli in 5 consecutive away league meetings
League games at Napoli since 2015
Napoli
Milan
Goals: Scored
18
18
Games: Scored
8 / 10
9 / 10
Clean sheets
1 / 10
2 / 10
NAP
4
D
3
ACM
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Napoli
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 4Milan
0 - 1Milan
1 - 3Milan
Draw2 - 2Draw
Napoli3 - 2
Napoli2 - 1
Napoli4 - 2
Draw1 - 1Draw
Napoli3 - 0
League games at Milan since 2014
Milan
Napoli
Goals: Scored
6
13
Games: Scored
5 / 11
7 / 11
Clean sheets
4 / 11
6 / 11
NAP
6
D
3
ACM
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Milan
0 - 2Napoli
Milan1 - 0
1 - 2Napoli
0 - 1Napoli
0 - 1Napoli
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 2Napoli
0 - 4Napoli
Milan2 - 0
Goal Statistics
Napoli 2nd Milan 9th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 60% probability that Napoli will score no more than 1 goal
0
33%
1
37%
2
21%
3
4+
There is a 70% probability that Milan will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-24
Napoli have scored 24% fewer goals at home than predicted
=0
Milan’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.3
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/283337/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Napoli
PG (predicted goals)
Milan
1.4
1.1
Attack rating
5%
better
NAP
ACM
view stats
Games scored24
25
Failed to score4
4
Scored first17
14
Goals scored45
44
Avg. goals scored1.6
1.5
Avg. shots per game9
11
Avg. shots per goal6
7
Conversion rate for18
14
Avg. XG for1.6
1.8
KickOff rating
+5%
Defence rating
18%
better
NAP
ACM
view stats
Games conceded16
19
Clean sheets12
10
Conceded first10
13
Goals conceded23
33
Avg. goals conceded0.8
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded7
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
8
Conversion rate against12%
13%
Avg. XG against0.9
1.1
KickOff rating
+18%

Napoli v Milan Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Napoli Serie A squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
291084
A RrahmaniR Lukaku R Lukaku G Lorenzo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Rrahmani DEF2912
2
-
G Lorenzo DEF2931
4
-
M Politano FWD2822
2
-
F Anguissa MID2753
4
-
R Lukaku  FWD27108
1
-
A Meret GLK26
-
S McTominay MID2662
3
-
S Lobotka MID251
3
-
G Simeone FWD2411
1
-
M Olivera DEF231
2
-
D Neres  FWD2224
1
-
A Buongiorno DEF201
1
-
L Spinazzola DEF2011
1
-
G Raspadori FWD184
1
-
B Gilmour MID17
-
P Mazzocchi  DEF16
2
-
J Jesus DEF121
2
-
C Ngonge FWD11
1
-
N Okafor FWD4
-
P Billing MID31
-
R Marín DEF1
-
Milan Serie A squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
28975
M Maignan T ReijndersR LeãoY Fofana
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Maignan  GLK28
2
-
T Reijnders MID2894
2
1
Y Fofana MID2714
5
-
R Leão FWD2767
3
-
T Hernández DEF2632
3
1
C Pulisic FWD2596
-
Y Musah MID242
5
-
T Abraham FWD2323
1
-
S Chukwueze FWD213
-
M Thiaw DEF20
2
-
M Gabbia DEF181
3
-
E Royal DEF18
5
-
S Pavlovic DEF1611
2
1
F Tomori DEF14
2
1
R Loftus-Cheek MID14
1
-
A. Jiménez Sánchez DEF12
5
-
F Terracciano DEF10
2
-
J Félix FWD7
1
-
S Giménez FWD721
3
-
L Jović  FWD7
1
-
K Walker DEF6
-
R Sottil  FWD3
-
W Bondo MID2
1
-
M Sportiello GLK1
-